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Its Miller Time
Dec 4, 2004

Hey guys, I have a gambling related question. I work in finance and often deal with heavy application of statistical analysis and probabilities. I came across this article by this professor of statistics about analyzing data to produce bets that are more likely to be profitable. His example was stoppage time in soccer. He realized that few sources tracked this data and that referees had very predictable patterns, allowing him to create a very profitable system. I was wondering if you guys knew a good source for large amounts of data on various major league sports, especially for soccer, which seems to have the largest degree of randomness. I realize you're not going to beat Vegas at calculating over/unders, but I thought it'd be a fun side project to try and identify some of the crazier and smaller side bets offered that might be inefficient. This could also have interested potential in in-play betting, in which they have to make spur of the moment calculations without the luxury of watching the ratio of inflows/outflows and other book's movements.

Its Miller Time fucked around with this message at 23:34 on Jul 29, 2014

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