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Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

Lovely Joe Stalin posted:

I would assume they just played the odds and didn't actually care who had the pagers, figuring enough would be Hezbollah. And really, why would Israel give a poo poo if some random civilians or medics blow up into the bargain.

It was Israel who did it, going by this.
https://x.com/warfareanalysis/status/1836053596749676564

The tweet in the screenshot doesn't say anything about exploding pagers, as far as I can tell.

E: To be clear, I'm not aware of anything else he could be referring to, so it can easily be about pagers.

Paladinus fucked around with this message at 16:25 on Sep 17, 2024

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Neon Belly
Feb 12, 2008

Paladinus posted:

The tweet in the screenshot doesn't say anything about exploding pagers, as far as I can tell.

E: To be clear, I'm not aware of anything else he could be referring to, so it can easily be about pagers.

You may be missing Topaz Luk’s comment about how the initial tweet hasn’t aged well? Although Luk left the administration months ago, it’s unlikely he would know anything.

The Twitter account posting that is also saying the US Air Force may have done the attack by flying a plane that can hack pagers about 150 miles off the coast of Lebanon, so they seem prone to just making stuff up.

Neon Belly fucked around with this message at 16:30 on Sep 17, 2024

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

Neon Belly posted:

You may be missing Topaz Luk’s comment about how the initial tweet hasn’t aged well? Although Luk left the administration months ago, it’s unlikely he would know anything.

The Twitter account posting that is also saying the US Air Force may have done the attack by flying a plane that can hack pagers about 150 miles off the coast of Lebanon, so they seem prone to just making stuff up.

No, I got that part. It's just there can be some other 'moves in the North' that I'm not aware of. It's also a good point that he's not in the admin anymore. He probably just assumed, like everyone else.

I saw the hacking thing elsewhere and decided that it didn't sound very believable. Even if those pagers had a self-destruct function, it wouldn't be it exploding and killing everyone around, but something like frying the chip and and the memory card. Like, you would want it to go off by mistake, especially if it apparently can be activated remotely. So someone's definitely tampered with them.

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


TheRat posted:

I think we'd all tut and roll our eyes if a spy movie had 150 pagers with explosives go off at the same time. The entire thing is beyond bonkers.

"Going off at the same time" is exactly what pagers are designed to do and "Clandestinely intercept and modify electronics" is exactly the kind of thing that spy agencies like Mossad and the CIA do regularly. I'm completely unsurprised by this.

wzm
Dec 12, 2004

TheRat posted:

I think we'd all tut and roll our eyes if a spy movie had 150 pagers with explosives go off at the same time. The entire thing is beyond bonkers.

Current reports are 2800 injuries, I'm guessing it's more than 150 pagers.

Tumble
Jun 24, 2003
I'm not thinking of anything!

KillHour posted:

"Going off at the same time" is exactly what pagers are designed to do and "Clandestinely intercept and modify electronics" is exactly the kind of thing that spy agencies like Mossad and the CIA do regularly. I'm completely unsurprised by this.

I mean, I'm not surprised Mossad has the capacity to do something like this either, but I didn't exactly have "Pagers exploded a bunch of people" on my bingo card here.

Nissin Cup Nudist
Sep 3, 2011

Sleep with one eye open

We're off to Gritty Gritty land




Did mossad infiltrate Lebanons only pager repair shop? Like, this is the first time I thought of pagers in eons. Is Hezbollah the last holdout on pagers?


Mossad seems way more competent than the IDF

Failed Imagineer
Sep 22, 2018

Got some
Vance
in my
Pants

wzm posted:

Current reports are 2800 injuries, I'm guessing it's more than 150 pagers.

Depends on the blast radius of pagers going off in crowded areas i suppose. Either way, it's sheer state-sponsored terrorism, which Israel is allowed to do, as a treat

StashAugustine
Mar 24, 2013

Do not trust in hope- it will betray you! Only faith and hatred sustain.

Hezbollah was using pagers since they're theoretically harder to track. And Mossad (like thr IDF) is way better at mayhem and murder than it's supposed job of intelligence- they refused to believe all the info they were getting about October 7, for example

Kammat
Feb 9, 2008
Odd Person
I'm stumped figuring out how this many people are getting injured/killed by a pager. Have they been secretly getting explosive laden units sent in to the country and distributed? Are they triggering some sort of insane runaway reaction in the (assumably LiOn) batteries?

StashAugustine
Mar 24, 2013

Do not trust in hope- it will betray you! Only faith and hatred sustain.

Kammat posted:

I'm stumped figuring out how this many people are getting injured/killed by a pager. Have they been secretly getting explosive laden units sent in to the country and distributed? Are they triggering some sort of insane runaway reaction in the (assumably LiOn) batteries?

Intercepting a shipment or several is the only plausible way, even if you can get a battery to melt down it just burns really fast instead of going off like a hand grenade

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

StashAugustine posted:

Intercepting a shipment or several is the only plausible way, even if you can get a battery to melt down it just burns really fast instead of going off like a hand grenade

Could have also been a Trojan horse kind of situation, where a shipment originating in Israel was disguised as a donation from a wealthy supporter.

Lovely Joe Stalin
Jun 12, 2007

Our Lovely Wang

Nissin Cup Nudist posted:

Did mossad infiltrate Lebanons only pager repair shop? Like, this is the first time I thought of pagers in eons. Is Hezbollah the last holdout on pagers?


Mossad seems way more competent than the IDF

Medical staff still use them widely I believe. Which would probably be seen as a huge bonus for Israel to be honest.

SHINEBLOCKA
Oct 17, 2009

I've got it in for your girlf
Reddit detectives working hard. Maybe wait for actual information?

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012
https://x.com/lowkey0nline/status/1836083424702194070?s=46&t=ARI_L-v32Oind1-d9B3a3Q

https://x.com/ejmalrai/status/1836059048115839192?s=46&t=ARI_L-v32Oind1-d9B3a3Q

Looks like Israel got Motorola to let it build miniature bombs into a pager shipment to Lebanon? Jeeesus.

Scam Likely
Feb 19, 2021

Thread killed by
Is it possible Motorola didn't know the devices were tampered with and may have just thought it was a shipment being held up in customs? Or Israel bought them with a false pretense, modified them, then passed them on to channels that would lead them to Lebanon? This is insane.

Tafferling
Oct 22, 2008

DOOT DOOT
ALL ABOARD THE ISS POLOKONZERVA
Watch Motorola get banned from half the world. Great move boys.
They probably thought eh, they're just gonna put some bugs in the receivers, no worries!

Piell
Sep 3, 2006

Grey Worm's Ken doll-like groin throbbed with the anticipatory pleasure that only a slightly warm and moist piece of lemoncake could offer


Young Orc

It's not Motorala, the pagers are from Gold Apollo, a company from Taiwan

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

Scam Likely posted:

Is it possible Motorola didn't know the devices were tampered with and may have just thought it was a shipment being held up in customs? Or Israel bought them with a false pretense, modified them, then passed them on to channels that would lead them to Lebanon? This is insane.

I highly doubt that Motorola or whoever made the pager was involved in this directly. But it's not clear where or how Israel 'confiscated and held' the shipment.

E: So not Motorola, it looks like. Once again, I would urge everyone to pay attention to what sources they cite.

Paladinus fucked around with this message at 19:18 on Sep 17, 2024

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Failed Imagineer posted:

Depends on the blast radius of pagers going off in crowded areas i suppose. Either way, it's sheer state-sponsored terrorism, which Israel is allowed to do, as a treat

I've seen the videos and it's lots of people getting their fingers blown off or popping of into their side, depending on where the pager is was at the time. Explosives-wise, it's like a firecracker going off either in someone's hand and close to the face or up against the torso or thigh. It's enough to severely injure an adult carrying one (or kill a child), but not an immediate threat to everyone around.

I think the most major issue is that the size and distribution of the explosions. It's not sure how much damage this really caused to Hezbollah, but its clear that almost 3000 incidents ("hundreds" is the number that Western media is claiming, but I've seen a couple dozen), that many of these are innocent and unconnected Lebanese people. I think that there was a thought the pagers were distributed internally to Hezbollah members but it's clear that's not the case.

The Iranian ambassador to Lebanon getting pager-bombed also feels like that's an international incident.

Young Freud fucked around with this message at 19:41 on Sep 17, 2024

Sky Cracks Open
Aug 30, 2024
I've googled and can't find much (thanks google) is there any precedent for something like this occurring? Have hundreds of communication devices (or any devices) ever simultaneously exploded?

Tumble
Jun 24, 2003
I'm not thinking of anything!

Young Freud posted:

I've seen the videos and it's lots of people getting their fingers blown off or popping of into their side, depending on where the pager is was at the time. Explosives-wise, it's like a firecracker going off either in someone's hand and close to the face or up against the torso or thigh. It's enough to severely injure an adult carrying one (or kill a child), but not an immediate threat to everyone around.

I think the most major issue is that the size and distribution of the explosions. It's not sure how much damage this really caused to Hezbollah, but its clear that almost 3000 incidents ("hundreds" is the number that Western media is claiming, but I've seen a couple dozen), that many of these are innocent and unconnected Lebanese people. I think that there was a thought the pagers were distributed internally to Hezbollah members but it's clear that's not the case.

The Iranian ambassador to Lebanon getting pager-bombed also feels like that's an international incident.

2-3 grams of high-explosive are a lot more significant than a firecracker going off. If you put that much high explosive where a pager normally goes (in your front pocket or clipped on to the front of your belt) it could easily sever major arteries and be fatal.

Tumble fucked around with this message at 20:46 on Sep 17, 2024

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Sky Cracks Open posted:

I've googled and can't find much (thanks google) is there any precedent for something like this occurring? Have hundreds of communication devices (or any devices) ever simultaneously exploded?

It's a classic Israeli intelligence trick, first used against Black September leader Mahmoud Hamshar in the Operation Wrath Of God retaliatory attacks by Mossad and in 1996 against Hamas bombmaker Yahya Ayyash by Shin Bet.

This is the same style attack but on a larger scale.

Failed Imagineer
Sep 22, 2018

Got some
Vance
in my
Pants
Just watched a live interview on UK Ch4 news with some brigadier-general IDF spokesman, who essentially claimed responsibility on Israels behalf, and stated that Israel was ready for war with Iran in response to a leading question. Enter the Cool Zone.

mrfart
May 26, 2004

Dear diary, today I
became a captain.

I don't understand how they can do this and be sure that some of that shipment isn't gonna go to non-hesbola civilians.

i mean, I do, they don't care all that much. And they killed and injured scores of civilians.

Orthanc6
Nov 4, 2009

mrfart posted:

I don't understand how they can do this and be sure that some of that shipment isn't gonna go to non-hesbola civilians.

i mean, I do, they don't care all that much. And they killed and injured scores of civilians.

It occurs to me part of this operation would be having a mole to convince Hezbollah to distribute these. You don't just tell the whole organization "hey grab these pagers they're cheap and cool you should all use them", someone well connected enough to both know who to talk to and how to get the decision agreed to had to have instigated this distribution.

The real sucky part is, if Israel did have such a mole, a similar technique could have been used against Hamas which would have both been better at targeting Hamas individuals without, you know, levelling Gaza with WW2 quantities of explosives.

GhostofJohnMuir
Aug 14, 2014

anime is not good

mrfart posted:

I don't understand how they can do this and be sure that some of that shipment isn't gonna go to non-hesbola civilians.

i mean, I do, they don't care all that much. And they killed and injured scores of civilians.

i mean stuxnet caused a ton of collateral damage across the world by opening backdoors on random devices as it spread to the target devices. this is just bringing that mentatlity into the physical world

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

mrfart posted:

I don't understand how they can do this and be sure that some of that shipment isn't gonna go to non-hesbola civilians.

i mean, I do, they don't care all that much. And they killed and injured scores of civilians.

I'm certain that's what they thought and they never bothered to think of the consequences.

Apparently, these "pagers" are more like mini networked radios that allow two-way text communications. I can see that being popular among people in an area that might have disruptions in cellular service, regardless if they belong to Hezbollah or not.

Neon Belly
Feb 12, 2008

GhostofJohnMuir posted:

i mean stuxnet caused a ton of collateral damage across the world by opening backdoors on random devices as it spread to the target devices. this is just bringing that mentatlity into the physical world

Do you have a source? My understanding was that Stuxnet was incredibly targeted to Siemen’s hardware and even had a self-destruct timer. Or do you mean it led to developments like DQ?

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


Orthanc6 posted:

It occurs to me part of this operation would be having a mole to convince Hezbollah to distribute these. You don't just tell the whole organization "hey grab these pagers they're cheap and cool you should all use them", someone well connected enough to both know who to talk to and how to get the decision agreed to had to have instigated this distribution.

The real sucky part is, if Israel did have such a mole, a similar technique could have been used against Hamas which would have both been better at targeting Hamas individuals without, you know, levelling Gaza with WW2 quantities of explosives.

It's much more likely that some friendly-to-Israel country found out about a supplier to Hezbollah (probably via sanctions investigations) and had the pagers intercepted instead of charging the supplier.

This is something the US and China have both done with networking/computer equipment, although it's the first time that I'm aware of where the modifications were to make them into a bomb instead of some kind of backdoor.

https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2014/05/photos-of-an-nsa-upgrade-factory-show-cisco-router-getting-implant/

KillHour fucked around with this message at 23:35 on Sep 17, 2024

Jimbozig
Sep 30, 2003

I like sharing and ice cream and animals.
The BBC article on it said that the victims included very old people, very young, and healthcare workers. The young included children of Hezbollah members.

Seems like Israel didn't necessarily go for pagers they knew were going to Hezbollah, but rather just a big shipment of pagers on the idea that most of the people in Lebanon who use pagers will be in Hezbollah and if they kill some on-call doctors and nurses, that's just a nice bit of bonus terrorism.

Yawgmoft
Nov 15, 2004
It is wild that we are avoiding WW3 because Iran and Lebanon are intentionally avoiding war while the western press shits on then constantly

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Jimbozig posted:

The BBC article on it said that the victims included very old people, very young, and healthcare workers. The young included children of Hezbollah members.

Seems like Israel didn't necessarily go for pagers they knew were going to Hezbollah, but rather just a big shipment of pagers on the idea that most of the people in Lebanon who use pagers will be in Hezbollah and if they kill some on-call doctors and nurses, that's just a nice bit of bonus terrorism.

If Hezbollah gave the pagers away at all, people need to remember that they basically run government services in southern Lebanon. They may have handed out pagers to vulnerable people like the old and school kids to provide up-to-date information at times that the cellular network could be down (like a war).

Fake Edit: Reuters is reporting that the batch imported into Lebanon was 5,000. Also, Gold Apollo is saying that they didn't manufacture the phones, but an European company with a license made them, but won't release the name and location of the company. Even more suspect, the Lebanese government is saying that they believe the bomb installation was done at the production level.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middl..._source=twitter

RoboBoogie
Sep 18, 2008

Young Freud posted:

If Hezbollah gave the pagers away at all, people need to remember that they basically run government services in southern Lebanon. They may have handed out pagers to vulnerable people like the old and school kids to provide up-to-date information at times that the cellular network could be down (like a war).

Fake Edit: Reuters is reporting that the batch imported into Lebanon was 5,000. Also, Gold Apollo is saying that they didn't manufacture the phones, but an European company with a license made them, but won't release the name and location of the company. Even more suspect, the Lebanese government is saying that they believe the bomb installation was done at the production level.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middl..._source=twitter

Manufacturers name is out. Thousands of pagers to first responders and front line medical, gently caress that’s awful.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

RoboBoogie posted:

Manufacturers name is out. Thousands of pagers to first responders and front line medical, gently caress that’s awful.

BAC has practically opened themselves up to some major consequences, regardless of where they're located.

Weed Wolf
Jul 30, 2004

RoboBoogie posted:

Manufacturers name is out. Thousands of pagers to first responders and front line medical, gently caress that’s awful.

Where are you reading this? I've seen the name dropped -- BAC -- but the reporting I was reading hadn't been able to find any further details about the company.

Testekill
Nov 1, 2012

I'm the Trash Man! I come out, I throw trash all over the ring, and then I start eating garbage!

Yawgmoft posted:

It is wild that we are avoiding WW3 because Iran and Lebanon are intentionally avoiding war while the western press shits on then constantly

That's something that terrifies me, Lebanon just got struck by a large scale terror attack and if they do anything in retaliation then the region is absolutely hosed.

oxford_town
Aug 6, 2009

Jimbozig posted:

Seems like Israel didn't necessarily go for pagers they knew were going to Hezbollah, but rather just a big shipment of pagers on the idea that most of the people in Lebanon who use pagers will be in Hezbollah and if they kill some on-call doctors and nurses, that's just a nice bit of bonus terrorism.

Not sure this is true from my reading of the news stories. The official Hezbollah statement is "pagers belonging to employees of various Hezbollah units and institutions exploded", and the various stories describe the victims as either Hezbollah members or family/close contacts of Hezbollah members.

So it does seem like this was specifically targeted at pagers going to Hezbollah members.

Of course that can still maim or kill medical staff employed by Hezbollah, or bystanders like the 10 year old daughter of the Hezbollah member.

mrfart
May 26, 2004

Dear diary, today I
became a captain.

oxford_town posted:

Not sure this is true from my reading of the news stories. The official Hezbollah statement is "pagers belonging to employees of various Hezbollah units and institutions exploded", and the various stories describe the victims as either Hezbollah members or family/close contacts of Hezbollah members.

So it does seem like this was specifically targeted at pagers going to Hezbollah members.

Of course that can still maim or kill medical staff employed by Hezbollah, or bystanders like the 10 year old daughter of the Hezbollah member.

If I understood correctly, the bomb was detonated by a message that seemed to come from headquarters.
So there might be a lot of people walking around with a bomb in their pager, but they didn't get the specific message?
I wouldn't go near a pager anymore if I was in Lebanon.

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thehandtruck
Mar 5, 2006

the thing about the jews is,

Can the community note show up after you've posted this? It says right in there that it wasn't Motorola. Not trying to be accusatory I figure I'm missing something.

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