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Carlosologist posted:New Jersey stuff - Republicans have made the 5th congressional district (my district) one of their top seats to target, so Josh Gottheimer, our center-left representative (way better than the MAGA rep) is building a huge war chest to be ready for November. I'm waiting to see what challenges emerge from the left, because Gottheimer had some questionable votes (voted against disaster relief for god knows what loving reason) this year, but I'll be voting for him again because this district is finally tilting to the left after years and years of Republican nonsense. http://observer.com/2017/12/year-in-review-gottheimer-is-building-a-wall-of-money/ The work-around is basically set up a charity that funds state projects; allow you to deduct donations to that charity 1:1 from your state taxes, then claim the charitable deduction (not capped) on your federal taxes.
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Jan 10, 2018 19:21
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Per WaPo, there will be no special election declared before the House of Delegates sits, meaning the 28th is certified as of now. 51-49 GOP in Virginia.
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Jan 10, 2018 19:25
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Your Boy Fancy posted:Per WaPo, there will be no special election declared before the House of Delegates sits, meaning the 28th is certified as of now. 51-49 GOP in Virginia. What happens if someone happens to dangle no-show lucrative executive office jobs in front of House members? Special election, or the seat is just vacant?
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Jan 10, 2018 19:29
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evilweasel posted:The work-around is basically set up a charity that funds state projects; allow you to deduct donations to that charity 1:1 from your state taxes, then claim the charitable deduction (not capped) on your federal taxes. oh, that's actually a really cool and good idea! thanks for the explanation
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Jan 10, 2018 19:31
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evilweasel posted:What happens if someone happens to dangle no-show lucrative executive office jobs in front of House members? Special election, or the seat is just vacant? The former. We haven't had news of any such appointments, though, so I assume nobody has been willing to be the first one to jump ship yet. (Alternatively, they're just waiting to vote in a Republican Speaker before they sell out their party.)
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Jan 10, 2018 19:36
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The Maroon Hawk posted:Sorry if this has been posted already, but to the surprise of approximately nobody, Sheriff Joe is running for Senate in AZ. Good.
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Jan 10, 2018 19:59
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Ego-bot posted:It's also looking like it'll be Feinstein and de Leon going head-to-head in November. If there's no President, Senator or Governor for conservatives to vote for it makes them much more likely to stay at home. It's pretty much a nightmare scenario for house Republicans in California. I think there's 7 of them in districts that Clinton won. Issa just announced he's not running for re-election this year. Guess he decided to spend more time
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Jan 10, 2018 20:35
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axeil posted:He's also said he wants the legislature passing universal background checks for guns and a Medicaid expansion as well as:  Hold the phone, I thought we were supposed to ignore everything Northam says?
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Jan 10, 2018 22:06
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Remember the Clinic I mentioned earlier in the thread? Yeah Walorski was posting statements saying she was going to do everything in her power to keep them from opening and somehow got the health commissioner to reject their medical license so it is now revoked. They are going to appeal the decision but it’s Indiana in a heavy catholic area with a red state backing so it’s going to be rough. This article doesn’t mention her specifically but she was bragging about this on face book and her previous statements show she did something. My primary goal as of now is to do whatever it takes to make sure Walorski is done. She has not held a town hall in years, does crap like this and embarrasses this state on a regular basis. 
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Jan 10, 2018 23:01
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Kilroy posted:
Eh, make fun of him for the stuff he's still wrong about, not the stuff he's blundered into being right about.
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Jan 10, 2018 23:24
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Lightning Knight posted:Eh, make fun of him for the stuff he's still wrong about, not the stuff he's blundered into being right about. The stuff he got hit for suggesting earlier was the blunder. Everything in Axeil's post is stuff that's been part of the campaign since forever. (It's also good and, relevantly, mostly stuff that can potentially earn one or two Republican defectors to pass. We'll see if the almost-deadlock increases the risk of Republican defectors or causes them to tighten their ranks.) Quorum fucked around with this message at 23:51 on Jan 10, 2018 |
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Jan 10, 2018 23:48
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https://twitter.com/_cingraham/status/951142875848368128 https://twitter.com/_cingraham/status/951174402531508224
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Jan 11, 2018 04:13
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I live in Wyoming and wish for something resembling the 2006 district-at-large US House election where the Democratic nominee has a chance, but I think Gary Trauner only ever had a chance because even Republicans were over Barbara Cubin. Cynthia Lummis bailed in 2016 so she was just around for long enough that her entire tenure in the House was voting against the Democrats and Obama. There's no way in hell that Liz Cheney is getting voted out of office unless coal in Wyoming completely dies by the end of the summer. And I think that's really what it will take for a Democrat to win a senate seat or US house seat in Wyoming--Republicans promising to bring back coal jobs and that industry never being able to revive. This state lost one percent of its population in 2016 and likely about as much in 2017 while people who lost their oil or coal jobs migrate to North Dakota. Meanwhile, Boise and Salt Lake City are going through population growths of all loving places in the Rocky Mountain West. Star Man fucked around with this message at 05:16 on Jan 11, 2018 |
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Jan 11, 2018 05:12
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https://twitter.com/SopanDeb/status/951311878063558657 To be more clear, he was the one doing the blackmailing. He gone, right? posted:In a recording obtained by News 4, a woman says she had a sexual encounter with Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens and that he tried to blackmail her to keep the encounter quiet. There's an extra element in this story-it's not the woman coming forward, but her exhusband. He claims it's because they've been receiving investigation and harassment from law enforcement and reporters-to the point of leaving voicemails on their daughters phone. It's clearly newsworthy and should be the end of his career (and he was a rising star, to the extent this GOP has them), but the ex sending a secret recording of a conversation with his then-wife to media outlets is...  e: additional context- https://twitter.com/JackSuntrup/status/951317714265608192 Paracaidas fucked around with this message at 06:11 on Jan 11, 2018 |
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Jan 11, 2018 05:56
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gently caress Eric Greitens
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Jan 11, 2018 06:10
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Spiffster posted:Remember the Clinic I mentioned earlier in the thread? Yeah Walorski was posting statements saying she was going to do everything in her power to keep them from opening and somehow got the health commissioner to reject their medical license so it is now revoked. They are going to appeal the decision but it’s Indiana in a heavy catholic area with a red state backing so it’s going to be rough. This article doesn’t mention her specifically but she was bragging about this on face book and her previous statements show she did something. Walorski took Donnelly's old seat when he pulled off the Senate win in 2012 right? Maybe you'll have some luck from his reelection campaign as I imagine he'll want to shore up his old base. I'm stuck in the old Bloody Eighth and I'd like to see Bucshon out on his rear end. William Tanoos is our man for the moment, though former Evansville mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel is also considering a run. Tanoos starred in a movie about a grandson of Eugene Debbs running for governor, which would be hilarious to see become a campaign issue. Weinzapfel would probably win the primary if he gets in, but he hasn't announced yet. Good luck and give 'em hell.
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Jan 11, 2018 06:19
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T-Mac's official portrait as Governor will show him working on restoring voting rights for felons as he considers it his best accomplishment. Terry McAuliffe may have been the best VA Governor in something like 20 years, which blows my mind. http://www.richmond.com/news/virgin...51d10869fc.html 
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Jan 11, 2018 19:03
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I was looking at the PVI for governor races, and is there a chance that the blue wave reaches there as well? Right now we hold 20 governorships, and assuming we hold all our current seats, I think there is a possibility that we win in Maine, New Mexico, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, Florida, and Wisconsin. those are all range between D+5 and R+3, and I think there's a chance we even out the gubernatorial map. Obviously, Dem candidates need to be in tune with local issues and provide actual solutions as opposed to "Trump bad, vote me!!!"
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Jan 11, 2018 19:03
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Spiffster posted:Remember the Clinic I mentioned earlier in the thread? Yeah Walorski was posting statements saying she was going to do everything in her power to keep them from opening and somehow got the health commissioner to reject their medical license so it is now revoked. They are going to appeal the decision but it’s Indiana in a heavy catholic area with a red state backing so it’s going to be rough. This article doesn’t mention her specifically but she was bragging about this on face book and her previous statements show she did something. Paracaidas posted:https://twitter.com/SopanDeb/status/951311878063558657 
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Jan 11, 2018 19:06
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x-post from Trump thread:Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:Missouri gov is not long for this world of politics  I'm speechless. He needs to go to prison.
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Jan 11, 2018 19:35
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Dear fuckinglord that Missouri Governor 
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Jan 12, 2018 00:45
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our fat governor who refused to do a debate without seats and changed parties awhile back from democrat to republican did his annual state of the state last night he had lots of props https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=elWE465A3cE
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Jan 12, 2018 01:32
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DSA chapters in the southeast are organizing a series of talks by Tim Faust on medicare for all: https://twitter.com/crulge/status/950902196887019520 Though details are not finalized for all of the talks, the majority of them will be broadcast either via youtube or facebook. More importantly for the purposes of this thread, the vast majority of them will also include local democratic candidates. In Arkansas, it includes democratic candidates for AR-1, AR-2 and AR-4: http://www.paulspencer2018.com/healthcareforalltownhall In Georgia, it will include a local candidate for GA-09 https://twitter.com/NortheastGADSA/status/951637346188910592
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Jan 12, 2018 04:55
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What in the world is up with Minnesota's 7th district? R+12 and held by a Dem? If it was in the south I'd assume it was a district that hadn't quite caught up w/ realignment, but in the upper midwest I have no idea.
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Jan 12, 2018 05:05
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the other big thing about Eric loving Greitens is that he has managed to piss off a lot of senior GOP legislators, including his own LtGov, with some of his stupid decisions. plus he was a huge proponent of Right-To-Work-For-Less, which he signed but can be over-ruled by a referendum (and groups here got something like 400,000 registered signatures on a petition so we're getting that referendum). his AG is also trying to run for Senate later this year so it'll be interesting to see how it proceeds. but the number of 50 Shades jokes have been off the charts.
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Jan 12, 2018 05:27
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Troy Queef posted:
I have zero faith in this garbage rear end terrible state in general, but I'm still not sure what to make of McCaskill's re-election chances. I know next to nothing about Hawley.
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Jan 12, 2018 05:34
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Doctor Teeth posted:What in the world is up with Minnesota's 7th district? R+12 and held by a Dem? If it was in the south I'd assume it was a district that hadn't quite caught up w/ realignment, but in the upper midwest I have no idea. Peterson is a longterm incumbent, one of the more conservative Dems in the house, and carries a big stick on Ag which is crucial for his (gigantic and sparsely populated) district. As a note, he won reelection despite Trump taking his district 62-31. Depending on your flavor of left, he's either the sort of politician that cost the Dems the Midwest and Rust Belt or he's the sort of politician Dems need to take it back.
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Jan 12, 2018 15:58
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The Muppets On PCP posted:lol no like i said they'll tie it up in court as i was saying http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article194451309.html quote:RALEIGH — Republican lawmakers are appealing to the U.S. Supreme Court to block the ruling this week that struck down North Carolina’s congressional districts – at least temporarily – and they want an answer by Jan. 22. quote:“Simply put, after taking months to issue an opinion adopting multiple entirely novel theories of partisan gerrymandering, the three-judge court has given the General Assembly just two weeks to draw a third congressional map, which is sufficiently unlikely to pass the court’s muster that the court has already decided to have a special master draw a competing map,” Strach said in his court filing. “Having already ignored the prerogatives of the political branches to play the primary role in elections to that degree, it is no surprise that the district court apparently does not even intend to decide which map to impose in time to comply with upcoming voter assignment and filing periods.”
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Jan 12, 2018 23:20
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Would a supreme court ruling on gerrymanding in north carolina have repercussions elsewhere in the country, or would it be completely localized?
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Jan 12, 2018 23:52
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they heard a similar case from wisconsin last october
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Jan 12, 2018 23:55
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Venuz Patrol posted:Would a supreme court ruling on gerrymanding in north carolina have repercussions elsewhere in the country, or would it be completely localized? The argument is that political gerrymandering violates the constitution, so it would have repercussions everywhere.
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Jan 12, 2018 23:57
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also worth noting one of the nc state senators who drew the rejected maps had this to say after previous ones were rejected for illegal racial gerrymanderquote:In an effort to make it clear that race had not been considered in the drawing of the 2016 maps, Lewis made a comment that provided the underpinnings for the partisan gerrymander case.
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Jan 12, 2018 23:59
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Doctor Teeth posted:gently caress Eric Greitens Jesus Christ a thousand times this fellow Missourian. Nixon was the only thing keeping us from being kansas and now we're on the way, with nothing realistically stopping us or even slowing us down till 2020. Fight. On.
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Jan 13, 2018 00:00
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The Muppets On PCP posted:as i was saying "How dare the court assume that we'd not comply with their decision like we have several other times"  - NC GOPVenuz Patrol posted:Would a supreme court ruling on gerrymanding in north carolina have repercussions elsewhere in the country, or would it be completely localized? The better question would be: what does the Supreme Court's decision regarding this stay mean for the Wisconsin case? And, actually, could this force them to issue the Wisconsin ruling early?
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Jan 13, 2018 00:20
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BirdOfPlay posted:The better question would be: what does the Supreme Court's decision regarding this stay mean for the Wisconsin case? And, actually, could this force them to issue the Wisconsin ruling early? If they deny a stay that's relatively good for the Wisconsin case, it suggests Kennedy has not decided those cases are nonjusticible. However the evidence here is so hilariously blatant I could see a stay being denied: usually "how much is too much" is a hard question, but a Republican laying out the specific election result he wants to make happen and writing it in the instructions for the map, and hitting that in the election, seems like a gimme. Nothing can force the Supreme Court to issue the Wisconsin ruling early. They won't, because it's a Big loving Deal if it goes the challengers' way and will want to get the details exactly right since it will lead to a lot more litigation.
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Jan 13, 2018 00:36
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evilweasel posted:If they deny a stay that's relatively good for the Wisconsin case, it suggests Kennedy has not decided those cases are nonjusticible. However the evidence here is so hilariously blatant I could see a stay being denied: usually "how much is too much" is a hard question, but a Republican laying out the specific election result he wants to make happen and writing it in the instructions for the map, and hitting that in the election, seems like a gimme. Wouldn't they be able to just roll the NC decision into the WI one?
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Jan 13, 2018 02:17
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axeil posted:Wouldn't they be able to just roll the NC decision into the WI one? Yes but they may not see a need to given how blatant the facts are.
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Jan 13, 2018 15:04
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evilweasel posted:Yes but they may not see a need to given how blatant the facts are. Well, unless they are going to rule in WI that everything is fine, then you'd expect them to think NC is fine too.
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Jan 13, 2018 18:06
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axeil posted:Well, unless they are going to rule in WI that everything is fine, then you'd expect them to think NC is fine too. I doubt Kennedy's going to rule that partisan gerrymandering is ok, he just might not feel they've proven it in WI with a standard that can be applied nationwide. But NC's facts are just so hilariously blatant.
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Jan 13, 2018 19:05
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joepinetree posted:DSA chapters in the southeast are organizing a series of talks by Tim Faust on medicare for all: Im involved with Asheville (North Carolina) DSA and we are hosting him on January 30th at the West Asheville Public Library , 7pm. Alas we havent brought in any candidates :\
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Jan 14, 2018 03:55
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