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CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

A legendary mercenary appears.

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CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

My role is mail fraud.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Hey kids want to use Media mail for shipping non Media matters?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

King Burgundy is scum.

No, this isn't a joke post.

KB is voting merk because KB knows merk will be looking at him particularly carefully and doesn't want to deal with him. He's hoping to turn a joke vote into a real vote.

Thank you, good night.

##vote: KB

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

AnonymousNarcotics posted:

##vote KB he said he was not going to talk this much.

You're all over the place, aren't you?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

b-minus1 posted:

.... what?



also that keane post is very similar in tone to some that he made in the last few games. pretty sure he was scum in both.

So are you going for it or not, because you must be pretty confident if you think you can find scum on their first post, no?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

AnonymousNarcotics posted:

##vote keane

No I'm not

I don't know, I think changing your vote that quickly is pretty out there. Do you think we're still in joke phase?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

b-minus1 posted:

lmao. i was merely pointing out a tendency of yours that I noticed from the last few games.


Yes you are ##vote Anarc

Hmmmmm!!!! Interesting.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

merk posted:

I’ll bet a pm to chaoslord to gift you a steam game that it’s Anon.

I'm not sure I'd take that bet.


AnonymousNarcotics posted:

Here's my meta: everyone always thinks I'm scum always.

My last 2 games I didn't make it to day 2 so I would like to at least survive today thanks

This is true.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Retro Futurist posted:

Smell that, boys? Smells like... scum post

What's your reasoning?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Captain Foo posted:

a temptation to read any goddamn post as a bus is toxic

Typical captain Foo, bussing the abstract concept of bussing itself.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

merk posted:

Jokes aside, I do like the Anon vote.

Who else are you thinking?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

DB's posts are weird.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Hmmmmmmmm

##vote: AA

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

King Burgundy posted:

It's too early to say, she can be like this as town. But she's on my short list.

Current gut reads: Keane, Binus, Asiina

You're just mad I BLEW UP YOUR SCHEME, aren't you?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Dancer posted:

Hal is obviously lurking but that's Hal for you.

Monathin is a weird creature, that has made at least one good point, so no clue.

So, scum reads in order of strength (though obviously all are still very weak at this point in the game)
Moat
CCKeane
Anarc = merk

##vote moat

The only strong thing around here...is the smell...of your posting.

That said, I understand where you're coming from with Moat, can you elaborate on the Anarc = Merk read? That seems pretty unusual.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Dancer posted:

By that I meant equally likely scum reads. Not same allignment.

That is fine.

Can you elaborate?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Dancer posted:

I mean, what I was doing there was just ranking my reads. See my first post on this page to see why each of them read slightly scummy to me. I have vaguely incriminating "data" on both of them, but in both cases it's only one piece, and it's not hugely conclusive.

You don't think it's weird to rank both as equally likely to be scum? What does that mean about merk's read and subsequent vote on Anon, then?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Asiina posted:

Oh thank god, content.

AA actually makes total sense to me, which is unusual for him but the hypocrisy he's describing follows completely.

I actually think Keane's vote for him after he describes his opinion perfectly clearly looks the worst. It doesn't actually engage with what he's saying just hmmmm ##vote. It's contentless.

##vote Keane

Yeah but the difference is I am right.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Dancer posted:

???

No, of course not.

Let's get abstract here. When the game starts I know I'm town (for the sake of this argument let's assume I am).
13 other players in the game, I'm assuming 3 scum (Last game I was in was 3 scum out of 13 players total). At the very beginning of the game, with zero information to go on, the chance for each player to be scum, in my head, is 23%. When a player does something I read as town, that chance goes down, and when they do something I read as scummy, it goes up.

Back to my previous ranking.
Moat
CCKeane
Anarc = merk

So, (and I'm pulling numbers entirely out of my rear end here), maybe my read on moat is like 33% chance to be scum, CCKeane 31%, Anarc 26% and merk 26%. (For the record: no, I don't think with ludicrous and stupid numbers in my head. It's fuzzy logic and a judgment call). The fact that Anarc and merk are in a slight conflict (which may even not be a real conflict if they're both scum) has no relevance to the matter. They've both done very slightly scummy things, so in my mind I bumped their percentages up, and they happen to "measure up" to about the same "scum level" in my head. Ergo I rank them about the same, and I would feel dishonest if I genuinely claimed to rank one above the other.

If one of Merk or Anon was town, what would you think of the other?

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Monathin posted:

Anyone calling for a scum team this early is dumb.

Nah it's AA, Captain Foo, and Dancer.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Dancer posted:

By the way, for the record: I'm about to go to sleep for about 8 hours, then be at home and able to actively post for about 5, then probably be only scarcely available until deadline.

You know who sleeps at night?

Not criminals.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Dancer posted:

Joke's on you, sunrise is in less than an hour.

Got 'im, execute all liars.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

merk posted:

The worst mafia players are those that make multiple, tied scum predictions on day 1. Are you a worst player? Or are you scum?

Only time will tell. You better kill me tonight or I’ll find you.

I'm next level, merk.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

b-minus1 posted:

Wow this thread blew up


Agreed.

Still need to get caught up, but I’m not getting scum vibes from anon, she seems frustrated town.

Hmmmmmm *Larry David Stares at B-minus*

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Hal Incandenza posted:

Keane lately has decided that mafia is serious business and he has no time for joke phase

People's lives are at stake, Hal.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Hi I am going to be out, out COMMITING CRIMES (because I am a criminal you see) and I won't be around either. Happy with my vote on AA.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Hello.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

King Burgundy posted:

This is fair. Since you put so much effort in today, I'll give you this early tidbit:

You made a post declaring, among the scum team, Keane. Who I agree with. At about an hour from deadline. It is looking very much like a no cuddle.

But, you left your vote on Mona, one of your other scum picks, with only one vote, rather than trying to consolidate on the person you seem to agree is scum, who had way more votes and was the more likely cuddle.

To me, this looks like you and Keane are both scum and you are hoping the split vote leads to a no cuddle rather that one of you going.

This is a worse take that a child's first attempt at shoplifting, smh smh.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

King Burgundy posted:

You agree that he is scum, so why do you think he didn't swap to you given that you actually had the second most votes, with only an hour to go?

I don't know, ask AA.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

King Burgundy posted:

You agree that he is scum, so why do you think he didn't swap to you given that you actually had the second most votes, with only an hour to go?

KB I have an idea, why don't you tell me what number I'm thinking of right now? I'll give you a hint: it doesn't rhyme with an animal...or at least, not an animal I recognize.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Moatillata posted:

Literally hiding in the bathroom to make deadline

Youre welcome everyone

I'm proud of you.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Dick Bastardly posted:

I have gut feels about Keane and merk.

I think mona, albeit wrong, was casing AA in a way that I think is towny. I think the effort is what makes mona look better to me.

Would still vote RF.

I'm curious to know if Asiina agrees with me about mona or not.

Nah, you're wrong about objectively town player Keane, but I could see merk, now.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Nah, I'm town.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

People see my cool leather jacket and my sick aviators, and they assume I'm a bad guy. And I am, I'm a criminal.

Merk are you a cop you have to tell me if you are otherwise it's entrapment.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Asiina posted:

What does my non-read have to do at all with Mona being roleblocked?


What does this mean?

Also fyi scum roleblockers exist but so do jailers.

This is pretty whacky.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

AnonymousNarcotics posted:

I agree with the bolded text but not the first part. Keane had 3 votes when AA had 4. It was a possible lynch.

We all know I'm not going to get executed, though.

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

##vote Asiina

Hmmmmmmmm

CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

It's 100% serious.

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CCKeane
Jan 28, 2008

my shit posts don't die, they multiply

Asiina posted:

Can we thunderdome?

I wanna thunderdome.

Anybody can do anything they want, there are no laws in the underworld of crime, Asiina.

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