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I've just done a follow up to my earlier post on the FSA's equipment, The Even More Increasingly Well Armed Free Syrian Army.
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# ? Jun 29, 2012 23:35 |
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# ? May 31, 2024 12:04 |
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Xandu posted:What's with his Abd al Rahman callout? Ultras Lazio posted:....what about that thing about Omar Abdel-Rahman as well? From al-Jazeera: "On the other hand, in a remark sure to worry Western leaders, Morsi also promised to work to free Omar Abdel Rahman, the Egyptian cleric currently serving a life sentence in the United States for planning the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center. His pledge was most likely a sop to the Salafi groups which have made Abdel Rahman's release a prominent issue."
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# ? Jun 29, 2012 23:42 |
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Spakstik posted:From al-Jazeera: "On the other hand, in a remark sure to worry Western leaders, Morsi also promised to work to free Omar Abdel Rahman, the Egyptian cleric currently serving a life sentence in the United States for planning the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center. His pledge was most likely a sop to the Salafi groups which have made Abdel Rahman's release a prominent issue." Yeah, it's not going to go over well in the West and especially the US. Brown Moses posted:I've just done a follow up to my earlier post on the FSA's equipment, The Even More Increasingly Well Armed Free Syrian Army. So when do they finally start finding/getting the chemical weapons?
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# ? Jun 29, 2012 23:45 |
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Spakstik posted:From al-Jazeera: "On the other hand, in a remark sure to worry Western leaders, Morsi also promised to work to free Omar Abdel Rahman, the Egyptian cleric currently serving a life sentence in the United States for planning the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center. His pledge was most likely a sop to the Salafi groups which have made Abdel Rahman's release a prominent issue." He is a deluded con. Nothing but a MB figleaf. A tool that only the naive can believe in. The cleric will do 100 years and the Salafis can gently caress off. Now and forever.
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# ? Jun 29, 2012 23:56 |
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I've just had to email the Guardian to correct a massive gaff they've made in their latest article on Syria, At Syria's border, after months of waiting, the weapons arrivequote:Before the officers leave they habitually offload videos from their mobiles, which are downloaded by a computer-savvy member of the FSA and soon uploaded to the opposition network of thousands of videos that have chronicled the horrors of the past 16 months. Problem is, the video he refers to isn't from Syria at all, it's a Mexican drug cartel execution video that's been posted on Syrian Youtube channels with a fake description.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 00:07 |
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When this is all over you should post a graph of visits-per-day to your blog before-during-after the conflict. Spakstik posted:From al-Jazeera: "On the other hand, in a remark sure to worry Western leaders, Morsi also promised to work to free Omar Abdel Rahman, the Egyptian cleric currently serving a life sentence in the United States for planning the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center. His pledge was most likely a sop to the Salafi groups which have made Abdel Rahman's release a prominent issue." Even Obama winning reelection and being a lame duck isn't going to make this happen. If there's a short list of people the US would never show mercy to I would imagine this guy will be on it.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 00:18 |
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Evil Fluffy posted:When this is all over you should post a graph of visits-per-day to your blog before-during-after the conflict. April - 10223 May - 16705 June - 30040 I've also gained about 600 Twitter followers in the same time, up to 882, 81 in the last week, and I'm getting mentioned on more news sites now. I get quite a bit of contact from journalists at the moment as well, so hopefully I won't run out of things to post.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 00:27 |
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gfanikf posted:Yeah, it's not going to go over well in the West and especially the US. Ultras Lazio posted:He is a deluded con. Nothing but a MB figleaf. A tool that only the naive can believe in. Evil Fluffy posted:Even Obama winning reelection and being a lame duck isn't going to make this happen. If there's a short list of people the US would never show mercy to I would imagine this guy will be on it. While I'm hardly an expert, it seems like he's just throwing the salafis a bone. He'll probably make a few more token gestures towards getting Rahman freed, but if he ever seriously pursues it then I'll eat my hat. Besides the hefty chunk of change that we give Egypt in foreign aid, the Egyptian armed forces use a considerable amount of American military hardware that we provide spare parts and services for; in the unlikely event that Morsi decides to poo poo all over U.S.-Egyptian relations because one cleric, he's going to risk losing not only $1.6B in Ameribux but also access to the equipment needed to keep his army up and running. In the event that I'm wrong, however, I have picked out a particularly delicious looking Nats cap.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 00:51 |
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If the US won't release Pollard, it's not releasing Rahman and that's obvious and I doubt the MB will pursue it, I just thought it was odd that he felt the need to mention it in the speech. I can't imagine it plays that well to the non-Salafis, even though most Egyptians I've read thought it was overall a great speech.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 00:55 |
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The content's gated and I'm too lazy to find a work-around, but this sounds intereseting. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304830704577497081567553846.html?mod=wsj_share_tweet quote:U.S. intelligence indicates that a Turkish warplane shot down by Syrian forces was most likely hit by shore-based antiaircraft guns while it was inside Syrian airspace, American officials said, a finding in tune with Syria's account and at odds with Turkey. edit: got it Xandu fucked around with this message at 01:13 on Jun 30, 2012 |
# ? Jun 30, 2012 01:09 |
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Hey it's another casus belli we'll never know the truth about! As for Morsi, for all we know he is having screaming arguments with SCAF about US influence right now. Xandu you're ripping off Murdoch!
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 01:17 |
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Don't worry, he'll come for Brown Moses before he comes after me.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 01:19 |
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The 'senior US defense official' sounds credible - although they could be mistaken in their analysis, they have no reason to defend Syria. That would certainly explain Turkey's anxiousness in recovering the jet debris before Syria. Also why NATO response has been lukewarm so far. This is not to say that Turkey is lying, but leaks from their main ally certainly casts doubts on their story. Especially given the history of Turkish army vs. elected governments.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 01:43 |
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Any chance of getting a run-down of how things are developing in each of the 14 Syrian governorates? From what I gather, most of the conflict is focused in western Syria (for obvious reasons), with Idlib, Hama and Homs bearing the brunt of the fighting, but I'm not sure what's the deal with the other provinces. I mean some months ago there was this thing about Aleppo being derided by the rest of the opposition as a bunch of accommodating jerks who wouldn't lift a finger against the regime, more out of indifference than out of loyalty, but apparently that's no longer A Thing?
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 02:34 |
SexyBlindfold posted:Any chance of getting a run-down of how things are developing in each of the 14 Syrian governorates? From what I gather, most of the conflict is focused in western Syria (for obvious reasons), with Idlib, Hama and Homs bearing the brunt of the fighting, but I'm not sure what's the deal with the other provinces. I mean some months ago there was this thing about Aleppo being derided by the rest of the opposition as a bunch of accommodating jerks who wouldn't lift a finger against the regime, more out of indifference than out of loyalty, but apparently that's no longer A Thing? Death toll by governorate, according to activists AJE has a map here: http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/interactive/2012/02/201225111654512841.html az jan jananam fucked around with this message at 04:17 on Jun 30, 2012 |
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 04:15 |
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So when do we expect people to start getting access to Syria's Chemical weapons, because we know Syria has sizable amounts.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 04:25 |
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It is said to be protest in the Palestinian Yarmouk camp in Damascus. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypWbD3ao9v0 gfanikf posted:So when do we expect people to start getting access to Syria's Chemical weapons, because we know Syria has sizable amounts.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 05:20 |
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Section 31 posted:It is said to be protest in the Palestinian Yarmouk camp in Damascus. I don't think intentional use on the Assad side as it becomes suicide to them, however I could see accidental use by rebels no knowing what they were using or from an attack on a facility releasing things. It does beg the question where is it being kept and who has the keys besides Assad?
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 05:32 |
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 05:32 |
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gfanikf posted:I don't think intentional use on the Assad side as it becomes suicide to them, however I could see accidental use by rebels no knowing what they were using or from an attack on a facility releasing things.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 05:34 |
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What's the context here?
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 05:38 |
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Section 31 posted:It is said to be protest in the Palestinian Yarmouk camp in Damascus. I haven't seen any videos of it, and more importantly, Brown Moses hasn't mentioned anything supporting those rumors as far as I know. Were legitimate chemical weapons used in Homs or something, one would assume there would be plenty of evidence supporting it, considering there would be an immediate effort to document it due to the repercussions you touched on. I'm calling bullshit for the moment on those. I know you weren't insinuating that the rumors were true, but I've heard them as well.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 05:42 |
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gfanikf posted:I don't think intentional use on the Assad side as it becomes suicide to them, however I could see accidental use by rebels no knowing what they were using or from an attack on a facility releasing things. It's really unlikely that anyone would accidentally use them, it's about as likely as you breaking into a chemical warehouse and accidentally drinking a bottle of deadly poison thinking that it was water. The biggest threat would come from some faction like Al Qaida stealing some and using it for terror attacks in Syria or elsewhere, or some enterprising people putting them for sale. Not that that would bring forth a Tom Clancyesque armageddon, though. Using chemical weapons isn't that straight forward, you should have some kind of delivery method like helicopters or artillery or something, some idea of the winds etc. It's just so much easier to do it the old fashioned way.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 05:48 |
Xandu posted:What's the context here? Sudan. The Sudanese opposition were nicknamed "elbowlickers" for the futility of opposing Bashir and they're reclaiming it.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 06:02 |
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Nenonen posted:It's really unlikely that anyone would accidentally use them, it's about as likely as you breaking into a chemical warehouse and accidentally drinking a bottle of deadly poison thinking that it was water. I think they could be accidentally opened, anyway. They could just be stored in metal canisters which get out of the warehouse, lost track of, and end up in the hands of a scrap metal dealer. This is pretty much what happens every so often with radiation sources from hospitals and a bunch of people get radiation sickness or die.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 06:31 |
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FYI Brown Moses there's a thread on Metafilter all about you and your work.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 06:48 |
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Uncle Jam posted:I think they could be accidentally opened, anyway. They could just be stored in metal canisters which get out of the warehouse, lost track of, and end up in the hands of a scrap metal dealer. This is pretty much what happens every so often with radiation sources from hospitals and a bunch of people get radiation sickness or die. It might be less dangerous than one might think if they are modern enough to be binary chemical weapons that have two or more precursors that wont get combined until the munition is actually used the way it is intended to. Though I do imagine most of the precursor chemicals are not too safe to be around either.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 08:35 |
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Redgrendel2001 posted:FYI Brown Moses there's a thread on Metafilter all about you and your work. I just noticed that, thanks to whoever wrote it, it's a really nice piece, got me lots of views on the blog over night as well.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 09:39 |
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The Future of Journalism, today. Random citizen's upload Youtube video, someone else on the internet then provides analysis and coverage. You're going to end up getting paid for to do it.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 09:51 |
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My wife certainly hopes so. Metafilter seems to have finally attracted people who actually make comments on my post, even if it's to tell me who wrong I am. The Guardian got back to me, they are going to remove the passages I've highlighted from the article.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 09:58 |
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Xandu posted:What's the context here? az jan jananam posted:Sudan. The Sudanese opposition were nicknamed "elbowlickers" for the futility of opposing Bashir and they're reclaiming it. Also, today (30 June) is the 23th anniversary of the coup that brought Omar al-Bashir to power in Sudan.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 10:33 |
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Section 31 posted:Yes, Sudan. Omar al-Bashir supposedly said that it's easier to "lick your elbow" than to overthrow him, hence the photo. We should be grateful that he didn't use some other hard-to-lick analogy.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 10:47 |
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http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/Digital-Library/Publications/Detail/?ots591=0c54e3b3-1e9c-be1e-2c24-a6a8c7060233&lng=en&id=130306 Good piece by Gregory Gause on why the academic community failed to predict the Arab Spring. It reminds me of something I read w/r/t intelligence analysis about how it's always easier to predict the status quo remaining the same than some massive game-changer actually happening. He makes a great point on the significant failure of area experts to understand the role of the army in places like Tunisia or Egypt as distinct from the political regime and on the role of new media. One major Middle East IR thesis that hasn't been disproven by the last year is that of oil rentierism. Other than Libya, which had significant differences from the other oil-producing states, revolutions have not been sucessful in the oil-rich states.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 11:40 |
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Brown Moses posted:My wife certainly hopes so. Metafilter seems to have finally attracted people who actually make comments on my post, even if it's to tell me who wrong I am. You certainly deserve to get paid for this. We here at SA have been getting the news before any of the major news channels had it and often of a better quality as well and for a very long time now.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 11:59 |
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Nenonen posted:We should be grateful that he didn't use some other hard-to-lick analogy.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 12:26 |
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Next I might do a write up of the situation in Aleppo, seems there's a lot going on, and it's one of the few areas journalists can roam freely. To me it seems there's a de facto safe zone former there along the Turkish border, and there's reports that army bases in the region have been captured by the FSA, which won't make Assad's job there any easier.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 13:16 |
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Morsi just gave a good speech in Cairo University, the one he did yesterday was way better but this one had one thing that set it apart was that it said in a thinly veiled version of "We thank SCAF for it's efforts, now gently caress off back you your barracks", the look of Tantawi then and there wasnt exactly pleased. man the balancing act he has to do, he had to swear the oath of presidency three times to please everyone. First in Tahrir to please the people, Then in the High constitution court to please the army, and then in Cairo university in front of both parliament and senate and in front of everyone important and the families of the people killed in tahrir. Oh and he also said that Egypt will support both the Palestinians and the Syrians and told the syrian regime to stop shedding blood. Al-Saqr fucked around with this message at 14:17 on Jun 30, 2012 |
# ? Jun 30, 2012 14:10 |
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Nenonen posted:It's really unlikely that anyone would accidentally use them, it's about as likely as you breaking into a chemical warehouse and accidentally drinking a bottle of deadly poison thinking that it was water. What are you basing this on? I'm not particularly knowledgeable myself/either, but I was under the opinion that chemical shells didn't look much different from standard shells and it was mostly being properly marked and/or stored that would tell them apart to the untrained eye.
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 14:31 |
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Why does the military in Egypt want to run the place anyway? Are they not happy enough just doing their supposed job, or is it purely just out of greed?
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 14:36 |
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# ? May 31, 2024 12:04 |
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Zedsdeadbaby posted:Why does the military in Egypt want to run the place anyway? Are they not happy enough just doing their supposed job, or is it purely just out of greed?
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# ? Jun 30, 2012 14:47 |