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COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

gary oldmans diary posted:

but comrades its a

lol

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COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

What I'm curious about is why funds, hedge funds, and financial institutions have started using Bitcoins if it is gambling? These companies are not in the business of gambling so presumably if that's what they are doing, they are violating their fiduciary duty to their shareholders. Like, I'm not aware of the Fidelity CEO taking a few billion down to Vegas to invest in roulette and then posting those returns. I've never heard of such a thing, maybe you have some recent examples.

I have an example it is called the 2008 mortgage crisis.

:synpa:

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
Real talk though the entities you mention gamble all the time because they know they will get a taxpayer bailout and do it again and this has happened over and over and over.

Why wouldn't they gamble on BTC? The potential wins are large and if they lose it doesn't matter.

ALSO though, there are many speculative gamble trades like that but you will not find a major fund that is heavily invested into BTC as a % of their portfolio. You just won't.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

quote:

So clearly real companies with real executives and real people are allowed to speculate in currency, but if any regular person should consider, then it is Gambling and imprudent.

Every time you call it a currency you reveal how little you are informed in this area. Like I'm not trying to be a dick or anything but just something to keep in mind for future BTC threads idk.

You can't pay taxes with it. They are not pegged to any useful commodity. It isn't a currency.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

It's only gambling if individuals do it, these are real companies investing real money so they don't gamble.


No dude an investment is not a gamble, that guy wrote out so many words to explain the difference. I'm just asking why using his definitions none of the big financials do "gambling" the way people understand it, ie going to a casino and betting on games of chance. And yet they mine and invest in bitcoins. Clearly it's different but he doesn't recognize the difference, which is loving rhetorical garbage that he uses to browbeat individuals into investing his way.

Because you think dropping .01% of a portfolio on a total longshot trade is akin to going and spinning the roulette wheel with the principal and that makes you a giblet head Dale.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

I see, I can't pay my taxes in Yen either, clearly not a real currency right???

You can pay Japanese taxes in Yen lmao. Thus Yen carries value because everyone in Japan needs Yen to pay their taxes. This is called a fiat currency.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

EorayMel posted:

Send your bitcoins to this website to get rich.



Excuse me my Jita scams are PATENTED YOU CANNOT DO THIS

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Things bitcoins are like:
Tulips
Ponzi Schemes
Gambling in las Vegas

Things bitcoins are NOT like:
sound financial instruments
stocks - those have INHERENT VALUE
currency

Repeat this at $700

And then at $1500

And then at $2500

and then at $4k

And then go "umm just because the numbers, hedge funds, countries, retailers, and people using this keep going up doesn't mean I'm wrong"

and you have the formula the SA forums have enjoyed the past few years. It's loving great.

lol

Be one of the owners of 70% of the BTCs stolen by Mt Gox.

:discourse:

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Yeah but as an American I can still buy and trade it even though I can't pay my taxes in it... now what

That also applies for Japanese people that own US dollars are you loving with me here dude!!!!

They can't pay their taxes with these things!!

I mean this is like basic definitions of terms in 101 classes idk what to tell you.

Fiat currency = currencies backed by a sovereign gov't that require payment of that currency for their taxes.
Commodity currency = currencies whose value is derived from a specific unit of the commodity itself. Gold/silver/salt/etc.

BTC is which?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Ok. You are telling me that you can't pay taxes in bitcoin and that makes it fake.

If an American holds US Dollars that's great because they can pay their taxes in US Dollars to the US, where they live. That checks out.

Except an American can also buy Yen, and they can't pay their US taxes in Yen.

And Japanese people can buy Dollars, which they also can't pay Japanese taxes in.

How does the yen become more real to Japanese people since they can pay taxes in it and less real to Americans since they can't??

Are you having a stroke?

Ham Sandwiches posted:

How does the yen become more real to Japanese people since they can pay taxes in it and less real to Americans since they can't??

If you are Japanese and without sufficient Yen you get arrested and imprisoned. If you are American without sufficient USD, same.

I can buy LEGO with my USD that doesn't mean LEGO are now a currency.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

This seems to be trying very hard to avoid the narrow definition of gambling that was just established at length. I am accusing you of having a double standard that it's gambling if an individual does it, investment if an institution does it. If someone has faith that bitcoin will continue to legitimize as an investment it does not make them a gambler. Clearly these institutions think it could pan off and are hedging their bets. It's loving ridiculous that you are painting individuals as reckless gamblers for trying to mirror the behavior of major institutions if they so choose.

It's gambling because you have a risk of total loss which isn't insignificant in exchange for maybe substantial returns based on nothing other than 'number go up people happy make number go up more.'

There's no business plan to invest in, there's no revenues to buy a share of, there's literally nothing other than this widget which is valued highly simply because, in your own words, people value it highly.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

It is literally this that bothers me so much about all the bitcoin discussions. People are meant to be kept away from potential things at all costs, because this guy knows its gambling and knows better. loving BS.

You mean, what happens when you invest in wall street? Or is it not ok to imply that the hedge funds and wall street banks are largely concerned with their own well-being and not that of the overall market? HFT is great stuff, algorithms are great stuff, short selling is great stuff, stock manipulation is great stuff, and NONE OF THAT happens on Wall Street where major firms make billions systematically taking value from individual investors and weak hands

That's why you don't be a retail day trader and just stick your money into a diversified portfolio. I'd have similar advice about penny stocks as with BTC. Penny stocks are gambling too.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

If you believe that countries may consider it as an alternative to a specific fiat currency

Why would they ever do this?

e: And why BTC, specifically?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Here's one hypothetical out of many!
Sometimes countries get into really weird debt spirals or have bizarre inflation issues, like the hyperinflation in Zimbabwe. You never know if or when that stuff will happen, but Bitcoin could be surprisingly useful if it does

How would BTC be useful in that situation though?

Like say I'm the president of Fuckistan and you're my economic advisor. We're experiencing hyperinflation and other things that we are blaming the US government for (the pigs). I call you in, and say 'alright you emailed me about these Bitcoin things. Explain what we need to do and why.'

(I know the basic concept of the block chain so you can skip that and just go directly to how this helps us.)

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

The scenario you are making up is loving bizarre. What i'm talking about is:

I mean it's your scenario man you mentioned the hyperinflation and whatnot.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

The citizens of Fuckistan have Fuckdollars which suddenly become useless when Fuckistan goes to war with the united states.

The citizens of Fuckistan may not be able to use Fuckdollars in any way but they can try using any Bitcoins they have for their transactions.

The citizens of the neighboring countries may say "We don't want your worthless fuckdollars because they'll be gone when Fuckistan is gone but we'll accept Bitcoins for bread since we can convert those back into our currency"

and that would generally cause the price to go up as more people started using it to do this

Well so my question here then is why would they want BTC... which they have to somehow digitally convert (let's say it is 50 years from now and that's not an issue fine)... instead of just USD?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
Also, that doesn't answer the question of why specifically Bitcoin. Even if Fuckistan did adopt a digital cryptocurrency there is 0 guarantee it won't be any of the myriad of others or an entirely new one.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Yes, and that may have uses! There is no nation state that owns Bitcoin so they won't be interfering in your use of it either. Like, the things you see as a negative I'm holding out as a positive! And just because we disagree doesn't make you right and bitcoins gambling. Hence my posts.

Anyone with sufficient capital to manipulate the price will be interfering, as apparently already happens.

And it won't ever be stable if it isn't backed by something stable, like a major government.

COMRADES fucked around with this message at 00:25 on Oct 6, 2017

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Because every other currency belongs to a country that has a political agenda and an existing economy that uses it. For situations where that's a problem, you now have Bitcoins.

Think of it this way:
Before: 180 fiat currencies
Now: 180 fiat currencies and 1 currency that is a bit different

There's now more options and if Bitcoin is useful then its price / adoption should spread

Right but there are Dogecoins, Litecoins, Cosbycoins, and 100 others I'm not aware of. What differentiates BTC? It is just that it is more established?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

quote:

It's so genuinely enjoyable going back through old bitcoin threads

Is it really though?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

exploded mummy posted:

Like when BTC-e, a MTGOX competitor tried to launder all the money stolen from GOX and a bunch of Russian ransomware funds, the feds traced it and arrested the dude who did that.


And also that's why BTC-e stopped operating.

lmao

No risk you're risk fake news.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
If I am an African warlord and you show up with a briefcase full if It's Happening! instead of USD or Euro I might riddle you full of holes just sayin

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

If your fundamental argument here is gambling and investing have very tenuous blurry borders then... sure yeah. But this goes back to risk analysis - everything in life has risk associated with it, but that doesn't mean all risks are equal. You're trying to act as if they are. Stocks are risky, so might as well go to Vegas! BTC is risky but just as risky as Lockheed Martin's future earnings!

Well sorry but they aren't equal risks. Lockheed Martin has a contract with the richest nation in the history of the world for a decade to come as well as well established tendrils and controls of said nations government and BTC has...

quote:

Why have banks, a malicious actor can physically breach the building and steal all the money! Hell, it's actually happened!

But my money is insured and I get it back in that case. That's... kind of the point.

COMRADES fucked around with this message at 21:55 on Oct 6, 2017

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

It's fine if you feel that the risk associated with Bitcoin is too much and I think I've repeated this 50 times. That doesn't make it a scam or garbage or worthless. It just means it's too risky for you. The guy that played the fancy word game about "IF CRAMER = VALID; ELSE GAMBLING" I disagree with

Well that's fine then.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Dude if the 2008 liquidity crisis got worse and the US economy imploded and the US failed your dollars would be worth exactly $0, you know that right

Yeah but at that point we'd be shooting each other for canned food items so :shrug:

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
Assuming the electrical/telecomms grid was still operation ofc.


\/\/\/ HAH!

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
No matter how hard you argue you're not going to change basic definitions of words and BTC is not a currency.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

So the other guy that's giving me poo poo when I don't post enough when the meaningless price goes down how does that work??? It either matters or it doesn't matter, right? Or is it like some kind of dynamic inconsistency where it only matters when going down and doesn't matter anytime it goes up?

Do you even supply and demand bro?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Does the price matter, or does it not matter? I'm just trying to establish which one!!

Matter in terms of what?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
At the end of time, a moment will come when just one man remains. Then the moment will pass. Man will be gone. There will be nothing to show that we were ever here... but BTC miners.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-11/buyer-beware-as-70-000-goes-up-in-smoke-on-broken-ico-trade

quote:

From the outset, investors have been warned that it’s buyer beware in the world of initial coin offerings. On Wednesday, someone got a $70,000 lesson on the subject.

The person, only known at this point by their ethereum blockchain address 0xf51ec864d5fb2f184198e369fe063fc77045a3ad, was trying to buy about $508,000 worth of AirSwap tokens -- or 1,700 ether -- according to the transaction history on Etherscan. They ended up losing 236.9516 ether, worth a little more than $70,000.

As Etherscan explains, investors who experience a broken or canceled trade don’t lose the value of the transaction, but they do forfeit the amount of ether necessary to make the deal possible.

l m f a o

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Even that $70k loss thing is loving amazing. The half a mil that guy made on the coins int he first place? Paper gains, it's totally fake, nothing is real, he couldn't have gotten the money out.

He didn't have half a mil in coins, he was trying to buy half a mil in coins.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

evilweasel posted:

one assumes that he had $500k of electronic pogs that he was exchanging for the $500k of electronic tulips when he lost the $70k e-pogs

if he "made" that $500k in e-pogs or spent $500k of actual american dollars on e-pogs in order to trade them for e-tulips is not covered by the story though

Well it was an initial public offering that started yesterday so I'm assuming it was USD but yeah he might have bought some other kind of e-pog to get the e-tulips with.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

The scenario where a real life guy, having never messed with bitcoins, having made no money in coins in any way to that point, tries to do a transaction and loses $70k is clearly the moment where Bill in Utah lost $70k from his kids college fund, right??

That doesn't seem very plausible!

Sounds like some rich schmuck who wanted in on the hype train to me. I never said "look at this guy who lost his life savings" I just said lol this guy did a transaction which failed and still got charged for it.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

The electronic pogs that some people were able to create using their existing GPU and for a few bucks in electricity might not represent an actual $70k loss, but the story is entirely presented as if that were his cost basis

This is fair enough but even so I lol at how that's even a thing that can happen (I know it's not BTC btw I just saw that headline pop up on Bloomberg and thought it was funny).

If a transaction fails on the NYSE you don't get charged 14% anyway.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

that's how you push the narrative of "everyone messing with this loses money" while the reality is the opposite

Didn't say that though did I? I even said I have a friend who made $20k on BTC. I'm simply saying that it is more risky versus other investments.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

I'm saying people that seem not very financially astute simultaneously pretend that every loss is real and sit there and wring their hands about how all the gains are fake because you can't get them out of the exchanges. It's a complete double standard.

Well you're just making up strawmen now if you're referring to me.

I never said making money was impossible, I simply said the odds are not in your favor. You're trying to act like everything is equally likely to result in a loss which is silly - remember when you said BTC and XAR are both total unknowns because no one has a crystal ball so therefore putting money into either one is basically the same thing?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

A lot of people on something awful have made fun of Bitcoins since they first came up. I thought those people were stupid. The most incredible thing is that those same folks were super smug and sure that bitcoins were a scam and that they'd never amount to anything and made fun of redditors for mining them. The only place you could have a useful discussion about the topic was on Reddit.

I find it truly fascinating to go back and talk to the posters that spent years spreading bullshit about things they didn't understand and were clearly wrong on, and to be here in the moment where it slowly dawns on them that they don't know what they're loving talking about, and see their reaction.

Like the guy that wasted years of his life writing a book about how wrong he is, that's genuinely loving amazing and I'm glad he did it.

Yeah well 99.99% of people did not in fact make money so...

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Why do you only post the stories when people lose money then?? Why not post some where they make money?

Idk post some. Like I said I only posted it because it came up on my Bloomberg feed. I'm not out cherrypicking to post specific stories to push a narrative. This isn't even BTC!

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Yeah I'm saying this is loving wrong and you have no basis for making this claim!

I mean I don't have the exact number you're right but odds are more people made more money through traditional financial instruments in the last decade than they have with BTC.

e: Again I remind you that exchanges have been hacked/robbed multiple times so there's 0 guarantee (and in fact a strong chance) that if you had BTC in a wallet a decade ago you'd have lost them by now.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
There's not really much to it, he bought a bunch before the Cypress banking crisis and held on until they were around $1000 and sold them off.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

1gnoirents posted:

I havent been following the thread at all and I am a filthy buttminer afterall, but all logic and reason has failed on bitcoin and we were all wrong. If you cant figure out how to make money off something that has grown 7000% in 9 months, you dont deserve to "invest". If you had outright purchased any bitcoins at all this entire year you will at the very least broken even by today. The only possible way to fail was to buy at a previous peak close to $5000 and sold when it dived briefly to $2000.

If you bought any of the other coins though, thats on you.

Personally I am enjoying converting $12 in electricity into $200 a month risk free, but I am scraping the bottom of the barrel here.

Frankly when people say things like "risk free" and "the only possible way to fail..." then that has my alarm bells ringing. I'm glad you are making money but to advise everyone to do the same is a bit silly given that people have different risk appetites. I disagree with people who only buy T-bonds and nothing else but I'm not going to tell them they are totally wrong and look at my portfolio.

I mean basically everything you say is applicable to penny stocks on their way up you know?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Ah wow so he made $20,000 and nobody scammed him and it wasn't for drugs? Like $20,000 free and clear? Seems pretty cool!

Yup! Dunno if he reported it to the IRS so maybe there are taxes involved there so maybe not a full $20k free and clear but yeah.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

The alarm bells should be ringing when you are advising real people with real bills that are really struggling to ignore $20,000 that your friend got for free because you "know better"

My friend could afford to lose everything he put in. If that applies to other people and they want to roll the dice, then by all means.

Telling people something is "risk free" and "for sure a win" = people put in more than they can afford and are boned when/if they lose. It's an age old story.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

WOW!! That seems hard to believe when Bitcoins are a scam and you can't transfer your money out in Dollars because all exchanges are bullshit and $70,000 in transaction fees and you need to wait hours for a bitcoin transaction!!

That $70k wasn't BTC, again just btw.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Maybe those things don't loving matter when you can make $20,000 if you know what you're doing so warning people off is not helping them but in fact loving them over big time!!!

Ok. :shrug: I'm kind of tired of this argument we clearly just disagree on fundamentals.

By all means tell everyone you know to put all their USD into BTC and take the moonshot.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Fair enough, I'm saying other people can do what your friend did and make $20k just like he did, so the well meaning generalized advice to avoid Bitcoins at all costs seems to completely ignore those scenarios where people do make money

Well again it just kind of comes down to numbers and statistics. I know quite a few people who bought BTC. I only know the one who made a bunch of money out of it. Should I liquidate all assets and be a retail daytrader because hey, some people make tons of money?

If you want to take some money and get BTC with it then by all means. All I'm saying is recognize that it is a high risk high reward thing you are doing and if you don't have the stomach or risk appetite to deal with that, which many people don't, then other options exist. You can't say *literally everyone* will make money and it is foolish to act like all risks are equal. An established market ETF will give you lower returns but it is also much less likely to explode in your face.

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

1gnoirents posted:

The only possible way to fail was to buy at a previous peak

Hindsight is 20/20 though isn't it?

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Yeah but I didn't say this. I didn't say everyone will make money. The something awful consensus is that *literally everyone* will lose money, which I feel is absolutely false and I challenge regularly. I am not saying *literally everyone* will make money. I disagree with the claim that *literally everyone* will lose money, a claim that has been repeated for years and has been used to mock every single redditor that tried it and bit of turbluence relating to cryptocurrencies, while ignoring scenarios where people made money.

OK well that's fine then. Mostly my thing is I am contesting what was said some days ago about everything being a gamble so screw it doesn't matter really whether you get BTC or stocks or whatever.

I will say this: arbitrage among different exchanges made me beer/weed money when I was in Germany and I never quite got the "it takes hours to get transactions completed!" thing because in my experience, no it doesn't. Was never a high volume though so ymmv of course.

Ham Sandwiches posted:

No the predictions were that it was guaranteed to fail and it was a foregone conclusion that bitcoins are a scam and you'd never get your money out, those predictions were wrong! People posted bullshit graphs! Laughed about HDD crashes! A guy wrote a book about it! This really did happen.

I'm just saying in general the statement "the only way to fail was to buy at the peak" is not very helpful when you are sitting there thinking about whether to buy or not.

Like if we take nVidia for example, I've been thinking it has peaked for about a year now and lol I'm loving wrong and could have made quite a bit of money if I pulled the trigger instead of waiting around for a correction that never came. However I did pull the trigger on AMD and turns out yup that was its peak and I'm sitting at about break even now after bagholding for a while. There's no real way to tell, which is why chart reading is so popular because people think it will let them predict future movement somehow.

(Also my gently caress around day trade money is earmarked for that, that knowing I could very well lose a poo poo ton of it and I don't feel like cratering my entire portfolio.)

COMRADES fucked around with this message at 20:28 on Oct 11, 2017

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COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
Tbh it's all about DogeCoin now.

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