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Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007

It's long past time for some good old fashioned middle class life relief



The Trump thread whirrs by too quickly so I thought it might be a good idea to make a separate thread for today's election in Western PA, here's what I wrote about it in the thread:

It's election day folks! For the traditionally republican district of PA-18, a place where Trump won by something like 20 points but has a Dem, Conor Lamb, that's been doing surprisingly well. It's also a district where conservative groups have been doing push polling to truthfully tell Dems on Conor's conservative views on abortion and the 15 dollar wage. His rival, Saccone, is a terrible R candidate and is doing abysmally poor in funding and what he should be polling in Trump country.

It's an interesting one! Did you know that it's a special election because the R (Tim Murphy) who had it had an affair and asked the person he was loving to have an abortion? Here's some more stuff on it:

1: The district won't exist in a couple of months due to redistricting and a repudiation of Republican gerrymandering. Due to the complexity that entails, there's a chance that the R and D candidates might run in and get elected in separate districts (14th and the 17th) and serve in Congress at the same time post Nov.

2. This is the last significant special election before Nov., and the last to see how much D enthusiasm, currently around barely around the double digit mark give or take a few elections, has sustained this far.

3. lol

quote:

Republicans have backed away from their signature tax cut bill in the final days of a closely-watched special House election in the Pittsburgh suburbs even though it's the very accomplishment on which they had banked their midterm election hopes.

https://www.politico.com/story/2018...ublicans-458276

4. also lol

quote:

Republicans are pouring money into this race at an extraordinary rate: When Democrats seemed like they might win a Trump district in Georgia last summer, Republicans warned me behind the scenes against reading into it too much. Democrats were spending so much money on one race that it was inflating its importance, they argued.

Well, now the tables are turned. The Post's Paul Kane reports that Republican groups have spent some $7 million on advertising alone to boost Saccone, a remarkable amount, meaning he has a 2-to-1 edge in TV and radio advertising. Republicans clearly don't want to lose this district. But if they win, how much can they credit their policies vs. their willingness to spend millions on the race?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...m=.b209e93482be

5. Other than seeing if D enthusiasm compared to '14 is still holding, this thing is entirely psychological and I'm just mostly in it for a Trump tantrum.

e: The results are in


Shageletic fucked around with this message at Mar 14, 2018 around 14:15

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A Gnarlacious Bro
Apr 25, 2007



I bet 5 dollars on a Republican win!

logikv9
Mar 4, 2009




Ham Wrangler

looking good for jeb

I did a thing
Mar 23, 2017

On the chest of a barmaid in Sale, were tattooed the prices of ale. And on her behind for the sake of the blind, was the same information in braille.


you need a medical exam if you ain't down with the lamb

imo

Kitfox88
Aug 20, 2007


i hope my state manages to slightly remove the obstruction from its rear end in a top hat

that obstruction is its own head

look i'm bad with metaphors, but gently caress the gop and gently caress the dems slightly less

edit: someone good with photoshop get the jeb! edit ready ahead of time tia

Wynona Dryder
Jun 30, 2008

She said real life
sucks losers dry.
If you want to fuck
with the eagles
you have to learn to fly.








College Slice

sloppo
Jan 13, 2006

you have disobeyed the gods.


Bleak Gremlin

Sacc One, lol

LawfulWaffle
Mar 11, 2014

Don't even speak to all those sequencer and beats boys
When they kiss they spit white noise


Grimey Drawer

https://twitter.com/GideonResnick/s...606447853522944

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007

It's long past time for some good old fashioned middle class life relief



lol that's hilarious b/c its seven hours before polls close (at 8 I believe) but also suspect for the same reason. Repubs have been short selling Saccone's chances for a while now as a deliberate ploy.

Drunkboxer
Jun 30, 2007


Donald John Trump (born June 14, 1946) is the 45th and current President of the United States. Before entering politics, he was a businessman and television personality.

did dick wolf win yet?

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004




literally all we can get from this is a Trumper tantrum and so for that reason alone I hope Lamb wins

any dorks harassing people at polling places have any updates yet?

Chokes McGee
Aug 7, 2008

Operation:
ACTION DUCK


I can't get the twitter at work someone tell me what's going on here

Not a Children
Oct 9, 2012

$$ Pffft, what do squids know about spending money? $$



Grimey Drawer

I don't get the rationale behind acting like you might lose. Maybe ginning up the base? Would that actually work on gameday?

Chokes McGee
Aug 7, 2008

Operation:
ACTION DUCK


Not a Children posted:

I don't get the rationale behind acting like you might lose

but enough about the democrats

Ripoff
Apr 21, 2003


Soiled Meat


lmao holy poo poo

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017

howdy. i'm the sheriff of TRUSMEP



Chokes McGee posted:

I can't get the twitter at work someone tell me what's going on here

republicans are expecting to lose, and not only lose, but lose early which means the margin of victory for lamb will be big

who knows if reality will match expectations

Chokes McGee
Aug 7, 2008

Operation:
ACTION DUCK


SKULL.GIF posted:

republicans are expecting to lose, and not only lose, but lose early which means the margin of victory for lamb will be big

who knows if reality will match expectations

If it gets called before 8 I may very well poo poo myself

also if it gets called after 8

or right now

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009



this is the last election for this district

it's changed in May

Stefan Prodan
Jan 7, 2002

I deeply respect you as a human being... Some day I'm gonna make you *Mrs* Buck Turgidson!



Grimey Drawer

Epic High Five posted:

literally all we can get from this is a Trumper tantrum and so for that reason alone I hope Lamb wins

any dorks harassing people at polling places have any updates yet?

hate to disappoint you but he's just gonna say saccone was a bad candidate and we need more True Trumpers

Drunkboxer
Jun 30, 2007


Donald John Trump (born June 14, 1946) is the 45th and current President of the United States. Before entering politics, he was a businessman and television personality.

Not a Children posted:

I don't get the rationale behind acting like you might lose. Maybe ginning up the base? Would that actually work on gameday?

so they can pretend it was another upset and the tide of America is turning or something like on nov 2016

Stefan Prodan
Jan 7, 2002

I deeply respect you as a human being... Some day I'm gonna make you *Mrs* Buck Turgidson!



Grimey Drawer

I mean, it could never be good to act like you're going to win, I think?

The more you act like you need every vote the more your supporters will vote I assume?

JAMOOOL
Oct 18, 2004

I LOVE TWO AND HALF MEN!! YOU 20 SOMETHINGS ARE JUST TOO CYNICAL TO UNDERSTAND IT!!

for sure

"of course Trump isn't going to win you idiots" was a big factor in 2016

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009



the reason trump won is not an issue atm

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007

It's long past time for some good old fashioned middle class life relief



Not a Children posted:

I don't get the rationale behind acting like you might lose. Maybe ginning up the base? Would that actually work on gameday?

Ginning up the base and anything else than a defeat is a huge upset (for a 20+ Trump district lol). Will this work? Don't think so.

e: interesting tweets

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/973624766350413824 (this entire thread and responses)

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/sta...637216168706050

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/...588859924766720

https://twitter.com/WilsonWPA/status/973637294732308480

Shageletic fucked around with this message at Mar 13, 2018 around 19:18

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008





Saccone this!!!!

velvet milkman
Feb 13, 2012

would have won


cant slam the lamb baby. normally i wouldn't give a poo poo about this but i toxxed for lamb to win so i hope i dont get banned

Typo
Aug 19, 2009







https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FCiW-R5bY2k

logikv9
Mar 4, 2009




Ham Wrangler

looking forward to winning this under my write-in persona, A Fistful of Ticks

Typo
Aug 19, 2009






Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004





what's with the loonie right and their evil sheep ads

Reality Loser
Aug 10, 2016


Donald John Trump (born June 14, 1946) is the 45th and current President of the United States. Before entering politics, he was a businessman and television personality.

Rick succone

ShutteredIn
Mar 24, 2005

El Campeon Mundial del Acordeon


pennsylvania

TRUMP

TRUMPYLVANIA

Turdfuzz
Jul 23, 2008


Lipstick Apathy

i didnt read the op n im not gonna but lamb will probly win cuz thats just what ive decided

Elephanthead
Sep 11, 2008




College Slice

Epic High Five posted:

what's with the loonie right and their evil sheep ads

Them sheep are liars.

GobiasIndustries
Dec 14, 2007



Lipstick Apathy

Does the winner of this election just turn right around and run for the new, redrawn district? Is there a new primary immediately since the 2018 election is right around the corner?

Turdfuzz
Jul 23, 2008


Lipstick Apathy

yall should toxx for lamb

Elephanthead
Sep 11, 2008




College Slice

I just want to say now that the Democrat losing by less than 20 points is a victory!

Elephanthead
Sep 11, 2008




College Slice

GobiasIndustries posted:

Does the winner of this election just turn right around and run for the new, redrawn district? Is there a new primary immediately since the 2018 election is right around the corner?

I think they just have to move.

Preston Waters
May 21, 2010

Why don't you give me a call in, let's say 10 years.

so loving hard for pubdeath

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Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004




BarronsArtGallery posted:

so loving hard for pubdeath

the pub nearest me that was within much easier stumbling distance from home closed down, I've had enough pubdeath lately

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