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CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
So with Ukraine's last land base in Crimea taken down, this pretty much ends their forces in Crimea, now its whether or not the Russians will allow the soldiers and their families to leave peacefully...

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alex314
Nov 22, 2007

CommieGIR posted:

So with Ukraine's last land base in Crimea taken down, this pretty much ends their forces in Crimea, now its whether or not the Russians will allow the soldiers and their families to leave peacefully...

I see no reason Russians should keep them, I imagine they'd be more than happy to kick them out and bar them from ever returning.

Blorange
Jan 31, 2007

A wizard did it

alex314 posted:

I see no reason Russians should keep them, I imagine they'd be more than happy to kick them out and bar them from ever returning.

The concern is that Crimea is a prelude to a play for Eastern Ukraine, in which case Russia has a stake in not letting soldiers walk out freely.

Adar
Jul 27, 2001
The presence or absence of a few dozen Ukrainian staff officers is...not going to be a significant factor there.

Blorange
Jan 31, 2007

A wizard did it

It definitely won't matter, but betting against Russia making another antagonistic move seems a bit optimistic.

HUGE PUBES A PLUS
Apr 30, 2005

Russia imposed sanctions on 13 Canadians.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/russian-sanctions-against-canadians-a-badge-of-honour-1.2584137

This also looks interesting.

http://gazeta.ua/articles/politics/_rosiya-proponuye-trom-krayinam-evropi-podiliti-ukrayinu-zmi/548696

quote:

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Poland received an official letter from the State Duma of Russia with a proposal to divide the territory of Ukraine.

Reported by Polish channel TVP1.

Deputy Chairman of the State Duma of the Russian Federation, Liberal Democratic Party leader Vladimir Zhirinovsky proposes to require a referendum on Poland's commitment to Poland in five western regions of Ukraine: Volyn, Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil and Rivne - said "Ukrainian Truth"

Polish Foreign Minister outraged and believes such statements are very "strange". Zhirinovsky get a polite answer, without mentioning contents of the letter.

A similar "deals" were Hungary and Romania connect Transcarpathian and Chernivtsi respectively. In Ukraine, therefore, there will be only its central portion, said channel.

As you know, Zhirinovsky still from the rostrum of the Duma called for the split of Ukraine. "Kyiv will never agree to the federalization of Ukraine, because he can not manage anything," - he said then.

Zhirinovsky claimed that Ukraine's attempts to build a state always ended in failure.

HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 22:49 on Mar 24, 2014

Gin and Juche
Apr 3, 2008

The Highest Judge of Paradise
Shiki Eiki
YAMAXANADU

That was mentioned earlier this morning, but anything that comes from Zhironovsky is garbage. The equivalent of Sarah Palin except paying for votes with vodka and advocating that all Mexican immigrants be relocated to Madagascar.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
Truly it is a huge blow to not be able to travel to Russia and have access to...Russian goods?

Dusty Baker 2
Jul 8, 2011

Keyboard Inghimasi
Reuters has the story, too, for English speakers (it's a little clearer than the translation):

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/24/ukraine-crisis-partition-letter-idUSL5N0ML1LO20140324

This guy's definitely a Palineske nutjob, though. As ballsy and aggressive as the Russians have been, I can't imagine the Kremlin being stupid enough to propose something like this to nations that are clearly supporting Ukraine.

rvm
May 6, 2013

Doctor Chaxtical posted:

Reuters has the story, too, for English speakers (it's a little clearer than the translation):

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/24/ukraine-crisis-partition-letter-idUSL5N0ML1LO20140324

This guy's definitely a Palineske nutjob, though. As ballsy and aggressive as the Russians have been, I can't imagine the Kremlin being stupid enough to propose something like this to nations that are clearly supporting Ukraine.

Palin is Thatcher compared to Zhirinovski.

Kurtofan
Feb 16, 2011

hon hon hon

rvm posted:

Palin is Thatcher compared to Zhirinovski.

I'm not sure if that's supposed to be a good thing or a bad thing.

Rime
Nov 2, 2011

by Games Forum
So out of the following rumors:
- Russian troop buildup in Belarus
- Russian troop buildup against E. Ukraine
- Russian annexation of Moldova
- Russian annexation of Transnistria

Is it unreasonable to think that the outcome will just be Russia focusing on ensuring Crimea makes it through the transition with minimal disruption to the infrastructure?

Cheatum the Evil Midget
Sep 11, 2000
I COULDN'T BACK UP ANY OF MY ARGUEMENTS, IGNORE ME PLEASE.

Fojar38 posted:

Truly it is a huge blow to not be able to travel to Russia and have access to...Russian goods?

The Hermitage is actually seriously loving impressive and you have missed out if you have never been.

awesome-express
Dec 30, 2008

Cheatum the Evil Midget posted:

The Hermitage is actually seriously loving impressive and you have missed out if you have never been.

Yeah well too bad since it's in Russia

az
Dec 2, 2005

Rime posted:

So out of the following rumors:
- Russian troop buildup in Belarus
- Russian troop buildup against E. Ukraine
- Russian annexation of Moldova
- Russian annexation of Transnistria

Is it unreasonable to think that the outcome will just be Russia focusing on ensuring Crimea makes it through the transition with minimal disruption to the infrastructure?

Russian behaviour thus far has been pretty much a wildcard, and while the troop buildups are a thing, the annexation stories are just that, stories floated by people on either side ranging from rumor-mongering to wild speculation and warnings.

Cheatum the Evil Midget
Sep 11, 2000
I COULDN'T BACK UP ANY OF MY ARGUEMENTS, IGNORE ME PLEASE.

Rime posted:

So out of the following rumors:
- Russian troop buildup in Belarus
- Russian troop buildup against E. Ukraine
- Russian annexation of Moldova
- Russian annexation of Transnistria

Is it unreasonable to think that the outcome will just be Russia focusing on ensuring Crimea makes it through the transition with minimal disruption to the infrastructure?

It is reasonable to think russia is keeping the option of invasion open, whether it is because they just want to maintain pressure, haven't decided yet, or are going to invade but are waiting on something doesn't seem knowable at this stage

TURN IT OFF!
Dec 26, 2012

Fojar38 posted:

Truly it is a huge blow to not be able to travel to Russia and have access to...Russian goods?

the west will crumble without Russias export of white slave labour and youtube dashcam videos!

OhYeah
Jan 20, 2007

1. Currently the most prevalent form of decision-making in the western world

2. While you are correct in saying that the society owns

3. You have not for a second demonstrated here why

4. I love the way that you equate "state" with "bureaucracy". Is that how you really feel about the state
Just a thought: maybe Putin is waiting for the world cup to begin? He seems to have a fetish for starting wars military conflicts during major sporting events.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat

TURN IT OFF! posted:

the west will crumble without Russias export of white slave labour and youtube dashcam videos!

Russian oligarch will have to double their caviar and ermine rations to keep the economy going in this difficult time of boycotts.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Doctor Chaxtical posted:

Reuters has the story, too, for English speakers (it's a little clearer than the translation):

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/24/ukraine-crisis-partition-letter-idUSL5N0ML1LO20140324

This guy's definitely a Palineske nutjob, though. As ballsy and aggressive as the Russians have been, I can't imagine the Kremlin being stupid enough to propose something like this to nations that are clearly supporting Ukraine.
zhirinovsky is like 100x the show that Palin is, this is the person who ranted on about how Condelezza rice needs to be gangbanged by "one of our divisions" (I'm not joking) and that Russia needs to retake Alaska and deport the Ukrainians ther.

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe

Cheatum the Evil Midget posted:

It is reasonable to think russia is keeping the option of invasion open, whether it is because they just want to maintain pressure, haven't decided yet, or are going to invade but are waiting on something doesn't seem knowable at this stage

I think that Russia is just trying to keep everybody else guessing about their true intentions.

Swan Oat
Oct 9, 2012

I was selected for my skill.
Zhirinovskiy is a huge joke that nobody has taken seriously since the 90s, if he was even taken seriously then. This would be like, I dunno, Steve Stockman asking Independent Quebec to invade Ontario while the US picks up Western Canada or something, just completely batshit.

e: here's a nice anti-American rant from him with slightly cleaned up subtitles (he's basically interjecting gently caress a bunch): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ExfLOwmSD88
e2: as mentioned above he starts poo poo-talking Condi around 5:30 if you want so skip to that

Swan Oat fucked around with this message at 00:10 on Mar 25, 2014

Randarkman
Jul 18, 2011

Whats the communist party like in Russia? They are like consistently the second biggest party in Russian elections. From what I remember reading they supported the ban on gay propaganda and are generally quite good buddies with the Russian Orthodox Church.

EDIT: Also is Zhirinovsky drunk off his goddamn mind in that clip? and who are those guys hes awkwardly holding on to? Also something tells me Zhirinovsky watches alot of brutal interracial porn.

Randarkman fucked around with this message at 00:36 on Mar 25, 2014

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

Swan Oat posted:

Zhirinovskiy is a huge joke that nobody has taken seriously since the 90s, if he was even taken seriously then. This would be like, I dunno, Steve Stockman asking Independent Quebec to invade Ontario while the US picks up Western Canada or something, just completely batshit.

e: here's a nice anti-American rant from him with slightly cleaned up subtitles (he's basically interjecting gently caress a bunch): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ExfLOwmSD88
e2: as mentioned above he starts poo poo-talking Condi around 5:30 if you want so skip to that
Ah, a timeless classic. It was probably the first truly viral Russian video.


Randarkman posted:

Whats the communist party like in Russia? They are like consistently the second biggest party in Russian elections. From what I remember reading they supported the ban on gay propaganda and are generally quite good buddies with the Russian Orthodox Church.
Let's just say that Zyuganov is a crazy conspiracy theorist and an anti-Semite. Apart from that KPRF consists primarily of all sorts of Stalin sympathisers and naïve lefty students. It's a mess. Like any other Russian political party.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

rvm posted:

Palin is Thatcher compared to Zhirinovski.

Zhirinovski is basically on another plane of insanity while Palin was just a pretty parrot.

Lichtenstein
May 31, 2012

It'll make sense, eventually.

Randarkman posted:

Whats the communist party like in Russia? They are like consistently the second biggest party in Russian elections.

Basically they exist by virtue of pensioners, who are drat dependable to crawl to voting booths every time.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Communist party sells pensioners' votes to the highest bidder, typically for some positions im government.

Numlock
May 19, 2007

The simplest seppo on the forums

OhYeah posted:

Just a thought: maybe Putin is waiting for the world cup to begin? He seems to have a fetish for starting wars military conflicts during major sporting events.

Sending in some special forces (who were probably at a high state of readiness anyway) into a region that is welcoming you with open arms against forces that are only engaging in passive, non-violent resistance is one thing. Driving across Ukraine proper against people shooting back at you is another.

Even if Putin is 100% dead set on invading Ukraine it's going to be a while before he can actually do it, it takes a lot of time to mobile troops and organize a war, even if its next door.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

Numlock posted:

Sending in some special forces (who were probably at a high state of readiness anyway) into a region that is welcoming you with open arms against forces that are only engaging in passive, non-violent resistance is one thing. Driving across Ukraine proper against people shooting back at you is another.

Even if Putin is 100% dead set on invading Ukraine it's going to be a while before he can actually do it, it takes a lot of time to mobile troops and organize a war, even if its next door.

Yeah his blitzkrieg in Crimea only worked because he took advantage of the chaos and collapse of the central government.

Plus it helps having a nation of dumb 5th column people who genuinely think they would be better off under the Russians.

enbot
Jun 7, 2013

CommieGIR posted:

I mean no offense, and I really do feel awful, but now is not the time. :( Its basically like trying to visit family in Czechoslovakia while the Germans were annexing it.

CommieGIR posted:



I don't see how this is shocking everyone? If you crossed the Berlin Wall, hell if you cross ANY border unauthorized, you'd go to jail at least, get shot more likely.

These are pretty stupid and nonsensical comparisons. For one, basically noone is getting shot.\


etalian posted:

Yeah his blitzkrieg in Crimea only worked because he took advantage of the chaos and collapse of the central government.


Crimea wanting to join Russia was actually a large part of it.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

enbot posted:

Crimea wanting to join Russia was actually a large part of it.

Sending in piles of russian special forces troops was the the large part of it, especially the convenience of driving military vehicles across the border unopposed.

Dusty Baker 2
Jul 8, 2011

Keyboard Inghimasi

Typo posted:

zhirinovsky is like 100x the show that Palin is, this is the person who ranted on about how Condelezza rice needs to be gangbanged by "one of our divisions" (I'm not joking) and that Russia needs to retake Alaska and deport the Ukrainians ther.

I wish our crazies said ridiculous poo poo like that. I mean they do, but it's not as hilariously awful.

Nah, it is. What am I saying?

I'm actually really surprised at the level of opsec the Russians have managed to maintain throughout this. That is, unless they're actually not planning anything else yet so there's nothing to leak.

ProfessorCurly
Mar 28, 2010

etalian posted:

Plus it helps having a nation of dumb 5th column people who genuinely think they would be better off under the Russians.

Can someone elaborate what "5th column" means exactly?

Niton
Oct 21, 2010

Your Lord and Savior has finally arrived!

..got any kibble?

ProfessorCurly posted:

Can someone elaborate what "5th column" means exactly?

See also: third/fifth wheel; basically just an unneccesary part of the core structure.

e: apparently not in this context! I was thinking more along the lines of "These people think they'd be better off under the russians despite how much they rely on the rest of Ukraine :shobon:"

Niton fucked around with this message at 01:53 on Mar 25, 2014

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

ProfessorCurly posted:

Can someone elaborate what "5th column" means exactly?

Basically the Russians didn't need to send in a large military force thanks to the cooperation of self-defense forces, local government and also police switching sides too.

All because they bought Putin's Russia is so great propaganda hook and sinker

Deteriorata
Feb 6, 2005

ProfessorCurly posted:

Can someone elaborate what "5th column" means exactly?

A group of secret infiltrators, whose job is to sabotage the enemy from within.


Ed: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fifth_column

Deteriorata fucked around with this message at 01:51 on Mar 25, 2014

Mightypeon
Oct 10, 2013

Putin apologist- assume all uncited claims are from Russia Today or directly from FSB.

key phrases: Poor plucky little Russia, Spheres of influence, The West is Worse, they was asking for it.

OhYeah posted:

Just a thought: maybe Putin is waiting for the world cup to begin? He seems to have a fetish for starting wars military conflicts during major sporting events.

If you are referring to 2008, the Georgians started that one, which even the EU/OECD Report about the whole affair admitted.



One should also note that if, lets say some serb Nationalist called Sakhazvilovic would pull the stuff Sakashvili pulled against the Russians against Americans troops (premediated artillery strikes on peace keepers whose Invitation Georgia signed, after declaring a truce to boot), well, if he is very lucky it would be only the Hague.

Berke Negri
Feb 15, 2012

Les Ricains tuent et moi je mue
Mao Mao
Les fous sont rois et moi je bois
Mao Mao
Les bombes tonnent et moi je sonne
Mao Mao
Les bebes fuient et moi je fuis
Mao Mao


ProfessorCurly posted:

Can someone elaborate what "5th column" means exactly?

Elements within a group actively working towards sabotage of said group.

StashAugustine
Mar 24, 2013

Do not trust in hope- it will betray you! Only faith and hatred sustain.

It comes from a remark during the Spanish Civil War where a general proclaimed he had four columns of infantry marching towards a city and a fifth column of citizens that would rise up against the enemy.

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Cheatum the Evil Midget
Sep 11, 2000
I COULDN'T BACK UP ANY OF MY ARGUEMENTS, IGNORE ME PLEASE.

ProfessorCurly posted:

Can someone elaborate what "5th column" means exactly?

Its from the spanish civil war, when the fascists were marching on Madrid with four seperate columns of troops and Franco or one of the other senior fascist commanders said they also had a "fifth column" in the form of fascist supporters in the city proper.

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