New Sports Gambling Megathread - Blown Saves and Blown Tickets

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Sports Argument Stadium > New Sports Gambling Megathread - Blown Saves and Blown Tickets

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Hello everyone and welcome to the home of the degenerates. This here is the :siren:

"NEW"

gambling thread and hopefully it will be a successful reset of previous threads that have since died out probably because everyone is broke due to poor Bank Roll Management

What is a sports wager you might ask? Well, instead of telling you all the intricacies of bets and the types you can make, i'm going to let my friend Wikipedia tell you how you can place a wager against Vegas or some other bookmaking entity.

wikipedia posted:

Straight Bets - are wagers that are made against the spread. The spread, or line, is a number assigned by the bookmakers which handicaps one team and favors another. For example, in the NBA, when two teams play each other, one is perceived as being more likely to win. To attempt to make wagering on the underdog desirable, the bookmaker will give them points. Before game 5 of the 2012 NBA Finals, the Miami Heat were expected to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder. The line read: Miami -3, Oklahoma City +3. To determine who wins against the spread, the line is either added or subtracted from a team's final score. In the above example, if the bettor chose Miami, he would subtract 3 points from Miami's final score and compare that to Oklahoma's final score. For him to win his bet, Miami would have to win the game by 4 points or more. This is the most common type of bet in sports.

Proposition bets - are wagers made on a very specific outcome of a match. Examples include predicting the number of goals each team scores in a handball match, betting whether a player will score in a football game, or wagering that a baseball player on one team will accumulate more hits than another player on the opposing team.

Parlays - involve multiple bets (usually up to 12) and will reward a successful bettor with a large payout. For example, a bettor could include four different wagers in a four-team parlay, whereby he is wagering that all four bets will win. If any of the four bets fails to cover, the bettor loses the parlay, but if all four bets win, the bettor receives a substantially higher payout (usually 10-1 in the case of a four-teamer) than if he made the four wagers separately.

Progressive parlays - A progressive parlay involves multiple bets (usually up to 12) and rewards successful bettors with a large payout, though not as large as normal parlays. However in a progressive parlay, unlike a regular parlay, a reduced payout will still be made even should some of the bets lose.

Teasers - A teaser allows the bettor to combine his bets on two or more different games. The bettor can adjust the point spreads for the two games, but must get all the games correct to win and recognizes a lower return in comparison to parlays.

If bets - An if bet consists of at least two straight bets joined together by an if clause which determines the wager process. If the player�s first selection complies with the condition (clause), then the second selection will have action; if the second selection complies with the condition, then the third selection will have action and so on.

Run line, puck line, or goal line bets - These are wagers offered as alternatives to straight-up/moneyline prices in baseball, hockey, or soccer, respectively. These bets feature a fixed point spread that (usually) offers a higher payout for the favorite and a lower payout for the underdog (both in comparison to the moneyline).

Future wagers - While all sports wagers are by definition on future events, bets listed as "futures" generally have a long-term horizon measured in weeks or months; for example, a bet that a certain NFL team will win the Super Bowl for the upcoming season. Such a bet must be made before the season starts in September, and winning bets will not pay off until the conclusion of the Super Bowl in January or February (although many of the losing bets will be clear well before then and can be closed out by the book). Odds for such a bet generally are expressed in a ratio of units paid to unit wagered. The team wagered upon might be 50-1 to win the Super Bowl, which means that the bet will pay 50 times the amount wagered if the team does so. In general, most sportsbooks will prefer this type of wager due to the low win-probability, and also the longer period of time in which the house holds the player's money while the bet is pending.

Head-to-Head - In these bets, bettor predicts competitors results against each other and not on the overall result of the event. One example are Formula One races, where you bet on two or three drivers and their placement among the others. Sometimes you can also bet a �tie�, in which one or both drivers either have the same time, drop out, or get disqualified.

Totalizators - In totalizators (sometimes called flexible-rate bets) the odds are changing in real-time according to the share of total exchange each of the possible outcomes have received taking into account the return rate of the bookmaker offering the bet. For example: If the bookmakers return percentage is 90%, 90% of the amount placed on the winning result will be given back to bettors and 10% goes to the bookmaker. Naturally the more money bet on a certain result, the smaller the odds on that outcome become. This is similar to parimutuel wagering in horse racing and dog racing.

2nd half bets - A 2nd half (Second half) bet is also sometimes called a halftime bet. This bet is placed only at halftime of a particular sporting event. This bet can be placed on the spread(Line) or over/under. The resulting bet that is placed is won or lost only on the points scored by both teams in the second half only.

In-play betting - In-play betting is a feature offered by some online sports books that enables bettors to place new bets while a sporting event is in progress.

Juice

Again, Juice is a pretty basic concept, but the way in which it is presented greatly depends on what region you hail from/are betting from. A good description of juice is below, also from Wikipedia, but it works and is acceptable.

wikipedia posted:

Odds for different outcomes in single bet are presented either in European format (decimal odds), UK format (fractional odds), or American format (moneyline odds). European format (decimal odds) are favored in continental Europe, Canada, and Australia. They are the ratio of the full payout to the stake, in a decimal format. Decimal odds of 2.00 are an even bet. UK format (fractional odds) are favored by British bookmakers. They are the ratio of the amount won to the stake. Fractional odds of 1/1 are an even bet. US format odds are favored in the United States. They are the amount won on a 100 stake when positive and the stake needed to win 100 when negative. US odds of 100 are an even bet.

Decimal Fractional US Hong Kong Indo Malay Implied Probability
1.50 1/2 -200 0.50 -2.00 0.50 1 in 1.5 = 67%
2.00 Evs (1/1) +100 1.00 1.00 1.00 1 in 2 = 50%
2.50 6/4 +150 1.50 1.50 -0.67 1 in 2.5 = 40%
3.00 2/1 +200 2.00 2.00 -0.50 1 in 3 = 33%

Good Sites for US bettors:

Topbet - My personal choice. This company is run out of the Netherlands and has always been consistent for me. Easy to use interface, decently updated lines, and a good mobile platform are all perks. They're offering 50% on $250 first deposit right now.

Bovada - Used to be bodog I think. Seems solid and goons like it but i've heard their lines can be a little bit off of the beaton path. Also 50% on $250.

5dimes - I've used it and it's ok. Goons seem to like it. It has reduced juice which is cool. They have a cool new rewards program that I've never used and don't understand.

betonline - Never have used it but have heard it was a viable option.

BRMM AKA Bankroll Management

This is a very important topic to me and really is more valuable than anything else in this thread. Look, there are going to be trends. You are going to get hot and your are going to get cold. No one has the secret. It's gambling.

The secret to having FUN (if you aren't here to have fun, leave, no seriously. If you want to make consistent money go get a real job) is not bursting your load. Here's a great story from a page all about BRMM.

wunderdog.com posted:

A Tale Of Two Sports Bettors

Risky John and Conservative Bob each started the season with $1000 - their bankroll. They both decided to play the same games throughout the season but they couldn't agree on how much to place on each game. John was more of a risk taker than Bob so John decided to bet about $200 per game (20% of his bankroll). Bob was more conservative and decided to risk about $50 per game (5% of his bankroll). Risky John figured that if he bet more, he could win more. And he was right. In week one, their picks went 4-2. John was up $360 while Conservative Bob only won $90. John was very pleased with himself.

Week 2 produced the exact same result. Risky John now had a $1720 bankroll while Conservative Bob was up to just $1180. John was very happy. He encouraged Bob to bet more but Bob wasn't so sure about that strategy. What if their luck started to turn? Risky John preferred to think positively. Besides, they were 8-4 and they knew what they were doing! The first two weeks had proved that.

But then came weeks 3 and 4 in which they went 2-4, 1-3. A bad run for sure, but not uncommon during a 16-week season. In fact, losing streaks are inevitable and guaranteed during a season. Conservative Bob lost $235 while Risky John gave back $940. John now had a lower bankroll than Bob! John was now down to $780. Risky John felt the losing couldn't possibly continue so he stuck with his bet size of $200 per game. The next two weeks they went 2-2 and 1-3.

Guess what? Risky John was now virtually wiped out - down to $280. Bob, meanwhile lost $360 on the terrible four week run but still had $820 left over. One of them was virtually out of money, the other had over 80% of his original bankroll left.

What happened next? Well, John quit. And, the unfortunate four-week run was followed by a great 3-week run where Conservative Bob went 10-3 and another 8 weeks of hitting a very respectable 56% on average. Bob ended up the season at over $1300 - an increase of 30% on his initial bankroll.

The morale of this story is obvious but very few sports bettors practice it. Don't overextend yourself.

So how much should you bet? It depends on you, but it shouldn't be a large percent of your bankroll. You will see me break down Units in here. As a general rule of thumb, this is what a unit should look like to you.

0.5 unit - 0.5% of bankrol
1 unit - 1% of bankroll
1.5 units - 1.5% of bankroll
2 units - 2% of bankroll
2.5 units - 2.5% of bankroll

If I am loving confident (rarely) I will make a 10 unit bet. That's what I max out at. Typically a good confident play by me that is standard is 5 units.

Apps for tracking bets and overall performance

http://www.betbudapp.com

If you're serious about this, use this app. The only issue i've found is with not being able to plug in a line for the second game of a baseball double header. That was a one off. Everything else is great.

Features:

App tracks games in real time.
Customization fields on full edition such as juice, line total, etc.
Enter Paylays, teasers, run line, money line, literally everything you can think of except for prop bets.
Overall stats including % and total amount you are up.
Color coded so you can easily see how a slate of bets is coming.

And that's really it. Post what you would like about Bankroll management and keep track of your picks here. If a goon get's hot, it's always fun to tail and enjoy the ride.

Most importantly, only gamble what you can afford to lose. If you want to have fun, don't put life changing amount of money on this.

# ¿ Jul 7, 2014 19:07

Adbot: ADBOT LOVES YOU

# ¿ Apr 23, 2024 21:36

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Reserved.

# ¿ Jul 7, 2014 19:07

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Today's Picks:

MLB

Oakland -153 2.5U
LAA -164 2.5U
Cubs +150 2.5U
Baltimore +155 2.5U
Tampa Bay -122 2.5U
Houston +120 5U
Cleveland -144 3U
Cleveland -1.5 +140 1U

Stupid 3 team o/u 1 1.5 unit +571 parlay
Mets/Braves over 7.5
White Sox/Red Sox over 10
Padres/Rockies under 10.5

Year to Date Record 14-12-1
Up roughly 10 units.

thompson fucked around with this message at 20:51 on Jul 7, 2014

# ¿ Jul 7, 2014 19:11

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Ace Jameson posted:

Red Sox can't hit, White Sox can't pitch, so this is curious to me but you never know I guess.

If all goes according to plan i'll go 0-9 -23 units.

You never know is right though.

# ¿ Jul 7, 2014 23:28

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

thompson posted:

Today's Picks:

MLB

Oakland -153 2.5U
LAA -164 2.5U
Cubs +150 2.5U
Baltimore +155 2.5U
Tampa Bay -122 2.5U
Houston +120 5U
Cleveland -144 3U
Cleveland -1.5 +140 1U

Stupid 3 team o/u 1 1.5 unit +571 parlay
Mets/Braves over 7.5
White Sox/Red Sox over 10
Padres/Rockies under 10.5

Year to Date Record 14-12-1
Up roughly 10 units.

Our debut night is not going so well together SA. :colbert:

Oh well!

# ¿ Jul 8, 2014 02:36

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

thompson posted:

Today's Picks:

MLB

Oakland -153 2.5U W
LAA -164 2.5U W
Cubs +150 2.5U L
Baltimore +155 2.5U W
Tampa Bay -122 2.5U L
Houston +120 5U W
Cleveland -144 3U L
Cleveland -1.5 +140 1U L

Stupid 3 team o/u 1 1.5 unit +571 parlay L
Mets/Braves over 7.5
White Sox/Red Sox over 10
Padres/Rockies under 10.5

Year to Date Record 18-17-1
Up roughly 11 units.

Finished up 1 unit yesterday. Thanks Astros! Join me ladies! I feel like the guy in the horse racing thread who was posting to himself.

Today's Picks:
Brazil -110 5U L
Cincinnati -1.5 -110 2.5U W
Arizona -119 2.5U L
Seattle -117 2.5U L
San Diego -110 2.5U L
Los Angeles +105 5U L
Texas/Houston Over 9.5 5U W
San Diego/Colorado Under 10 2.5UW

Year to Date Record 21-22-1
Up roughly 11 units.

thompson fucked around with this message at 17:13 on Jul 9, 2014

# ¿ Jul 8, 2014 16:50

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

thompson posted:

Finished up 1 unit yesterday. Thanks Astros! Join me ladies! I feel like the guy in the horse racing thread who was posting to himself.

Today's Picks:
Brazil -110 5U L
Cincinnati -1.5 -110 2.5U W
Arizona -119 2.5U L
Seattle -117 2.5U L
San Diego -110 2.5U L
Los Angeles +105 5U L
Texas/Houston Over 9.5 5U W
San Diego/Colorado Under 10 2.5UW

Year to Date Record 21-22-1
Up roughly 5 units.

Lost 7.5 Units yesterday roughly, but we'll get it going today. Here are the selections!

Argentina -.5 5U
Dodgers +110 5U L
San Antonio Stars (WNBA) -4 2.5U
Kansas City Royals +102 2.5U
Chicago/Cinci Under 7.5 2.5U
Miami +115 2.5U
San Diego +100 2.5U

Year to Date Record 21-22-1
Up roughly 5 units.

AATREK CURES KIDS posted:

When Suarez bit that guy, some people won big after betting at 150:1 that it would happen. Did anyone anywhere bet on Germany giving Brazil their most lopsided defeat ever?

That's a pretty insane prop bet. I wonder where someone offered that? As for the Brazil/Germany game, you can see above that I was certainly on the wrong end of that one!

thompson fucked around with this message at 23:09 on Jul 9, 2014

# ¿ Jul 9, 2014 17:18

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Andre Le Fuckface posted:

This picture may or may not be real

Holy moly...

# ¿ Jul 9, 2014 17:26

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

jase1 posted:

Was looking for this thread since the other one died glad there is still some gamblers here.

I put 500 on the cavs to win it all at 65 to 1. A play poker with a couple of guys who work for the plain dealer and they told me to jump on it before the line moved. I didn't even think Lebron was coming back but I figured if he does it won't be 65 to 1 and now it's at 3 to 1.

Good luck all if I make anymore bets I will post them in here.

65 to 1 has expected value that is off the chain now. That's a great pickup. Best of luck there!

I'm taking a short hiatus. Baseball is tough to bet but I'm taking a week to analyze and getting back on the horse! Football, basketball, and hockey are on their way soon too. Can't wait!

# ¿ Jul 20, 2014 16:29

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Bobert51 posted:

I am a victim of Poor Bankroll Management�.

Fortunately I know the best thing to do in this situation. Chase. Hard.

Might as well. Hitting Vegas on Thursday. It's the start of gambling season for me with EPL opening Saturday and football quickly there after. It's almost that time!

# ¿ Aug 13, 2014 05:20

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Okie doke, football starts tomorrow. I went ahead and made a new deposit and bet on three baseball games tonight with some of my free play balance.

Here are tonight's picks:

Cleveland -1.5 -120 2U
A's v Astros Under 9 2U
Padres +131 2U

and for tomorrow (grabbing it before it goes down, one would think it would):

Texas A&M v South Carolina U60.5 2U
Washington State -7.5 2U

thompson fucked around with this message at 00:52 on Aug 28, 2014

# ¿ Aug 28, 2014 00:46

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

soggybagel posted:

One thing about Bovada formerly Bodog is they also seem to wait as long as possible to get their lines up when other sites get them up a bit early.

Yeah that's the main reason I switched off of them. That and the fact that they're really bad/slow at moving their lines with the action.

# ¿ Aug 28, 2014 14:39

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

thompson posted:

Texas A&M v South Carolina U60.5 4U
Washington State -7.5 2U

Go ahead and add:

Texas A&M v South Carolina U60.5 4U
Washington State -7.5 2U
Tulane Tulsa U46.5 2U
Wake UL Monroe U45 2U
Wake Forest +2 2U
Houston Astros -139 2U
Baltimore Orioles -123 2U

(1-1-1 YTD since football started) Let's see if we can keep our wad until week 1 of the NFL season...

thompson fucked around with this message at 17:40 on Aug 28, 2014

# ¿ Aug 28, 2014 16:58

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

OctoberBlues posted:

I've been doing terrible because I keep betting against the Royals. I figure they are due to choke this season away eventually, right?! I've almost lost all of my deposit money though, so my bets keep getting smaller...

I consider this entertainment money though, and I really want the Royals to make the playoffs, so I'm not too torn up about it.

Entertainment money is a great way of putting it. A rooting interest in whatever game you want at your fingertips.

# ¿ Aug 29, 2014 03:54

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Today's Picks:

Soccer:
Liverpool +157 3U (W)
Aston Villa +143 2U (W)
Arsenal -125 3U (L)

Baseball:
New York Mets -115 2U (W)
Cincinnati +120 3U (W)
Angels -124 2U (W)
Padres +148 2U (L)
Tigers -113 2U (L)
Nationals +133 2U (L)
Baylor -33 4U (W)
Tennessee -4 2.5U (W)

thompson fucked around with this message at 16:13 on Sep 1, 2014

# ¿ Aug 31, 2014 14:42

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

thompson posted:

Today's Picks:

Soccer:
Liverpool +157 3U (W)
Aston Villa +143 2U (W)
Arsenal -125 3U (L)

Baseball:
New York Mets -115 2U (W)
Cincinnati +120 3U (W)
Angels -124 2U (W)
Padres +148 2U (L)
Tigers -113 2U (L)
Nationals +133 2U (L)
Baylor -33 4U (W)
Tennessee -4 2.5U (W)

7-4 yesterday was nice. Just two plays today.

Padres -163 4U
Dodgers +105 2U

# ¿ Sep 1, 2014 16:14

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Detroit +131 2U
Milwalkee -112 2U
San Diego -117 2U

# ¿ Sep 2, 2014 16:11

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

thompson posted:

Detroit +131 2U
Milwalkee -112 2U
San Diego -117 2U

Good 2-1 Night. 3 more plays tonight.

Seattle +112 4U
San Diego -129 2U
Detroit +113 2U

# ¿ Sep 3, 2014 16:33

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Rene Bork posted:

Colorado Moneyline 2.23 1U

Nice hit on this one!

# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 00:17

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

3 Play tonight. Two football, one baseball.

Tonight I have:

NFL:
Seattle -5 4U
NCAA:
Arizona -7 4U
MLB:
Los Angeles Angels -117 4U

# ¿ Sep 4, 2014 16:39

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

15-14 YTD on football. Going to put college picks on here when I make them. Just putting the record in here so I don't have to go back and look on my betbud spreadsheet.

43-46-5 Baseball. 6-5 Soccer.

Somehow with that I'm up 15 units on the year. Good BRMM I guess and some lucky high unit confidence bets.

# ¿ Sep 5, 2014 16:48

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Angels -3 Live bet 2U
Detroit Lions -6.5 4U
San Diego +3 4U
Nationals -139 2U
Marlins +158 2U
Orioles -110 2U
Lions/Giants Over 45.5

Baseball parlay:
Orioles, Marlins, Nats, 1U pays 7U

thompson fucked around with this message at 06:17 on Sep 9, 2014

# ¿ Sep 8, 2014 20:24

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

thompson posted:

Angels -3 Live bet 2U
Detroit Lions -6.5 4U
San Diego +3 4U
Nationals -139 2U
Marlins +158 2U
Orioles -110 2U
Lions/Giants Over 45.5

Baseball parlay:
Orioles, Marlins, Nats, 1U pays 7U

Pretty ridiculous 8-0 plus 26 unit night last night. Doesn't happen often. Just 4 plays today, taking it easy with some pretty big favorites.

Baltimore Orioles -137 3U
Pittsburgh Pirates -132 3U
Los Angeles Angels -140 3U
Minnesota/Cleveland Over 3U -115
Parlay on the whole thing 1U pays 8.7U
Padres +130 3U

If you're following this thread, you probably have noticed that I like to bet in increments of 2. In this case I bet in an increment of 3 due to the fact that the juice was so heavy.

Cool, thanks for following!

thompson fucked around with this message at 18:05 on Sep 10, 2014

# ¿ Sep 9, 2014 19:30

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

ElwoodCuse posted:

Are you really going to be able to bet on sports in New Jersey or is this just big talk from Chris Christie

It's really interesting that you bring this up. The easy answer? I don't know.

The NFL is mounting a furious attack to defeat any measure that would allow it because they want a sizable cut. The NBA embraces it, but again, they want a cut. The NHL and MLB have both been documented as being very much against it.

I think we're going to see it legalized here soon, at least in some cash strapped states. States are struggling, particularly states like California and New Jersey, and as Adam Silver recently said, the push is only going to get stronger as States look for easy revenue sources. I think you'll see a pretty heavy tax and I'm not sure where it will come from (juice or just a flat tax on payout).

New Jersey in particular is operating on a loophole to try to get this thing through, and most analysis I've read is that the casinos there in AC wouldn't want to risk certification on a loophole.

Is Jersey first? Who knows? But I expect it to be relatively nationwide in the next 5 years.

I think the most interesting piece of this is Adam Silver on fan engagement.

Adam Silver posted:

�If you have a gentleman�s bet or a small wager on any kind of sports contest, it makes you that much more engaged in it,� Silver said. �That�s where we�re going to see it pay dividends. If people are watching a game and clicking to bet on their smartphones, which is what people are doing in the United Kingdom right now, then it�s much more likely you�re going to stay tuned for a long time.�

If every league took this approach and the gov't got on board, this whole thing would be tied up right now and I'd be betting on games left and right on betonline.usa instead of .ag.

thompson fucked around with this message at 19:52 on Sep 9, 2014

# ¿ Sep 9, 2014 19:47

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

thompson posted:

Pretty ridiculous 8-0 plus 26 unit night last night. Doesn't happen often. Just 4 plays today, taking it easy with some pretty big favorites.

Baltimore Orioles -137 3U
Pittsburgh Pirates -132 3U
Los Angeles Angels -140 3U
Minnesota/Cleveland Over 3U -115
Parlay on the whole thing 1U pays 8.7U
Padres +130 3U

If you're following this thread, you probably have noticed that I like to bet in increments of 2. In this case I bet in an increment of 3 due to the fact that the juice was so heavy.

Cool, thanks for following!

+1.2 U yesterday. Any day without a loss is a good day.

Today's Wagers:
Baltimore -134 4U (W)
Tampa Bay +109 3U (L)
San Diego +143 3U (L)
San Diego/LAD Under 7 2.5U (W)
Live Bet Orioles Red Sox O11.5 2U (W)
Live Bet Orioles -6.5 2U (L)
Bal/Bos U10 3U (L)
Hedge: Dodgers -3 +120 2U (W)

thompson fucked around with this message at 18:33 on Sep 11, 2014

# ¿ Sep 10, 2014 19:19

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Attempted to hedge my bad O/U bet with Bos/Bal U10 3U -150. We'll see what happens.

E: That was loving stupid of me. Oh well.

thompson fucked around with this message at 21:35 on Sep 10, 2014

# ¿ Sep 10, 2014 21:12

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

FairGame posted:

Did not get home in time but you absolutely should pick the reds plus 1.5 against john lackey and his diminished heater in a bandbox ballpark.

Didn't take the RL but I played the money line for 3U +128. I like the pick.

# ¿ Sep 10, 2014 23:51

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

FairGame posted:

Did not get home in time but you absolutely should pick the reds plus 1.5 against john lackey and his diminished heater in a bandbox ballpark.

Thanks for getting my on this. Seeing Lackey tossed in the third inning is well worth the price of admission here.

# ¿ Sep 11, 2014 01:20

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Only three bets so far today. Depending on how bored I get at work I may add a few more, but probably not.

MLB:
Live Bet StL 2U +110

NFL:
Pitt/Bal Under 23 FH 3U -115
Pitt/Bal Under 44.5 4U -110

# ¿ Sep 11, 2014 18:35

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

zapplez posted:

Someone explain to me why it might not be a good idea to lay a giant bet on Jays moneyline today. Surging 8-2 of their last 10 Jays are still fighting to get a wildcard chance. Playing rays with a AAA 5 era callup starting pitcher.

Putting 250 on em

I agree with your take on it. Good luck.

# ¿ Sep 12, 2014 18:49

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

chunkles posted:

Anyone have any experience with daily fantasy sports (eg Fanduel and the like)? What has your experience been like? I'm thinking about giving basketball a go this season but there's a shitload of info out there. Don't suppose there is a thread for that I missed?

If there is it would be in the Armchair QB, but I have no problem discussing it here. I've used both Fanduel and Draftkings. Both are really fun if you figure out what niche you're looking for. The guys who are all up on TV saying they won 100k or more got lucky in one of the tournaments which have set prize payouts depending on how high your point total is, a lot like a Poker Stars or Full Tilt tournament. The one on one battles are good too, but i'd make sure to look at the guys profile. A lot of these people do this day in and day out and know about little gimmicks in the system (salaries that are broken, etc) and are thus pretty tough to beat. Also, the deposit bonus will take you a ton of rollover to ever get.

Good stuff though. I'd try it and see if you like it.

# ¿ Oct 15, 2014 15:58

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

I'm in Vegas. Was able to hit on Portland -2 for 5u last night. Here's tonight's card:

Suns -5 5U
T'Wolves -3.5 5U
Raptors -3 5U

Tomorrow CFB:
Oregon/Utah Over 60 5U weeee Vegas

# ¿ Nov 8, 2014 00:14

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Utah +2.5
Detroit +9.5
LAC -2

# ¿ Nov 11, 2014 02:07

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Go time! It's CBB season and I'm loving fired up! Due to a good run in Vegas betting over my normal unit size, I am up 22.3U on the NBA season. Let's hope that doesn't change, but i'm sure it will! Let's get this rocking!

University of Minnesota +8.5 5U
University of San Diego +3 2.5U
Detroit OKC over 189.5 2.5U
Boston Celtics +5.5 3U (FADEEEE LEBROONNNN ERRYYY DAYYYYY)
Philadelphia +17 2.5U
Added Atlanta -4.5 2.5U
Santa Clara -7.5 2.5U

YTD 13-10 +22.3U (#thanks vegas)

thompson fucked around with this message at 21:28 on Nov 14, 2014

# ¿ Nov 14, 2014 19:17

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Added Atlanta -4.5 2.5U on the news that D Wade is out tonight.
Santa Clara -7.5 2.5U

thompson fucked around with this message at 21:27 on Nov 14, 2014

# ¿ Nov 14, 2014 19:55

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

CFB

Army/WKU under 70 2.5 U
Minnesota +13.5 2.5U
Maryland +11 2.5U
Kansas +27.5 2.5U
Georgia -2.5 2.5U
Miss St +10 2.5U

# ¿ Nov 15, 2014 19:32

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

1-1 so far today.

Added:

CBB San Diego -6.5 2.5U

NBA:
Atlanta +7 4 U (fading lebron is just too fun)
Minn +11.5

# ¿ Nov 15, 2014 22:25

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Looks to be hot. 4-1 today Added

Nba:
Gs -10.5 2.5U
Sac +1.5 2.5U
Port -2.5 3.5U
Mem/Det under 186.5 2.5U

# ¿ Nov 16, 2014 01:57

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# ¿ Apr 23, 2024 21:36

thompson: Jun 6, 2006

Went 13-5 yesterday. +23 Units, quite pleased with that. Here's today's card.

NBA:
Houston -4.5 7.5U

NFL:
Oakland +10 3.5U
Indianapolis -3 3.5U
San Francisco -4 4U
Carolina +1.5 4U
Philadelphia +5.5 5U
Houston +3.5 3U

# ¿ Nov 16, 2014 10:24

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