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Hadlock posted:https://kyivindependent.com/ukraines-security-service-visits-kyiv-independent-ceos-home-says-its-in-unrelated-investigation/ They picked the best hilarious/creeper looking photos too, can't attach an image to an existing post sorry not sorry e: page snipe
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Oct 3, 2025 02:39
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Blistex posted:It doesn't seem smart to bait someone into a war with you when your conventional forces are currently next to depleted and unable to open a second front. A sudden influx of X0,000 violent warcrimers headed to your populated areas in the middle of a collapsing economy no longer propped up by wartime production is an immediate and acute problem for putin. The slow grind of hybrid warfare with existing conventional and non-conventional capabilities creates a future problem whose resolution can be slow-rolled for years. Maybe even won if you're cool with dying a natural death before the chickens come home to roost.
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Oct 3, 2025 08:36
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Hadlock posted:a pro freedom agenda
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Oct 3, 2025 09:50
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“I want my two dollars!”
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Oct 3, 2025 10:18
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Guest2553 posted:A sudden influx of X0,000 violent warcrimers headed to your populated areas in the middle of a collapsing economy no longer propped up by wartime production is an immediate and acute problem for putin.
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Oct 4, 2025 00:57
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x=10
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Oct 4, 2025 00:59
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Boom, got me!
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Oct 4, 2025 01:01
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Seems bad https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m2heiv5aec24 e: for context, Russia launched a massive air raid last night that was concentrated on Lviv with 700+ drones and cruise missiles. Nuclear Tourist fucked around with this message at 15:25 on Oct 5, 2025 |
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Oct 5, 2025 15:12
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There was a time when Russia was a great space power, I guess no longer. I wonder if we will see anyone trying out their anti satellite countermeasures, communication dazzling and the like.
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Oct 5, 2025 17:36
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Nuclear Tourist posted:Seems bad Did the satellites do something, like change orbit specifically to make multiple passes there? Or is that just the way their existing orbits happened to fall this morning? Satellites are always over something, and over the course of a day or so, a typical low orbit will pass near pretty much every spot on Earth that's at a latitude lower than their orbital inclination.  Imgur mirror
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Oct 5, 2025 17:55
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quote:Satellites from the Yaogan 33 series – Yaogan 33, Yaogan 33-03 and Yaogan 33-04 – were recorded flying over the city of Lviv, making a total of nine passes over the region between 00:00 and approximately 11:30. Quote above is from https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/10/05/8001337/ and https://militarnyi.com/en/articles/at-least-three-chinese-reconnaissance-satellites-recorded-over-lviv-region-during-russian-strike/ and probably other sources copy and pasting it Reuters had very little info here https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-provides-intelligence-russia-ukraine-targets-ukrainian-intelligence-says-2025-10-04/ Sat data pulled from https://www.heavens-above.com/ So on one hand it's bad, on the other hand it seems to happen a lot more than that on a routine basis so... doubleplus bad I guess?
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Oct 5, 2025 18:10
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Most people have severely exaggerated notion of amount and kind of maneuvering satellites can do.
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Oct 5, 2025 18:12
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Also poo poo, pro-Russian shitheads ala Fico took power in Czechia in the elections just now. That's a big and ardent supporter of Ukraine turned down a lovely path, not to mention what it means for the wider EU sphere in general.
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Oct 5, 2025 18:24
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OddObserver posted:Most people have severely exaggerated notion of amount and kind of maneuvering satellites can do. This. Orbit changes are expensive as gently caress in terms of propellant, so I'm not surprised to see that no, these sats didn't do so. Might China be providing satellite intel to Russia? Sure, there'd be no technical reason they couldn't. But just the fact that all these spacecraft "have orbital parameters enabling them to operate over Ukraine" is meaningless. It's equally correct to say that they can "operate over" Cape Town, Jakarta, or Walla Walla, Washington.
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Oct 5, 2025 18:36
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OddObserver posted:Most people have severely exaggerated notion of amount and kind of maneuvering satellites can do. What is delta V and what is the rocket equation???
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Oct 5, 2025 18:36
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Polar orbits, how do they work
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Oct 5, 2025 18:49
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Powered Descent posted:This. Orbit changes are expensive as gently caress in terms of propellant, so I'm not surprised to see that no, these sats didn't do so. To clarify, orbit changes are so expensive they effectively are impossible for all but a handful of spacecraft I think the X-37B has demonstrated in flight orbital adjustment but only by 2-3 degrees I forget how much fuel is required but basically if you need 1000m/s of Delta v to get in orbit, you need another 500m/s of Delta v to change your orbit (one time) by 30° It's a lot cheaper to just launch 10 spy satellites in the inclination/timing you need, rather design a satellite that can change it's orbit Starlink satellites can raise/modify their orbits slightly to get into their assigned orbit, but they're using tiny baby ion thrusters and it takes weeks to do so
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Oct 5, 2025 18:49
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When you’re in something like a molniya orbit making corrections at apoapsis is “efficient” as far as anything in space mechanics can be.
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Oct 5, 2025 21:22
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OddObserver posted:Most people have severely exaggerated notion of amount and kind of maneuvering satellites can do. Satellites can make a large move once
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Oct 5, 2025 22:37
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PurpleXVI posted:Also poo poo, pro-Russian shitheads ala Fico took power in Czechia in the elections just now. The stuff I've seen about him so far has painted him as arguing for reducing Czechia's contributions to Ukraine and divert those resources to domestic issues which, while bad for Ukraine, is not necessarily as bad as also trying to oppose efforts by the entire rest of the EU to help Ukraine. Are there any sources on him stating support for Russia's invasion of Ukraine, or opposition to what the rest of the EU is doing?
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Oct 6, 2025 06:47
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Bronze Fonz posted:So on one hand it's bad, on the other hand it seems to happen a lot more than that on a routine basis so... doubleplus bad I guess? I guess the bad part here would be "and they're possibly providing some data to the Russians".
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Oct 6, 2025 06:48
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Slashrat posted:The stuff I've seen about him so far has painted him as arguing for reducing Czechia's contributions to Ukraine and divert those resources to domestic issues which, while bad for Ukraine, is not necessarily as bad as also trying to oppose efforts by the entire rest of the EU to help Ukraine.
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Oct 6, 2025 09:15
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Herman Merman posted:I guess the bad part here would be "and they're possibly providing some data to the Russians". Beijing Head Aerospace Technology is already subject to sanctions by multiple states for selling satellite imagery to Russian military suppliers. It's unclear whether this is about the same or a different company or direct state cooperation in intelligence sharing between Russia and China.
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Oct 6, 2025 09:20
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Slashrat posted:Are there any sources on him stating support for Russia's invasion of Ukraine, or opposition to what the rest of the EU is doing? He's not quite Orban-tier but... https://www.kyivpost.com/post/61471 quote:Babiš, 71, is campaigning on pledges of welfare and halting military aid to Ukraine. From his Wikipedia article: quote:In a debate held on 22 January 2023 on Czech Television, Babiš stated that he would refuse to help defend NATO allies (Poland and the Baltic states) in a possible conflict. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Babi%C5%A1#Presidential_bid Also apparently used to be an informer for the Czech version of the Stasi, might have had people kidnapped to prevent them giving evidence in his corruption cases, etc. yeah dude might not explicitly be a horrid fuckup in the exact same way as Orban but he is definitely a titanic rear end in a top hat. quote:Babis praised Trump's State of the Union Address and even paraphrased his rhetoric ("Make the Czech Republic great again"). In an interview Trump praised the Czech economy, army, people, and good business relations with the US.
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Oct 6, 2025 10:52
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https://www.kyivpost.com/post/61495quote:Drones hit Russia’s largest explosives plant
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Oct 6, 2025 11:40
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drat smoking accidents
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Oct 6, 2025 12:01
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That's just Ukrainian ingenuity right there, extremely efficient. Why bother importing your own explosives when Russia has a domestic supply sitting around waiting for you to use?
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Oct 6, 2025 12:13
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i was reading a piece of analysis from frontline intelligence highlighting an accelerating rate of russian recruitment of mercenaries from the global south, with an uptick from several hundred positively identified from open source and hacked records in 2024 to low 1000's identified in 2025. there have been several headlines this year about non-russian pows reporting that they thought they were applying for a regular work visa and then ending up being inducted into the russian army on arrival recruiting soldiers or ex-soldiers like the alleged contingents from cuba, north korea, or veterans of middle east conflicts makes some amount of sense and mirrors ukrainian measures to allow for foreign brigades from georgia, ex-nato, etc. but i'm kind of curious how this could possibly be worth the time and effort to import civilians with no russian to be put on the front line. even as chaff, it can't be that cheap to human traffic migrants who are at best going to hopefully share english as a second language with some russian troops, can it? and even if you consider them solely grist for the mill, the fact that max recruitment is in the low thousands, that's still a drop in the bucket from the attested russian figure of ~30,000 recruits per month in 2025. is there some utility i'm missing here?
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Oct 6, 2025 21:46
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GhostofJohnMuir posted:there have been several headlines this year about non-russian pows reporting that they thought they were applying for a regular work visa and then ending up being inducted into the russian army on arrival Personally I'm always dubious of these stories. This is exactly what I'd tell my Ukrainian captors to present myself as just a lil' guy who should be treated nicely because I've been so poorly deceived. GhostofJohnMuir posted:is there some utility i'm missing here? I could imagine that individual recruitment officers have quotas they need to make, so while 200 randos from sub-Saharan Africa might be zilch in the greater scale of the war, it's what lets Ivan Recruiterman pass his quota and maybe get a bonus.
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Oct 6, 2025 21:55
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The problem with mercs is they generally want to get payed and live to spend it. Using them as chaff will spread around I’m sure and mess with recruitment
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Oct 6, 2025 22:45
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Assuming there was ever an honest desire to pay them. If they just delay payment until most of them are dead then they probably can hem and haw about paying out for ages.
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Oct 6, 2025 22:59
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surely mistreating migrant laborers, the people with the fewest rights, will have consequences
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Oct 6, 2025 23:01
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PurpleXVI posted:Personally I'm always dubious of these stories. This is exactly what I'd tell my Ukrainian captors to present myself as just a lil' guy who should be treated nicely because I've been so poorly deceived. considering russia's notorious information suppression, how little training russian forces have had, how frequently russian troops surrender, how many russian troops simply left early on in the conflict, and how many stories have come up of attempted human trafficking operations to kidnap foreign laborers to be deployed on the frontlines, i could absolutely see the likelihood of it. you absolutely do have a point that it's a very convenient excuse, but that's because there are so many things pointing towards it
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Oct 6, 2025 23:46
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PurpleXVI posted:Personally I'm always dubious of these stories. This is exactly what I'd tell my Ukrainian captors to present myself as just a lil' guy who should be treated nicely because I've been so poorly deceived. i do agree that such individual stories are suspect, but you do have recent incidents like the kenyan police breaking up a human trafficking ring where it's alleged that people were being lied to and sent to the front once they got to russia https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdxqjqjln1ko i guess re-reading that article answered some of my questions, because it was reported that they were conducting the usual scummy human trafficking practices of charging upfront finders fees and require deposits for "paperwork" for their services, so the recruiting system might be paying for itself
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Oct 7, 2025 00:27
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Kith posted:considering russia's notorious information suppression, how little training russian forces have had, how frequently russian troops surrender, how many russian troops simply left early on in the conflict, and how many stories have come up of attempted human trafficking operations to kidnap foreign laborers to be deployed on the frontlines, i could absolutely see the likelihood of it. you absolutely do have a point that it's a very convenient excuse, but that's because there are so many things pointing towards it if they're actually foreign and not like, active north korean military, would you actually bother to hold them or just deport them to face judgement back home? idk how you'd figure out which ones didn't join to obtain russian citizenship (i dont suppose you can just call up the russian consul and ask), but if they're going back to wherever else id imagine the likelihood of them going back to join the russian army again is probably pretty low
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Oct 7, 2025 00:33
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https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3m2zghxj2cc26
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Oct 12, 2025 19:28
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Haven't seen a Russian armored column get hit in a while. https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1976950496574509547 Russia's been trying to rescue a pocket the Ukrainians encircled with armored and mechanized assaults. Doesn't seem to be going too well for them.
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Oct 13, 2025 18:08
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Cythereal posted:Haven't seen a Russian armored column get hit in a while. If the usual loss ratios hold, and they've lost about 50% of their armor, then they've also taken about 10% personnel casualties, which means this was a reinforced battalion-sized attack?
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Oct 13, 2025 19:27
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Cythereal posted:Haven't seen a Russian armored column get hit in a while. It's almost like they forgot why they don't clump vehicles together anymore. At least when the Ukrainians do an armoured push they do their best to thin out the drone operators in the area and have anti reconnaissance drones ready to blind whatever eyes Russia has in the skies.
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Oct 13, 2025 19:30
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Blistex posted:It's almost like they forgot why they don't clump vehicles together anymore. At least when the Ukrainians do an armoured push they do their best to thin out the drone operators in the area and have anti reconnaissance drones ready to blind whatever eyes Russia has in the skies. Preston Stewart's said in his YouTube video on this attack that the Russians were trying to take advantage of rainy weather, which can ground many drone types. It wasn't completely suicidal, but a gamble that ended really badly nevertheless. Before you go looking for it, be advised that it contains a lot of footage of troops one second away from getting hit by FPV drones.
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Oct 13, 2025 20:16
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