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mkvltra
Nov 1, 2020

Bad Purchase posted:

the more contagious = less deadly thing is mostly a myth, op.

How do you qualify this, doctor?

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Jesustheastronaut!
Mar 9, 2014




Lipstick Apathy
The coolest virus to have atm is Original COVID. Very rare and hard to come by. Most people settle for the watered down knock off version but trust me if you're a real enthusiast like myself, then you know what I'm talking about.

Bad Purchase
Jun 17, 2019




mkvltra posted:

How do you qualify this, doctor?

i give it my golden seal

Heath
Apr 30, 2008

🍂🎃🏞️💦

mkvltra posted:

How do you qualify this, doctor?

Ebola is also highly contagious

Bula Vinaka
Oct 21, 2020

beach side
Isn't Spanish Flu basically still with us, in a greatly mutated form from the original strain?

Heath
Apr 30, 2008

🍂🎃🏞️💦

Bula Vinaka posted:

Isn't Spanish Flu basically still with us, in a greatly mutated form from the original strain?

Yes



Here is a comic about the debate over wearing masks and stopping the spread of contagion from 100 years ago

mkvltra
Nov 1, 2020

Heath posted:

Ebola is also highly contagious

We're talking about COVID

Methanar
Sep 26, 2013

by the sex ghost
lol I wonder if any of the giant pharmaceutical corporations have been sponsoring politicans to write all of the regulations requiring vaccines to access every day life. dont worry though because it will be the government legislating itself into a forever subscription to purchase the vaccines and paying the bill for you.

Methanar fucked around with this message at 20:58 on Jan 16, 2022

Noblesse Obliged
Apr 7, 2012

Covid is not a respiratory disease. It just has early stages where it looks like one.

Polio has the same mildness as Covid and almost the same effects.

Covid is more like polio than the cold. It is only mild if you think of it as a respiratory disease which is foolish to do

Bula Vinaka
Oct 21, 2020

beach side

Heath posted:

Ebola is also highly contagious

But not as contagious as a cold virus. The reason it spread so much in Sierra Leone is there is a strong tradition of touching and even kissing the face or mouth as part of a funeral & mourning.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nati...082e_story.html

"There are very strong traditional beliefs and traditional funeral rites which require that the whole family touch the dead body,” he said in an interview, “and they have a meal in the presence of the dead body."

Bad Purchase
Jun 17, 2019




Bula Vinaka posted:

Isn't Spanish Flu basically still with us, in a greatly mutated form from the original strain?

it was an H1N1 influenza, if that's what you mean, and a good example that mutations can and do occur that make a virus more dangerous without being less transmissible.

Heath
Apr 30, 2008

🍂🎃🏞️💦

mkvltra posted:

We're talking about COVID

Yes, but the response is to "more contagious = less deadly is a myth." Contagion is not an indicator of severity or deadliness

The Saxecutioner
Mar 4, 2010

A nimble little mouse!
Yes, it's just a "common cold."

A "common cold" my wife and I have had for 15 days now.

I'm so purely tired of all the toxic masculine bullshit from people saying they got over covid in 48 hours. I seriously doubt any of those people even got tested to see if it was covid or just seasonal allergies.

Bula Vinaka
Oct 21, 2020

beach side
It's not a common cold now, but shouldn't it eventually mutate into the equivalent of one? (Which is what I'm wondering about!)

The Bloop
Jul 5, 2004

by Fluffdaddy

Bula Vinaka posted:

It's not a common cold now, but shouldn't it eventually mutate into the equivalent of one? (Which is what I'm wondering about!)

You're shoulding all over yourself

It might do that but there's no reason to assume it will

Heath
Apr 30, 2008

🍂🎃🏞️💦

Bula Vinaka posted:

It's not a common cold now, but shouldn't it eventually mutate into the equivalent of one? (Which is what I'm wondering about!)

No. What you're asking is whether or not it will become endemic, and the answer is yes, eventually, but all that means is that is basically de facto exists within the population the way a common cold does. That does not necessarily indicate anything else about its effects, severity, or the possibility for future mutations. That process, however, takes decades, especially in the absence of effective vaccines. What does change is how we treat the illness caused by the virus. Flu has gotten less deadly due to a combination of better treatment, vaccines, and the general improvement of human health over time.

Bad Purchase
Jun 17, 2019




Bula Vinaka posted:

It's not a common cold now, but shouldn't it eventually mutate into the equivalent of one? (Which is what I'm wondering about!)

what mechanism do you believe is forcing this to occur? i mean, sure, given enough dice rolls you could end up with a covid19 variant that is about as sever as a "common cold" (which is also hard to pin down, since there are so many different cold viruses, some of which are other coronaviruses). it could also mutate to be more like SARS or MERS, or some completely new thing.

usually when you hear someone say that viruses always mutate over time to be less deadly, the rationale they use is that it's an evolutionary disadvantage to kill the infected before they can spread the virus. that's true, but covid takes weeks to kill you right now and it's highly transmissible before you feel too bad to go out in public. it has a lot of headroom to get worse before patient behavior begins to work against transmission rates.

if you are implying some other biological mechanism, what is it?

Philthy
Jan 28, 2003

Pillbug

Methanar posted:

lol I wonder if any of the giant pharmaceutical corporations have been sponsoring politicans to write all of the regulations requiring vaccines to access every day life. dont worry though because it will be the government legislating itself into a forever subscription to purchase the vaccines and paying the bill for you.

who cares

nobody

BAGS FLY AT NOON
Apr 6, 2011

A Soft Nylon Bag
Uh the common cold IS a coronavirus libtard. Do your own research!

*shoves plunger filled with :horsedrugs: up rear end in a top hat, coughs up lung tissue*

Chumbawumba4ever97
Dec 31, 2000

by Fluffdaddy

Outrail posted:

You slowed the spread and helped the hospitals from being even more overrun than they were/are. That may have saved a bed for lifesaving treatment of a cancer patient or car crash victim or something. Just because you don't know the specific benefit of your actions, in aggregate it still matters.

That actually does make me feel better, too. Thanks.

Bula Vinaka
Oct 21, 2020

beach side
Yeah I guess that's poor word choice... but I've heard from multiple sources that viruses ***tend*** to be less deadly the more contagious they are (obviously not **always**), so I'm thinking that since omicron seems to be less deadly, then hopefully that's what's happening?

GolfHole
Feb 26, 2004

Bad Purchase
Jun 17, 2019




Methanar posted:

lol I wonder if any of the giant pharmaceutical corporations have been sponsoring politicans to write all of the regulations requiring vaccines to access every day life. dont worry though because it will be the government legislating itself into a forever subscription to purchase the vaccines and paying the bill for you.

if you want to go full :tinfoil:, vaccines aren't a great investment for big pharma. governments buy vaccines at something like $15/dose. compare that to new antiviral treatments or monoclonal antibodies -- they bill hundreds or thousands per treatment. they'd be much better off backing the Florida approach, where regulations prevent businesses and public spaces from enforcing vaccine and mask requirements, and the state buys all of the monoclonal antibody treatment they can pump out at ridiculous prices (about $2k per dose) and give it to the unvaccinated.

Last I saw, FL had spent $244M on monoclonal antibodies (and had reserved another ~$600M for the rest of the year). That bought a few hundred thousand doses of antibodies, but would've been enough to buy vaccines for about half the state's population.

yoloer420
May 19, 2006

Bula Vinaka posted:

Yeah I guess that's poor word choice... but I've heard from multiple sources that viruses ***tend*** to be less deadly the more contagious they are (obviously not **always**), so I'm thinking that since omicron seems to be less deadly, then hopefully that's what's happening?

It hasn't even started to happen so far. Compared to alpha, omicron is:


  • More resistant to vaccines
  • Just as deadly
  • Just as likely to result in hospitalisation
  • More transmissible

Methanar
Sep 26, 2013

by the sex ghost

Bad Purchase posted:

if you want to go full :tinfoil:, vaccines aren't a great investment for big pharma. governments buy vaccines at something like $15/dose. compare that to new antiviral treatments or monoclonal antibodies -- they bill hundreds or thousands per treatment. they'd be much better off backing the Florida approach, where regulations prevent businesses and public spaces from enforcing vaccine and mask requirements, and the state buys all of the monoclonal antibody treatment they can pump out at ridiculous prices (about $2k per dose) and give it to the unvaccinated.

Last I saw, FL had spent $244M on monoclonal antibodies (and had reserved another ~$600M for the rest of the year). That bought a few hundred thousand doses of antibodies, but would've been enough to buy vaccines for about half the state's population.

I'd be very surprised if the vaccines were only $15/dose considering the bidding wars over them, between countries even US states themselves.

At $15 a pop, and two boosters a year that's about 10 billion dollars a year for the entire US population. Not bad for an annual subscription service of a captive market where it's becoming increasingly illegal to not participate.

I'm sure the pharmaceutical companies (who were the bad guys back in 2019 btw) are happy to sell both vaccines and treatments.

Methanar fucked around with this message at 21:39 on Jan 16, 2022

Noblesse Obliged
Apr 7, 2012

The ICU admissions from Omicron are all milder.

Also those deaths from it were milder deaths. Open Biden

Bad Purchase
Jun 17, 2019




yoloer420 posted:

It hasn't even started to happen so far. Compared to alpha, omicron is:


  • More resistant to vaccines
  • Just as deadly
  • Just as likely to result in hospitalisation
  • More transmissible

the first bullet is not really relevant to op's question -- the vaccine was made for a different version of the virus. it would be like saying that the flu is more dangerous than polio because it's not affected by the polio vaccine. eventually we'll probably get a covid vaccine that covers more variants.

do you have good sources for the 2nd and 3rd bullet? so far, the peak of the omicron wave is like 3 or 4x higher in case count, but hospitalizations and deaths are not up by that much. they are, of course, lagging indicators and there's a lot more people vaccinated or who have some immunity from a prior infection now, which makes it very difficult to directly compare numbers from prior waves. i think it is too soon to say with certainty whether, in a vacuum, omicron less dangerous than the original or alpha strain. in practice, it does look like omicron is less severe (if nothing else, due to a more hardened population).

the fourth bullet is obviously true.

Heath
Apr 30, 2008

🍂🎃🏞️💦

yoloer420 posted:

It hasn't even started to happen so far. Compared to alpha, omicron is:


  • More resistant to vaccines
  • Just as deadly
  • Just as likely to result in hospitalisation
  • More transmissible

The first three are either partially correct or not evidenced unless you only read doomer poo poo on CSPAM

ChunTheUnavoidable
Sep 27, 2021

yoloer420 posted:

It hasn't even started to happen so far. Compared to alpha, omicron is:


  • More resistant to vaccines
  • Just as deadly
  • Just as likely to result in hospitalisation
  • More transmissible

keep scaring yourself on the internet instead of enjoying your life

mkvltra
Nov 1, 2020

ChunTheUnavoidable posted:

keep scaring yourself on the internet instead of enjoying your life

The Saxecutioner
Mar 4, 2010

A nimble little mouse!

ChudTheUnavoidable posted:

keep scaring yourself on the internet instead of enjoying your life

Fixed that username for you.

yoloer420
May 19, 2006
Sorry friends, you're correct. It's just a cold. Please proceed as normal.

Bad Purchase posted:

do you have good sources for the 2nd and 3rd bullet?

No good sources sorry. I'd read in a few places that Delta was 2x as bad for deaths and hospitalisation compared to OG variant and that Omicron was half as bad for deaths and hospitalisation as Delta.

I did the math and ended up with that. It may just be bullshit.

yoloer420 fucked around with this message at 22:11 on Jan 16, 2022

Methanar
Sep 26, 2013

by the sex ghost

ChunTheUnavoidable posted:

keep scaring yourself on the internet instead of enjoying your life

ChunTheUnavoidable
Sep 27, 2021

The Saxecutioner posted:

Fixed that username for you.

that’s really funny you should post more

Bad Purchase
Jun 17, 2019




Methanar posted:

I'd be very surprised if the vaccines were only $15/dose considering the bidding wars over them, between countries even US states themselves.

At $15 a pop, and two boosters a year that's about 10 billion dollars a year for the entire US population. Not bad for an annual subscription service of a captive market where it's becoming increasingly illegal to not participate.

I'm sure the pharmaceutical companies (who were the bad guys back in 2019 btw) are happy to sell both vaccines and treatments.

you missed the point, but ok, you're not wrong that huge corporations are amoral and profit driven and it would've been better if governments had forced them to sell the vaccines at cost. but a vaccine isn't bad just because it was produced through the system of capitalism, and vaccinating a population against a dangerous disease isn't a bad thing just because the ceo of pfizer gets rich in the process. a $15, or $20, or $30 (or whatever price quibbling you seem to want to do) investment once or twice per year per person is basically nothing. even if only 1 out of ~100 of those shots prevents the need for a monoclonal antibody dose that year, it was a good investment. if even 1 out of 1000 of those shots prevents a hospitalization, it was a good investment. and that's just looking at the basic economics. there are also a lot of lives that have been and will be saved by vaccination, which is even more valuable and important.

Heath
Apr 30, 2008

🍂🎃🏞️💦

The Saxecutioner posted:

Fixed that username for you.

actually pathetic

Jestery
Aug 2, 2016

Eat a dick unicycle boy!
I opened this thread expecting Goatsé, and was disappointed after I read through , that is all

(Not tacit permission to post the goat man)

mkvltra
Nov 1, 2020

Heath posted:

Yes, but the response is to "more contagious = less deadly is a myth." Contagion is not an indicator of severity or deadliness

Yes, true. Sorry lol I usually don't have much input of my own to contribute to topics like this so I revert to asking silly questions or asserting silly / inflammatory points

Heath
Apr 30, 2008

🍂🎃🏞️💦

mkvltra posted:

Yes, true. Sorry lol I usually don't have much input of my own to contribute to topics like this so I revert to asking silly questions or asserting silly / inflammatory points

I will never disparage a Mr. Saturn fan

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Noblesse Obliged
Apr 7, 2012

ChunTheUnavoidable posted:

keep scaring yourself on the internet instead of enjoying your life

Are you enjoying your life?

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