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ScrubLeague posted:Rural Texas whites will not vote for someone named Beto. Cruz will be back because he triggers the libs. on the other hand, "Texan" is shorthand for "dumb white Southern rear end in a top hat" so there's a good chance i'll be wrong anime was right posted:dems gonna lose by like 2 seats because they're garbage idiots also, hardly any House gains will be made in blue states with seats held by Republicans, on account that every idiot Democrat in that district will run in the primary and ensure that the shittiest candidate will win. example: i've looked over the candidates in the district held by Dan Donovan and the only guy who looks any good is some guy who makes props for TV shows. everyone else is NYPD or a veteran get that OUT of my face has issued a correction as of 07:20 on Jan 5, 2018 |
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Jan 5, 2018 07:15
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get that OUT of my face posted:Cruz is like Ryan in that his home state doesn't like him. the most spiteful white people live in the exurbs and not the rural parts, but as a whole, the GOP is losing some sway even there. it's increasingly looking like the only reason they can stay in power is because Texas is rigged to hell and back Cornyn is a total shithead but he at least tries to be a Texan for whatever that is worth. Cruz makes no such attempts and is probably one of the more forgettable incumbents among his constituency.
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Jan 5, 2018 07:20
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the wrongest thread post lol
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Jan 5, 2018 07:22
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:Cornyn is a total shithead but he at least tries to be a Texan for whatever that is worth. Cruz makes no such attempts and is probably one of the more forgettable incumbents among his constituency.
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Jan 5, 2018 07:25
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cruz wqould only lose if there was even less enthusiasm for him than there is currently and beto gets a surge
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Jan 5, 2018 07:26
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Purple Texas dream incoming. The thing about gerrymandering is that it's a double edged sword. As long as the population stays relatively constant, a minority party can win the state and control the legislature so that they can re-gerrymander next census. Well Texas is not a stagnant population, in fact: Rank State 2010 Census 2017 %Change 1 Texas 25,145,561 28,304,596 +12.56% 2 North Dakota 672,591 755,393 +12.31% 3 Utah 2,763,885 3,101,833 +12.23% 4 Florida 18,801,310 20,984,400 +11.61% 5 Colorado 5,029,196 5,607,154 +11.49% 6 Nevada 2,700,551 2,998,039 +11.02% 7 Washington 6,724,540 7,405,743 +10.13% 8 Arizona 6,392,017 7,016,270 +9.77% 9 Idaho 1,567,582 1,716,943 +9.53% 10 South Carolina 4,625,364 5,024,369 +8.63% https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_and_territories_by_population_growth_rate Thus 2018/2020 has a high chance of backfiring assuming, of course, the Democrats aren't a waste. But they are, so most contests will be token gestures with zero support from the national party, and the supported candidates will be indistinguishable from the incumbent.
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Jan 5, 2018 07:30
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get that OUT of my face posted:i think more high-ranking democrats than we think have gotten tired of tying their political fortunes to losers like the clintons and want to do things on their own terms (which may or may not be different than the direction that they've gone in for the past quarter-century... oh who am i kidding, there's no "may not" about it). there was a lot of shuddering among them when hillary released her book where she said she effectively learned nothing, and even a lot of people in congress from NY said she needs to shut up and they won't support her if she runs again wait the dems are running a good dem against cruz!? I can be excited to vote!? in Texas!?
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Jan 5, 2018 07:49
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well i don't think The Dems are running Beto, but Beto is running as a dem. I haven't gotten any Beto emails from the Texas Dems, so I assume they're mostly oblivious.
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Jan 5, 2018 07:50
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oh so he’s going to lose and I can go back to drinking myself to death. a decent consolation prize tbh
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Jan 5, 2018 07:54
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ScrubLeague posted:well i don't think The Dems are running Beto, but Beto is running as a dem. cspam is a great place for adult americans with strong political views to learn what a primary is
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Jan 5, 2018 07:55
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Uncle Wemus posted:i bet the dems will gently caress it up welcum 2 da democratic party
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Jan 5, 2018 08:13
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Texas Dems are notorious cartoon idiots who run into rakes and fall into holes. But Beto is cool and should give Cruz a good fight. Beto is running a real rear end campaign, touring the state and hitting underserved areas. Texas Dems don't know what campaigning is. The mere thought of having to run against anybody gives them the willies.
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Jan 5, 2018 17:01
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i dont trust polls as long as people get energized to vote if there is a trump factor in all of this insanity is that there's political engagement otherwise if the olds only vote, you just see the reds fill the seats again
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Jan 5, 2018 17:03
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Frijolero posted:Texas Dems are notorious cartoon idiots who run into rakes and fall into holes. Good
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Jan 5, 2018 17:06
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I like that Beto is touring the state and visiting areas politicians usually wouldn’t even stop to use the bathroom in but I don’t know how many votes it will get him. I also have no idea how most people here in Texas really think about Ted Cruz or whoever else because everyone I talk to is either extremely online or suburban white old fart who doesn’t trust the FAKE NEWS liberal media. one of my coworkers was legitimately scared that St. Louis was being considered for our emergency offsite office if another hurricane comes because apparently the BLM thugs will mug you three times as you walk from your door to your car or something. Dems will spend all their money and energy trying to reach him instead of getting more left people to the polls.
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Jan 5, 2018 17:14
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Texas has laughably low voter participation because A) people have resigned themselves, B) Democrats are boring losers who nobody wants to vote for. Cruz is hugely unpopular, but he wins because Republicans vote, and Democrats/Independents don't vote. Someone like Beto, who is reaching non-voters and is exciting, has a realistic chance of winning. I don't think the Democrats are wrong when they say that Texas could be Purple/Blue, it's just that they don't have what it takes to win.
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Jan 5, 2018 17:41
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Frijolero posted:Texas has laughably low voter participation because A) people have resigned themselves, B) Democrats are boring losers who nobody wants to vote for. You gotta believe in a better future
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Jan 5, 2018 17:49
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Comrayn posted:I like that Beto is touring the state and visiting areas politicians usually wouldn’t even stop to use the bathroom in but I don’t know how many votes it will get him. spoiler, it will get him a lot of votes
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Jan 5, 2018 19:02
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Cruz is loving hated even by his own base especially after his 2016 performance. a lot of that base moved over to trump and began to despise him when he became so clearly desperate to win. that said, still a republican in Texas and the Texas dems are garbage. but if Beto is a good dem...
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Jan 5, 2018 19:14
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Beto still dips into bipartisan, wonky bullshit and he is not an authentically lifelong diehard progressive like Bernie or someone like Raul Grijalva, but his recent focus on "Berniecrat" campaigning and policies is good.
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Jan 5, 2018 19:36
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http://www.thecrosstab.com/2018-midterms-forecast/
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Jan 5, 2018 21:16
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Comrayn posted:I like that Beto is touring the state and visiting areas politicians usually wouldn’t even stop to use the bathroom in but I don’t know how many votes it will get him. Frijolero posted:Beto still dips into bipartisan, wonky bullshit and he is not an authentically lifelong diehard progressive like Bernie or someone like Raul Grijalva, but his recent focus on "Berniecrat" campaigning and policies is good.
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Jan 5, 2018 22:12
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https://twitter.com/dcexaminer/status/949391580825378816 washington examiner and all, but that basically is brown re-elected.
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Jan 5, 2018 22:40
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That's a good start.
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Jan 5, 2018 23:01
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 the race is tightening for some inexplicable reasons
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Jan 20, 2018 11:29
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:
my guess is that tax cut passage (end of Dec.) means rich Rs come home at least until trump drops the n-word during the SOTU or something. not super alarming this far out considering we can count on trump to keep trumping through 2018
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Jan 20, 2018 14:09
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get that OUT of my face posted:Cruz is like Ryan in that his home state doesn't like him. the most spiteful white people live in the exurbs and not the rural parts, but as a whole, the GOP is losing some sway even there. it's increasingly looking like the only reason they can stay in power is because Texas is rigged to hell and back we've seen a lot of evidence from Alabama that getting dumb white southern assholes to NOT vote republican is a herculean undertaking even when the candidate is a literal pedophile even if they hate Cruz they'll definitely vote for him over a democrat
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Jan 20, 2018 14:14
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the senate map is hellish for dems but fortunately they only really need to tie the house to make the country basically ungovernable until 2020. ryan has to fight constantly to keep his head above water with a 20+ majority. dem wins will come at the expense of a healthy chunk of moderate Rs so even if gerrymandering lets the GOP squeak out a win it will be basically impossible for them to enact meaningful legislation and a perfect recipe for endless shutdown crises. of course it's still super important to flip the house so they can do actual oversight on the white house's vast, mind-boggling corruption instead of people like devin 'release the memo' nunes
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Jan 20, 2018 15:28
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lol if you really think the dems are going to make the country ungovernable rather than keep on trying to pass lovely-rear end deals that give the GOP 90% of what they want
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Jan 20, 2018 15:40
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Cerebral Bore posted:lol if you really think the dems are going to make the country ungovernable rather than keep on trying to pass lovely-rear end deals that give the GOP 90% of what they want that's why the dsa are doing god's work and primarying the poo poo out of them
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Jan 20, 2018 15:45
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CSPAM what have you done to me I'm agreeing with Ben Garrison cartoons
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Jan 20, 2018 16:58
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So in the event of Trump just dropping dead, is that a good or bad thing for the GOP? Having the Koch Brothers #1 homunculus as president obv bad, but let's talk about midterms
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Jan 20, 2018 17:05
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Every single bad dem would trip over themselves to hail the ascension of the very sensible and good President Pence, followed by a thousand years of darkness.
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Jan 20, 2018 17:17
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Yinlock posted:that's why the dsa are doing god's work and primarying the poo poo out of them no idea about primaries though
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Jan 20, 2018 21:05
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Nebakenezzer posted:CSPAM what have you done to me I'm agreeing with Ben Garrison cartoons Nah that's just the one time garrison accidentally managed to be more or less right.
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Jan 20, 2018 21:44
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Cerebral Bore posted:lol if you really think the dems are going to make the country ungovernable rather than keep on trying to pass lovely-rear end deals that give the GOP 90% of what they want it's not the dems that would make the country ungovernable, it would be the house GOP suicide caucus of which ryan would need every vote
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Jan 21, 2018 14:18
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is there any momentum to Ryan retiring before the midterm elections? that was reported a month or so ago and the wave of house republicans quitting has only increased since then
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Jan 21, 2018 18:41
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get that OUT of my face posted:is there any momentum to Ryan retiring before the midterm elections? that was reported a month or so ago and the wave of house republicans quitting has only increased since then he might have to fall on his sword to reopen the government at this point the senate bill is somewhat tolerable but holy loving poo poo the house bill is unironically nazi levels of hosed up and there is no way ryan can hold onto his speakership if he doesn't keep the suicide caucus that wrote that bill happy
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Jan 21, 2018 19:14
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get that OUT of my face posted:about the only race i know where a leftie dem is pulling his weight is Randy Bryce in Ryan's district. i heard of this guy in NJ-3 named Kim but his credentials are a bit of a mixed bag ironstache is the extremely rare case where the good dem hit all the checkboxes of what the dem party wants in a candidate: - white - male - veteran - can credibly vocalize "real america" signifiers so the dem party got behind him and not some data center rear end in a top hat without too much of a fight
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Jan 21, 2018 22:58
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there was some centrist blogger that succlords were freaking out about running in the same primary as bryce but i haven't heard anything about him for months now so i assume bryce is winning
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Jan 21, 2018 23:09
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