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Illusionis posted:After considering the claims ##vote Yuming, still considering Cube though, it's a little convenient that his claim both explains the result, provides a reason his vig will never trigger and a reason for him to stay safe from night kills all game. I just cannot read Yuming as anything other than Town, and don't really get the argument against? Can you explain?
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# ¿ Feb 14, 2025 08:38 |
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Also to clarify, Keats has been low content, doing little more than saying "yes, me too" or making random accusations then backing off the moment he's asked for further comment(or doubling down and insisting that asking for further comment is somehow scum, but then also getting mad when nobody engages, as if that's not a transparently lose/lose that stands only to make him seem more legitimate regardless) What are the odds of a Jester, now that I think about it?
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Johnny Keats posted:He has posts, doesn't he? "Make my case for me, so I'm not to blame later when it's wrong"
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I find it tough to get a real read on Opop or Sandwolf because of their apparent beef making things less clear to me. By and large though, I have reason to believe his implications of being a doctor, so I'm inclined to give his arguments a bit more weight, plus he's been contributing content and having arguments and opinions of his own, which maybe I get too hung up on, but more information and more stated opinions and thoughts are broadly good for town and bad for scum, so I find silence, or regurgitating other people's opinions, one of the most suspicious things
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I agree about Illu, I think both Illu and yuming feel pretty town right now. I don't agree with the amount of focus being put into Keat's opinions on the codes, though that's mostly because I think it's a null tell(It feels equally likely to be a town, scum, or just a personal grievance motivation, so it feels like a waste to me to stare at it to try and make an answer happen) I do think silence and non-contribution are indicators, though, which is why Keats stays on my list next to TM
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fool of sound posted:I suspect we have lurking scum somewhere in TMor, Hal, or Nutsack but I don't really have a strong enough feeling to hazard a guess on them. I keep forgetting about Hal while listing people who aren't contributing, which I suppose could be a sign of it working? Nutsack though I'd at least say has contributed more than the other two? He's read as Null to me thus far.
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Tired Moritz posted:Should we be wondering why we got no deaths I mean. I don't think the answer is "Scum decided to just...not" The question is, though, with Madness, do we have more than one doc, was it a BP, or does the doc get to be confident that whoever they targeted last night was, in fact, Town? Long story short, I don't think this is a really useful line of reasoning to drill down on until we have more information
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Well, outside of being a case study on why coded messages are frequently not permitted, which I don't think we need to keep going over(At the very least it isn't helpful for us and it's cruel to mods if nothing else) I think there IS some useful information to be had in people's reactions here. People staying out of it entirely with a history of being quiet in general (Hal) raises my suspicions a little bit, as does someone who just keeps asking people to make hard claims(Keats). Spork's reactions to things have read as very Town to me, at this stage at least, and I think it pretty likely yuming and nutsack are town as well, given that 'scum messenger' would be a wild role to have. Not impossible, sure, but I don't think it's likely, just like I don't think scum seer is particularly likely after that was explained to me. Cube outing what was a largely uneventful message feels off to me. Sure the information itself is kinda nothing, but it does go a long way to confirming town status on those involved, which I've always felt does more to benefit scum in some ways. Once someone is confirmed townie, they're a very safe night target that doesn't get us any information. This isn't enough to be suspect on its own but with everything else, I'm definitely starting to see a case for Cube. Illusionis posted:He did, though if you're thinking townclear, I agree with this sentiment that it's a pretty quick assumption to make, when there's a number of other possibilities that could account for the missing kill What do you think of the like. Soft claim Opop made of "If I was doc and protected someone, it would have been Spork"?
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CubicalSucrose posted:I first revealed "hey that thing you might still sillily think is secure is NOT" (and used coded words Successful and Response). When did I claim to message Keats?
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I'd be comfortable with Hal, TM, Keats or Cube at this stage. Not sure if I've said it, but FoS raised a very valid point that Cube's claim is just about TOO good. With regard to Illu, I'd be curious if they're willing to answer this question: Who did you target last night?
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Illusionis posted:Why? It will clarify the honesty of at least one, if not two, other claims for me, hopefully without outing anyone too much in the process
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Illusionis posted:I don't really see a reason to and this is absolutely not an invitation to reveal more, because I think depending on who is scum or not we have already given scum uncomfortably much information on night actions That's fine and agreed. Even if only half of them are true I think there were WAY too many claims already made today
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I'm fine with a Cube vote, at this stage, but that will put us one off of hammer and I'd rather get use out of the remaining 3.5 hours, if possible. Nothing has really changed by stances, though, and I stand by what I've said. TM, Keats, Cube and Hal all give me bad feelings for stated reasons, though Hal is the closest to 'neutral' of the three
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Opopanax posted:Regardless of anything I think we should kill Moritz tomorrow for popping in less than an hour to deadline and not voting anyone at all I've been saying this for most of D2. CubicalSucrose posted:Interesting. What was SB's thing? It's on the strange side, but I'd rather not give more info than I have to, hence asking what questions I did. With that all said, and not much time on the clock, ##vote: Cube. I disagree with basically all of his reads, and ultimately I'm extremely confident in both Illu and yuming being town now, and none of my other suspicions are even close to the chopping block, so Cube it is
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Nutsack Rangoon posted:Wanna hear tracker/watcher results. Pretty skeptical that town would get both of those + ecco cop. I'm still certain on Keats. There's no townie reasoning to be misleading the thread like he was. I'm neither Tracker nor Watcher, but regardless, I was blocked, or my target was 'protected'(We've got weird roles in this one so I wont eliminate that possibility) so I have nothing from last night outside of that yuming posted:##vote Illu I don't see this anymore, especially given that he's trying to call out the people who went to Opop last night, which is information that there are only Town reasons for volunteering fool of sound posted:Yeah money on keats as scum here. Also I tracked spork to tmor last night Agreed. ##Vote: Keats
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Ninja would be an exceptionally rude addition considering Fancy's role of Eavesdropper, which when combined with a Tracker and Watcher, if all true, means that you've got three roles that can't really trust any of their information. Additionally, ##unvote. Keats is feeling like a less safe choice now that Sand's results are in question.
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Nutsack Rangoon posted:I think I'm in favor of a full claim at this point. Yeah, I was considering just laying cards on the table, and I think I'm going to. I was Vanilla to start with, but I get to take the Role of whoever is the first Town aligned player to die, so I've had Fancy's Eavesdrop ability since N1, when I listened in on Illu, who successfully watched SOMEBODY be visited by Opop. Last night I tried to watch Keats, but was blocked. Considering we've got a jailer who was told their jailing was successful, but their target claims to have succeeded in their action, do we suppose there's a busser in play?
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Hal Incandenza posted:What did I miss that makes Sandwolfs result questionable I had no reason to distrust eccocop because I couldn't think of any other way that Sandwolf would have gotten the results they did on Cube. Now that it's been pointed out that a rolecop scum could set up a very trustworthy circumstance this way, I'm no longer confident enough in either possibility to have my vote on anyone at this juncture
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Sandwolf posted:You went from not knowing what an eccocop is to this kind of nuanced opinion on how fake-able it is? Having no opinion at all isn't a good option, so I'm rolling the dice on being wrong. Do you have a point here, though? All I said was "I don't know which thing is true, and I have reasonable doubt each way"
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fool of sound posted:I still think the straightforward interpretation of event is that Keats is caught by eccocop results and decided to blather about masonry nonsense to throw off discussion about that. I cannot tell if it's a misdirect, or he just has a bug up his rear end, and it DOES seem like bugs get up there easily based on behavior this game.
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fool of sound posted:I still think the straightforward interpretation of event is that Keats is caught by eccocop results and decided to blather about masonry nonsense to throw off discussion about that. Also the first result is kind of a wash due to Cube having been exactly what he claimed to be. The second results are the only potentially useful ones.
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Tired Moritz posted:Yeah why are we just ignoring FoS anyway The breadcrumbed Tracker role, and proof that they've gotten tracker information in the past. The chances of a Scum Tracker don't seem very high, but you're right that it should at least be considered
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Sandwolf posted:And if this is true why didn’t you bring it up D1? You can't claimed on D1, D2 was the soonest this would be reasonable. That said, why did he bring it up D2
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Sandwolf posted:##vote Illu You figure they're Scum Watcher, then?
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Hal Incandenza posted:Or they lied outright. But scum watcher seems like it could be reasonable Keep in mind, I eavesdropped on them, and got their watcher results, so for their claim to be a lie, it would need to be both them and me lying. Scum watcher was my original thought, I admit, way back when I was super suspicious of them(hence eavesdropping on them in the first place) and was asking how common that kind of 'soft investigate' role was for scum
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SporkChan posted:Hold up. You said you were blocked on N2? How are you confirming Illu's watch results then? N1, I got their results of watching Opop move in on someone. I know know who Opop visited, but Eavesdrop gives me the results that Illu got, so I know it's a Watch of some sort
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Nutsack Rangoon posted:I want to hear from Moritz and I'm still very curious about Spacebanito's claim that he got roleblocked trying to listen to Keats. Either I got blocked, or Keats got protected in a way that prevents all Night Actions. I think blocking makes more sense. This is why I'm curious if there's a busser or something, because the person the Jailer claims to have Jailed got their NA off, allegedly, but I didn't, so a Busser swapping the two of us around is possible?
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Nutsack Rangoon posted:Speaking of is this: No, what I got was an exact copy of what Illu got. So it told me "I" successfully watched my target, and then that "I" saw Opop visiting my target. Obviously it wasn't actually ME, but like I said, I got the exact message Illu got
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SporkChan posted:Oh okay. So you can confirm Illu has a watch, but he could have done something else on N2. Gotcha. Keats, but it failed Nutsack Rangoon posted:Sorry, what I was getting at is did it tell you who Illu's target was? It did not, it just said "your target"
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Tired Moritz posted:All of it? Everyone has single target powers except for Sandwolf? This feels specious to me. MOST skills are single target, excluding like. Ecco, Bus Driver...There's probably a couple more but it seems to me like in most games you'd only have one person, if that, with multi target skill
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Nutsack Rangoon posted:I think busser is unlikely. I think Moritz switched places w you w his power so his completed and you got jailed. Yeah, you're right, the target swap makes more sense, I was just pointing out to TM that 'multi target skills' are always going to be rare, so it's not a wild thing to have one person standing out as having multi-target, and it isn't like the swap would be THAT hard to moderate if, say, TM swapped out with Cube during Sand's first Gunsmith action on N1? That seems pretty straightforward to moderate
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fool of sound posted:Yeah, I tracked "my target" (spork) to moritz. If it was a target swap that wouldn't have happened. If moritz is a lightning rod (redirect to self) then that's consistant. Did Spork target Moritz, or did they target me, and got redirected to Moritz? Also, does the redirect happen after Roleblocking me? I'm somewhat confused on order of operations here, cause it seems like if a Town Lightning Rod doesn't protect someone from being Role Blocked that makes the role kinda toothless?
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Hmm. Did Spork explain reasoning for targeting TM?
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Tired Moritz posted:I can confirm Banito and since he claimed roleblocked for I said anything, I think Spork's actions are cleared too This doesn't necessarily clear, to be fair, since Tracker and Role Block can both be scum, but you're right it does mean none of us were the ones who got Opop. It has to be either Hal, or a Ninja/Poisoner, at this stage, it seems
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You seem to be implying your charms will 'go off' on your death? If I'm reading you right.
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yuming posted:“hmm yes perhaps Hal is scum or maybe not” I didn't comment on this at the time, but to add to your point, Hal has been on the quiet side, but when they've spoken up, I've felt it was somewhat substantial at least? They definitely didn't feel like scum trying to lay low. Nutsack Rangoon posted:I think if any of those are the case, the move for town is to vote between me n Keats tbh. We're both claiming no night action last night and Keats is avoiding claiming one-shot self-kill item-giver-that-players-dont-receive. I agree that the odds are good one of you two are it. It would be nice if Keats had a harder claim to make, but considering what they HAVE said, I do kind of get not wanting to explain further, since if they're town that's info scum shouldn't have, I think. Johnny Keats posted:Of course not but it supported his claim. Please understand that as long as I trust Sandwolf I kind of have to chose between you and Illu so I'm sorry for nitpicking if that's what this is. Both of them have more or less proven Inv roles that could just as easily be scum. My read on Illu is slightly more scum than FoS, but I've suspected both of them for periods of D2 I'm also once again suspicious of TM, but that's mostly because their case against Yuming has never made a whole lot of sense to me considering the mason shenanigans kind of make them clear town in my mind
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Tired Moritz posted:How is yuming clear town? Ah, this was my misunderstanding, I though yuming had been masoned, as opposed to messaged by a mason, it wasn't until their breakdown post that that got clarified for me.
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Tired Moritz posted:Ya know with everything out there idk why we're not killing Hal So you doubt the mason claim?
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Just for clarity, then, your proposing that Hal and Rangoon is scum, there is no mason(or there's scum mason, which seems completely ridiculous at face value) and the messages sent by Rangoon after being fake masoned are in furtherance of this fake mason plot? And that Rangoon is Scum Messenger?
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# ¿ Feb 14, 2025 08:38 |
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Tired Moritz posted:Scum masonizers are a thing, actually Isn't the whole point of masons to give town a chance to coordinate with known town at night? How does scum mason even function? I have a derailing amount of questions about this(like masons die if they try and masonize scum, what if scum mason targets town? Though I suppose that's not likely to accidentally happen) I guess ultimately this does mean Hal and Rangoon are definitionally the same faction, regardless.
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