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Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
Just discovered this thread existed. Read the whole thing and really enjoyed it.

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1275304461091692544

How does Trump still win this one?
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1275303593017475072

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Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1275410546666463232

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

rko posted:

Why bother replacing him though? What Republican would meaningfully change Americans’ perception of the Trump ticket? Who would even want to lash themselves to that sinking ship? Even winning would be as pyrrhic a victory as they come, because then you’re stuck in the Trump WH just waiting to be the next scapegoat.

I’m sure we can expect Pence to continue fiddling “Nearer, My God, to Thee” for the foreseeable future, after which I assume he’ll be the next Rick Santorum, a professional talking head.

For the only thing Trump cares about, the drama and TV ratings

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1275657848094105601

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1275477986427445253

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1275654312128065536

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1275654090673000449

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1275749833882718209

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

sexpig by night posted:

not exactly but she DID have similar approve/disapprove numbers and similar 'already made up my mind' numbers to go with them, and boy were they not good!

Hillary was never hitting 50% and the biggest her lead ever got in the poll aggregators was 7

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
Also, come November there are going to be tens of millions of unemployed people who will have tons of time to vote, and having been unemployed for 6 months plus are not likely to be enthused with the incumbent.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1276017394398498816

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1275944385369251840
https://twitter.com/AddictStudios1/status/1275965570261774336

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/StefFeldman/status/1276232823029075968

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
If it becomes a state, what do they call it? Washington is already taken and I don't think an African American city wants to name it that anyways.

Columbia?

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

HisMajestyBOB posted:

The DC Council came up with "Washington, Douglass Commonwealth", after Frederick Douglass. Very name-by-committee.

That sounds terrible. Just call it Douglass.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
Threefor on the Discord suggested "Representation" which is really good

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

Killer robot posted:

This time in 2016 news channels were cutting away from Clinton policy speeches to show empty podiums where Trump was late for a rally, followed by opinion pieces about why isn't Clinton making any policy speeches anyway? It's hard to see his campaign stops mattering all that much.

Aren't they doing the opposite this time? They cut away from Trump to cover a Biden speech on Fox News!

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
They need to institute the Wyoming rule. Every vote in the house should be equal. And the house should be larger.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
What are the demographics of this district?

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1276669986749255687

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
:catstare:

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1277073725821779970

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
If Biden wins and Jones loses, you'd think he'd have a shot at AG

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1277806108674084865

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1277793709078253571

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1277791454333722624

Wonder how they're breaking down likely voters?
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1277733029256073216

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1277692747974152194

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
Does he have a good progressive challenger?
https://twitter.com/politico/status/1277844515366338560

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1277884605245403137

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://mobile.twitter.com/insidepolling1/status/1277944223069691904

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1277972042357174277

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

sexpig by night posted:

and now we hit the real difference in never-trump republicans and trump republicans.

"YOU GONNA BOMB MOSCOW BASED ON POORLY SOURCED CIA poo poo OR ARE YOU A BIG PUSSY?!"

He said the same asymmetric warfare that they're using on us. So that would be putting out bounties on Russian mercs in Syria or little green men in Ukraine, not bombing Moscow.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1278065258020646914

https://twitter.com/benwikler/status/1278122942942064645

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
Trump used to be up by 10 on this IIRC

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1278200457702375424

On everything else

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1278200092445507585

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
The Dems won this 56-43, so in 4 years they went from losing this seat by 12 to winning by 13.

https://twitter.com/politvidchannel/status/1278110013744005121

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1278278213580587008

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1278276942861676546

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1278276897982611456

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1278275369146212352

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
EDIT: Meant to post this in USPOL

Charlz Guybon fucked around with this message at 14:42 on Jul 1, 2020

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

lol OANN commissioned a poll for Arizona that had a 2016 voter sample of Trump + 14 and it only had a result of Trump + 4 over Biden.

So, consistent with a national 10 point shift

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
The link to the pdf is right in that tweet Mr Interweb

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1278523691350003714

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1278529818297012225

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1278671519166672902

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

Pick posted:

Kansas looool

Trump won Kansas by 20.6%. Twenty point six percent!

Has any president ever lost a state that they won by that much in their reelection campaign? Hoover maybe?

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

human garbage bag posted:

Trump realized there was no stopping it. The most he could have done was delay it. But that would mean more 65+ would be alive in November to angrily vote him out. So he realized that if he wanted to get re-elected he needed the virus to take out as many 65+ as possible before election day.

But the 65+ cohort were by far his biggest supporters

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

SoggyBobcat posted:

Indiana voted for Bush by a 20.68% margin in 2004; four years later, Obama would win it by 1.03%. Not exactly the same, since Bush wasn't on the ticket again, but still a comparable swing.

Good example, but yeah, not exactly what I was looking for.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

Rigel posted:

There were several really massive swings from 1988 to 1992.
Good one

Arkansas swung 31 points, but that's a home state situation.
Tennessee and Georgia swung about 21
Louisiana about 15, Missouri & Kentucky about 14

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1278993508238589952

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
What was Georgia's primary turnout in 2016 like?
https://mobile.twitter.com/staceyabrams/status/1279048507001843712

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

TulliusCicero posted:

Can someone please tell me in what universe Jared did "woke" poo poo?

Like that article is insane, but that's the craziest part this moronic clown has killed his own poll numbers and is just going to let Biden run the table at this point because he can never reverse course (and now telling people to just "live with the killer virus" :lol: :wtc:

He pushed for that criminal justice reform bill that passed last year. I'm 100% sure that's what Trump is talking about there.

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Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

:wow:

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