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I had a few friends got seriously into poker in high school before online poker became big so in order to play for money they'd have to drive out to someone's friend's cousin's game wherever. I was never as into it but I got good enough to be moderately competent and went with them to a game one time where an overweight bald man screamed at me for playing wrong because I took a sub optimal risk on the river and beat him even though I "shouldn't have" and eventually followed us out to the car when we left (though immediately scampered off when we tried to confront him). poker is like 85% these guys and 15% otherwise chill gambling addicts.
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Oct 3, 2022 21:14
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| # ? Apr 25, 2024 00:34 |
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People innately have very, very poor intuition about probabilities. Even if you learn how the probabilities in poker work and do all the proper math, you still end up with a lot of people having that feeling that they "shouldn't" lose a hand in which they are 90-10 favoured, even though that means 10% of the time they lose. And 10% represents an event that will occur quite frequently. So, sure, the player winning the 10% game gets lucky, but then, so technically does the player winning the 49% game. But the latter feels very different to people. Then on top of that comes faulty pattern recognition such that people are way better at remembering all the times they lost to the 10% odds versus all the times they won the 10% odds, let alone all the times they won the 90% odds. You see the same thing when people complain about the RNG in a game like Xcom or a shuffler in a computer card game. The latter is extra funny because you'll see complaints like "I never draw 3x the same card in a row in real life", which is explained by people being bad at shuffling in a way that approaches true randomization and often deliberately spreading copies of the same card around in their decks so that it feels "more random". Anyway, add in some tits and misogyny and the above can get real spicy.
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Oct 3, 2022 21:26
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*flipping a coin to decide whether to call or fold*
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Oct 4, 2022 03:56
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Orange Devil posted:People innately have very, very poor intuition about probabilities. Even if you learn how the probabilities in poker work and do all the proper math, you still end up with a lot of people having that feeling that they "shouldn't" lose a hand in which they are 90-10 favoured, even though that means 10% of the time they lose. And 10% represents an event that will occur quite frequently. So, sure, the player winning the 10% game gets lucky, but then, so technically does the player winning the 49% game. But the latter feels very different to people. Then on top of that comes faulty pattern recognition such that people are way better at remembering all the times they lost to the 10% odds versus all the times they won the 10% odds, let alone all the times they won the 90% odds. I don't watch poker, but isn't he pissed at losing on a 47% loss chance?
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Oct 4, 2022 11:50
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It’s not really accurate to say that he’s pissed at losing a coin flip (actually two consecutive flips) because neither of them knew what the odds were at the time. What they both knew is that they didn’t have very good hands. He tried to bully her with a poo poo hand and a big stack of chips, and it didn’t work. Her almost equally lovely hand prevailed. It’s a legitimate strategy to force opponents to make that choice, but sometimes they’re going to call you on it, and if you’re not backing it with a decent set of cards, you’re going to lose a lot of those calls. Platystemon has issued a correction as of 12:30 on Oct 4, 2022 |
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Oct 4, 2022 12:28
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Platystemon posted:It’s not really accurate to say that he’s pissed at losing a coin flip (actually two consecutive flips) because neither of them knew what the odds were at the time. What they both knew is that they didn’t have very good hands. Right, from his perspective - at the time - he lost a 90% loss chance. But he certainly didn't have an - either believed or actual - 90% chance of winning. If I understand the percentages in the bottom right correctly 
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Oct 4, 2022 12:44
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I think he's pissed that she didn't fold with such a lovely quality hand like she was "supposed" to under whatever expected value system he was operating on. And like, yeah maybe mathematically she made a negative EV play. But then so does like every lottery winner ever. Assuming all your poker opponent are perfectly evaluating every hand and making the perfect EV plays at all times is a great way to get yourself blown the gently caress out. That tends to lead to big butthurt about "logic" and "rationality", which again doesn't mix well with tits and misogyny. Orange Devil has issued a correction as of 13:14 on Oct 4, 2022 |
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Oct 4, 2022 13:12
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It's just getting tilted at a bad beat. Not letting that stuff get to you is a basic requirement of being a good poker player. He's being a giant baby.
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Oct 4, 2022 14:23
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The poker drama is funny because all the top women in poker are like "she probably just played that hand terribly" or "she cheated" but no one outside listens to them
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Oct 4, 2022 18:58
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Tiberius Christ posted:She gave the money back after he confronted her, look at that death stare hes giving Lol what the gently caress dude should be in jail
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Oct 4, 2022 19:01
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This is a good article about diy transition, the conflict with institutional gatekeepers and the potential for new ways of relating https://twitter.com/gp_jls/status/1577347911763083284?s=46&t=GmHc4h_05qnbR21YqHB3eQ
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Oct 4, 2022 19:54
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do the right wingers know that you can just order this stuff online or what?
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Oct 5, 2022 01:20
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Pentecoastal Elites posted:I had a few friends got seriously into poker in high school before online poker became big so in order to play for money they'd have to drive out to someone's friend's cousin's game wherever. I was never as into it but I got good enough to be moderately competent and went with them to a game one time where an overweight bald man screamed at me for playing wrong because I took a sub optimal risk on the river and beat him even though I "shouldn't have" and eventually followed us out to the car when we left (though immediately scampered off when we tried to confront him). poker is like 85% these guys and 15% otherwise chill gambling addicts. You're misremembering. I was not bald and never will be.
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Oct 5, 2022 01:25
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Shiroc posted:This is a good article about diy transition, the conflict with institutional gatekeepers and the potential for new ways of relating This was definitely a fantastic piece. The amount of trans individuals stuck with DIY in places like the UK as they wait 4+ years for the first appointment is obscene. I think this is absolutely the trajectory we're likely to see there as she pointed out, as a number of states (FL, TX, AL) are absolutely racing to abolish all access to gender affirming care. Florida is even trying to make moves to delay or deny it for adults as well.
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Oct 5, 2022 03:34
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All of Jules' writing is really good. I extremely highly recommend Histories of the Transgender Child.
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Oct 5, 2022 04:27
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tractor fanatic posted:The poker drama is funny because all the top women in poker are like "she probably just played that hand terribly" or "she cheated" but no one outside listens to them Please explain the method of cheating. Are people claiming that she had a way to view the other guy's cards or the table cards before they were revealed? Is it some other thing that would allow her to have certainty about the outcome when others did not?
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Oct 5, 2022 13:23
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P_T_S posted:Please explain the method of cheating. Are people claiming that she had a way to view the other guy's cards or the table cards before they were revealed? Is it some other thing that would allow her to have certainty about the outcome when others did not? She was (slightly) losing when she called the all in. So, seeing his cards wouldn't have made much sense. Putting him on the straight draw is a pretty reasonable read, she just misjudged the odds. The thing that he's mad about is that she made a bad play and was rewarded for it. You know, a thing that happens all the time in poker.
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Oct 5, 2022 13:44
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So it's just him being a butt baby about poker not being chess. "Oh no, my gambling obsession has unpredictable outcomes!"
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Oct 5, 2022 13:48
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Here’s a hand‐by‐hand analysis of Robbi’s play at the event. If she was cheating, she’s either so godlike that it’s indistinguishable from normal play, or so bad at it that she’s not gaining advantage from it. Here is an attempt to explain she could have been thinking without making her out to be either a cheat or the worst player ever to touch felt. quote:His shove stinks of weakness. She smells it a mile away. In her mind - and her mind only - at that moment, 87cc might have actually been toward the top of his range. If she’d made the same moves and the cards didn’t draw in her favor, everyone at the table would have chuckled and moved on. No one would have accused her of cheating even though win or lose, it’s a +EV position if and only if she knew what cards he held. eta: Garrett donated her money to charity.  https://twitter.com/GmanPoker/status/1577677790379245569 Platystemon has issued a correction as of 05:07 on Oct 6, 2022 |
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Oct 5, 2022 13:53
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https://twitter.com/Jezebel/status/1577707586409099264 thread title plz
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Oct 5, 2022 18:41
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https://twitter.com/jk_rowling/status/1577684068447277059 Billionaire boldly volunteers legal battle against charity; is hailed as hero by tens of thousands
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Oct 5, 2022 19:44
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Oct 7, 2022 06:18
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loquacius posted:https://twitter.com/jk_rowling/status/1577684068447277059
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Oct 7, 2022 06:37
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for extra fun interpret mermaids to refer to the race of fantasy creatures rather than the charity
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Oct 7, 2022 06:42
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Little mermaid is an illegal immigrant.
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Oct 7, 2022 09:17
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https://twitter.com/Jani__Gee/status/1579990136900968448 Lol, tehre are a lot of creepy rear end dudes arguing with this lady on twitter.
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Oct 13, 2022 20:08
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AnimeIsTrash posted:https://twitter.com/Jani__Gee/status/1579990136900968448 She's right but I'm not sure "lol you can't afford sex workers in your own country" is the way I'd frame this tbh.
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Oct 13, 2022 20:16
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Some Guy TT posted:for extra fun interpret mermaids to refer to the race of fantasy creatures rather than the charity Mermaids do not have vaginas so it fits her MO
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Oct 13, 2022 20:22
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loquacius posted:Mermaids do not have vaginas so it fits her MO Have you not seen The Lighthouse?
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Oct 13, 2022 20:29
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tokin opposition posted:She's right but I'm not sure "lol you can't afford sex workers in your own country" is the way I'd frame this tbh. is it even true that they cant afford sex workers in their own country? even if sex workers overseas cost less on the individual level youre still on the hook for foreign travel fees its always been my impression that the main financial benefit of being a sexpat as opposed to a local creep is the lower rent not that any of them would ever admit this when they can just make racist comments about asian women being demure that white feminists just accept uncritically as true because they have very unrealistic ideas about how sex work actually functions in the west since the predominant image is the sex loving independent contractor in nice hotel rooms and not the drug addict who will give you a blow job for twenty bucks
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Oct 13, 2022 21:18
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https://twitter.com/jk_rowling/status/1580639051774054404?t=Hv5SI4BtBeas7su-OAXwmQ&s=19 She really does keep finding new and interesting evil things to say
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Oct 14, 2022 12:37
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Some Guy TT posted:is it even true that they cant afford sex workers in their own country? even if sex workers overseas cost less on the individual level youre still on the hook for foreign travel fees its always been my impression that the main financial benefit of being a sexpat as opposed to a local creep is the lower rent I think it's less about "you can't afford sex workers in your home country" and more that sex workers in poorer countries have even fewer options for escaping poverty and are therefore less likely to refuse these dudes if they ask for gross stuff or abuse them. Basically that the guys are preying on the most easily exploitable targets they can think of.
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Oct 14, 2022 13:32
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Some Guy TT posted:is it even true that they cant afford sex workers in their own country? even if sex workers overseas cost less on the individual level youre still on the hook for foreign travel fees its always been my impression that the main financial benefit of being a sexpat as opposed to a local creep is the lower rent I don't think that thats the predominant image of western sex workers.
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Oct 14, 2022 15:22
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Yeah I'm gonna say that if you can't afford domestic sex workers you probably also can't afford to drop money on a plane flight to Thailand for the purposes of getting laid; the motivation behind sex tourism is absolutely to find more desperate people
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Oct 14, 2022 15:39
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loquacius posted:Yeah I'm gonna say that if you can't afford domestic sex workers you probably also can't afford to drop money on a plane flight to Thailand for the purposes of getting laid; the motivation behind sex tourism is absolutely to find more desperate people well that a marriage for whatever distinction we can and should make between sex tourism and so-called mail order brides. By now that industry should've re branded with a progressive sounding buzzword tho. Wonder what they could be
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Oct 14, 2022 18:45
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War and Pieces posted:well that a marriage for whatever distinction we can and should make between sex tourism and so-called mail order brides. Independent matrimonial contractors
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Oct 15, 2022 01:29
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War and Pieces posted:well that a marriage for whatever distinction we can and should make between sex tourism and so-called mail order brides. Cross-cultural Relationship Co-ordinators. The next step in diversity consulting!
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Oct 15, 2022 16:34
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Unhinged https://twitter.com/KatyMontgomerie/status/1581625150503407619?t=w0l25gfHQ45vxfetqhLYkg&s=19
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Oct 16, 2022 14:12
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She's such a garbage human
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Oct 16, 2022 18:00
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| # ? Apr 25, 2024 00:34 |
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Riot Bimbo posted:She's such a garbage human Shaun the skull youtuber has a new video detailing how Rowling knows exactly what she's doing when she supports anti-trans activists on twitter and how many of them are openly working with anti-gay/anti-abortion religious freaks like the Heritage Foundation: https://youtu.be/Ou_xvXJJk7k Also makes a point of TERFs' constant invocation of lesbian safety when most of the top TERFs are straight as it turns out, not to mention the thing about working with anti-gay groups and Tommy Robinson while using lesbians as a shield. A bunch of commenters on the video make a connection between Helen Joyce's interview quote about trans people being disruptive because they need "special accommodations" (as if) and rhetoric around disabled people and eugenics. The anti-trans movement is dependent on a compliant media taking them at their shallowest word and not interrogating their actions in the slightest. Dr. Jerrold Coe has issued a correction as of 18:11 on Oct 16, 2022 |
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Oct 16, 2022 18:08
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