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Plunk down your best guesses as to how election night will go. Closest person wins absolutely nothing because the store is down! Hooray Go here for the map I'll go first  that's right blue NC and Georgia, fight me
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Oct 19, 2020 20:03
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it's either gonna be this or biden's gonna get >400 EVs
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Oct 19, 2020 20:11
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Last week I decided to make a map where I go "okay, any state that Biden has less than 80% chance of winning on 538 goes to Trump" and here's the result if anyone's curious I mostly did this as a dumb little guessing game exercise based entirely on an arbitrary threshold, especially because I know probability is useless bullshit in this scenario and I was too lazy go over polling averages state-by-state. This isn't the map I actually think will happen but honestly I have absolutely no clue what will actually happen so trying to make my own map is pointless. My only actual opinion is that despite all the data, blue Wisconsin feels wrong on a gut level as someone who lives here, but I really can't point to anything (anecdote or data) to back that up. Harrow has issued a correction as of 20:15 on Oct 19, 2020 |
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Oct 19, 2020 20:11
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here's mine: e: thought about leaving PA as undecided because they will never finish counting the votes there but whatever
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Oct 19, 2020 20:20
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Peanut President has issued a correction as of 20:53 on Oct 19, 2020 |
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Oct 19, 2020 20:47
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hello
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Oct 19, 2020 20:57
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i think in the end biden is going to win the popular vote convincingly and more narrowly win the EC. but, because of delays counting mail ins, we might see republicans try and steal the election
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Oct 19, 2020 21:02
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Oct 19, 2020 21:10
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Oct 19, 2020 21:20
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Jeb!
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Oct 19, 2020 21:35
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 JEB!  And what the hell, I'll throw in for an actual prediction and I'll go all in and say it's a Biden blowout with BLUE TEXAS 
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Oct 19, 2020 22:01
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turp
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Oct 19, 2020 22:26
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Playing conservative with this.
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Oct 19, 2020 22:37
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:Playing conservative with this. I honestly don't see any world where biden loses Florida if he gets nc and Arizona but I'm also a goddamn idiot so
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Oct 19, 2020 22:42
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:Playing conservative with this. Almost went with this exact map except ME-2 is red. Chokes McGee posted:I honestly don't see any world where biden loses Florida if he gets nc and Arizona but I'm also a goddamn idiot so Florida is full of fuckery and shenanigans, especially given who's in power. Whereas the NC power struggle has been swaying towards Dems and they're fed up enough with the state GOP they feel likely to swing Blue. Cunningham having a big lead in the Senate race could carry it.
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Oct 19, 2020 22:44
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Chokes McGee posted:I honestly don't see any world where biden loses Florida if he gets nc and Arizona but I'm also a goddamn idiot so the world where it's outright stolen.
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Oct 19, 2020 22:50
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honestly if I were deciding based on polls alone I would have said "gently caress it" and gone with blue texas
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Oct 19, 2020 22:52
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:the world where it's outright stolen. one man,
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Oct 19, 2020 23:21
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The deeper I dive the more it seems like 538 is overly generous to Biden in predictions. For example, in Florida, registered Republican voters have increased their edge on Democrats since 2016. This is my final answer: 
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Oct 19, 2020 23:40
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Chokes McGee posted:turp
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Oct 20, 2020 00:07
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I don't know poo poo. But it looks bad for Biden!
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Oct 20, 2020 00:13
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Gonna be tight but Trump 
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Oct 20, 2020 01:12
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for your consideration, may I please present: the Reverse Reagan.
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Oct 20, 2020 01:41
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Oct 20, 2020 01:55
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Egg Moron posted:Gonna be tight but Trump that's what she said 
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Oct 20, 2020 02:18
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 boring map 
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Oct 20, 2020 02:43
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Mokelumne Trekka posted:The deeper I dive the more it seems like 538 is overly generous to Biden in predictions. For example, in Florida, registered Republican voters have increased their edge on Democrats since 2016. this one's fun change NE-2 to blue and change PA to whatever color represents being engulfed in a clusterfuck of legal challenges around the counting shenanigans that are already happening, that eventually makes its way to scotus where ACB is the deciding vote that denies biden a 270-268 win that's the one that ends america lol 
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Oct 20, 2020 02:46
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https://images.app.goo.gl/fpfA4UByvPb8qG6c8
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Oct 20, 2020 02:49
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Scranton Joe!
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Oct 20, 2020 03:09
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Egg Moron posted:Gonna be tight but Trump holy poo poo we're map bros
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Oct 20, 2020 03:17
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Oct 20, 2020 03:21
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biden is outed as a pedo (sick) guy at the last debate
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Oct 20, 2020 03:32
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why did you post a map of phlan 
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Oct 20, 2020 03:32
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Oct 20, 2020 03:40
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Oct 20, 2020 04:10
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Oct 20, 2020 04:41
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Oct 20, 2020 05:01
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there's no goddamn world where trump gets athens but not arcadia
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Oct 20, 2020 05:17
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| # ? Apr 19, 2024 01:49 |
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Chokes McGee posted:there's no goddamn world where trump gets athens but not arcadia History shows Arcadia follows sparta. Athens is a coin flip but I went red for it cause they basically just ape Lesbos culturally so...
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Oct 20, 2020 05:21
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