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Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

old beast lunatic posted:

I've been a casual reader of climate doom articles for like 20 years and I swear I remember 3c being the magic we're hosed number and taking a lot longer than 2080.

so yeah lol

when most of the reports talk about 2-3 C they mean global average temperature, that study is referring to local temperatures in the arctic rising by 5-9 by 2080. still horrible but its not the same as 5-9 C globally.

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Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Taintrunner posted:

think of how awesome it’s gonna be when we shoot down the rich people spaceship trying to escape earth

there was one of those discovery channel "documentaries" which was like, what if a neutron star collides with earth, and in it the rich people lead by not-elon musk decided to make an unsafe antimatter rocket and it blew up on the launch pad

yeah that absolutely would happen

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Admiral Ray posted:

owned by south park

gently caress matt stone and trey parker, the irredeemable pieces of poo poo
god they really did a number on an entire generation of people, convincing them it's lame and makes you look like a douchebag if you have actual principles and want to work towards a better world

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

General Dog posted:

Climate reform could have happened if it had public buy-in like the pro-gun and anti-abortion causes had. Ultimately, the public was indifferent and voted against any kind of policy that would be inconvenient.

we came real close in the 80s to having actual buy-in on climate change policies, especially after the relative success of getting everyone on board the CFC ban. then the money started flowing in

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005
the reality may be grim and perhaps unsaveable but that's all the more reason to fight when you can to at least make things a bit more livable while we're here

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

SymmetryrtemmyS posted:

then there was an intelligent species before us on this planet that was wiped out in an event and no recorded evidence of them because it happened a billion years ago, and then the same thing is happening to us now, except now that a billion years later there will be another intelligent species using us as fossil fuel to repeat the process of dooming their civilization until the sun explodes

the cool thing is that there's only about 600-700 million more years before the increasing solar luminosity over its lifetime renders the earth uninhabitable anyway

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005
love to pretend that people making faster computers and smartphones means technological progress can solve all environmental problems and solve all energy consumption issues

we're about at the height of what we'll ever achieve technologically. there's no going past where we are now - every possible "advancement" everyone promises is just around the corner to enable us to keep gorging resources is either physically impossible (fusion power probably lies in this category), or would require a level of resources and cooperation that is impossible under a market system. thermodynamic limits don't care about your economics models.

the only carbon capture worth a drat is forests and ocean plant life, technological solutions won't ever reach what biological ones have already achieved but we keep tearing them down to feed the stock market. god knows the billionaires will throw money at bullshit geoengineering schemes that either won't work or will somehow make things worse once they can't rationalize away changing climate any longer

economic growth has to stop, the world economy has to shrink and what remains has to be more evenly distributed. the first two are going to happen no matter what anyone wishes, we can either choose to manage its decline or have it collapse on us

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

vyelkin posted:

its like if it was a cool birthday party trick to just whip out a barrel of oil and light it on fire

somewhere in texas a man just smiled upon reading this

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005
it seems to me like the real risk from "AI" is trusting machine learning to run everything and it just crashing the economy and impoverishing the world or going haywire and radicalizing people to turn into fash-

gently caress

anyway all these effective altriusm assholes are just turning charity into another "efficiency-focused" market

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Bhodi posted:

Hope none of you are addicted to coffee because the coffee belt is vanishing, at the minimum expect it to double or triple in price. It IS a luxury, technically not essential to human life:

thank god, now coffee snobs will be able to shut up

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Rime posted:

It is vastly easier to stop destroying our entire loving biosphere than it is to kickstart a new one on a dead rear end planet like Mars.

even if we utterly trash our CO2 levels and temperatures rise 10 C it will still be easier to live on earth than mars, the whole idea that we have to terraform some other planet rather than live here is absurd unless this planet literally got sucked up by a black hole

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Stairmaster posted:

The simple answer is to just to develop brain uploading and become insane cosmic machine gods

little do you know is that’s what happened but the simulation glitched and that’s why we have Trump

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Addamere posted:

do people not get that the entire point of protest rallies is to be disruptive and thereby compel the powers that be to acquiesce to their demands

pretty sure they do understand this and just don’t want people to force them to change things. by being peaceful and respectful nothing will ever get done and they’ll get to feel good about themselves for not hating the quiet protesters

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Taintrunner posted:

drat it’s gonna own when the real poo poo starts popping off. the rich are gonna get theirs so hard

wasn't there some article about some SF tech types buying shelters in new zealand and also stashing guns and a motorcycle so they could escape town "in case of a zombie apocalypse"

yeah the first sign of open revolt against the rich they are going to gun people down if they don't have drones stashed away that will just launch bombs on protestors and people gathering to attack them

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Zeno-25 posted:

So which one of you guys put together this beauty?



i'm sure those companies and individuals only produce purely for themselves and not because people are using their products

no, they're not blameless and they have some responsibility in how people consume products because that's what advertising is, but at the end of the day people are consuming the products they create. it's going to take collective efforts to stop consumption and if everyone wants to just sit at home and not change their habits because "it's not MY fault, its these companies producing the products that are entirely to blame" then nothing's ever going to change while we careen into ecological catastrophe

the online left is getting really lovely about not accepting any responsibility as a collective society to change habits so we stop consuming so much, instead we're just waiting around for someone to post lists of execs that will subsequently do nothing because the left doesn't have the brain rot and sociopathy that the right does when they do certain events at churches and mosques (NOT IMPLYING ANYTHING, PARODY PARODY)

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Addamere posted:

individual reductions accomplish pretty much nothing

hmm yeah getting a movement of millions of people to all reduce their resource consumption will do nothing at all, no sir

everyone who says this is also out there telling white people that they need to change the way they talk to people of color because it's their responsibility to change their actions, why is that logic ok for fighting white supremacy and not for fighting climate change

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Trabisnikof posted:

this lovely analysis starts to fall apart when those hyper rich oil execs use their power and money to bury the evidence on climate change and lobby against any attempt to regulate their industries

this libertarian bullshit of "well cant blame the company blame the government for not banning their behavior" always seems to ignore the fact the companies spend billions to prevent that from happening.
i'm not saying the companies are blameless, i'm saying just sitting there and not doing a single drat thing to change your behavior because you expect someone to come in and stop the companies from doing it isn't going to happen, and any movement to change how companies exploit resources and contribute to climate change must also get people on board with changes to their lifestyle

our lifestyle is toxic to the environment, yes the oil companies and car companies had a big hand in designing society to make that so but the way to fight that isn't to just say "it's actually OK that i live in a mcmansion and drive to work because the companies made me do it!", it's to get everyone on board with changing their housing, commuting, eating habits while fighting to regulate those industries

because when they talk about regulations hurting their industries, it's ALWAYS couched in terms of "it will make your commute and house more expense". that's how they sell it to people, and if you are ok with staying in those housing and commuting situations most people are always going to be convinced to fight regulation because it hurts them immediately. the way to fight this is to make it so you don't need to care if gas prices double because you don't drive anyway

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Addamere posted:

what percentage of people live in mcmansions and commute from the suburbs to work

like, not just in the u.s. but in the world

it feels like you are diluting the blame of the relatively few by extending it onto many more people than whom are culpable

i'm not placing blame on the global south here, it's almost entirely america and europe doing this. mcmansions are the most egregious example but really anyone who owns a home larger than, say, 200 sq/ft per person, owns a car and uses it to get to work, eats meat etc, is culpable in this

those 300 million people in the US alone are using more resources than the bottom few billion. the bottom billion shouldn't be asked to suffer for it because they're already living more or less ecologically sustainable lives, but nearly everyone in america is living beyond what is reasonable for the environment with the way things currently are

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005
"i didn't own slaves, do mortgage redlining, or personally fire a black person, therefore i have no culpability in white supremacy or reason to change the way i treat black people" see how ridiculous that sounds?

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Addamere posted:

like i live in a rent-controlled efficiency apartment and take the train and other people i know live in bigger apartments and bus or drive depending on distance and others i know live in a suburb and commute as well as drive everywhere and it is not by any of the three groups described, or the people like us, choosing more biodegradable bags or opting out of plastic straws or any other peformatively eco conscious thing we can do on top of whatever else we may already be doing that any meaningful change would be accomplished not even if literally all of the people like us did it

the fault rests almost entirely with capital and capitalism

we have recently seen enough money be raised in a weekend to get rid of the pacific garbage patch, and instead of doing that it is earmarked for notre dame

the capital and the capitalists who control it are not at all interested in doing the things necessary to save the world or make it inhabitable for most humans

a dozen billionaires who wanted to do so could get the ball rolling on big changes like swapping to nuclear and renewables, but they do not want to do that
i'm not suggesting that people move to biodegradeable bags or get a paper straw, all of those things are purely performative. i am saying that even if your life has to get a little worse, if you continue to own a car and live within walking distance of your job, and if your job has an outsized impact on the environment, you are directly, albeit in a small way, contributing to the problem. we can't change things overnight but if you just pretend that you'e blameless in this, you're really not. your personal situation is directly reliant on resource exploitation and harming the environment even if you literally didn't make the wish for it to be that way

any effort to actually stave off climate change is going to cost dozens of trillions of dollars between direct spending and indirect losses to the economy. its' going to hurt because we've simply lived far beyond what this world can actually support (we as in the first world, the global south is blameless in this)

those billionaires are never going to change their ways, they need to be fought through a mass movement of people who are willing to make the sacrifices this society needs to live sustainably. it's not helping that they fight every step of the way with billions and billions of dollars of lobbying efforts and advertising, but even eliminating their political power and redistributing all of their money to climate change efforts alone will not be sufficient to stave off catastrophe. we need to rebuild the way we live

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

A Big Fuckin Hornet posted:

this is just wrong and why that image needs addresses too

if you thanos snapped every one of those individuals, not a god drat thing would change. the system is self-perpetuating and others will come up to replace them. the system itself is the problem

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

A Big Fuckin Hornet posted:

the point is that it wasnt the average citizens of the global north who one day just decided to be dependent on fossil fuels, and you are putting the onus back on us, who have never had any say in this process in the first place
"the doctor says i will have a heart attack if i keep eating unhealthy amounts of fast food but it's not my fault that company makes unhealthy food so i'm going to keep stuffing that poo poo down my gullet"

do you really think i'm just saying that capitalism's ok? no i'm saying even if we abolished capitalism tomorrow our society would still be overextending itself because no one on the online left barring basically maoists at this point wants to make the lifestyle changes.

if we had worker communes running everything, giving every laborer in america complete democratic control over resources, if we all decided that no one needed to make sacrifices we'd still be mining the poo poo out of coal and fracking everything. people need to acknowledge that simply getting rid of capital's control over society isn't enough, we all need to change the way we approach our resource consumption

the people who voted for trump because he said he'd bring the coal jobs back would still exist under socialism, they'd just be agitating for more democratic control over the coal mines

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

vyelkin posted:

Plus, outside of the pipe-dream scenario where we all lead zero-emissions lives because of individual choice, the vast majority of people aren't presently willing to consciously choose to make their own lives more expensive and less convenient. Something like half the population are happy to make choices of conspicuous consumption that make extremely minor cuts to their emissions, but only when it doesn't affect their lives at all. "Oh I'll take my drink without a straw because I wouldn't drink through the straw anyway. But no way am I giving up my two intercontinental vacations a year!" And the other half reacts to movements to reduce emissions by increasing their own emissions out of spite. "Oh are you not taking a straw? Well then give me two straws! Triggered yet lib?" Both those groups of people will need to change their behaviours if we want to survive, but trying to coax them into choosing greener choices is completely ineffective, and the coercive power of the state to make certain behaviours more expensive or outright banned and other behaviours less expensive or outright free will be absolutely necessary to get people actually behaving the way they need to behave if we want to survive. If you're concerned about climate change and want to build a mass movement about it, it will be far more effective to dedicate your energy to political change and electing politicians who are willing to use the power of the state to fight climate change on a societal level, than to spend that energy fighting plastic straws and plastic bags and single-occupancy vehicle use.

In short, as this article explained pretty well two years ago, neoliberalism has conned us into fighting climate change as individuals, while behind the scenes corporations and governments continue to destroy the planet regardless of the individual choices and the individual shame or guilt we might feel about flying or eating beef or using straws.
Political change won't include solutions to climate change unless it makes the hard decisions to coerce people into lowering their resource use AND is able to convince a large enough number of people that this is in their best interests. No one is going to join a union if that union has the goal of destroying their job when their job is with an oil refinery or car manufacturer. I agree that the whole thing about straws and "green capitalism" is mostly surface level bullshit that doesn't actually solve any problems, and I'm saying that the changes that are actually necessary will in all likelihood make our standards of living worse than they currently are. However, even if we wished away all corporations and replaced it with a state controlled industry, that state controlled industry is STILL going to produce the same fossil fuels and dirty cars that we currently consume, unless we change our consumption patterns. I'm not saying that it's one or the other, I'm saying that it's going to take both, but far too often online I see people just say "well I shouldn't have to change anything about my life, it's all the corporations acting like Captain Planet esque villains" (which isn't true - the truth is that this is all emergent behavior of the market and while there are lobbyists pushing to enrich themselves, for the most part it's all on autopilot)

I get that things aren't able to change instantly and someone who can't afford to live in a city because it's way too expensive have no choice but to commute from suburbs, but to just pretend that your excessive resource consumption is OK because it's not your INTENTION, it's all those corporations making you do it, seems like it's just going to shield people from actually thinking about how their lifestyle is a problem and organizing to change society so they don't have to keep living that lifestyle.

Socialism that only focuses on workers ability to get a good wage, but does nothing to actually attack the greater problem of how we live, is going to end up just the same environmental hazard as our current system.

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Xaris posted:

well yeah im not disagreeing, i just think lots of americans would still opt to drive because its 5 minutes faster and freedoms/racism, not even if its a matter of $2 bus ticket (or $0 bus ticket) vs $6 to drive. gas prices should be like $6-8/gallon like it is in europe and most of the world. get rid of lots of street parking, diet roads down to 1-lane each way, put in bus-rapid transit and light-rail and bike paths everywhere to replace them and connect all cities with high-speed rail

but it's really a lovely mess of 100 years of bad planning. as cool as it would be to have rail to every cul-de-sac, it's stupidly wasteful. we really gotta tear down white flight 1-story tracthouses and 1-story stripmalls and build 4-5-story wood frame structures over concrete podiums everywhere. it's cheap, quick, safe and good buildout density. the tangent issue is there is just no housing in lots of places, and nothing more than 1-story for like 99% of america. its both a matter of providing lots of affordable housing that can be supported with transit options, and having public transit take out car-culture and thus making driving much slower and costly.

america will collapse before it does that tho

i get extremely pissed when people talk about taking a 10 minute uber ride instead of taking a 25 minute train ride, rideshare is slowly bleeding public transit dry and its all because your loving lazy rear end doesn't want to plan ahead

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

dream9!bed!! posted:

What's funny is that in cities like Denver, all the minorities live in suburbs because they can't afford to live in the city center. And yet everyone is still stuck in this weird 90s white flight from the cities mentality.

Like, according to this thread, people that live in Bakersfield and work in LA are all white supremacists, not mostly black and brown people commuting hours a day because it's the only place they can afford to buy a home. Wake the gently caress up, it's 2019, white people live in the city core of desirable cities now.

Preaching about density above all, gently caress your majority minority southern towns, more PoC in my white friend's new building is the only way forward bullshit, is the new white supremacy.
interesting how concern trolling over people of color living in exurbs is going to halt the left from pushing for more sustainable living situations

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

counterpoint: sending a nuke back to 1600s New England would solve all of these problems and more

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Stairmaster posted:

won't we just get owned by cia funded death squads

that's old hat, the cia is funding white people to make podcasts about milquetoast socialism so they are too busy posting online to do anything

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

vyelkin posted:

lmao nice we're about to get an 1,800 page report on biodiversity loss that says we're all hosed even if we stop climate change because we just cant stop paving over wild land

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/may/03/climate-crisis-is-about-to-put-humanity-at-risk-un-scientists-warn

choice quote

*looks at the world’s leaders, stares into camera*

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Moridin920 posted:

If you want something more specific, monkeywrenching is a cool and good way to turn things unprofitable which is what they really care about in the end. If you can spike a ton of trees from your hovel and gently caress up the machinery then great. If there's a pipeline near you then you can often take a wrench start turning things. It's illegal, obviously.

if you really think about it spending all day on your employer's dime posting instead of working is basically monkeywrenching so we're helping demolish the system

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

StabbinHobo posted:

got the title, used the money to buy a condo in a walkable neighborhood across the street from a train station in cash, and then went ahead and retired* now since its not gonna be an option in 2050. besides retiring in your late 60s was always a poo poo deal anyway you just got to lay around and suffer some illnesses for a few years till you die.

* i still freelance a bit to cover health insurance & food but my 'career' is super over

edit: i'm sure as poo poo not funding a 401k or ira either
Retirement is dead and quite honestly given how the Boomers and the generation before them behaved/behave after they retire, it's probably for the best. If you have nothing to do all day your brain slowly rots to nothingness.

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Ayn Randi posted:

the thrust of it was why are people still working their regular rear end jobs and not living it up pursuing their dreams given that the former is inevitably a dead end and that is the answer. most people posting on a dead gay Internet forum have neither the skills nor the desire to eke out a subsistence life in the wilderness. people need money to continue remaining alive here and now even if in the future they will not have money or be alive

a subsistence living in the wilderness will be even more difficult under the sort of climate change this thread is recognizing will happen. we've hosed the planet too much and it will take groups of people living in mututally beneficial situations to survive it. people already discuss why the idea that someone can just wait out the apocalypse in a bunker are going to end up hosed because at the end of the day surviving takes collaboration even in the worst of situations

i'm going to keep working and just do so until i can go no longer. i don't see retirement as being an option for anyone under 40 (401ks steal all your poo poo in fees anyway and all of the gains people in BFC keep bragging about probably aren't even real except for the already well-off), but even beyond its feasibility, the thought of being there just doing nothing of any substance all day except living a life of leisure apparently just rots your brain as evidenced by all of the fox news watching chuds in The Villages (or for the boomer liberals, watching rachel maddow talk about russia nonstop)

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Moridin920 posted:

Meanwhile Europe has millions of refugees from Syria due to a civil war largely brought on by a massive drought.

ain't guatemalan refugees primarily fleeing because their farming land is utterly gutted by drought brought on by climate change? we're already seeing mass migration from climate change and its making us more fascist lol

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

bawfuls posted:

To be clear this was the worst of "carbon capture" tech. Their plan was to turn coal into gas, burn that to make power, capture the CO2 exhaust, and pump the CO2 down oil wells to sequester it but also improve oil yields. Even if working as designed it isn't a carbon-neutral process, let along a negative emitter.

Contrast this with things like Carbon Engineering which is directly capturing CO2 from atmosphere and turning it into liquid fuels (to either be burned as a carbon-neutral transportation energy source or sequestered in the ground as a carbon sink).

I don't think Carbon Engineering is a silver bullet, but at least they have a functioning pilot plant up and running, and their process is actually doing something worthwhile.

i know i'm behind on this thread whatever

where are they getting the energy to do the co2 capture? it's probably not a net reduction in co2 once you account for energy barring entirely renewable or nuclear.

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

Fried Watermelon posted:

You forgot we are in the hell dimension so the menace is actually Canadian

Mike Pompeo rejects Canada's claims to Northwest Passage as 'illegitimate'

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/may/07/mike-pompeo-canada-northwest-passage-illegitimate

maybe canada should take this as a sign to repeat 1814

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005
but you don’t get it, we have to keep providing shareholders with value and growth

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005
not again, I hate it when threads get sent to the mod gulag and I can no longer remove them from the favorites

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005
the problem is even if we had full socialism with workers councils running everything tomorrow, how many people work in industries which have an outsized negative influence on the environment

those people aren't going to quietly accept the loss of their employment and their wages because their jobs directly hurt the environment, they're going to push back against good environmental stewardship too

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

bawfuls posted:

hence the need for a federal jobs guarantee which can funnel people into work that is productive towards the goal of decarbonization and regeneration of the natural world

edit: also that yes ^^^

Okay but what if they just do what they did when Obama told them they could retrain into clean energy jobs (yes, horseshit in the end) and they threw a massive fit saying they wanted to do what their parents and grandparents did and worked in the coal mines or the auto factories? They're still going to fight something simply because it's unfamiliar to them.

Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

hobbesmaster posted:

https://beltmag.com/appalachia-coding-bootcamps/
This same scam has actually been going on for quite some time, since the first dot com boom in fact.

The fact is that the coal mines are the only jobs that have ever provided a middle class income for a large population in some of these regions. They want the mine back because life was better when it was there and these "green jobs" or amazon distribution warehouses or call centers aren't paying anything like what the mines did.

That's a fair point but who's to say you can even create enough jobs in these places that will give everyone a decent living? If you don't create jobs and instead give everyone the basic survival necessities like housing, food, healthcare, and education that's great, but if you do nothing else people will sit around all day slowly losing their minds at being simply unnecessary or having no purpose in daily life. Are the workers councils society would be organized around going to be ok with this?

Yes, there's plenty of infrastructure work that needs to be done all over the place, but infrastructure work isn't simply work anyone can pop in and out of. It's skilled labor that takes time for people to train in.

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Shipon
Nov 7, 2005

jobson groeth posted:

Don't mine jobs pay well because of decades of unionisation and fighting for workers rights? Could that possibly have any implication for how to get better pay for workers now?

:thunk:

Those unions are going to try and protect their members' jobs as is their purpose. Good for the workers, but the unfortunate reality that their industry is a bad one isn't something the union is going to sacrifice their main mission for.

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