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Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Got a bit more than an hour left. If two of colonel/someone/f_v switch over to AC, we can hit the 6 minimum :D

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Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



My line of thinking is, of course, the same reason I switched from Rarity. Having a protest vote doesn't do much, while getting a successful lynch vote is more important for town to succeed. So Someone and F_V have margin to switch, and Colonel seemed open to persuasion on priorities.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Rarity posted:

I'll switch to AC if we don't have the votes for Lowell but I'm hoping she'll show up to answer some questions or at least drop some final reads for us

I will say that if you switch to AC (and are the winning vote), it will confuse the hell out of me :D

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Rarity posted:

Have you not read anything that I posted today?

Thus far, Ive thought it was scummy lies :cheeky: If you aren't scum, then Ill have to go back to start and rethink everything.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Rarity posted:

But then I could be scum voting AC on purpose to make you think I'm town! Or in the converse situation, I could be town not voting AC because I'm dumb! Do you not see the fallacies in your logic here?

I think those justifications (deep cover or dumb) could be used for every single vote ever :D

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Colonel Corazon posted:

Rereading myself I definitely come off as pretty dumb.

This has been a fun first game for me so far though! :downsgun:

I know those feels.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Only have one hour left :ohdear:

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Im here, but Im not likely to change my vote for obvious reasons :v:

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Anyone else find it weird that Ace hasn't voted yet?

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Colonel Corazon posted:

I mean I'm pretty indecisive at this moment but I will definitely vote to force a lynch.

Agreed. AC wasn't my first choice, but it is what it is.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



We're at 10 minutes.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.




Nooooo :(

-


So I've went through all of apostate’s votes again, but there isn’t really much I can find of her cooperating with others.

I do find Ace sketchy because he didn’t vote this round, and I find myself trusting rarity a bit more. Mostly though, I want to examine Imgay further.

Apostate voted for Imgay on day1, then changed her mind when both of them switched to Kash, our known town. speculatively, that could be an indicator of camouflaging behavior.

On day 2, imgay didn’t vote, and then on day 3 imgay participated in the vote to kill a scum. that would be odd behavior, given that the vote on apostate was so close.

I dunno. I think imgay might be town, because it would have been easy to let that vote pass.

Do we have any strong contenders for scum?

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Current vote counts:
Foo 165
Rarity 142
F_V 88
Imgay 64
Lowell 52
Someone 50
Chamale 48
Ace 44

I dunno. Maybe Someone and Ace?

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Someone: voted kash (civilian)
voted chamale
voted lowell
unvoted lowell
voted chamale

Ace: declared their NPC role very early on.
voted rarity, switched to Kash (civilian)
edit mistakes?
voted hiip (serial killer)
voted Opop (scum)
voted rarity, unvoted rarity
skipped d3 vote

Ace comes across as very indecisive, voting for a d2 bandwagon and a serial killer. if we treat Opop as trying to blend in (and going for a substantial bandwagon), then Ace looks increasingly sketchy. for consideration, apostate (scum) ALSO voted for opop (scum).

##Vote AceBuckeye13

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Acebuckeye13 posted:

And yes, I am well aware that me not voting also doesn't help.

Why is SA more guilty looking than you? :v: My train of thought is posted above.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



fiery_valkyrie posted:

I think its either Ace or SA.

##vote SA

This vote didn't get added to the OP, so you'll wanna check it.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



SirSamVimes posted:

votefinder.org says he's been voted for by f_v

Ah, there it is. Splendid.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Im looking at f_v's voting record, and its... pretty okay. I think half the players have something similar (kash, opop)

f_v voted rarity when rarity voted lumpen
voted kash
killed hiipfire (serial killer)
voted opop (scum)
voted SA
voted lowell
voted SA

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



kash: Opopanax, apostateCourier, LowellDND, Someone Awful!, imgay, Chamale, Rarity, fiery_valkyrie, Acebuckeye13, Colonel Corazon

Opopanax: fiery_valkyrie, Lumpen, apostateCourier, Acebuckeye13, Colonel Corazon, Captain Foo, LowellDND

of those who are still alive:

kash: lowell, someone, imgay, rarity, f_v, ace
opop: f_v, ace, foo, lowell

of those who voted both:

lowell, f_v, ace.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



If we're looking at voting patterns, I think Ace is more scummy then F_v, and even that relies on the missed 3rd vote of Ace.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Did a check of Chamale just in case, but I don't think there is much there.

voted lumpen
started early with targeting lumpen, kash, and ernie (all town that I remember)
voted kash
voted imgay (unknown)
double vote imgay
double vote rarity (unknown)
double vote AC (scum)

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



fiery_valkyrie posted:

I think its either Ace or SA.

##vote SA

Why SA over Ace?

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Am I correct in thinking there is probably only one Scum left?

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Rarity posted:

Is there any good reason not to massclaim today?

What is massclaim and what is WIFOM?

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



LowellDND posted:

Why SA over Ace?

F_V, not sure if you saw my question.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Rarity, who would your second choice be?

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Rarity posted:

Either SA or Foo, I'd want to reread both before going either way though. I feel good about all three of you newbies now so that leaves me voting for one of those 3 by a process of elimination.

SA was my second choice as well, and F_v's first choice. Might be some meat there.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Captain Foo posted:

reminder that chamale was seen as fairly scummy before the flavorpost so i think a massclaim is reasonable, and to that extent i'll claim Toast the Knowing, Vanilla Town
this fits in with the other wife->town flavors we've seen,

this whole thing has put me confused re: chamale, because his flavor seems to make sense but his play seems scummish so bleh

Sure. Ill claim Keeper of the Seeds, Vanilla Town.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Which puts us at ...

Rarity posted:

More seriously, let's think about this. Here's the claims we've got:

imgay: Mad Max - cop
Rarity: Miss Giddy - doctor
FV: Furiosa - vig
Chamale: Angharad - doublevoter
Ace: Cheedo - ???
Foo: Toast the knowing
Lowell: Keeper of the Seeds
SA!: ???

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



SA is the only one who hasn't claimed, looks like.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Rarity posted:

I'm just excited to see SA's claim :D

SA hasn't posted in 30 hours / 5 pages. Odd.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



so I went through SA's posts, grabbed every named mention:

Lumpen ‘looking like a helpful townie while not doing much’ (town)
Rarity ‘has townie vibes’ (unproven)
f_v ‘what they said, basically’ (unproven)
Rarity post ‘makes me question their alignment’
Lumpen ‘have a bad feeling about them (town)
Kash ‘not making me feel good about him’ (town)

'people we haven’t heard much from:'
opop (scum) (crosses off suspicion list)
ace (unknown)
colonel (town)
lowell (unknown)

'don’t feel bad about tmm' (town)
‘tmm made good points on kash and lumpen’ (both town)
‘don’t like lumpen’s take on ernie’ (town)

‘suspicious of chamale’ (unknown)
voted kash (town)
‘frowning at opop’ (scum)
‘kash and lumpen where logic leads’ (both town)
‘willing to vote kash, ernie, chamale, lumpen (3 town, 1 unknown)
‘why hiip specifically?’ (serial killer)
votes chamale (unknown)
‘why are you double voting imgay (unknown)
‘rarity isn’t clicking for me’ (unknown)
votes lowell (unknown)
‘lowell or chamale’ (unknown)
votes chamale (unknown)
‘would vote shamble, lowell, imgay, apostate, most scummy to least’ (only apostate has been revealed to be scummy)
‘imgay is more scummy than AC because ac found the SK'

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



ace mentions:

voted rarity (unknown)
declared self cheedo
voted kashuno (town)
panic post/edit
buy’s AC’s argument of hiip (AC was scum)
voted hiip (serial killer)
votes opop (scum)
'makes sense to delay vote on imgay' (unknown)
‘makese sense that lumpen was targetted (town)
‘raity is pretty strong scum’ (unknown)
voted rarity (unknown)
‘supports a vote on rarity, imgay, or chamale’ (all unknown)
‘raity and imgay are scum’ (unknown)
unvoted rarity (unknwon)
‘ac or lowell’ (scum and unknown)
‘rarity and imgay are probably town, foo can be trusted, shamble probably isn’t scum, leaves lowell, sa, and f_v’ (all unknown)
‘lowell or sa’ (both unknown)
‘leaning towards SA’ (unknown)

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



trimming the unknowns from SA, we have:

Lumpen ‘looking like a helpful townie while not doing much’ (town)
Lumpen ‘have a bad feeling about them (town)
Kash ‘not making me feel good about him’ (town)

'people we haven’t heard much from:'
opop (scum) (crosses off suspicion list)
colonel (town)

'don’t feel bad about tmm' (town)
‘tmm made good points on kash and lumpen’ (both town)
‘don’t like lumpen’s take on ernie’ (town)

voted kash (town)
‘frowning at opop’ (scum)
‘kash and lumpen where logic leads’ (both town)
‘willing to vote kash, ernie, chamale, lumpen (3 town, 1 unknown)
‘why hiip specifically?’ (serial killer)

‘would vote shamble, lowell, imgay, apostate, most scummy to least’ (only apostate has been revealed to be scummy)
‘imgay is more scummy than AC because ac found the SK’

That uh… that’s sure a record.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Ace mentions, on the other hand:

declared self cheedo
voted kashuno (town)
buy’s AC’s argument of hiip (AC was scum)
voted hiip (serial killer)
votes opop (scum)
‘makese sense that lumpen was targetted (town)
‘ac or lowell’ (scum and unknown)

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



f_v mentions:

(skipping joke phase cuz its long)
votes rarity (unknown)
defends lumpen (town)
questions tmm (town)
votes kash (town)
kills hiipfire (serial killer)
votes opop (scum)
questions shamble and imgay (unknown)
‘guy says SA is scum’ (unknown)
‘agree with foo on being suspicious of AC’ (ac was scum)
votes SA (unknown)
votes lowell (unknown)
‘either Ace or SA’ (unknown)
votes SA (unknown)
arguments with rarity
‘sa is suspicious for not voting for Opop'

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



And if we take out the unknowns...

defends lumpen (town)
questions tmm (town)
votes kash (town)
kills hiipfire (serial killer)
votes opop (scum)
‘agree with foo on being suspicious of AC’ (ac was scum)
arguments with rarity
‘sa is suspicious for not voting for Opop'

That's near impeccable.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Captain Foo posted:

lowell what was the point of doing all that

you dump a lot of words but don't draw any conclusions; that's scummy

Eh? I thought the conclusions were clear. SA is the most sketchy of the bunch, but I was waiting for his response (since he said he just got back from his con).

Unvoted

##Vote Someone Awful

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Acebuckeye13 posted:

Honestly, looking back on it I'm not sure. I started typing thinking I'd swing for SA, but reading over their posts again I think they may be town-they went hard for Lumpen, Kash, and Chamale in the first few days, but also defended Rarity when she was close to getting lynched. That alone is probably a strong indication that they're town, especially considering that Rarity getting lynched and flipping town doctor would have probably gotten me lynched next-a potentially game-winning twofer. So, even though their extended absence is pretty suspicious, I think I'm actually gonna lean against SA at this time. I've gone back and forth on you, but your actions and vote on D2 (Plus the fitting role and uncontested flavor) have shifted you into the "Probably town" camp for me.

Ignoring Rarity, imgay, and Foo, that leaves Lowell. That case I could certainly see-they pushed pretty hard against Lumpen D1, missed D2, jumped in pretty hard on the Lynch Rarity/imgay boat (Which admittedly I built-sorry Rarity!), and only turned against AC when it turned into a "It's me or him" situation. I'm not entirely convinced, but if the vote was right now I'd probably vote Lowell.

I didn't missed D2, I was final vote.

I mean, its a bit awkward that it was Kash (town). But I definitely was there.

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Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



LowellDND posted:

I didn't missed D2, I was final vote.

I mean, its a bit awkward that it was Kash (town). But I definitely was there.

votefinder posted:

Votecount for Day 2

Opopanax (7): fiery_valkyrie, Lumpen, apostateCourier, Acebuckeye13, Colonel Corazon, Captain Foo, LowellDND
Chamale (0): Lumpen, Lumpen

Not Voting (5): Chamale, imgay, Opopanax, Rarity, Someone Awful!

With 12 alive, it's 7 votes to lynch. The current deadline is September 18th, 2015 at 6 p.m. PDT -- that's in about 2 days, 21 hours.

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