CT, DE, MD, PA, RI GOP PRIMARY, Tuesday April 26th: The North Remembers

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > C-SPAM > CT, DE, MD, PA, RI GOP PRIMARY, Tuesday April 26th: The North Remembers

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Jewel Repetition: Dec 24, 2012; Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

HOW CAN I FOLLOW THIS?

The cable networks should be covering it.
Watch CNN or Fox News here: http://www.stream2watch.co/live-now/live-tv/us/
Watch MSNBC here: http://www.livenewschat.eu/politics/

Results can be found in these places before they appear on cable :f5:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results (reliable)
http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/ (cheats by reporting results before they're official, tends to get slower toward the end)

You can also live chat about it in our IRC channel: https://client00.chat.mibbit.com/?server=EU.synirc.net%3A%2B7001&channel=%23Poligoon

NARRATIVE

All the states voting are near New York, geographically and culturally, where Trump won a blowout last week. Also like last week, what's important here are the margins, because Trump needs every delegate he can to win on the first convention ballot, even Pennsylvania's unbound ones. In the last week Trump has said he's fine with transgender people using any bathrooms they want, which prompted Cruz to concoct fantasies involving grown men and little girls and declare himself the bathroom czar. Then Cruz and Kasich essentially announced they were coordinating to deny Trump delegates. Neither thing seems to be playing very well with Republicans unless they're hardcore values voters or #NeverTrumps, and the most recent polling indicates this could be a bloodbath like we've never seen.

SCHEDULE

Connecticut polls open at 6am ET
Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island polls open at 7am ET
All polls in every state close simultaneously at 8pm ET

CONTEST TECHNICAL INFO

Connecticut: closed primary for 28 delegates. Has different systems for the at-large and district delegates. The district delegates are winner-take-all per district, but the at-large delegates are winner-take-most with 50% trigger.
Delaware: closed primary for 16 delegates. Pure sweet statewide WINNER-TAKE-ALL.
Maryland: closed primary for 38 delegates. Winner-take-all per district and for the at-large delegates. So Trump needs to win each individual district as well as the state, same system that Wisconsin had and Indiana will have.
Pennsylvania's: closed primary for 71 delegates. 17 at-large delegates are winner-take-all, but each of its districts has a loophole primary, meaning all those delegates will be unbound and it combines delegate "allocation" with selection. But unlike other delegate selection processes, a loophole primary will actually be good for Trump because the whole state party can vote.
Rhode Island: semi-closed primary for 19 delegates. It is GOD damned proportional.

In a nutshell, the only state where Trump needs to get above 50% is Connecticut, but he needs to win broadly in Maryland, and do as well as possible in Rhode Island and Pennsylvania.

CANDIDATES

Jewel Repetition has issued a correction as of 06:33 on Apr 27, 2016

# ? Apr 26, 2016 06:06

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# ? Apr 29, 2024 05:05

sexpig by night: Sep 8, 2011; by Azathoth

We'll also talk about the dem primary ITT

# ? Apr 26, 2016 06:08

Jewel Repetition: Dec 24, 2012; Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Tatum Girlparts posted:

We'll also talk about the dem primary ITT

Luckily, I made a thread for that too: http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3773620

# ? Apr 26, 2016 06:10

Jewel Repetition: Dec 24, 2012; Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 06:15

Chokes McGee: Aug 7, 2008; This is Urotsuki.

Jewel Repetition posted:

Neither thing is seems to be playing very well with Republicans unless they're hardcore values voters or #NeverTrumps, and the most recent polling indicates this could be a bloodbath like we've never seen.

But enough about the convention coming up in Cleveland

# ? Apr 26, 2016 06:15

Chokes McGee: Aug 7, 2008; This is Urotsuki.

Jewel Repetition posted:

Getting started on the right foot here, methinks

# ? Apr 26, 2016 06:16

Dolash: Oct 23, 2008; aNYWAY,
tHAT'S REALLY ALL THERE IS,
tO REPORT ON THE SUBJECT,
oF ME GETTING HURT,

Personally a little disappointed "Basic Kasich" didn't take off.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 10:27

Islam is the Lite Rock FM: Jul 27, 2007; by exmarx

Jewel Repetition posted:

I'm gonna go have nightmares now thanks.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 10:33

fatal oopsie-daisy: Jul 30, 2007; by R. Guyovich

So is this going to be 5/5 for Tarampu-san?

# ? Apr 26, 2016 10:39

Mr Ice Cream Glove: Apr 22, 2007

Is Cruz going to speak tonight after likely losing every contest and in some states 3rd place?

# ? Apr 26, 2016 12:14

Mukaikubo: Mar 14, 2006; "You treat her like a lady... and she'll always bring you home."

Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:

Is Cruz going to speak tonight after likely losing every contest and in some states 3rd place?

Yes, and he will say that his [nonexistent] victories mean the people want him instead of Trump as their president

# ? Apr 26, 2016 14:58

logikv9: Mar 5, 2009; Ham Wrangler

Dolash posted:

Personally a little disappointed "Basic Kasich" didn't take off.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 15:07

Schnorkles: Apr 30, 2015; It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.

AHH FUGH posted:

So is this going to be 5/5 for Tarampu-san?

The question isn't if he'll win everything, its if he gets 95-99 delegates or 105-esh delegates.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 15:16

Schnorkles: Apr 30, 2015; It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.

It's also an open question how many states Cruz will actually hit viability in.

The NE hates Ted Cruz. A lot.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 15:20

Mo_Steel: Mar 7, 2008; Let's Clock Into The Sunset Together; Fun Shoe

No poll? How will I know if the forums are siding with Trump or Baby Hitler now? :ohdear:

Trump is going to be the nominee, good loving lord.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 15:22

Al!: Apr 2, 2010

I hope Ted Cruz refuses to give a speech when he's clobbered again

# ? Apr 26, 2016 15:47

Vox Nihili: May 28, 2008

Rhode Island's primary isn't really closed. It's "semi-closed" or "hybrid" and the key takeaway is than Independents can vote in either primary there.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 15:54

Jewel Repetition: Dec 24, 2012; Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Vox Nihili posted:

Rhode Island's primary isn't really closed. It's "semi-closed" or "hybrid" and the key takeaway is than Independents can vote in either primary there.

I changed it, but I still consider it to just be closed with no registration deadline.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 16:17

Zelder: Jan 4, 2012

this thread seems burned out. are we all burned out on the republican primary?

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:06

Schnorkles: Apr 30, 2015; It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.

Zelder posted:

this thread seems burned out. are we all burned out on the republican primary?

I am buckled up and ready to go friend.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:14

Homeless Friend: Jul 16, 2007

Zelder posted:

this thread seems burned out. are we all burned out on the republican primary?

The blood hasn't hit the floor yet

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:15

QuoProQuid: Jan 12, 2012; Tr*ckin' and F*ckin' all the way to tha
T O P

I'll be interested in seeing whether the party at-large has accepted Trump's narrative that the race is rigged, especially on the tail of the Cruz-Kasich alliance. Though Trump usually under-performs his polls, the recent news cycle makes it seem as though there's a lot of room for him to over-perform today. If Trump can snatch up more than 100 delegates, then tonight will be very good for his campaign. It will also do a really nice job of setting the stage for Indiana, which might drift towards his orbit if Trump seems inevitable.

I'll also be interested in seeing if Cruz misses a delegate threshold. That much of a setback would really be demoralizing for his campaign.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:16

crazy cloud: Nov 7, 2012; by Cyrano4747; Lipstick Apathy

Zelder posted:

this thread seems burned out. are we all burned out on the republican primary?

The opposite. Pupils dilated, my body is ready

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:19

mike12345: Jul 14, 2008; "Whether the Earth was created in 7 days, or 7 actual eras, I'm not sure we'll ever be able to answer that. It's one of the great mysteries."

https://twitter.com/colinjones/status/724995285550768128

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:30

paul_soccer10: Mar 28, 2016; by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

TRUMP

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:31

William Bear: Oct 26, 2012; "That's what they all say!"

Any reports from people who voted today? Did anyone see anything notable at the polls?

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:44

QuoProQuid: Jan 12, 2012; Tr*ckin' and F*ckin' all the way to tha
T O P

https://twitter.com/KatyTurNBC/status/724781715030421505

quote:

"Some People We Wish Would Emigrate to One of Our New Colonies"

1. The Imbeciles Who Shoot Each Other by Mistake During the Hunting Season.

2. The Man Who Will "Return It, Old Fellow, in a Couple of Days, Without Fail!"

3. The Man Who Enjoys Seeing His Dog Attack Wheelman.

4. The Idiots Who Frighten Children with Tales of Bogies and Teach Them To Be Afraid of the Dark.

5. The Individual Who Persists in Calling on the Young Lady We Admire.

6. The People Who Make Ignoble and Commercial Uses of the American Flag.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:48

Zelder: Jan 4, 2012

It's me, i'm The Man Who Enjoys Seeing His Dog Attack Wheelmen

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:52

as halfway crooks: Mar 7, 2007; by Shine

Zelder posted:

It's me, i'm The Man Who Enjoys Seeing His Dog Attack Wheelmen

all things considered pretty sure you are instead the wheelman heself

# ? Apr 26, 2016 17:56

Zelder: Jan 4, 2012

as halfway crooks posted:

all things considered pretty sure you are instead the wheelman heself

god willing i'm the imbecile who gets shot during the hunting trip

# ? Apr 26, 2016 18:02

Mayor Dave: Feb 20, 2009; Bernie the Snow Clown

i can't wait until the donald clinches it tonight

# ? Apr 26, 2016 18:08

as halfway crooks: Mar 7, 2007; by Shine

Zelder posted:

god willing i'm the imbecile who gets shot during the hunting trip

*wheels away to call on a young lady*

# ? Apr 26, 2016 18:10

Mayor Dave: Feb 20, 2009; Bernie the Snow Clown

# ? Apr 26, 2016 18:13

Distant Chicken: Aug 15, 2007

I didn't know wheelman had an olde-tyme meaning and I was wondering what kind of moron brings their dog to a heist.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 18:20

Constant Hamprince: Oct 24, 2010; by exmarx; College Slice

QuoProQuid posted:

https://twitter.com/KatyTurNBC/status/724781715030421505

I read 'bogies' as 'bogles'.

As in the kind needed, for the Glotch.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 18:35

weekly font: Dec 1, 2004; Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...

Anytime I hear someone unironically talking about people disrespecting the flag by burning it I think of a Texas sorority girl pounding Bud Heavies in an American flag bikini, or a fat guy in stars n' stripes Zubaz and laugh to myself.

# ? Apr 26, 2016 19:02