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OldHansMoleman
Jan 4, 2004
I Hate Myself


Man that is the EASIEST masters thesis ever.

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thompson
Jun 5, 2006


Rene Bork posted:

Colorado Moneyline 2.23 1U

Nice hit on this one!

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


3 Play tonight. Two football, one baseball.

Tonight I have:

NFL:
Seattle -5 4U
NCAA:
Arizona -7 4U
MLB:
Los Angeles Angels -117 4U

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


15-14 YTD on football. Going to put college picks on here when I make them. Just putting the record in here so I don't have to go back and look on my betbud spreadsheet.

43-46-5 Baseball. 6-5 Soccer.

Somehow with that I'm up 15 units on the year. Good BRMM I guess and some lucky high unit confidence bets.

joboo002
Jul 21, 2002

Pocket Aces means you're banned.

I had a small bet on Hawaii this evening at +9.5. With 10:56 left in the 3rd quarter Oregon St. scored to make it 38-7 and I quit paying attention to the game. Turns out Hawaii scored 23 unanswered points in the 4th to get the miracle cover in a 38-30 loss. I can only imagine how the people who bet Oregon State must be feeling right now.

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


Angels -3 Live bet 2U
Detroit Lions -6.5 4U
San Diego +3 4U
Nationals -139 2U
Marlins +158 2U
Orioles -110 2U
Lions/Giants Over 45.5

Baseball parlay:
Orioles, Marlins, Nats, 1U pays 7U

thompson fucked around with this message at Sep 9, 2014 around 05:17

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


thompson posted:

Angels -3 Live bet 2U
Detroit Lions -6.5 4U
San Diego +3 4U
Nationals -139 2U
Marlins +158 2U
Orioles -110 2U
Lions/Giants Over 45.5

Baseball parlay:
Orioles, Marlins, Nats, 1U pays 7U

Pretty ridiculous 8-0 plus 26 unit night last night. Doesn't happen often. Just 4 plays today, taking it easy with some pretty big favorites.

Baltimore Orioles -137 3U
Pittsburgh Pirates -132 3U
Los Angeles Angels -140 3U
Minnesota/Cleveland Over 3U -115
Parlay on the whole thing 1U pays 8.7U
Padres +130 3U

If you're following this thread, you probably have noticed that I like to bet in increments of 2. In this case I bet in an increment of 3 due to the fact that the juice was so heavy.

Cool, thanks for following!

thompson fucked around with this message at Sep 10, 2014 around 17:05

ElwoodCuse
Jan 11, 2004

we're puttin' the band back together

Are you really going to be able to bet on sports in New Jersey or is this just big talk from Chris Christie

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


ElwoodCuse posted:

Are you really going to be able to bet on sports in New Jersey or is this just big talk from Chris Christie

It's really interesting that you bring this up. The easy answer? I don't know.

The NFL is mounting a furious attack to defeat any measure that would allow it because they want a sizable cut. The NBA embraces it, but again, they want a cut. The NHL and MLB have both been documented as being very much against it.

I think we're going to see it legalized here soon, at least in some cash strapped states. States are struggling, particularly states like California and New Jersey, and as Adam Silver recently said, the push is only going to get stronger as States look for easy revenue sources. I think you'll see a pretty heavy tax and I'm not sure where it will come from (juice or just a flat tax on payout).

New Jersey in particular is operating on a loophole to try to get this thing through, and most analysis I've read is that the casinos there in AC wouldn't want to risk certification on a loophole.

Is Jersey first? Who knows? But I expect it to be relatively nationwide in the next 5 years.

I think the most interesting piece of this is Adam Silver on fan engagement.

Adam Silver posted:

“If you have a gentleman’s bet or a small wager on any kind of sports contest, it makes you that much more engaged in it,” Silver said. “That’s where we’re going to see it pay dividends. If people are watching a game and clicking to bet on their smartphones, which is what people are doing in the United Kingdom right now, then it’s much more likely you’re going to stay tuned for a long time.”

If every league took this approach and the gov't got on board, this whole thing would be tied up right now and I'd be betting on games left and right on betonline.usa instead of .ag.

thompson fucked around with this message at Sep 9, 2014 around 18:52

BallerBallerDillz
Jun 10, 2009

Cock, Rules, Everything, Around, Me


Scratchmo

Ugh, my over in this Mariners game is so hosed.

Elephanthead
Sep 11, 2008




Toilet Rascal

I could see sports gambling being treated like marijuana laws. Yeah it is against federal law but we won't enforce it if states allow it. States need money badly due to mismanagement so hey lets use a get rich quick scheme!

BallerBallerDillz
Jun 10, 2009

Cock, Rules, Everything, Around, Me


Scratchmo

Toying with the idea of a ATL/PHI/SEA parlay today. Not ready to pull the trigger yet though. I'll probably think about it for too long and miss the start of ATL.

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


thompson posted:

Pretty ridiculous 8-0 plus 26 unit night last night. Doesn't happen often. Just 4 plays today, taking it easy with some pretty big favorites.

Baltimore Orioles -137 3U
Pittsburgh Pirates -132 3U
Los Angeles Angels -140 3U
Minnesota/Cleveland Over 3U -115
Parlay on the whole thing 1U pays 8.7U
Padres +130 3U

If you're following this thread, you probably have noticed that I like to bet in increments of 2. In this case I bet in an increment of 3 due to the fact that the juice was so heavy.

Cool, thanks for following!

+1.2 U yesterday. Any day without a loss is a good day.

Today's Wagers:
Baltimore -134 4U (W)
Tampa Bay +109 3U (L)
San Diego +143 3U (L)
San Diego/LAD Under 7 2.5U (W)
Live Bet Orioles Red Sox O11.5 2U (W)
Live Bet Orioles -6.5 2U (L)
Bal/Bos U10 3U (L)
Hedge: Dodgers -3 +120 2U (W)

thompson fucked around with this message at Sep 11, 2014 around 17:33

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


Attempted to hedge my bad O/U bet with Bos/Bal U10 3U -150. We'll see what happens.

E: That was loving stupid of me. Oh well.

thompson fucked around with this message at Sep 10, 2014 around 20:35

FairGame
Jul 24, 2001


Did not get home in time but you absolutely should pick the reds plus 1.5 against john lackey and his diminished heater in a bandbox ballpark.

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


FairGame posted:

Did not get home in time but you absolutely should pick the reds plus 1.5 against john lackey and his diminished heater in a bandbox ballpark.

Didn't take the RL but I played the money line for 3U +128. I like the pick.

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


FairGame posted:

Did not get home in time but you absolutely should pick the reds plus 1.5 against john lackey and his diminished heater in a bandbox ballpark.

Thanks for getting my on this. Seeing Lackey tossed in the third inning is well worth the price of admission here.

BallerBallerDillz
Jun 10, 2009

Cock, Rules, Everything, Around, Me


Scratchmo

The Nards Pan posted:

Toying with the idea of a ATL/PHI/SEA parlay . . . I'll probably think about it for too long and miss the start of ATL.

If only.

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


Only three bets so far today. Depending on how bored I get at work I may add a few more, but probably not.

MLB:
Live Bet StL 2U +110

NFL:
Pitt/Bal Under 23 FH 3U -115
Pitt/Bal Under 44.5 4U -110

Stiev Awt
Mar 20, 2007



Baseball
Orioles -1.5 Runline 2.60 2U
Giants -1.5 Runline 2.75 2U
Cardinals -1.5 Runline 1.95 5U

Wainwright is starting against Colorado. If that doesn't scream "bet the farm" I dunno what does.

zapplez
Sep 3, 2006



Someone explain to me why it might not be a good idea to lay a giant bet on Jays moneyline today. Surging 8-2 of their last 10 Jays are still fighting to get a wildcard chance. Playing rays with a AAA 5 era callup starting pitcher.

Putting 250 on em

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


zapplez posted:

Someone explain to me why it might not be a good idea to lay a giant bet on Jays moneyline today. Surging 8-2 of their last 10 Jays are still fighting to get a wildcard chance. Playing rays with a AAA 5 era callup starting pitcher.

Putting 250 on em

I agree with your take on it. Good luck.

zapplez
Sep 3, 2006



zapplez posted:

Someone explain to me why it might not be a good idea to lay a giant bet on Jays moneyline today. Surging 8-2 of their last 10 Jays are still fighting to get a wildcard chance. Playing rays with a AAA 5 era callup starting pitcher.

Putting 250 on em

Well this went well. Jays with what should be an great offense puts up two hits on a AAA callup. BJ pitching was good too but not shutout good. gently caress

vxsarin
Oct 29, 2004


ASK ME ABOUT MY AP WIRE PHOTOS


I know there isn't a ton of MLS action here, but there are a couple of interesting games to look at.

DC (+269) vs Houston (+106)

DC has never won in Houston and they have already clinched the playoffs. This means they will probably rest some people. Does that mean that Houston has the edge? I don't think so.

San Jose (+530) v RSL (-172)

I think the San Jose vs RSL match has some good opportunity here. Both meetings have ended in a draw and RSL is not doing well lately. That line makes it worth it to chance some money on.

chunkles
Aug 14, 2005

I tell you the truth: one of you chumps will betray me


Anyone have any experience with daily fantasy sports (eg Fanduel and the like)? What has your experience been like? I'm thinking about giving basketball a go this season but there's a shitload of info out there. Don't suppose there is a thread for that I missed?

vxsarin
Oct 29, 2004


ASK ME ABOUT MY AP WIRE PHOTOS


chunkles posted:

Anyone have any experience with daily fantasy sports (eg Fanduel and the like)? What has your experience been like? I'm thinking about giving basketball a go this season but there's a shitload of info out there. Don't suppose there is a thread for that I missed?

Why not just do it for real?

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


chunkles posted:

Anyone have any experience with daily fantasy sports (eg Fanduel and the like)? What has your experience been like? I'm thinking about giving basketball a go this season but there's a shitload of info out there. Don't suppose there is a thread for that I missed?

If there is it would be in the Armchair QB, but I have no problem discussing it here. I've used both Fanduel and Draftkings. Both are really fun if you figure out what niche you're looking for. The guys who are all up on TV saying they won 100k or more got lucky in one of the tournaments which have set prize payouts depending on how high your point total is, a lot like a Poker Stars or Full Tilt tournament. The one on one battles are good too, but i'd make sure to look at the guys profile. A lot of these people do this day in and day out and know about little gimmicks in the system (salaries that are broken, etc) and are thus pretty tough to beat. Also, the deposit bonus will take you a ton of rollover to ever get.

Good stuff though. I'd try it and see if you like it.

chunkles
Aug 14, 2005

I tell you the truth: one of you chumps will betray me


Pukestain Pal posted:

Why not just do it for real?

It seems like it should be more winnable, I could be totally off base though.

thompson posted:

The one on one battles are good too, but i'd make sure to look at the guys profile. A lot of these people do this day in and day out and know about little gimmicks in the system (salaries that are broken, etc) and are thus pretty tough to beat.

Oh yeah, I signed up for I think fanduel last night and most of the open H2H games are by dudes with 100 games open and thousands of wins.

Vertical Lime
Dec 11, 2004



ElwoodCuse posted:

Are you really going to be able to bet on sports in New Jersey or is this just big talk from Chris Christie

Christie just signed it into law:

http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ss...ml#incart_river

Atlantic City could use the boost

aejix
Sep 18, 2007

It's about finding that next group of core players we can win with in the next 6, 8, 10 years. Let's face it, it's hard for 20-, 21-, 22-year-olds to lead an NHL team. Look at the playoffs.

That quote is from fucking 2018. Fuck you Jim


Today I'm hoping for:

Islanders def. Jets + over 5.5 goals
(Isles and Jets are not great defensively, poor goaltending, and I think Isles are a better team overall)

Toronto def. Buffalo + over 5.5 goals
(Toronto should easily beat Buffalo, I just hope Kessel goes on a tear)

Hawks def. Ducks + under 5.5 goals
(this one I am least confident in, if Crawford plays badly the Ducks will blow the under 5.5goals, and if the Hawks backup gets the start well then all bets are off. If both teams play well I think it'll be a really tight, low-scoring game and I am really just guessing as to which team will actually win, but the Hawks are at home so I think they'll take it)

If that comes off I'll turn into $234

straight up brolic
Jan 31, 2007

After all, I was nice in ball,
Came to practice weed scented
Report card like the speed limit



NBA Betting Tip:

Suns and Blazers to win (accumulator) is 3/2 odds. Both teams are at full strength, at home, going against opponents that are ravaged by injury. The Lakers are on the second leg of a back to back. Anything can happen in the NBA, but these two seem like pretty sure things.

zapplez
Sep 3, 2006



(T Hudson & J Guthrie must start) SF Giants @ +135
$150.00 Single 10/29/2014 14:15:28 150.00 0.00
SF Giants -1.5 @ +220
$100.00 Single 10/29/2014 14:15:28 100.00 0.00
SF Giants -3.5 @ +500
$50.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:23:22 50.00 0.00
SF Giants -2.5 @ +325
$100.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:23:21 100.00 0.00
SF Giants -1.5 @ +195
$100.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:23:21 100.00 0.00
SF Giants -4.5 @ +850
$40.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:13:22 40.00 0.00
SF Giants -3.5 @ +500
$100.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:13:22 100.00 0.00

zapplez
Sep 3, 2006



zapplez posted:

(T Hudson & J Guthrie must start) SF Giants @ +135
$150.00 Single 10/29/2014 14:15:28 150.00 0.00
SF Giants -1.5 @ +220
$100.00 Single 10/29/2014 14:15:28 100.00 0.00
SF Giants -3.5 @ +500
$50.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:23:22 50.00 0.00
SF Giants -2.5 @ +325
$100.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:23:21 100.00 0.00
SF Giants -1.5 @ +195
$100.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:23:21 100.00 0.00
SF Giants -4.5 @ +850
$40.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:13:22 40.00 0.00
SF Giants -3.5 @ +500
$100.00 Single 10/29/2014 02:13:22 100.00 0.00

That turned out shittility

uG
Apr 23, 2003

by Ralp






Went 7-0 this week. w/l is 70% for the season (NCAA FB) prior to today (and appears to be 65% for historical seasons). o/u on impeding account deletions?

HanabaL03
Nov 12, 2003

We're spread, we're spread, we're spreading our.... wings!


Been off the forums for quite some time. Still betting like a degenerate though.

Here is what I have today:

NFL:

Jags +10
Bucs +7
Vikings -1
Chargers +2

NBA:
Hornets +4

NHL:
Capitals -1.5 +170
Predators +100

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


I'm in Vegas. Was able to hit on Portland -2 for 5u last night. Here's tonight's card:

Suns -5 5U
T'Wolves -3.5 5U
Raptors -3 5U

Tomorrow CFB:
Oregon/Utah Over 60 5U weeee Vegas

HanabaL03
Nov 12, 2003

We're spread, we're spread, we're spreading our.... wings!


Only NFL play so far today is Bills ML -120.

Stiev Awt
Mar 20, 2007



NFL

Dallas -7.5 2.00 2U
Pittsburgh -6 2.05 2U
Green Bay -8 1.87 2U

NHL

Ottawa Moneyline 1.74 1U
Edmonton Moneyline 2.70 1U

I'm only betting on Ottawa to spite the Leafs. I wouldn't bet on Edmonton, but New York has been bad too lately so eh.

thompson
Jun 5, 2006


Utah +2.5
Detroit +9.5
LAC -2

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thompson
Jun 5, 2006


Go time! It's CBB season and I'm loving fired up! Due to a good run in Vegas betting over my normal unit size, I am up 22.3U on the NBA season. Let's hope that doesn't change, but i'm sure it will! Let's get this rocking!

University of Minnesota +8.5 5U
University of San Diego +3 2.5U
Detroit OKC over 189.5 2.5U
Boston Celtics +5.5 3U (FADEEEE LEBROONNNN ERRYYY DAYYYYY)
Philadelphia +17 2.5U
Added Atlanta -4.5 2.5U
Santa Clara -7.5 2.5U

YTD 13-10 +22.3U (#thanks vegas)

thompson fucked around with this message at Nov 14, 2014 around 20:28

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