Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Locked thread
Vertical Lime
Dec 11, 2004

Zucc traveled with the team :unsmith:

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Pancakes by Mail
Oct 21, 2010

Many years later, as he faced the firing squad, Goaltender Carey Price was to remember that distant afternoon when his father took him to discover ice.
The Captain Clutch narrative will not be carrying the day, as it turns out. Despite the fact that his feat was still really impressive.

xzzy
Mar 5, 2009

Faaaaarrrrrrtt.

Bad time to be lazy about a dump and change you dweebs.

Aphrodite
Jun 27, 2006

Pancakes by Mail posted:

The Captain Clutch narrative will not be carrying the day, as it turns out. Despite the fact that his feat was still really impressive.

More like Captain C-Luck!


Boom. Roasted.

corn on the cop
Oct 12, 2012

Break what must be broken, once for all, that's all, and take the suffering on oneself.

รขย€ย• Corey Dostoyevsky
matt beleskey is going to get ridiculously overpaid

Pancakes by Mail
Oct 21, 2010

Many years later, as he faced the firing squad, Goaltender Carey Price was to remember that distant afternoon when his father took him to discover ice.


ecstasy of victory, agony of defeat etc etc
really great photo, honestly (credit @GinaFerezzi for the LA Times)

Pornographic Memory
Dec 17, 2008
Right timing but wrong angle for the Orr-shot though

runoverbobby
Apr 21, 2007

Fighting like beavers.

Pancakes by Mail posted:



ecstasy of victory, agony of defeat etc etc
really great photo, honestly (credit @GinaFerezzi for the LA Times)

With a rapist alcohol pirate grinning about it all.

Austrian mook
Feb 24, 2013

by Shine
Finally, a drat OT win. If we lost that i was about to completely lose grip with reality.

Sharks Eat Bear
Dec 25, 2004

More upset about that Hawks loss than the pens getting knocked out

So obvious the fucks were gonna come out flying, really wish Chicago had started that ot sharper

Habibi
Dec 8, 2004

We have the capability to make San Jose's first Cup Champion.

The Sharks could be that Champion.

Sharks Eat Bear posted:

More upset about that Hawks loss than the pens getting knocked out

So obvious the fucks were gonna come out flying, really wish Chicago had started that ot sharper

Or the game.

Jedimastafez
Jun 5, 2005

The Stanley Cup has been kidnapped by Gary Bettman! Are you a bad enough dude to rescue it?
Jesus Christ Beuach was terrible in that game. He really should be benched for Wiz in the next game but it wont happen.
The Catch 22 of completely outplaying your opponent is your goalie goes cold and completely shits the bed on his first 10 shots faced.

Ligur
Sep 6, 2000

by Lowtax
How is the Chicago defense holding up with the workload?

Also poor Timonen. 8 minutes of ice-time, -2, and watched both goals go in right in front of him.

bewbies
Sep 23, 2003

Fun Shoe
anyone who thinks "clutch" isn't a thing has never hit a tee shot with a bunch of strangers watching

Loqieu
Feb 27, 2001

bewbies posted:

anyone who thinks "clutch" isn't a thing has never hit a tee shot with a bunch of strangers watching

Unclutch performer here and I can attest to this....

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin
I don't think I've ever seen a puck go almost straight down the line and in like that before

Kevlar v2.0
Dec 25, 2003

=^•⩊•^=

The Hawks playing with their backs to the wall is going to be a fun sight to behold. The series will go 7 games only because I'll be at a bachelor party on Saturday and won't be able to watch it. :smith:

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!
I have tickets for a Cubs game on Saturday :smith:

I mean, I'd blow the Cubs game off to watch Game 7 it just sucks it has to come to that.

RC Cola
Aug 1, 2011

Dovie'andi se tovya sagain

Kevlar v2.0 posted:

The Hawks playing with their backs to the wall is going to be a fun sight to behold. The series will go 7 games only because I'll be at a bachelor party on Saturday and won't be able to watch it. :smith:

The Hawks taking it to 7 is all I want. Game 7 ot. I don't even care who wins if it happens. I love OT

Scrotos
Sep 8, 2003


:gonk:

RC Cola posted:

The Hawks taking it to 7 is all I want. Game 7 ot. I don't even care who wins if it happens. I love OT

I was angrier that the OT ended quickly, then that the Hawks lost.

RC Cola
Aug 1, 2011

Dovie'andi se tovya sagain

Scrotos posted:

I was angrier that the OT ended quickly, then that the Hawks lost.

Exactly. I was geared up to watch all of the overtime hockey and they stole it from me.

Ginette Reno
Nov 18, 2006

How Doers get more done
Fun Shoe

bewbies posted:

anyone who thinks "clutch" isn't a thing has never hit a tee shot with a bunch of strangers watching

"Clutch" is basically a measure of confidence and confidence waxes and wanes over the course of playing sports. I don't think it exists in the way people think it does. Some stretches of play you have that confidence, and some stretches of play you don't, and then people attach labels to that based on whether your stretch of good play coincided with games arbitrarily deemed important. Yet whether you have that confidence or not in those important situations is mostly random and luck of the draw, especially at the highest level of sports.

Kevlar v2.0
Dec 25, 2003

=^•⩊•^=

Nail Rat posted:

I have tickets for a Cubs game on Saturday :smith:

I mean, I'd blow the Cubs game off to watch Game 7 it just sucks it has to come to that.

At least they'll give scoring updates at Wrigley. They did when I was at a Cubs game during the Bulls/Cavs series.

kalensc
Sep 10, 2003

Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby

Ginette Reno posted:

"Clutch" is basically a measure of confidence and confidence waxes and wanes over the course of playing sports. I don't think it exists in the way people think it does. Some stretches of play you have that confidence, and some stretches of play you don't, and then people attach labels to that based on whether your stretch of good play coincided with games arbitrarily deemed important. Yet whether you have that confidence or not in those important situations is mostly random and luck of the draw, especially at the highest level of sports.

Also non-athletes have the perspective that such a situation would be enormously stressful (see the golfing with witnesses vs alone comment) but pro athletes have encountered "the biggest series/games/shift of their life" countless times throughout their decades of development. Stat analyses have shown clutch to primarily be noise in the data, but the common mind wants to attribute their inherent feelings to the players they root for and against, and clutchness and the hot hand and the slump-buster and all that jargon makes for easily embraced narratives.

So, death to the sports media.

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

Kevlar v2.0 posted:

At least they'll give scoring updates at Wrigley. They did when I was at a Cubs game during the Bulls/Cavs series.

Not good enough for Game 7 of the WCF come on man. I'll probably show up to the game to get the free Chicago Whales jersey they're giving away and then head to a bar.

a neat cape
Feb 22, 2007

Aw hunny, these came out GREAT!

Kevlar v2.0 posted:

At least they'll give scoring updates at Wrigley. They did when I was at a Cubs game during the Bulls/Cavs series.

Hopefully the Ducks will make his Cubs experience better by closing this thing out tomorrow

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

Ross Angeles posted:

Hopefully the Ducks will make his Cubs experience better by closing this thing out tomorrow

Or hopefully not, because baseball is just an excuse to drink that's not necessary if there's hockey on.

Ducks/Lightning will either have games starting at 5 PM or 8 PM every night and so would be terrible.

bewbies
Sep 23, 2003

Fun Shoe

kalensc posted:

Also non-athletes have the perspective that such a situation would be enormously stressful (see the golfing with witnesses vs alone comment) but pro athletes have encountered "the biggest series/games/shift of their life" countless times throughout their decades of development. Stat analyses have shown clutch to primarily be noise in the data, but the common mind wants to attribute their inherent feelings to the players they root for and against, and clutchness and the hot hand and the slump-buster and all that jargon makes for easily embraced narratives.

So, death to the sports media.

All true. "Clutch" still exists.

I think that the best example is kicking a football. Kicking a football is not a very difficult thing to do physically speaking. If you've played soccer competitively at any point, you can probably kick a field goal from 50 yards out more often than not without any sort of serious practice. There's hardly any difference between college and pro kickers when it comes to the straight-up ability to kick the ball; in a lot of cases, younger college guys can kick a lot further than veteran pros can. The hard thing isn't the physical act of kicking: it is the ability to do this one simple thing perfectly, with your teammates relying on you and with tens of thousands of fans in the stadium and millions more at home watching. The reason guys make it to the NFL and stay there for so many years isn't their physical ability to kick the ball, it is their ability to kick a ball while under huge amounts of pressure.

I think your point is that, for the most part, guys you see in pro sports are all "clutch" at least relative to you and I and their peers that they've left behind at various levels of the game, not necessarily because they lacked the physical ability, but because they lacked some critical mental faculty. This is certainly true. However, if we acknowledge that a key difference between amateurs and pros is pros are more "clutch", then it seems like we have to acknowledge that there has to be a spectrum amongst pro players as well. Guys like Roy and Messier, or Michael Jordan or James Worthy, they weren't just visibly better in the playoffs, they raised their statistical output considerably despite playing against tougher competition. They were quantifiably better players in high pressure situations.

I agree also that a lot of the "clutch" narrative is misattributed or overused or straight up wrong, but that doesn't mean that there aren't players out there who it does apply to. There are, they are rare, but they exist.

Ginette Reno
Nov 18, 2006

How Doers get more done
Fun Shoe

bewbies posted:

I agree also that a lot of the "clutch" narrative is misattributed or overused or straight up wrong, but that doesn't mean that there aren't players out there who it does apply to. There are, they are rare, but they exist.

It's impossible to know if they do or don't. Messier outperforming his regular season PPG could easily be considered random statistical noise. If he played 1000 playoff games I'm betting his playoff PPG would end up right around where his regular season one is.

TMMadman
Sep 9, 2003

by Fluffdaddy
I'm still irrationally irritated at that dump in attempt last night by Playoff Zero Bryan Bickell. He has plenty of open space and one job: to get the puck deep in the zone while the Hawks make a line change.

I just don't get why he tries to blast it in as hard as possible when a soft chip into the corner would have worked much better.

bewbies
Sep 23, 2003

Fun Shoe

Ginette Reno posted:

It's impossible to know if they do or don't. Messier outperforming his regular season PPG could easily be considered random statistical noise. If he played 1000 playoff games I'm betting his playoff PPG would end up right around where his regular season one is.

Mess played 236 playoff games in a 18 year window, Roy played 247 in the same. That's many times the number required to comfortably eliminate random variation as an explanation.

Spring Break My Heart
Feb 15, 2012
Messier outperformed his regular season numbers by not making the playoffs in his final 7 years when he was a much less capable offensive player.

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

bewbies posted:

Mess played 236 playoff games in a 18 year window, Roy played 247 in the same. That's many times the number required to comfortably eliminate random variation as an explanation.

A much simpler explanation is that Messier didn't make the playoffs in the last seven years of his career. His numbers up to 96/97 were 1552pts in 1272 games. Aka a ppg of 1.22 compared to 1.25 ppg in the playoffs. He performed exactly as he was supposed to.

Clutch ain't real in team sports. I can KINDA buy the pressure thing in individual sports, but it's a non-entity in something that isn't a single repeatable act like a football kick or golf swing.

Kevlar v2.0
Dec 25, 2003

=^•⩊•^=

TMMadman posted:

I'm still irrationally irritated at that dump in attempt last night by Playoff Zero Bryan Bickell. He has plenty of open space and one job: to get the puck deep in the zone while the Hawks make a line change.

I just don't get why he tries to blast it in as hard as possible when a soft chip into the corner would have worked much better.

The Hawks get massive brain farts that lead to goals seemingly 99% of the time.

bewbies
Sep 23, 2003

Fun Shoe

INSPECTAH DECK posted:

Messier outperformed his regular season numbers by not making the playoffs in his final 7 years when he was a much less capable offensive player.

Even if you delete his last 7 years his playoff numbers are still better, though the margin is a lot closer (1.22 vs 1.25). I'm not in a position where I can do the math but I'm willing to bet that is still a statistically significant difference.

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

TMMadman posted:

I'm still irrationally irritated at that dump in attempt last night by Playoff Zero Bryan Bickell. He has plenty of open space and one job: to get the puck deep in the zone while the Hawks make a line change.

I just don't get why he tries to blast it in as hard as possible when a soft chip into the corner would have worked much better.

Because he's a big dummy who's bad at hockey and gets paid $4 million a year to be bad at hockey :shepicide:

I really hope the Hawks find people dumb enough to take Sharp and Bickell from them for a second rounder or a ham sandwich, that'd help out a lot with this cap situation. Hey Bickell's only got one terrible contract year left everyone

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

bewbies posted:

Even if you delete his last 7 years his playoff numbers are still better, though the margin is a lot closer (1.22 vs 1.25). I'm not in a position where I can do the math but I'm willing to bet that is still a statistically significant difference.

If he scored at exactly the same rate during the playoffs as he did in the regular season he'd has 288 points, 7 less than he actually did. His PPG was better in the playoffs than the regular season 7 times out of 17 (41.17% of the time).

I will admit a strong personal bias against Messier as a Canucks fan though.

a neat cape
Feb 22, 2007

Aw hunny, these came out GREAT!

Nail Rat posted:


Ducks/Lightning will either have games starting at 5 PM or 8 PM every night and so would be terrible.

I don't see a problem

kalensc
Sep 10, 2003

Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby
Messier sucks but maintaining an equivalent or slightly better scoring rate when the bottom X teams are eliminated and the matches are at the tail-end of a long and brutal season is impressive.

An impressive athlete doing an impressive feat that others have often failed to achieve. I call that "excellence at sport", but some people love putting athletes into boxes and stats into tiers and then you have the five-star clutch 20-point playoff power performer debate or whatever.

quote:

I agree also that a lot of the "clutch" narrative is misattributed or overused or straight up wrong, but that doesn't mean that there aren't players out there who it does apply to. There are, they are rare, but they exist.

Agreed Bewbies. I think that "clutch" is a classic example of a topic with (A) a terribly definition that is extremely subjective, and (B) while there are some concrete facts which could be used to support/contest an argument (seen in the last page or two of this thread) the vast majority of debates involve incomplete or deceptive statements like "Toews scores so many late goals to tie a game = Captain Clutch" and then well there's nowhere to go with that discussion.

tl;dr - death to power rankings and voting on awards, all hail the beep-boop mathputer champions

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

onemillionzombies
Apr 27, 2014

Everyone sucks, winning is a fluke.

  • Locked thread