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Too bad all my funds are locked up in the AL markets that won't resolve any time soon because Roy Moore is a petulant baby.
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Dec 15, 2017 21:25
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| # ? Apr 25, 2024 12:57 |
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people are offloading heavy. I don't know if there has been some announcement beyond Toomey saying he's confident they've got the votes for next week but looks like a lot of people are cutting bait. edit: aaaaaaaaaand corker is on board. this is gonna happen but I'd rather risk the couple bucks I'd get offloading on the chance that some 2020 hopeful takes the centrist approach out of nowhere IM DAY DAY IRL has issued a correction as of 21:35 on Dec 15, 2017 |
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Dec 15, 2017 21:29
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Yeah, single digits means lotto ticket territory, worth throwing a few bucks at considering all the ways it could still fail in the next two weeks.
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Dec 15, 2017 21:38
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IM DAY DAY IRL posted:this CORP.TAXCUT train is a wild ride. that being said if you're still feeling good about them not being able to pass it through (even with Rubio back on board) NO shares are selling for 17c right now. Make that 8c. You might try this as a flip play - buy at 8, sell at 10, etc. But it's passing next week so.
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Dec 16, 2017 02:17
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Hufflepuff or bust! posted:But it's passing next week so. Seems like today's the day. Just threw $3 more on the pyre because it's still 2017 and perhaps a couple Rs will drop dead before the final vote is tallied
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Dec 19, 2017 22:20
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bawfuls posted:Too bad all my funds are locked up in the AL markets that won't resolve any time soon because Roy Moore is a petulant baby. The mandate repeal and tax cut both took a huge swing now that there's indications it might not be signed by the end of the year. I'm furious that my money is still tied up in the Alabama race.
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Dec 20, 2017 15:47
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Nevvy Z posted:The mandate repeal and tax cut both took a huge swing now that there's indications it might not be signed by the end of the year. I'm furious that my money is still tied up in the Alabama race. lmao y’all are really tempting me to jump back into this bastard site. I was *this* close to throwing ten bucks on a lottery ticket with this.
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Dec 20, 2017 15:51
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Rex-Goliath posted:lmao y’all are really tempting me to jump back into this bastard site. I was *this* close to throwing ten bucks on a lottery ticket with this. The swing from yesterday is CRAZY.
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Dec 20, 2017 16:05
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roy moore concede binch
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Dec 20, 2017 16:06
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Oh poo poo I have 400 B1 No shares I picked up cheap a while back and had written off. Not sure how many to sell now. What's the news? I'm at work and don't really have time to dive in/play the swings today.
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Dec 20, 2017 16:12
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SurgicalOntologist posted:Oh poo poo I have 400 B1 No shares I picked up cheap a while back and had written off. Not sure how many to sell now. What's the news? I'm at work and don't really have time to dive in/play the swings today. Trump is making noises about not signing the bill before the years out. I might cash out now because it looks like if he doesn't sign the bill he'll accidentally pocket veto it and it looks like the Rs are bound and determined to do this poo poo come hell or highwater. Everything is swinging back to it being done by the year end. Guys, what if Trump is on predictit? Harold Fjord has issued a correction as of 16:52 on Dec 20, 2017 |
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Dec 20, 2017 16:48
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Nevvy Z posted:Guys, what if Trump is on predictit? Trump deliberately loving his own party's legislation just to collect pennies on PredictIt would probably be the least surprising news ever
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Dec 20, 2017 18:01
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Nevvy Z posted:The mandate repeal and tax cut both took a huge swing now that there's indications it might not be signed by the end of the year. I'm furious that my money is still tied up in the Alabama race. 
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Dec 20, 2017 18:48
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Nevvy Z posted:The mandate repeal and tax cut both took a huge swing now that there's indications it might not be signed by the end of the year. I'm furious that my money is still tied up in the Alabama race.
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Dec 20, 2017 19:49
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Didn't y'all learn your lesson last year? I got out the minute AL was called for Jones at .99
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Dec 20, 2017 19:50
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I always maintain 99c sell orders on all my positions in order to be first in line to GTFO.
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Dec 20, 2017 19:56
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Aliquid posted:Didn't y'all learn your lesson last year? I got out the minute AL was called for Jones at .99 I already offloaded enough at 55c to cover the initial investment plus the money I lost on Saban 
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Dec 20, 2017 19:57
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Aliquid posted:Didn't y'all learn your lesson last year? I got out the minute AL was called for Jones at .99 I literally joined predictit to bet against the ped.
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Dec 20, 2017 19:57
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My Predictit bankroll is extremely meager after last November so I'm the doofus wanting to hang in till markets resolve to squeeze every last drop out.
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Dec 20, 2017 20:37
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Hope none of y'all were holding "yes" shares in any 2017 tax markets.
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Dec 20, 2017 21:55
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If they have to rename the bill what happens with this "Will the Tax Cuts & Jobs Act be enacted on July 1, 2018 or later, or never?"' Because you can buy in at $0.02 right now. Edit- I found the rules. It has to include that phrase or be HR1. Booo Harold Fjord has issued a correction as of 22:29 on Dec 20, 2017 |
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Dec 20, 2017 21:59
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Nevvy Z posted:If they have to rename the bill what happens with this "Will the Tax Cuts & Jobs Act be enacted on July 1, 2018 or later, or never?"' Rule #1 of PredictIt: read the rules
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Dec 20, 2017 23:12
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Yeah there are a whole lot of markets where betting the No on one side is better than the Yes you want because of all the ways it might resolve No based on weird rules issues.
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Dec 20, 2017 23:14
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Yup. Or sometimes, rarely, markets that resolve yes unexpectedly because of the rules (see: Jerusalem). In any case, never bet a dime on anything until you understand the rules.
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Dec 20, 2017 23:15
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Rex-Goliath posted:lmao y’all are really tempting me to jump back into this bastard site. I was *this* close to throwing ten bucks on a lottery ticket with this. Make sure to use the freemoney25 or whatever code if you do. It was posted in the old thread.
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Dec 20, 2017 23:28
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IM DAY DAY IRL posted:Seems like today's the day. Just threw $3 more on the pyre because it's still 2017 and perhaps a couple Rs will drop dead before the final vote is tallied Glad you ignored me, it seems. I went short on it too! Thanks for the thousand dollars, folks.
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Dec 20, 2017 23:39
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Hufflepuff or bust! posted:Glad you ignored me, it seems. I went short on it too! Thanks for the thousand dollars, folks. Just got out- turning $25 into $200 (even after some minor losses in other markets) is where I call it good. Wishing the best for those of you riding it out until the 31st- I'll be looking to do some wave-riding in the meantime.
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Dec 21, 2017 02:42
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you guys realize you could’ve sold out of alabama at like .97 eight days ago and used that cash to play and make money in other active, swinging, lucrative markets, right?
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Dec 21, 2017 03:59
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Abel Wingnut posted:you guys realize you could’ve sold out of alabama at like .97 eight days ago and used that cash to play and make money in other active, swinging, lucrative markets, right? this thread isn’t that old yet let’s not get into intermediate strats just yet
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Dec 21, 2017 04:22
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Abel Wingnut posted:you guys realize you could’ve sold out of alabama at like .97 eight days ago and used that cash to play and make money in other active, swinging, lucrative markets, right? Well yeah but I didn't expect that they would be such buttheads about it. The SoS is being a dickhead on McConnells behalf stalling the certification but they aren't loving around about the fact that Jones won, Moore lost.
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Dec 21, 2017 14:14
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Aliquid posted:Didn't y'all learn your lesson last year? I got out the minute AL was called for Jones at .99
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Dec 21, 2017 14:21
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any idea why this market spiked so hard? Is 30c NOs a good buy again?
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Dec 21, 2017 22:18
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I am very confused about that market and have resigned myself to just sitting on the small handful of 4c NO shares I have at this point.
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Dec 21, 2017 22:23
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I can't find any actual reason why it's more likely to get passed today than it was yesterday other than 'no news is good news' I guess? Sounds like they're going to prevent a gov't shutdown but that doesn't address any of the current issues with the bill 
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Dec 21, 2017 22:25
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As far as I can tell it has something to do with the continuing resolution but I am not sure why. Just yesterday there were reports that Trump planned to sign it on Jan 1st so I don't know what's changed.
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Dec 21, 2017 22:35
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The Clinton "federal charges in 2017" market spiked to 14c within the past week. It was probably just someone dumping their shares, but man those markets have been a money tree for going on two years now 
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Dec 21, 2017 22:52
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I got back in on the NOs for tax bill passing before 2018. Went about five minutes too early, prices have dropped again now that the votes have been cast to prevent gov't shutdown. let's see if lightning strikes twice
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Dec 21, 2017 22:59
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The tax bill has already passed both the Senate and the House, after going through conference AND the House re-voting after fixing the minor issues the parliamentarian had, right? So I don't get what a potential shut down has to do with the tax bill market. Either Trump signs it before the 31st or he doesn't. I guess it's this: https://twitter.com/EamonJavers/status/943885932683513856
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Dec 21, 2017 23:01
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tax bill approval is approaching lotto ticket prices again. let this be a lesson to those of you who didn't cash out- if you're getting in at sub-20c prices selling at or above 80c is still a huge win. edit: welp, cross your fingers, boys. I'm sitting at just over 500 shares, may the holidays be plentiful and joyous IM DAY DAY IRL has issued a correction as of 01:37 on Dec 22, 2017 |
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Dec 21, 2017 23:25
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Lol market flipped again.
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Dec 22, 2017 18:21
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