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Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

COMRADES posted:

I mean it's your scenario man you mentioned the hyperinflation and whatnot.


Well so my question here then is why would they want BTC... which they have to somehow digitally convert (let's say it is 50 years from now and that's not an issue fine)... instead of just USD?

So the hyperinflation I was talking about was the citizens of Zimbabwe having an alternative to their worthless and ever depreciating currency.

The whole "why not just use USD instead of Bitcoins" is why I chose the USA as the problem in the hypothetical. Just imagine it's like Cuba or Venezula or North Korea or someone that the US doesn't really like so there's going to be transactions people make with upside to them using Bitcoins instead of Dollars.

Think of it as an extension of all the drug dealer and money laundering examples that get brought up endlessly. Anyone in a vulnerable / shady position has an incentive to use Bitcoins because no particular country is going to step in and undermine it. That's almost the point.

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Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

David Heinrich posted:

The essential issue with this is, as I said, Bitcoin does not have anything that merits valuation. In a sense, all monetary goods are stocks, pieces of paper or electronic numbers which represent a certain amount of stake in a company; this also goes for currency, because you are investing in that country's wealth. There is no institution backing Bitcoin, which makes it inherently worthless by its very nature. You are investing in the stock of a company that does not exist.

Yes, and that may have uses! There is no nation state that owns Bitcoin so they won't be interfering in your use of it either. Like, the things you see as a negative I'm holding out as a positive! And just because we disagree doesn't make you right and bitcoins gambling. Hence my posts.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
Also, that doesn't answer the question of why specifically Bitcoin. Even if Fuckistan did adopt a digital cryptocurrency there is 0 guarantee it won't be any of the myriad of others or an entirely new one.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Yes, and that may have uses! There is no nation state that owns Bitcoin so they won't be interfering in your use of it either. Like, the things you see as a negative I'm holding out as a positive! And just because we disagree doesn't make you right and bitcoins gambling. Hence my posts.

Anyone with sufficient capital to manipulate the price will be interfering, as apparently already happens.

And it won't ever be stable if it isn't backed by something stable, like a major government.

COMRADES fucked around with this message at 00:25 on Oct 6, 2017

Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

COMRADES posted:

Also, that doesn't answer the question of why specifically Bitcoin. Even if Fuckistan did adopt a digital cryptocurrency there is 0 guarantee it won't be any of the myriad of others or an entirely new one.

Because every other currency belongs to a country that has a political agenda and an existing economy that uses it. For situations where that's a problem, you now have Bitcoins.

Think of it this way:
Before: 180 fiat currencies
Now: 180 fiat currencies and 1 currency that is a bit different

There's now more options and if Bitcoin is useful then its price / adoption should spread

quote:

Anyone with sufficient capital to manipulate the price will be interfering, as apparently already happens.

Hmm that sounds pretty real to me, maybe people should be able to speculate on it a bit if they want to

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Because every other currency belongs to a country that has a political agenda and an existing economy that uses it. For situations where that's a problem, you now have Bitcoins.

Think of it this way:
Before: 180 fiat currencies
Now: 180 fiat currencies and 1 currency that is a bit different

There's now more options and if Bitcoin is useful then its price / adoption should spread

Right but there are Dogecoins, Litecoins, Cosbycoins, and 100 others I'm not aware of. What differentiates BTC? It is just that it is more established?

Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

COMRADES posted:

Right but there are Dogecoins, Litecoins, Cosbycoins, and 100 others I'm not aware of.

Many of those alternative coins have specific uses, right now Bitcoin is considered the main alternative to fiat currency

Blade Runner
Aug 14, 2015

The "shady position" thing being worthwhile for Bitcoin is absolutely worthless because of the sheer nature of Bitcoin's transactions. They're not anonymous, at all; they're essentially the polar opposite of anonymous, because you broadcast every transaction into a public ledger. It's also extremely easy for any large scale financial institution or country to just crash on a whim. Bitcoin has survived up until now because nobody in any regulatory commission cares enough to glance at it for more than a few seconds, as the volume of trade is too low. Anyone actually trading in 'shady' goods would be far better off either using cash or simply bartering, if cash isn't an option for whatever reason.

It is absolutely not a positive that there is nothing meriting valuation in Bitcoin. It means that you can set an arbitrarily high number and then declare all current commodities to be worth that; essentially, someone purchases .000000001 Bitcoins for a dollar, and now a Bitcoin is worth 100,000,000 dollars. It doesn't matter whether anyone would actually pay that, or if anyone interested has the money; if you have ten Bitcoins, you're a trillionaire within the Bitcoin system.

EorayMel
May 30, 2015

WE GET IT. YOU LOVE GUN JESUS. Toujours des fusils Bullpup Français.
bitcoin creepypasta:

https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3771705&pagenumber=27&perpage=40#post462711496 posted:

Catch Phrase: Sorry
Type: Mascot
Name: The Quite one
Real name: Marian Phoebe
Nickname: Phobia (everyone) Mary (Sally)
Items: A pencil or crayon and a notebook
Killing methods : -She doesn't kill-
Age: 12
Abilities: Can control spiders and swim really good
Weaknesses: Talking, Meanness, and the scary man
Bio: 7/12/2013 Marian had gotten in a argument with her mother over how her grades were dropping /it ended up being her brothers/, Marian being not kin to arguments ran outside and hid from her mother. Later on she comes out but, ends up being kidnapped by a older man in his late 20's, he ended up cutting her hair and dying it a Gingerbread brown and making her wear green contacts. She was then sold online to a bidder by the name 'ScaryMan' for 1,000,000 Bitcoins. To this she was tortured and raped multiple times by the scary man and was later killed on accident during a rough sex with a rope being tightly pulled around her neck to much. Scary man then took her nose away for a safe keep and stitched her mouth up to a smile before he buried her. She was then summon on accident by Essence.

Burt Sexual
Jan 26, 2006

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Switchblade Switcharoo

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Here's one hypothetical out of many!
Sometimes countries get into really weird debt spirals or have bizarre inflation issues, like the hyperinflation in Zimbabwe. You never know if or when that stuff will happen, but Bitcoin could be surprisingly useful if it does

Do NOT invest in Zimbabwe. That’s my advice.

Burt Sexual
Jan 26, 2006

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Switchblade Switcharoo
Let’s post our credentials to judge true capitalism value

David. Seems very smart finance guy
Moridin. Well semi smart it guy and autistic
Burt. Systems architect. Dumb
Ham: ?

Noblesse Obliged
Apr 7, 2012

this is the worst shill job I've ever seen.

I'll keep my tulip bulbs thanks

Burt Sexual
Jan 26, 2006

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Switchblade Switcharoo
Ham, how much you in right now? This site is more anon than bitcoins, just spill it. Pump isn’t working.

Fantastic Flyer
Aug 9, 2017
How many bitcoins can I buy with a kroner?

Stefan Prodan
Jan 7, 2002

I deeply respect you as a human being... Some day I'm gonna make you *Mrs* Buck Turgidson!


Grimey Drawer

Ham Sandwiches posted:

It's so genuinely enjoyable going back through old bitcoin threads and just reading the smug superiority with which people posted. It's great. People are generally careful to not be wrong about stuff or make wishy washy predictions so they don't look totally dumb, but not this time ;)

Which, again, if you find me being smugly superior in any posts I will give you 10 bux straight up or a forums upgrade because I'm pretty sure I've been consistent this whole time, but instead you're just acting {all goons} are the same person and just turning me into some sort of goon collective strawman

I mean I could be wrong but I don't think I am

Djeser
Mar 22, 2013


it's crow time again

Bitcoin is a risky investment but I advise all goons to invest in bitcoin comedy futures. The laffs can only go up uP UP.

Uranium 235
Oct 12, 2004

David Heinrich posted:

Do you really want to put your investment knowledge and ability to manipulate financial markets against that of an entire financial institution?
uh yeah lol

i'm a lamprey to the shark

Terrible Opinions
Oct 18, 2013



This is a good meltdown. The other thread didn't lie.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

quote:

It's so genuinely enjoyable going back through old bitcoin threads

Is it really though?

Tenzarin
Jul 24, 2007
.
Taco Defender
I miss the paranormal forum.

Comfy Fleece Sweater
Apr 2, 2013

You see, but you do not observe.

David Heinrich posted:

I've gone into this previously, about how it's essentially gambling because of the lack of anything meriting any valuation whatsoever. Bitcoins are basically chips to a non-existent casino. The reason that large financial institutions can do this is myriad: Firstly, they have the money not only to lose, but to individually manipulate the markets to allow a greater outcome for themselves and secondly because they have experienced financial advisors making their decisions. I would not typically advise any individual with no experience in stocks or finance to personally invest in the stock market, either. That said, no, I do not believe it is investment for a large firm to put their money in Bitcoin; it's still gambling, but gambling they can easily afford to do in a market that currently has no regulations(This will not last if any bank seriously investigates the use of Bitcoin, which will likely result in a massive crash because Bitcoin is primarily inferior to Securities, if regulated according to the laws that would likely be used.) My use of the term 'invest' there was primarily because it looked better composition-wise. If you take umbrage with it on word choice alone, I apologize.

Bitcoin would not be useful in that scenario for many reasons, one of the bigger and more obvious ones being that it requires electronics and people in a debt spiraling African country probably aren't going to have the latest iPhone. Even past that, however, I severely doubt most governments would be willing to give up control of their currency to an external system, even if facing hyperinflation, and Bitcoin would quickly go back to being devalued if a stronger government took force and re-instated a trustworthy currency.

I gotta say, I accidentally learned first hand about Venezuelan people mining and supposedly trading bitcoins, via a Facebook group. Not expert computer touchers either. Their money is worthless and they have electricity so they put together a mining rig and earn money to live. They send bitcoins to some idiot in Colombia and he gives them USD bills.

From what I saw and their questions, they are not smart people, but I thought it was interesting. Some were asking very basic computer questions about batch files and such.

One of them was very worried about a bitcoin crash because apparently his mining rig was 60% of his family's income 😱

Djeser
Mar 22, 2013


it's crow time again

Also fun fact, if you had bought bitcoins five years ago and didn't lose them to an exchange running off with its users' bitcoins, or wallet software that instead of a random number used the HTTP 301 error it got from Random.org, or margin calling during a sudden price drop, or wallet-stealing malware embedded in a cryptocurrency whitepaper PDF, or hard drive failure, you'd now have equal balances in a couple different forks of bitcoin!

What a good investment!

CassandraZara
Oct 21, 2012

by Nyc_Tattoo

Djeser posted:

Also fun fact, if you had bought bitcoins five years ago and didn't lose them to an exchange running off with its users' bitcoins, or wallet software that instead of a random number used the HTTP 301 error it got from Random.org, or margin calling during a sudden price drop, or wallet-stealing malware embedded in a cryptocurrency whitepaper PDF, or hard drive failure, you'd now have equal balances in a couple different forks of bitcoin!

What a good investment!

I didn't know that, thanks.

Djeser
Mar 22, 2013


it's crow time again

I don't recall what Bitcoin Cash has been up to lately but it was the latest big fork and a lot of people were taking their new Bitcoin Cash balances and selling them to buy more Bitcoin.

Turtle Sandbox
Dec 31, 2007

by Fluffdaddy
Ham is just a terrible saleman who has no idea how to sell buttcoins to people who dont want buttcoins.

I assume hes just another person looking for the greater fool.

Regrettable
Jan 5, 2010



I can't wait for the price of bitcoins to plummet again so Ham Sandwiches disappears for months again.

gary oldmans diary
Sep 26, 2005

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Because every other currency belongs to a country that has a political agenda and an existing economy that uses it. For situations where that's a problem, you now have Bitcoins.

Think of it this way:
Before: 180 fiat currencies
Now: 180 fiat currencies and 1 currency that is a bit different

There's now more options and if Bitcoin is useful then its price / adoption should spread


Hmm that sounds pretty real to me, maybe people should be able to speculate on it a bit if they want to
when people speculate on currencies they speculate if it is going to be strong or weak which is based on the economy of the country backing it
when people speculate on bitcoin they speculate if they are still going to be able to find someone to buy them at a profit or if they have reached the practical end of the pyramid

as a currency it is like the zimbabwe dollar that i also cannot buy a loaf of bread with

EorayMel
May 30, 2015

WE GET IT. YOU LOVE GUN JESUS. Toujours des fusils Bullpup Français.

gary oldmans diary posted:

when people speculate on currencies they speculate if it is going to be strong or weak which is based on the economy of the country backing it
when people speculate on bitcoin they speculate if they are still going to be able to find someone to buy them at a profit or if they have reached the practical end of the pyramid

as a currency it is like the zimbabwe dollar that i also cannot buy a loaf of bread with

You can probably buy soylent with it easier than bread tbh.

Neutrino
Mar 8, 2006

Fallen Rib
I remember people used to tell me I was an idiot for hording all those Chuck-E-Cheese tokens back in the 90's. Look who's laughing now.

gottabefrank
Sep 19, 2014

If bitcoin hodlers see it as currency, aren’t high volume mixers/tumblers/blenders technically money laundering?

OJ MIST 2 THE DICK
Sep 11, 2008

Anytime I need to see your face I just close my eyes
And I am taken to a place
Where your crystal minds and magenta feelings
Take up shelter in the base of my spine
Sweet like a chica cherry cola

-Cheap Trick

Nap Ghost

gottabefrank posted:

If bitcoin hodlers see it as currency, aren’t high volume mixers/tumblers/blenders technically money laundering?

Well technically that's exactly what they are, but it turns out that having a public ledger actually kind of makes it really hard to actually do so.

Like when BTC-e, a MTGOX competitor tried to launder all the money stolen from GOX and a bunch of Russian ransomware funds, the feds traced it and arrested the dude who did that.


And also that's why BTC-e stopped operating.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

exploded mummy posted:

Like when BTC-e, a MTGOX competitor tried to launder all the money stolen from GOX and a bunch of Russian ransomware funds, the feds traced it and arrested the dude who did that.


And also that's why BTC-e stopped operating.

lmao

No risk you're risk fake news.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Many of those alternative coins have specific uses, right now Bitcoin is considered the main alternative to fiat currency

actually gold is considered the "main alternative to fiat currency"

no alternative coins have any use

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Think of it as an extension of all the drug dealer and money laundering examples that get brought up endlessly. Anyone in a vulnerable / shady position has an incentive to use Bitcoins because no particular country is going to step in and undermine it. That's almost the point.

i, too, conduct all my illegal activities on a public immutable ledger on the assumption that nobody will ever think to read it

luv2invest in prosecution futures

Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

evilweasel posted:

i, too, conduct all my illegal activities on a public immutable ledger on the assumption that nobody will ever think to read it

luv2invest in prosecution futures

It's weird how people will fixate on stuff outside of the context it was provided:

"Nobody has a reason to use it"

"actually, during times of turmoil or whenever people are going against the wishes of the state they live in, there is some reason to consider it"

"THATS ILLEGAL ARE YOU ADVOCATING ILLEGAL ACTIVITY"

Ledgers are public and you can't conduct transactions with impunity does not mean it has literally 0 advantages as a slightly more circumspect way to do a transaction for individuals or that it takes effort to pierce that anonymity. Are you being dense or do you not understand that?

Bonfire Lit
Jul 9, 2008

If you're one of the sinners who caused this please unfriend me now.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Anyone in a vulnerable / shady position has an incentive to use Bitcoins because no particular country is going to step in and undermine it. That's almost the point.
A malicious actor with nation-state resources can easily step in and mount a 51% attack. (Actually there's a paper out there showing that you need a lot less than 51% of the hashrate, but I forgot the exact number so let's go with 51.)

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
If I am an African warlord and you show up with a briefcase full if It's Happening! instead of USD or Euro I might riddle you full of holes just sayin

Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

David Heinrich posted:

It's not a pejorative term; this is gambling. When investing in a company, for example, you are backing the productive ability of a company to produce things which will result in profit, thereby increasing the worth of your shares in that company. There is nothing here that is gaining worth, and no production to be had; it is, in a literal sense, completely imaginary money. This is similar to gambling in many ways, most primarily because someone must lose, which is not necessarily true in stocks due to profit produced by companies in exchange for their products. Nothing is being produced by Bitcoin, and no profit can be acquired from it; this is why inherent worth is so important. At some point, to liquidate your Bitcoin to USD, someone else must buy it, and it's impossible for that valuation to be accurate because nothing was used to produce the Bitcoin but a lot of wasted electricity; there are no assets to liquidate to pay out stockholders, no items being produced to increase the valuation of the company that Bitcoin represents. Perhaps you can make money on Bitcoin, but to do so, you would need to sell that Bitcoin to someone else who would now be stuck with it; eventually, nobody will be interested in purchasing the Bitcoin, at which point it becomes a worthless commodity. This is not an investment, it's a grown up(Well, college-aged.)game of loving hot potato.

And no, the fact of the matter is that people should indeed be told "It is a bad idea to invest in Bitcoin because it's immensely volatile." Many people don't know a ton about finances, and are indeed swayed by a number that is bigger than it was last year. Bitcoin is not a safe investment; and again, the fact that you can only fall back on "NUMBER GO UP" is the inherent issue; yes, sure, the number is bigger now. You need to consider and understand why that is, and it really is not because of acceptance or confidence; it's because Exchanges restricted cash withdrawals while allowing margin trading, essentially creating an 'alternate' USD that was only worth anything within the Exchange, but was still tracked alongside the normal worth of USD. This is something you need to comprehend before getting into investment.

I hope this effort post helps, but it likely will not

Hi David I'm back to address your post

One of the things I find very tedious are semantic arguments. This argument assumes that there's two categories for all investments / financial instruments: "Accepted Investments" "Gambling". That's great. You have chosen to simplify all possible investments in the world into these two categories, have narrowly defined the accepted investments, and turn around and using that definition declare anything else Gambling. Welp, guess that's over.

The thing is, I feel that Bitcoins belong to a third category, New Things. Cryptocurrencies are new. Having electronic items of exchange that during an initial period can be mined and then can no longer be printed is now. It's a category of items directly created to address the concerns with fiat currency.

When currency went away from the Gold Standard, it went from being backed by a physical good and being in finite supply to being unconstrained in supply and not backed by anything other than faith in the nation state that issued it was a change. It was a change that started 80 years ago and had some serious impact.

The fact that everything being based in nation state issued fiat currency is the norm, and it's a well regarded orthodox position. It has amazing arguments backing it up like things being a store of value (I don't want to argue these positions as we're getting out of scope) that I fundamentally disagree with it. It presents the idea that the the financial system is not rigged / being gamed by institutions, while the monetary supply is not being gamed by the nation states that issue it, and that both corporations and nation states are not in constant competition with each other - to destructive ends, such that they will absolutely try to invalidate the 'value' of these things if they can.

I don't understand presenting having faith in the government / currency of Venezula as a good, reliable, solid thing and then presenting Bitcoins, a non nation state currency, as gambling. That's reductionist, misleading, and simply word games. Bitcoins are different precisely because no nation can start printing millions of new ones or directly seize the market. And while one can make it far more difficult to trade Bitcoins, they really do pose a threat to the existing financial system.

Absolutely nothing of that resembles a state lottery or a casino where one would go to gamble, so the gambling definition clearly doesn't apply. Yet this argument not only uses it, it presents it as the only alternative to investments.

Look at IPOs like Twitter, Snap and Blue Apron. How are those legitimate? Yes, I'm being serious. The "value" is inflated bullshit wall street is selling to suckers while the banks doing the underwriting cash out on the IPO itself. As soon as these firms hit the market with the distortions they've created to get the investor / IPO in the first place, they crater. Then the layoffs start. Amazing value!

Bitcoin is a weird alternative to the financial system that gave us the liquidity crisis of 2008. It may be uninteresting to you or too risky to you. But this sort of bizarre head in the sand "Anything that Fidelity and Bloomberg don't tell me is smart must be gambling" is really unhelpful and I don't think it should be perpetuated as good advice to people.

Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

Bonfire Lit posted:

A malicious actor with nation-state resources can easily step in and mount a 51% attack. (Actually there's a paper out there showing that you need a lot less than 51% of the hashrate, but I forgot the exact number so let's go with 51.)

Why have banks, a malicious actor can physically breach the building and steal all the money! Hell, it's actually happened!

CassandraZara
Oct 21, 2012

by Nyc_Tattoo

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Look at IPOs like Twitter, Snap and Blue Apron. How are those legitimate? Yes, I'm being serious. The "value" is inflated bullshit wall street is selling to suckers while the banks doing the underwriting cash out on the IPO itself. As soon as these firms hit the market with the distortions they've created to get the investor / IPO in the first place, they crater. Then the layoffs start. Amazing value!

Well you did get one thing right.

edit: I'm not being sarcastic, those are garbage assets, but that doesn't make Bitcoin a good investment.

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evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Ham Sandwiches posted:

It's weird how people will fixate on stuff outside of the context it was provided:

"Nobody has a reason to use it"

"actually, during times of turmoil or whenever people are going against the wishes of the state they live in, there is some reason to consider it"

"THATS ILLEGAL ARE YOU ADVOCATING ILLEGAL ACTIVITY"

Ledgers are public and you can't conduct transactions with impunity does not mean it has literally 0 advantages as a slightly more circumspect way to do a transaction for individuals or that it takes effort to pierce that anonymity. Are you being dense or do you not understand that?

hmm yes, this ledger that tracks every single activity and lets you trace it is really the thing that when im conducting illegal activities i want to use

it records everything i do, requires that i give all of my personally identifiable information to an exchange that acts as the fed's self-creating repository of idiot criminals in order to get Real Money, and is so hilariously unstable that my illegal activities can't even rely on it maintaining its value long enough for me to buy something without the price significantly changing

evilweasel fucked around with this message at 21:50 on Oct 6, 2017

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