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Majorian posted:Glad to hear it. We'll see how it turns out for Northam, but if he doesn't win, it ain't gonna be because of lack of trying from you. So I'm a stagehand by trade, and we look at our job this way - we're here to make the talent look as good as possible. What the talent does from there is up to them. You and others have been downright kind. And everyone who's come out to help, either from their computer or out in the streets, has been loving incredible. We're all stressed beyond belief, because none of us know if it's enough. It's that PTSD from last year. None of us will ever trust a poll again. None of us will ever be comfortable. And maybe that's how it ought to be, you know? Maybe all of us - the GOTV people, the activists, the voters - all of us should feel this sense of stress and urgency. Maybe we should always feel like it's not enough, because then we'll do more. There's a world where 2016 never happens again. Know why I'm freaked out? The loving weather! It's forecasted to rain steadily from 1100 onward in NoVA. I think of Brexit on rainy election days now. Anything that depresses turnout in a state where half a dozen candidates can remember winning by less than a hundred votes (I think Danica Roem won her primary by less than 20) is a nightmare. There is every possibility that this will implode spectacularly.
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Nov 6, 2017 23:37
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Yes, that's got me worried too. In an election like this one that will ultimately come down to turn out above all else, rain is one of the worst signs. It will hurt our turnout. We've just got to make sure that everything we're doing to boost turnout will be enough to outweigh it, especially in this case driving people to the polls and otherwise facilitating voting.
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Nov 6, 2017 23:50
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It will hurt turnout among Republicans as well. Not as much as among Dems but they aren't immune from it, especially if they already feel like they're going to lose.
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Nov 7, 2017 00:33
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Are we sure that's true? The only study I can find on how rain affects turnout is this: https://twitter.com/SeanMcElwee/status/927689786416123910 So if the race is as competitive as it's been portrayed, I don't think there's anything to fear on that front.
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Nov 7, 2017 01:34
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Well it makes sense that if a person already believes that their vote doesn't matter that they're more likely to find a reason to just avoid voting in the first place.
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Nov 7, 2017 01:35
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https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/927696987474063360 I'm not sure this is the right stance to take on this.
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Nov 7, 2017 01:44
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Your Boy Fancy posted:Know why I'm freaked out? The loving weather! It's forecasted to rain steadily from 1100 onward in NoVA. I think of Brexit on rainy election days now. Anything that depresses turnout in a state where half a dozen candidates can remember winning by less than a hundred votes (I think Danica Roem won her primary by less than 20) is a nightmare. There is every possibility that this will implode spectacularly. I'm trying to have a positive spin on the rain. We are definitely the more motivated side right now. I'm hoping that it depresses GOP turnout while we still show up. I don't really have any strong reason to think it but hope is all we have. So I'm going to hope.
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Nov 7, 2017 01:44
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Worthy of note is this article from 538. In addition to just being mildly reassuring, it also includes a table for assessing Gillespie's performance vs the benchmarks he needs in each locality to be on track to win statewide, for the purpose of real-time constant heart attacks tomorrow night. A caution, however: polls close at 7, but the first results in after that will generally be from West Bumfuckia, with their low population precincts and fewer number of precincts in the county overall, and these precincts tend Republican. The heavily populated precincts in the cities and especially NOVA won't really begin to rain votes until later; last year it was between 11 and midnight if I'm recalling correctly. So that's why the benchmarks are useful: they let you compare performance no matter how many localities are reporting at high percentages, because I know everyone here is a masochist who will be doing that all night. For kicks, scroll down the table and see if you can spot without reading where the list of counties stops and the list of independent cities begins.
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Nov 7, 2017 01:51
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I just feel compelled to post about how much I loving loathe Ralph Northam and Virginia Democrats in general. I am voting for Ralph Northam. I must clarify that this in no way signifies that I have faith in Ralph Northam, like Ralph Northam, or feel anything other than utter contempt for Ralph Northam. Here's hoping that he will defeat Ed Gillespie, and allow a shadowy coalition of business interests slightly less nefarious than the Nazi Party take over Virginia. Kellen Squire, on the other hand, is a rarity in Virginia politics: A Democrat who appears to actually believe in and stand for things, and does not spend most of his time and energy desperately, pathetically, contemptibly trying to get middle-class white Republicans to like him.
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Nov 7, 2017 03:09
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My father grew up down the block from Ralph and gave him a unicycle in high school.
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Nov 7, 2017 10:03
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bollig posted:My father grew up down the block from Ralph and gave him a unicycle in high school. is that something like wedgies or did he give him a real unicycle
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Nov 7, 2017 10:07
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Polling place was deserted when I got there this morning. Not encouraging.
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Nov 7, 2017 12:50
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Barbe Rouge posted:is that something like wedgies or did he give him a real unicycle Real unicycle, there's your october surprise
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Nov 7, 2017 13:07
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Today is the day. Good luck everyone.
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Nov 7, 2017 13:16
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Anecdotal polling place busyness reports mean nothing at this stage, but for what it's worth my precinct, in the fan neighborhood of Richmond, wasn't really packed, there was no line, but there was a steady stream of people coming in and out.
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Nov 7, 2017 13:18
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Oxxidation posted:Polling place was deserted when I got there this morning. Not encouraging. Where is your polling place?
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Nov 7, 2017 14:05
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Massive lines in Arlington. Like they were last year. 
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Nov 7, 2017 14:07
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Brony Car posted:Where is your polling place? NJ, so it barely matters anyway. Still, you'd think there'd be more than a single person there with the current political climate.
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Nov 7, 2017 14:08
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Oxxidation posted:NJ, so it barely matters anyway. Still, you'd think there'd be more than a single person there with the current political climate. A candidate being up double digits will discourage people from both sides to get off their rear end and go vote.
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Nov 7, 2017 14:09
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axeil posted:Massive lines in Arlington. Like they were last year. There were more people at my polling place this year, and I went around the same time as I did last year. I'm poll greeting from 9 - 12, canvassing from 12 - 4, and then camped out outside the Ballston metro from 4 to 7. Gonna be a busy day.
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Nov 7, 2017 14:11
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:A candidate being up double digits will discourage people from both sides to get off their rear end and go vote. Well it shouldn't!
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Nov 7, 2017 14:11
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axeil posted:Massive lines in Arlington. Like they were last year. Good. Colleagues in suburban Williamsburg reporting low turnout this morning, which is mostly a positive.
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Nov 7, 2017 14:15
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Oxxidation posted:NJ, so it barely matters anyway. Still, you'd think there'd be more than a single person there with the current political climate. Gonna vote for  today
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Nov 7, 2017 14:17
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axeil posted:Massive lines in Arlington. Like they were last year. Also Northam is first on the ballot. Someone did some research a while ago and that gives you something like half a point more than being second. Took me half an hour door to ballot.
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Nov 7, 2017 14:25
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B B posted:There were more people at my polling place this year, and I went around the same time as I did last year. Oh nice. I voted at the VA Square site at George Mason University Law School (aka A.S.S. Law)
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Nov 7, 2017 14:26
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Arlington and Alexandria both with massive turnout reported. I needed more virtual phone bank logins, and now I have them. If you're feeling nervous, help Virginia! Hit me on PM or post an email in a way you feel comfortable. I'll hook you up and hook you in. It's gonna be a glooooooooooorious daaaaaaaaaaaaaay
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Nov 7, 2017 14:26
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Dulles corridor was deserted. More poll workers than people voting at 7:30.
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Nov 7, 2017 14:32
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My boss voted in Ballston around 7 am and she said it was deserted. She also has said that it's always deserted because she thinks the only people who vote there are her building and the retirement home the polling place is in so who knows! I would be out there knocking up a storm if I didn't have a bunch of conference calls today 
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Nov 7, 2017 14:37
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Voted in Richmond, similar turn out to 2016. Line was about ten minutes
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Nov 7, 2017 14:57
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Salt Fish posted:Dulles corridor was deserted. More poll workers than people voting at 7:30. I'd imagine most of those people will vote after work. Vote Northam in then kick his rear end for the sanctuary cities thing. If you can make him into McAuliffe v. 2.0, you could do WAY worse.
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Nov 7, 2017 15:03
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My precinct outside of Alexandria proper had a bit of a line at 7:30 this morning.
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Nov 7, 2017 15:04
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Henrico County (went for Clinton 56 to 36) has a 2 hour wait.
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Nov 7, 2017 15:12
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Seven Hundred Bee posted:Henrico County (went for Clinton 56 to 36) has a 2 hour wait. The whole county???
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Nov 7, 2017 15:24
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I voted in NJ this AM and I was the only person at the polling place at 7:30...
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Nov 7, 2017 15:26
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axeil posted:
A polling place in the county, don't know which one
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Nov 7, 2017 15:31
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I voted in Richmond this morning at about 730 and there was a small line and a steady stream of people. It was encouraging.
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Nov 7, 2017 15:33
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Latest update: Turnout is on track from 2016, and NoVA turnout is spinning at a MASSIVELY higher rate than 2013. It's looking good as poo poo.
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Nov 7, 2017 15:55
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Your Boy Fancy posted:Latest update: Turnout is on track from 2016, and NoVA turnout is spinning at a MASSIVELY higher rate than 2013. Very nice.
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Nov 7, 2017 15:58
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Your Boy Fancy posted:Latest update: Turnout is on track from 2016, and NoVA turnout is spinning at a MASSIVELY higher rate than 2013.  Keep it up Fancy!
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Nov 7, 2017 15:58
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If you live in VA you should at least be excited to vote for Mark Herring even if Northam is a big nothing.
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Nov 7, 2017 15:59
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