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please do not buy kam next prez at twenty six whole cents
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Mar 5, 2024 14:52
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So that market is odds Biden wins and then kamala wins in 2028 + odds Biden wins and he resigns or dies by 2028 + odds something bad happens to him in next couple months and she is nominee and somehow wins. Think it's priced as if it is *only* a death pool. She's gonna be in the top couple Dems running for the next one, just from name recognition. I guess you have to discount that it is a nearly 5 year market. And predictit is still on death watch too. (I thought if Trump won he would still just be 45th, not 45th and 47th. But I guess Grover Cleveland is referred to as the 22nd and 24th. So no extra odds from semantics there.)
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Mar 5, 2024 17:34
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cashed out of the GOP VP market for now, thanks so much Vivek Tulsi rising makes me want to get back in with some more NOs though....
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Mar 27, 2024 19:22
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