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Clinton is viable (22%) in VT in this entrance poll: http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/democrat/vermont/exit/ Clinton 55 Sanders 41 early voting poll in OK: http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/democrat/oklahoma/exit/ Mitt Romney has issued a correction as of 15:11 on Mar 1, 2016 |
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Mar 1, 2016 15:04
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| # ? Apr 27, 2024 02:38 |
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GrimGypsy posted:Hi. I am low on alcohol and cash, but obviously I'm not making it through the next 20 hours sober. Steel Reserve 211 tall boys are $1.39 around here. They'll get ya real drunk real quick.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:06
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Are we really posting 9am entrance polls
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Mar 1, 2016 15:07
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A Nashville polling place is under lockdown after several people were shot at nearby apartments  https://twitter.com/wkrn/status/704665232006881281
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Mar 1, 2016 15:08
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Super Tuesday Voting Line Update: Millennials can't tell time, have to look at their phones to know what time it is.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:09
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GrimGypsy posted:Hi. I am low on alcohol and cash, but obviously I'm not making it through the next 20 hours sober. Back when I used to have no money and also was trying to drink myself to death I preferred Clan MacGregors scotch. It was like $12 for a handle and good enough to drink straight
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Mar 1, 2016 15:09
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Line Update: "I didn't realize Jeb Bush was running"
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Mar 1, 2016 15:10
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 BERNIE REFUSES TO STATE HOW HE VOTED ON THE BIKE LANE quote:The former Burlington mayor paused for a polling-place photo with a man who asked how he’d voted on the controversial road question.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:10
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How can we trust this man with the country.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:12
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Line update #3: "Blackboards are white now, and the White House is... well shoot!"
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Mar 1, 2016 15:12
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rear end cobra posted:Good morning from the great state of Texas, the only state that won't vote for stubby fingered orange man today. I'll do my part by sitting at home eating whataburger since I'm a foreign untermensch. God bless! Recent polls have shown stubby fingered orange man and goblin faced slime ball only a point or 2 apart so I wouldn't make that claim just yet. If I had to make that choice today I know who I'd pick. The more entertaining of 2 evils
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Mar 1, 2016 15:13
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Not posting the best part that article I promise posted:Mr. Sanders then peeled out of the parking lot of the polling location, sending 2 bikers over the hood of his car as he honked. By the time he and his wife reached the street, Slayer could already be heard being played at extremely high volume
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Mar 1, 2016 15:14
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CheesyDog posted:Line update #3: "Blackboards are white now, and the White House is... well shoot!" Please ask this person about their position on Jobs, Hope, and Cash.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:14
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+2 for bernie in MA. Wife commented about how surprised she was that our upper-middle class heavily white suburban polling place "didn't have any lines" at 8:45 AM.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:14
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CheesyDog posted:Line update #3: "Blackboards are white now, and the White House is... well shoot!" THA TITTY THRILLER posted:Please ask this person about their position on Jobs, Hope, and Cash. Update: This person voted for Obama twice. edit: Voting for Trump today.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:14
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Mitt Romney posted:Clinton is viable (22%) in VT in this entrance poll: http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/democrat/vermont/exit/ Hillary will likely under-perform the latest pre-ST polling data, and it would be a miracle if she hits that viability point in Vermont. Rather than win supporters over from Bernie, Hillary will hit a point where it looks inevitable that she is the nominee and discourages Bernie supporters from coming out to vote in primaries. I would be shocked if we are already at that point where Bernie voters give up and let Hillary win. If Hillary performs to par today, I'd expect that mentality to sink in going forward, but today was supposed to be the day that the Sanderistas brought everything they had.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:17
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I'm not gonna vote today because Colorado has requires you to register as a democrat 3 months before their caucus. At least my vote in the general will mean something.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:19
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zen death robot posted:I'm not gonna vote today Same Early voting is good
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Mar 1, 2016 15:19
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Mitt Romney posted:Clinton 55 Sanders 41 early voting poll in OK: http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/democrat/oklahoma/exit/  
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Mar 1, 2016 15:20
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edit: n/m
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Mar 1, 2016 15:21
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I can't start doing poll results already at 930am thank you for the booze advice, goons. I think I'll be going to hunt it down very soon.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:23
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zen death robot posted:Our primary is on the 15th I'm going to vote in the Missouri primary
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Mar 1, 2016 15:24
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THINGS TO WATCH FOR EARLY We'll probably know by abotu 5:30, 6:00 PM pacific (sorry, best coast) what the shape of the evening's going to be. I'll be referring to my projection which gave my projection above (~270 Trump, 160 Rubio, 150 Cruz). At 4:00 Pacific, Alabama, Georgia, Vermont, and Virginia close. Per the projection, the expected margins are: AL: Trump +12 GA: Trump +14 VA: Trump +12 VT: Trump +16 This would represent Trump performing between 0 and 5 points of his RCP average, and is his best-case scenario. In this event, we'd probably see at least two of these states called as polls closed. So- If the networks call more than 1 of these states for Trump immediately at 4 PM Pacific, we're probably going to see the expected Trump landslide winning most states. If they don't call any, Trump might be having a bad night and not beat out Cruz/Rubio by much! At 5:00 Pacific, the entire states of Massachusetts, Oklahoma, and Tennessee close. Again, we have the projection: OK: Trump +7 MA: Trump +22 TN: Trump +19 Again, between 0-5 points below the RCP average (except in Tennessee, where they're oddly not including a statewide poll I found from a good newspaper). If these are right, Massachusetts and Tennessee should be called immediately. If the first four are in line with projections, we'll have gotten enough votes 90 minutes after polls close to know it. So: If by 8:30 Eastern / 5:30 Pacific, less than six states have been called for Donald Trump, he is underperforming more than ~5 points relative to his RCP averages and he'll probably not get as big a win (+120-130 delegates relative to Rubio/Cruz) as expected; if every state has been called that soon, it's a Trumpocalypse!
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Mar 1, 2016 15:26
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Missouri smells like poo poo, Kansas City is cool though.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:26
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With Colorado's caucuses so damned late, do you think Hillary's sweeping of every non-Vermont state will influence the results? Like people just decide to go ahed and caucus for Hillary because she just locked it in?
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Mar 1, 2016 15:30
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pathetic little tramp posted:With Colorado's caucuses so damned late, do you think Hillary's sweeping of every non-Vermont state will influence the results? Like people just decide to go ahed and caucus for Hillary because she just locked it in? Seems like there's quite a bit of Bernie support in Colorado Springs and Boulder, not sure about Denver or the rural areas though.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:32
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pathetic little tramp posted:With Colorado's caucuses so damned late, do you think Hillary's sweeping of every non-Vermont state will influence the results? Like people just decide to go ahed and caucus for Hillary because she just locked it in? Possibly, it does seem like Sanders is much more sensitive to morale and motivation since his supporters are young. CO's jan 4th registration cut off and closed Democratic only will hurt Sanders. Mitt Romney has issued a correction as of 15:51 on Mar 1, 2016 |
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Mar 1, 2016 15:34
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HAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA http://usuncut.com/politics/5-reasons-bernie-sanders-supporters-shouldnt-be-down/ quote:5 Reasons Bernie Sanders Supporters Should Be Hopeful Going into Super Tuesday Let's look at that #2 quote:Even though Hillary Clinton beat Bernie Sanders by 47 percent in South Carolina, Sanders still won key constituencies by decisive margins — these are the same demographics that typically decide general elections. quote:Even though Hillary Clinton beat Bernie Sanders by 47 percent in South Carolina quote:Hillary Clinton beat Bernie Sanders by 47 I cannot understand the level of delusion at all.
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Mar 1, 2016 15:56
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He's not crushing Hillary's super pacs in the money race
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Mar 1, 2016 15:58
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pathetic little tramp posted:HAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA HAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAA WOOOW WHAHAHAHA WHAT??!!?!?! WHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAAH OMG LOL WOW!
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Mar 1, 2016 15:58
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GrimGypsy posted:He's not crushing Hillary's super pacs in the money race Or in general.
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Mar 1, 2016 16:05
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Salt Fish posted:HAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAA WOOOW WHAHAHAHA WHAT??!!?!?! WHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAAH OMG LOL WOW! dude what the heck haha
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Mar 1, 2016 16:06
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Mukaikubo posted:(except in Tennessee, where they're oddly not including a statewide poll I found from a good newspaper). That is odd. I've responded to at least 5 internal/PAC polls in just the last week: Clinton, two from Cruz Pacs (keep the promise 1 AND keep the promise 3), Rubio, and one I didnt catch the name of. Clinton's was the only one with a live pollster.
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Mar 1, 2016 16:09
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GrimGypsy posted:He's not crushing Hillary's super pacs in the money race /r/s4p is basically a superpac at this point.
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Mar 1, 2016 16:12
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Super Tuesday. 
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Mar 1, 2016 16:16
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Mitt Romney posted:Clinton is viable (22%) in VT in this entrance poll: http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/democrat/vermont/exit/ The OK #s are unusual. I'm not sure how accurate they'll be. This doesn't look like Bernie's normal electorate at all. Independents are supporting Hillary and Bernie is only winning 18-29s by 14 (instead of his usual 60 points)
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Mar 1, 2016 16:20
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What a terrible time to be counting calories. Having to watch and read this sober isn't as fun.
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Mar 1, 2016 16:23
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I just switched from whiskey to valium. (After looking at the trump projections)
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Mar 1, 2016 16:25
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bird cooch posted:I just switched from whiskey to valium. If ever there was a reason to try cocaine... come on, man.
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Mar 1, 2016 16:29
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zen death robot posted:I take it you drove by 435/Front St in KC? I spent a couple weeks in KC over by KU medical center for work, the Kansas part of KC sucks but the mo part is cool, especially Westport, I've also been to a couple Chiefs games on other occasions, the rest of Missouri smells bad though, I've driven through it like 10 times, also I went to Lebanon, MO once cuz my buddies from there and holy hell talk about middle of nowhere. Edit; also I did training with the EMT/Fire in the ghetto of KC and got to see some drug dealer who got shot in the face lol
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Mar 1, 2016 16:30
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