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Ersatz
Sep 17, 2005

Avasarala delivers: Don't put your dick in it; it's hosed enough already.

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Ersatz
Sep 17, 2005

Narsham posted:

So perhaps this is obvious to everyone, but it was a slow burn realization for me this season and seems worth mentioning. Spoilers for all of S4:
A Mars that initially seems to be falling apart and a near non-player turns out to be making its next moves. No mention of Martian ships at the blockade and no named Martian leaders this season, but by the end it’s clear Mars knew what we learned and already had a plan in action.
Once the ring worlds become available for colonization, Earth wins. It has both more population and more spare population, more raw resources needed to start a colony off, and presumably more low-tech equipment useful for q budding colony. Mars would have an edge when it comes to terraforming and adaptation and possibly things like mining. The Belters are screwed in that they have a smaller population, a percentage of which can never live on a planet, but they’d have some potential in providing materials transport or if a system has a lot of nonplanetary exploitable resources of great value. Not much of a threat to Mars, though.
Earth imposing a blockade bought time for Mars and delayed the rush of people abandoning the terraforming project. Dropping a few asteroids on the planet will help address the population disparity, plus the leadership will be forced to commit resources helping survivors and stabilizing things, resources not available for colonization. Mars and the Belt can make the big leap, and the Belt is frankly not competition from a Martian perspective, plus their new leader is something of a naive idiot when it comes to politics. Even better, Mars can plausibly claim that corruption stemming from the post-war is what led to the Belters getting stealth-tech and Mars itself comes off clean, leaving Earth and the Belt at each other’s throats while Mars waltzes into control of a majority of colony worlds.

Still short-sighted in the sense that the colonies may lose loyalty to Mars over time, but totally consistent with Martian political maneuvering as seen so far.

This is all correct, I think.

It also brings to mind that just about anyone missing the pre-shitheap days of Game of Thrones really ought to give this show a try. Because, amongst many other things, it does fantasy intrigue and politics really well.

Ersatz
Sep 17, 2005

Norton the First posted:

Also as a non-book reader, it seems like the quality of life on Mars is the highest of anywhere occupied by humans, so Mars is dying doesn't make much sense to me.
(No book spoilers): Mars lost its raison d'etre the moment the gates opened, because it's no longer necessary for an entire society to organize itself around a decades-long terraforming project aimed at making a dead planet habitable.

Paradise is real, and all you have to do to get there is spend a couple months aboard a colony ship.

Ersatz fucked around with this message at 19:20 on Dec 21, 2019

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