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Duckman2008
Jan 6, 2010

TFW you see Flyers goaltending.

Grimey Drawer

drat , I forgot to post my picks, but here is what it would have been regardless of the Vegas Dallas first period.


Vegas in 6

Tampa in 5


I’m betting all in on the big teams. Although a Dallas NY Islanders series would be hilarious in terms of not what the NHL would want.


Edit: maybe I’m discounting Islanders because they have been fairly irrelevant for so long ?

Duckman2008 fucked around with this message at 01:00 on Sep 7, 2020

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Duckman2008
Jan 6, 2010

TFW you see Flyers goaltending.

Grimey Drawer

2020 NHL playoff preview: Lightning vs. Islanders https://theathletic.com/2047608/202..._shared_article



“The Islanders have been in a different stratosphere and on average have been more than twice as good as expected. Twice. Double. Not a typo. The average Islanders skater was projected to be worth 0.99 wins based on his stats from the last three seasons, but has instead been worth 2.12 during the playoffs. That kind of jump is enormous and I would have to imagine it’s unheard of.


The cutoff for an elite forward is about 2.9 wins. Mathew Barzal, Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Josh Bailey and Jordan Eberle all make the cut, providing 7.2 more wins per 82 than expected so far. The cutoff for an elite defenceman is about 2.2 wins. Ryan Pulock, Adam Pelech, Andy Greene and Nick Leddy all make the cut, providing 7.8 more wins per 82 than expected so far.

On paper, the Islanders have no truly elite players, but in the playoffs they have eight who are performing at that level. Aside from Bailey’s 17 points in 16 games, none of them are exactly crushing the scoresheet to get that label, either, although Barzal’s 13 points are nothing to scoff at. It’s because of how well they’re controlling the game at five-on-five. The Islanders’ top line has an expected-goals rate of about 64 percent and Barzal and Eberle have earned 70 percent of the goals. Pageau has been an animal, a pivotal addition who’s earning 60 percent of the expected goals and 77 percent of the actual goals. On defence, Pulock and Pelech are at 61 percent for expected goals with excellent defensive numbers while Leddy and Greene have had nearly a 4-to-1 ratio in their favour in terms of goals. It’s all unexpected and deserves major kudos. You often hear about players needing to elevate their games come playoff time and this is what that looks like on the most extreme level.”


Islanders on fire this playoffs (and the Flyers and Caps were bad).

Duckman2008
Jan 6, 2010

TFW you see Flyers goaltending.

Grimey Drawer

Goalies seem to not decline as fast until posts 35. I think it would be a good contract. Especially since Vegas is in win now mode.

Duckman2008
Jan 6, 2010

TFW you see Flyers goaltending.

Grimey Drawer

Def leave the thread title how it is. Hysterical.

Congrats Stars fans.

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