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Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

The Glumslinger posted:

So I'm gonna guess guess that all of the people in Judiciary committee meetings yesterday was likely infected as well


LMAO, an ad for ACB on CNN right now. Its hilarious that this all happened because they insisted on pushing through a SC nominee

It's very likely she was in her post-viral phase but still infectious.

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Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Normy posted:

Aren't dead senators replaced by the Governor by appointment? Lol if the Senate flips over this.

As someone said before, it depends on the state, but the important takeaway is that it would be vacant until that happens. And in the case of the ones that are filled with special elections, would be vacant until next year's election cycle.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

skylined! posted:

The fact that ACB agreed to be at and have the nomination event held for her is immediately disqualifying. What a loving horrible judge of the most basic poo poo.

Alternatively, welcome to the resistance.

Especially after she had COVID so soon before her nomination. The fact that she didn't disclose this to the Senate should be a disqualifying act.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Telsa Cola posted:

Im going to say that by tuesday if hes not out the wheels fall off of everything.

Edit: Have an update

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1312525833505058816?s=20

This is pre-recorded. This looks like it's still in the White House.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Fallom posted:

It’s very nonspecific

Yeah, at first I was thinking it was during the scare last year, but mentioning coronavirus had to be at least this year. He's also not showing symptoms or sounding like he's got breathing problems, so who knows when.

Edit: if I had to guess, it was after he scored a positive on a COVID test but while he was asymptomatic. It was likely made in case he had to go to the hospital.

Also, thinking about the last video and it being 10 seconds long, it was probably from a boilerplate seasonal video they cut down to make it sound like something recent.

Young Freud fucked around with this message at 00:20 on Oct 4, 2020

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Nessus posted:

Fellow poster marshmonkey, do you know what a good pizza has in common with Donald Trump? plenty of 'roni

What's the difference between President Trump's lungs and a bottle of beer? One's filled with 12 ounces of Corona and the other is recyclable.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Not expecting to see this name again...
https://twitter.com/lukeoneil47/status/1312406825048866817?s=20

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

I wish I knew if Twitter would save the metadata of an uploaded photo, because I'd imagine it would expose things very quickly.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Ash Crimson posted:

i dont know about that

We still have a month to go, but I'm guessing the Goofus vs. Gallant way the candidates have been handling Coronavirus pandemic have finally cemented people's desire to not end up dying or coughing up their lungs like Goofus.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

FizFashizzle posted:

During the Panthers-Cards game, I was seeing Arizona based "Black voters for Trump" ads which uh.....for Arizona?

Got the same here in Texas, along with the Amy Barrett ads. At least we got a "Vets for Biden" ad, too.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

https://twitter.com/Amy_Siskind/status/1312916198703738880?s=20
USSS is upset at Trump's stunt.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006


Jesus Christ, that's a turnaround time.

BTW, the CNN polling is even worse for Pence than initially thought...
https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1314048368776077312?s=20

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Mr Interweb posted:

afaik, he was one of the rare trumpists who actually tried to take it seriously, but was constantly undermined by trump, thus making his situation even more hilariously ironic.

Nah, he was a guy who thought old people dying was worth reopening the country to restart the economy. He just didn't realize that he would be one of those people sacrificed to Mammon.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006


There's a lot of people wearing masks in that crowd, as well as a large percentage of people of color. I'm certain that Trump's bought a bunch of ringers for this hurried event.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

BDawg posted:

Also because getting pardoned doesn’t mean that Trump escapes justice. I’m sure New York is just waiting for him to no longer be president.

NY State would be gunning for civil forfeitures/seizures, which a pardon would open the doors to without delay.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

volts5000 posted:

Ready for some more Florida infections?

https://twitter.com/Josiensor/status/1315002123134930945?s=20

AT A GODDAMN RETIREMENT COMMUNITY!!! FOR FUCKS SAKE!!!

The Villages' golf cart parade for Biden looked like it had more people.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

The way 2020 is going, we'll probably end up getting a Kesslerfuck out of it...
https://twitter.com/LeoLabs_Space/status/1316147305125490694?s=20

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Solaris 2.0 posted:

So if those two defunct satellites collide does the plot to Gravity become a reality?

Yep. Given the mass of the objects and their altitude, they'll stay up in orbit for awhile.

I'd imagine the immediate effect will be Space X stock nosediving. Can't leave this planet and go to Mars like you hoped, Elon and other rich folks.

Aramis posted:

2,800 Kg is a lot of mass, we are talking 20 to 280 million$ spent just to bring it up there, depending on how old they are

CZ-4C R/B is a booster section from the Long March 4C vehicle, launched 2007, and not a satellite. Kosmos 2004, launched in 1989, is a Russian military navigation satellite, a precursor to GLONASS. Just ancient poo poo that had been sitting up there, waiting to smack into themselves like one-ton billiard balls in orbit.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006


Let me guess, she said "religion" as the first freedom then dithered on trying to remember the other four.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Grondoth posted:

It's amazing how whining by conservatives works so well.

Unfortunately, it sounds like everyone's already saw through the ploy and it's clear that Giuliani is working in concert with however hacked Hunter Biden's iCloud.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Murgos posted:

We used to call that style of military issued glasses, "Birth Controls" or "BC's" for short because there was no way you could get laid while wearing them.

Usually called "Army Birth Control Glasses" or "Air Force BCGs" depending on the service.

Marines don't have them, they just give anyone nearsighted a machinegun and point them in the general direction of where they need to be firing.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

STAC Goat posted:

By the time Halloween gets here they're going to be claiming Biden was eating the kids and cooking them in witches brews. They saw it. Its real. You can't see it. FBI can't see it. But trust them.

The fact that this keeps escalating because nothing is grabbing: first it was just Hunter having sex, then it was prostitutes, then it was child porn, and now it's torturing and raping Chinese children.

Edit:

LegendaryFrog posted:

My favorite part of this, is that they then have to pivot to why whatever the current story that actually has a shot of not instantly being dismissed is still worth talking about when you supposedly have videos of child rape and torture.

https://twitter.com/RealWayneRoot/status/1318016584284217345

If the rape story didn't reel you in, don't go! I have a 2 for 1 deal on made up banking crimes.

SEE! Jesus, what a turnaround.

Young Freud fucked around with this message at 05:12 on Oct 19, 2020

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

loving amazing photo...
https://twitter.com/CaptNostradamus/status/1318283908702765063?s=20

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Sarcastro posted:

They'll put them on Twitter and rely on their sycophants to spread them around.

These ads are mostly for Trump and his echo chamber at this point.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

SpitztheGreat posted:

I double checked, and these numbers appear to be accurate. This should be getting a lot more attention because to me it indicates a very competitive state. In 2016 Clinton lost Texas by slightly more than 800k votes. While that's a big gap to close, if turnout is really up as much as it seems the down ballot implications could be huge.

I was listening to the morning news and apparently the turnout for Dallas, Tarrant, Collin, and Denton counties is about 1.15 million for last week, or about a third of registered voters in North Texas.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Is there a possibility that, if McConnell dies after winning reelection, we'd see a Democrat version of the McCain-Sinema transfer, or is it a special election?

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

The Needle will not be joining us on Election Night: The Needle goes away as probability experts assess 2020 race

quote:

NEW YORK (AP) — The one thing most likely to conjure nightmares of the 2016 election night for opponents of President Donald Trump is the Needle.

A graphic on The New York Times’ website, the Needle measured in real time the probability of victory for Trump or Hillary Clinton as votes were counted. Its steady movement triggered anxiety for Clinton supporters, who repeatedly refreshed the page, and elation for Trump fans.

The Needle won’t be making a reappearance on Nov. 3, one change in the world of election probability gurus following the unexpected 2016 result. Nate Silver’s influential FiveThirtyEight blog used a number, not a needle, for the same task four years ago but won’t on election night 2020.

Silver said the change had more to do with uncertainties created by the high volume of early voting this year than any failures in 2016.

“I just think people need to be exceptionally careful,” he said.

Silver has been a pioneer in the specialized field of statistic experts who crunch the growing number of public opinion polls to put them in a broader context. Nate Cohn of the Times and his blog The Upshot, is also a leader.

They amplified the shock of 2016 by predicting a high probability of a Clinton victory. Samuel Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium said she had a 93% chance of victory — a call that later led him to eat a cricket live on CNN as penance.

Cohn went into election night saying Clinton had an 85% chance of winning, and that served as the Needle’s baseline. The graphic was a meter, shaped like a half-clock, with outcomes that ranged from a “very likely” Clinton win to the same for Trump.

At 8:02 p.m. Eastern time on election night, the Needle pointed sharply to the left, and a “likely” Clinton win. It moved to the right as results came in. By 10 p.m., the pointer headed into the “toss-up” category and, less than two hours later, was “leaning Trump.”

You know how the story ended.

In later mea culpas, pollsters noted they weren’t far off in predicting Clinton’s advantage in the popular vote. Crucial state polls in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin had been wrong, however, and that was enough for Trump to win the Electoral College.

Silver was more cautious heading into election night; his final forecast gave Clinton a 71% chance of winning and Trump a 29% likelihood. For that, he was criticized by those who couldn’t conceive of a Trump win.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Space Cadet Omoly posted:

Is it really censorship if the story is blatant lies and slander?

It's hilarious that the Republicans want to strip Facebook and Twitter of their 230 protections, when it's very obvious that the blocking of Hunter Biden misinformation would be basically what happens when the social media networks being responsible for their users' content.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Youth Decay posted:

so uh

I'm not one for conspiracy theories but either Melania got more plastic surgery or they're using a body double now
https://twitter.com/DrPimK/status/1319805618962792450


She looks like Melania if you stuck her image through Artbreeder and that was what was interpolated by their algorithm.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006


Holy poo poo, "What do you have to lose?" Well, 220,000 Americans, for starters.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Handsome Ralph posted:

I think it'll be similar to how Resistance Twitter was post-2016. They spent the two months between the election and inauguration thinking of Rube Goldberg like plans that would result in Trump not being inaugurated due to faithless electors and the marshal of the supreme court, etc.

Then inauguration will happen and they'll start with the grifting rallies immediately after but I don't think turnout will be anything remotely close to what the woman's march was due to COVID and like 60% of the country either not giving a gently caress or not buying into it.

I'd love to see how they'll pull off a Trump rally as a private citizen, given that he's stiffed the bill for every venue he held a rally at before the election, continued to putting pressure on cities for his rallies when he was President, left them hanging for security costs and operations, and has alienate so many local governments that he has to now have to hold most of these things at airports.

It's very likely if he tries to do a rally tour, the venues are going to ask for money upfront and then, no more rally tour.

Young Freud fucked around with this message at 16:03 on Oct 25, 2020

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Fallom posted:

The numbers still show that's insanely unlikely.

But it'll be loving hilarious if she caught it again and got sick and/or died before ruling on anything. Especially if Mitch is incapacitated or removed from office, so he sees basically God undoing his work.

Also, pretty sure that Alito and Thomas haven't caught COVID yet, either.

Deteriorata posted:

Term limits requires a constitutional amendment. They can only be removed for misconduct (impeachment). The lifetime appointment was deliberate so that they would not be replaced on a whim of political convenience by later administrations.

I'd bet forced retirement at a certain age (like 65 or 70) can be a way to get around that, especially if it affects all the branches.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Midgetskydiver posted:

If we don't get the senate it won't matter. And by "get the senate" I mean "get enough of a majority to not rely on people like Joe Manchin".

I am not trying to be doom and gloom about this but I just don't see how the Court gets packed under a hypothetical President Biden.

I'm thinking this is the reason why Biden and Harris haven't been supportive of court packing: they want to make sure it's feasible to do so before they commit to it.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

pacerhimself posted:

This kind of got brushed over but I'm trying to figure out a not completely insane reading of this.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1322070135524495360?s=20

It's like he's threatening the Supreme Court to ensure they side with him, I dunno what other way to read it.

I believe a "revolving court" means that a packed court of 11+, nine justices would still rule on cases and be rotated out per case, further diluting the conservative influence because instead of 6+ liberal judges to 5 conservatives, you could have cases where it's 6-3 liberals or even no conservative justices.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

John Wick of Dogs posted:

Biden softened his stand on China because he enjoys all the free games on the Epic Game Store and wants to make sure Tencent continues going strong

How did you loving know this? Are you Nostradamus?
https://twitter.com/Sierra_OffLine/status/1322635427770179584?s=20

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Edmund Lava posted:

Of all the 2016 strategies for the Dems to double down on, I did not expect it to be “Pokémon go to the polls”

Not complaining since we got Ilhan shanking fools out of it.

They were already doing "Pokemon Go To The Polls" with the Animal Crossing Island, but that basically cost nothing and Animal Crossing was just a medium that Nintendo provided.

This is something more complex and it could only happen if the host company Epic got on board and redesigned the map and its encounters for them.

Edit: the AOC and Ilhan Twitch Stream event was also more in line with the Animal Crossing island, although since Twitch has a lot of need to prevent harassment and has money going through it with subscriptions and tips, the company had to moderate the event for Congressional safety as well as in be in guidance with campaign regulations.

Young Freud fucked around with this message at 23:30 on Oct 31, 2020

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006


If it undecideds break the same way as 2016, final count would probably be Biden 54,Trump 46.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

sexpig by night posted:

'subsidies and welfare are socialism' is one of the dumbest arguments to make because it ignores, ya know, the whole worker element of socialism while also framing it as some big 'ah but you hate welfare so shouldn't you be ashamed to be on it????' thing that republicans just go 'no' to because they don't have shame.

Take it up with Harry Truman, who, in a 1952 speech, decried the Republicans use of "socialism" as a scare tactic, then goes to list things like Social Security, farm price supports, and bank deposit insurance as socialism. AOC is just updating things.

Since it's widely available as a meme, I've included the Snopes' page fact checking the quote...
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/truman-socialism-scare-word/

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006



That's a big change between these, going from less than a third to almost half. So I'm guessing that if we average out these two polls, it's Trump 57%, Biden 37%

The thing that is remaining consistent is the early votes, Biden's already sizeable lead growing slowly.

With 90 million already voted and 60 million on Election Day, out of 150 million registered voters, we have something like 60 million early Biden votes plus a potential 22 million on Election Day, versus 29 million early Trump votes plus 34 potential Trump votes.

That's a potential of 82 million Biden vs. 63 million Trump or 54.6% vs. 42%. The only way Trump can win is if the Republicans cheat.

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Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

RoboChrist 9000 posted:

I have some bad news.

Yeah, I know, but I think my point is that they'll have to be really, really blatant with it, like disenfranchise a third of the electorate to have Trump win. They can't just get it down close and flip it like they've been doing.

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