Catastrophe posted:

https://lawandcrime.com/high-profile/awkward-joe-arpaio-learns-on-tv-that-accepting-his-pardon-was-a-legal-confession-video/

Awkward: Arpaio Learns on TV that Accepting Trump’s Pardon was Legal Confession

and then he says he doesn't think it's true and you'll have to talk to legal scholars to determine that. Melber reminded him that he is himself a lawyer and cited the Supreme Court case that established precedent.

lol ol' dumb joe

Durf posted:

the Trump test.... HAS BEEN LEAKED!!!!

Space T Rex posted:

Trump's next test leaked:

eonwe posted:

phew, yall don't know how much I need this thread!

Mariana Horchata posted:

Sir Tonk posted:

https://twitter.com/played_straight/status/952828682355212288

Yinlock posted:

https://twitter.com/ShadowFart69/status/953310408948965377

Burt Sexual posted:

How is this different than Jose’s thread again?

Dumb Lowtax posted:

A lot of the things we can lol at in the lol thread also simultaneously make your blood boil, because they're pure idiocy with no silver lining. This new thread is more about celebrating when the idiocy actually hurts them in some way. And other happy news, like someone laying down a sick twitter burn, or someone's dad changing their mind about politics, or pictures of dogs. There's no risk of ruining your day due to constant inundation of news in here. You can give a token effort to check what's up and read some jokes while you're on the toilet and it doesn't have to mean anything other than that for your mood later.

Burt Sexual posted:

There’s a thread for this u fn moron. Carry on your soldier thread creation wish.

Mariana Horchata posted:

¡ranchera!

a helpful bear posted:

https://twitter.com/TheDailyShow/status/953757913180405760

trevor noah isn't spectacularly funny and is problematic but i enjyoed this

quote:

Roy Moore: Please don't mention the sex scandals when you introduce me
Bill Staehle: Oh sure, no problem
Bill Staehle (on stage): Let me tell you how my friend here got the name "ol Pedophile Roy"

quote:

Moore likely to win as weather is expected to dip into teens.

Roy Moore will either win or come in a little behind.

Looks like there will be no Moore keeping up with the Joneses

Burt Sexual posted:

There’s a thread for this u fn moron. Carry on your soldier thread creation wish.

TurboFlamingChicken posted:

The good news is if you're looking for a lot of diverse content look no further than this thread I mean it moves at about one-tenth the speed of all the other Trump threads

Mariana Horchata posted:

Iron Prince posted:

sorry about ur thread op

Mariana Horchata posted:

¡ranchera!

Burt Sexual posted:

This thread is now about ranchera princesses

logikv9 posted:

Try to follow the OP ya weirdos

get that OUT of my face posted:

sports illustrated made the best response to trump's height and weight, imo.

cuntman.net posted:

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/954559115379920898

quote:

Mueller seeks to question Trump about Flynn and Comey departures

...
Trump’s attorneys have crafted some negotiating terms for the president’s interview with Mueller’s team, and they could be presented to the special counsel as soon as next week, according to the two people.
...

dbukalski posted:

LOL at Alabama self own. They ended special elections. Generally speaking Alabama is a safe state to pulle white house positions from because theyll be filled by staunch conservatives via special elections.

From now on theyll be down one congressman until the next regular election

fools

quote:

The good folks at Daily Kos Elections have a spreadsheet for which they painstakingly compiled all the state legislature, congressional, or US Senate special election results in which a Democratic nominee and a Republican nominee ran against each other, and compared them to past years’ presidential results. And a look at the data on their spreadsheet tells us the following:

In the 74 special elections for both state legislatures and Congress across the country since Trump won that they tracked, Democrats performed, on average, 11 points better than they did in those areas in the 2016 presidential election.
While the average movement was in Democrats’ favor, there was a fair amount of variation. In 49 of those races, the Democratic candidate’s margin was better than Hillary Clinton’s in 2016. In 23 races, the Republican candidate did better than Trump. In the other two, it was about a tie.
Democrats aren’t just running up the score in already-blue areas. The party made many of its biggest improvements over the 2016 presidential in districts Trump won in the South and Midwest. This goes to show that the 2016 elections don’t at all seem to have heralded doom for Democrats in regions that tipped to Trump — in fact, it’s many Republican-held seats in those regions that suddenly seem to be flipping to Democrats for the first time in years.
Overall, 14 of those elections have resulted in a seat flipping from Republican to Democrat, compared to just a single one that flipped from Democrat to Republican (a state Senate seat in Massachusetts). The seats flipping to Democrats famously include the Alabama US Senate seat now occupied by Doug Jones, but also eight state house seats and 5 state Senate seats.

Of course, none of this even counts the regularly scheduled statewide elections in Virginia and New Jersey last November. In those, Democrats picked up on net 15 Virginia state house seats, 2 New Jersey state house seats, and one New Jersey state Senate seat, as well as the New Jersey governorship. This suggests the Democratic swing isn’t just a flukey dynamic of low-turnout special elections.
The numbers looks awful for Republicans. But they still have several months in which to turn things around.

Beyond election results, there’s other data that suggests a Democratic wave in 2018 is a strong possibility.

Republican members of Congress are disproportionately choosing to retire, while a remarkable number of Democrats are running for the first time (and many are fundraising quite well).
Trump’s approval rating is very bad for a new president, and Democrats have a sizable lead in generic ballot polling.
There’s also an unmistakable historical trend in which any president’s party is far more likely to do poorly in the midterm elections.

Still, Republicans do have some important points in their favor:

The Senate map is extraordinarily tough for Democrats — they’re defending 26 seats, and Republicans are defending just eight. Furthermore, many of the Senate Democrats on the ballot are in deep-red states that voted for Trump by double digits in 2016.
Republicans also have an advantage over Democrats in district maps for the US House and state legislatures across the country. This advantage is partly due to gerrymandering — the GOP’s 2010 midterm landslide let the party draw the lines in many states — and partly just due to where voters of different demographics have chosen to live. Either way, it could be an edge for the party in closely contested races.
Finally, there’s time. The election is still more than months away, after all, so news events and other political developments could still shift the environment in Republicans’ favor.

Of course, it’s also possible that news events in the coming months could move the race in Democrats’ favor. For instance, the economy could take a turn for the worse. There’s that high-profile investigation of the president and his associates, which will likely get some headlines this year.

We don’t know what the future will hold. But overall, the message from the 2017, and now early 2018, special election results should be quite troubling for Republicans. For now, the Democratic base appears remarkably energized. If they can keep it up until November, the real question will be just how big Democrats’ gains end up being.