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Since most of you don't follow the Weather thread in A/T and probably don't care one bit about anything weather related beyond "Is it going to rain and do I need a jacket" you probably don't know about Hurricane Matthew. Let me introduce you to him:  Thats Matthew. He is a Catagory 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. This is the latest advisory: quote:BULLETIN Now.. Why does this matter and why did I make this post? Well there are a few reasons. First, in about 2-3 days its going to gently caress up Jamaica. So if thats where you get your  from, see the title. Also if you like cigars and have a hookup in eastern Cuba, do him a solid and just wire him a plane ticket to somewhere not Cuba Because thats going to get loving rekt too.The more important reason I made this thread is that this storm is loving AWESOME. Now this is some nerd poo poo that 99% of people won't understand nor care. But you motherfuckers get to  about video games, sports, and what ever dumb poo poo you kids get into these days. I go on about weather. So lets have a short chat.This storm underwent a phenomenon known as Rapid Intensification. Its exactly what it sounds like. Tropical cyclones have 2 measurements that denote strength. Minimum Central Pressure which is noted in millibars (mb) and wind speed which is given in either mph or knots (kts). So this is the Saffir-Simpson scale:  36 hours ago Matthew was a tropical storm. Then this happened: quote:sep 29 1500 GMT 14.2 -66.3 70 996 Tropical Storm The 5th colum is wind speed in mph, the 6th colum is minimum central pressure in millibars. How common is this? Well, it isn't . I mentioned this earlier in the weather thread, but over a 24 hour period it dropped 44mb and winds jumped 56.5kts. Which isn't far off of what Andrew jumped before it erased Homestead AFB off the face of the earth. Its a really big deal. And more than one person at the NHC is probably masturbating to a satellite loop of the last 36-39 hours of this storm because it was really loving cool. Now what impact does this have on you? Well it doesn't, probably. Again, unless you have ties to Jamaica, eastern Cuba, western Hispaniola or the Bahamas, there is no reliable evidence that its going to impact I will try to keep this semi-updated on Matthew, and anyone who lives in an area affected by it, let us know that you are about to die.
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Oct 1, 2016 05:48
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that's a lot of words just so you can humble brag about your Florida beach house
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Oct 1, 2016 05:49
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luv 2 date boys posted:that's a lot of words just so you can humble brag about your Florida beach house that he doesnt have
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Oct 1, 2016 05:52
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South Florida checking in, I'm sort of happy that I've got a crew coming in about ten hours to install a new garage door in my house that's up to hurricane code and doesn't have to have the tines of a fork jammed into it to stay locked. Otherwise right now local news stations are using the BIG GRAPHICS and the meteorologists are starting to GET HYPE so it looks like we're going to play the waiting game again since we haven't had a good East coast hurricane since Wilma in 2005.
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Oct 1, 2016 06:19
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Is there anything that doesn't suck about the east coast?
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Oct 1, 2016 06:20
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And yet, nothing of value will be lost, and no lives will matter.
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Oct 1, 2016 06:23
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Genocide Tendency posted:Since most of you don't follow the Weather thread in A/T and probably don't care one bit about anything weather related beyond "Is it going to rain and do I need a jacket" you probably don't know about Hurricane Matthew. are you a cop?
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Oct 1, 2016 06:28
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How many hurricanes do you think it'll be before people are like 'Gee maybe we shouldn't live in FL?'
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Oct 1, 2016 06:42
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So should we go ahead and start a disaster relief fund to donate to the idiots that live in the path of hurricanes?
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Oct 1, 2016 06:43
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Lets talk for a moment about weather models. They are computer programs that take a bunch of data, do some Most of the time 2 or 3 are reasonably accurate in the short term (2-3 days) if they initialize well, and the rest are either complete trash or have an obvious error that tells you the earth will be wiped out by a giant meteor 3 days out. Most are run every 12 hours on 00z and 12z (z being Zulu or Greenwich Mean Time). These models along with past and current data from the entire Atlantic basin and North American Continent is how the NHC creates that fancy cone of movement. This thing:  That is the official forecast. As I said, models do play a part in creating that. One of those models, and usually a reliable one is the GFS ensemble. This is a screen cap from the latest run 141 hours out, or roughly Wednesday evening:  Thats... Distressing.. And just in case you think North Carolina is nice this time of year here is 177 hours out, roughly Friday night:  Now this is just one run, and one model. So its nothing to panic over. But the trend west is pretty consistent with most of the models from the 00z run. So its something worth looking at.
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Oct 1, 2016 06:44
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Is that black spot Lowtax's house?
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Oct 1, 2016 06:45
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ElectricSheep posted:South Florida checking in, I'm sort of happy that I've got a crew coming in about ten hours to install a new garage door in my house that's up to hurricane code and doesn't have to have the tines of a fork jammed into it to stay locked. Good news is you will have an up to code garage door. Bad news is you live in south Florida. And since GBS asked questions, I'll give answers to what I can: Falun Bong Refugee posted:Is there anything that doesn't suck about the east coast? The Patriots are 3-0. Outside of that... Its pretty bleak. Rubbergoose posted:are you a cop? No. SLICK GOKU BABY posted:So should we go ahead and start a disaster relief fund to donate to the idiots that live in the path of hurricanes? No. If they live on the islands, they are probably going to die. If they live on the East Coast of the US, then they either have insurance or are loving stupid and don't deserve help. Roylicious posted:Is that black spot Lowtax's house? Doesn't he live in like Kansas or something? If so, it is not his house.
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Oct 1, 2016 06:55
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RIP 50 years of Jamaican civilization
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Oct 1, 2016 07:05
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Why'd you call Haiti "Western Hispaniola"?
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Oct 1, 2016 07:34
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Genocide Tendency posted:No. If they live on the islands, they are probably going to die. If they live on the East Coast of the US, then they either have insurance or are loving stupid and don't deserve help. This seems like bad information, there's going to be at least 3 "charities" begging for money to help these "victims" during this "tragedy." And you know somewhere in the midwest there is going to be at least one church group / charity driving up interest by driving to the east coast with water and food for the idiots that live in hurricaneville.
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Oct 1, 2016 07:37
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sweet i didn't think i was gonna get to kiteboard this weekend but i will
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Oct 1, 2016 07:43
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Shop local. Cali grow the hydro. Nobody need that Babylon weed. The cartel man, he want to smoke you. Kali rain down upon him. Also George Bush did 9/11. Alright, respect.
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Oct 1, 2016 07:44
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So do I need to stock up on milk and bread
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Oct 1, 2016 07:51
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Baby Beer Stein posted:Why'd you call Haiti "Western Hispaniola"? Hispaniola is the Island Haiti is on. SLICK GOKU BABY posted:This seems like bad information, there's going to be at least 3 "charities" begging for money to help these "victims" during this "tragedy." Just because someone sets up a charity for a group of people, it doesn't mean those people deserve the help. Hence telling you that you should not start one. If you live on a hurricane prone coast line, and do not have insurance, you deserve to lose everything and have no help to replace it.
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Oct 1, 2016 07:53
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Insurance is literally gambling. Spend a little money repeatedly, lose on average, only win in case of unlikely event.
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Oct 1, 2016 07:58
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AugmentedVision posted:Insurance is literally gambling. Spend a little money repeatedly, lose on average, only win in case of unlikely event. Shared risk management is not the same as gambling. Lesser minds might think so.
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Oct 1, 2016 08:02
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Falun Bong Refugee posted:Shared risk management is not the same as gambling. Lesser minds might think so.
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Oct 1, 2016 08:22
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Genocide Tendency posted:Hispaniola is the Island Haiti is on. If I didn't know they were both the same thing how would I have known to ask the question? I just thought it was weird you called it Western Hispaniola and was wondering if there was any cool reason you did that.
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Oct 1, 2016 08:28
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Who? Dave? Dave's not here.
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Oct 1, 2016 08:40
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Falun Bong Refugee posted:Shared risk management is not the same as gambling. Lesser minds might think so. i agree insurance has way more reliable profit margins it's a much better scam
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Oct 1, 2016 08:44
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AugmentedVision posted:Insurance is literally gambling. Spend a little money repeatedly, lose on average, only win in case of unlikely event. Except you're not doing it for profit or recreation. By definition, it's not gambling. It's to mitigate downside risk.
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Oct 1, 2016 09:09
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I don't care about society as a whole; I don't want to pay to protect my neighbor's stuff, I only care about my own
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Oct 1, 2016 09:17
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Roylicious posted:How many hurricanes do you think it'll be before people are like 'Gee maybe we shouldn't live in FL?' ElectricSheep posted:South Florida checking in, I'm sort of happy that I've got a crew coming in about ten hours to install a new garage door in my house that's up to hurricane code and doesn't have to have the tines of a fork jammed into it to stay locked. Florida and the Carolinas have been hit by less hurricanes than New York State has in the last 15 or so years. Thanks climate change!
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Oct 1, 2016 09:56
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R-Type posted:And yet, nothing of value will be lost, and no lives will matter. If this thing takes a turn towards your Texas shithole I'm gonna laugh.
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Oct 1, 2016 13:02
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Come on Matthew make a direct hit on NYC as a Cat 5 I need my disaster porn.
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Oct 1, 2016 13:04
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misty mountaintop posted:If this thing takes a turn towards your Texas shithole I'm gonna laugh. His statement will be doubly true if it goes for Texas.
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Oct 1, 2016 13:38
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spasticColon posted:Come on Matthew make a direct hit on NYC as a Cat 5 I need my disaster porn. A Cat 5 hitting that area would be a nightmare. None of the buildings are built to a code that could take it. Most of them would just wash away because they aren't secured to their foundations.
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Oct 1, 2016 14:39
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Outer banks crew checking in 
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Oct 1, 2016 14:44
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nice one of the tracks could have me in the eye of the hurricane, havent had that experience since Hurricane Bob
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Oct 1, 2016 16:44
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Yewwwwww get the shred sticks ready boys time for some swell *charges*
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Oct 1, 2016 17:17
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roymorrison posted:Yewwwwww get the shred sticks ready boys time for some swell *charges* Current forecast is 40mph onshores. loving hell man.
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Oct 1, 2016 17:31
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hope it just dies over the sierra maestra *looks around* I... I mean oh yeah I hate my home state too, I hope lots of peoples homes and livelihoods are ruined because I wish I lived somewhere cold and sad instead
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Oct 1, 2016 17:34
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I went back and actually read the op instead of just scrolling past it so I could post at people. I didn't know weather nerds were a thing. How is that a thing?
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Oct 1, 2016 17:35
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Falun Bong Refugee posted:I went back and actually read the op instead of just scrolling past it so I could post at people. weather is cool and good
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Oct 1, 2016 17:36
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VectorSigma posted:weather is cool and good and sometimes it's hot and bad
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Oct 1, 2016 17:36
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