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fspades
Jun 3, 2013

by R. Guyovich

pkay posted:

There is no MIGHT to this. The US did aid the Al-Nusra front(Al'Qaeda in Syria). There is no dispute.

I'd still like to see solid proof, which might be hard to get, because even if the US gov went on to do such a thing, they would do it by proxies. So that they could later point out to chumps who were last seen holding the bag and say "oh em gee, we are as surprised as you are. We never thought our allies could act so rogueish."

In other news and definitely not related above, the editor-in-chief of the Turkish newspaper which exposed Turkish intelligence agency's arms shipments to Syria is arrested today on charges of espionage.

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Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

Svartvit posted:

I truly do not understand this critique of Fisk. He used to compare Bashar to Hitler and tell everyone that he was raping his people. The main issue people seemed to have at the time was that he also said the armed opposition was full of cold-blooded murderers, apparently only Syrian regime propaganda. I won't devolve this into another Fisk discussion but if you have a few good argument here please share.

He's a Ghouta truther.

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/has-recep-tayyip-erdogan-gone-from-model-middle-east-strongman-to-tin-pot-dictator-9252366.html

That segment where he discusses it 100% outs where his loyalties lie. You can put aside everything he's ever said to try and paint civil activists and anyone legitimate who opposes Assad under the jihadist brush, and he still comes out looking like a shill.

pkay posted:

There is no MIGHT to this. The US did aid the Al-Nusra front(Al'Qaeda in Syria). There is no dispute.

The US put al-Nusra on the terror list immediately after they were created, and the day US strikes started in Syria, in September 2014, they bombed JaN. They were extremely hesitant to arm groups in Syria as a result of them seeing JaN as an ally in the fight against Assad. It wasn't until mid-2013, over a year after fighting had broken out, when they first provided arms, and when they did, it was accompanied by a massive amount of red tape and vetting, which denied many groups. Even the groups that passed the vetting process and were legitimate forces, like the Hazzm movement, were underequipped. They had tanks they captured just sitting around because their requests for shells were ignored. Men like Salim Idriss and Hazzm's leaders died politically because they had tied themselves to the US, and the US had not done enough in response to give them continued legitimacy. That's the caliber of support given to groups that didn't cheerlead 9/11, so the idea that the US has directly supported any sort of jihadist group, which is a pure contradiction to everything else they've ever done in Syria, is pure lunacy.

Radio Prune
Feb 19, 2010
https://www.opendemocracy.net/yassin-al-haj-saleh-rime-allaf/syria-dispatches-robert-fisks-independence

This was three years ago. These days Fisk basically writes fluff pieces for the Syrian military. There was also that bizarre "Inspector Fisk" thing a while back.

Dude's probably going senile. He should do travelogues or something instead.

distortion park
Apr 25, 2011


If you're wondering how some of the big stacks of cash controlled by some of the dictators/hangers on in the middle east get moved around, here might be part of the answer:
http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2015/11/26/2145951/knowing-me-not-knowing-you-barclays-edition/

quote:

Barclays was slammed with a £72m FCA fine over financial crime risks on Thursday, this time for “ignoring its own process” over how to handle risky very rich clients and basically, allowing the (theoretical) risk of money laundering to creep in via an elephant deal of the century with a “Politically Exposed Person”.

...

"In view of these confidentiality requirements, Barclays determined that details of the Clients and the Transaction should not be kept on its computer systems. A select team, including representatives from senior management, was brought together from across Barclays’ divisions and offices around the world to carry out the checks required to establish the Business Relationship and to arrange and execute the Transaction."

...

" Some documents relating to the Business Relationship were held by Barclays in hard copy in a safe purchased specifically for storing information relating to the Business Relationship. This was Barclays’ alternative to storing the records electronically."


e: one of the commenters makes some interesting points:

quote:

First contact was not just 2011, but 23 May 2011. That might be a few months later than you were thinking, but fits nicely into a timetable of somebody realising how badly the proverbial was hitting the fan.


At that point, they were in an almighty hurry ("Barclays senior management were concerned about the speed at which the due diligence process could be completed,with one manager expressing a desire to “race this through”).


In fact, the whole thing was so chaotic that they didn't even know how much money was floating around. "In the early stages of arranging the deal, when it was suggested that the Transaction might be for a larger sum".


The FSA looked into it. Maybe any £1.8bn transaction would have got some attention -- but it's also very possible that they were jolted into action by investigations coming from elsewhere.


And the whole thing of keeping it off computers suggests that they were worried about Barclays staff getting interested -- which in turn means that the clients were real household names. There aren't so many Sensitive PEPs who combine that name recognition with having £1.88bn lying around.

distortion park fucked around with this message at 22:01 on Nov 26, 2015

Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

Volkerball posted:

He's a Ghouta truther.

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/has-recep-tayyip-erdogan-gone-from-model-middle-east-strongman-to-tin-pot-dictator-9252366.html

That segment where he discusses it 100% outs where his loyalties lie. You can put aside everything he's ever said to try and paint civil activists and anyone legitimate who opposes Assad under the jihadist brush, and he still comes out looking like a shill.

This is preposterous. He's called Assad terrible things before and after Ghouta. But because he thinks Assad wasn't responsible for Ghouta, that's all magically annulled and he loves Assad? Please. Not everything is as black and white as you think.

Nevermind that Fisk thinks Assad was very likely behind the gas attacks.

fspades
Jun 3, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Volkerball posted:


The US put al-Nusra on the terror list immediately after they were created, and the day US strikes started in Syria, in September 2014, they bombed JaN.

Oh good thing they did that when everything exploded and there was a Salafist principality in the middle of Syria and Iraq. Something they actually anticipated to happen...

quote:

They were extremely hesitant to arm groups in Syria as a result of them seeing JaN as an ally in the fight against Assad. It wasn't until mid-2013, over a year after fighting had broken out, when they first provided arms, and when they did, it was accompanied by a massive amount of red tape and vetting, which denied many groups. Even the groups that passed the vetting process and were legitimate forces, like the Hazzm movement, were underequipped. They had tanks they captured just sitting around because their requests for shells were ignored. Men like Salim Idriss and Hazzm's leaders died politically because they had tied themselves to the US, and the US had not done enough in response to give them continued legitimacy.

Are you seriously that naive to believe if the US was to send aid to Al Qaeda they would do it publicly with fanfare and full documentation? Really? Did they do that for Nicaraguan death squads? For Gladio? For Afghan Mujahideen? No, of course we are not talking about the US congress passing a motion to support ISIS. Thanks for playing.

quote:

That's the caliber of support given to groups that didn't cheerlead 9/11, so the idea that the US has directly supported any sort of jihadist group, which is a pure contradiction to everything else they've ever done in Syria, is pure lunacy.
So what's your view of that report and General Flynn's remarks about it then?

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

Count Roland posted:

This is preposterous. He's called Assad terrible things before and after Ghouta. But because he thinks Assad wasn't responsible for Ghouta, that's all magically annulled and he loves Assad? Please. Not everything is as black and white as you think.

Nevermind that Fisk thinks Assad was very likely behind the gas attacks.

Yeah, such horrible things that he's now the regimes journalist of choice to get imbedded with the SAA. :jerkbag:

pkay
Jan 4, 2005
"You and your ilk just made me vote downticket R in the midterms."
- a black man (- a magachud)
It's almost as if he hasn't seen this same script before.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

fspades posted:

Are you seriously that naive to believe if the US was to send aid to Al Qaeda they would do it publicly with fanfare and full documentation? Really? Did they do that for Nicaraguan death squads? For Gladio? For Afghan Mujahideen? No, of course we are not talking about the US congress passing a motion to support ISIS. Thanks for playing.

No my point is that they couldn't be bothered to send that much aid to people who supported democratic aims, why would they want to do more for jihadists behind the scenes who would very likely support attacks against American citizens? Maybe they knew it would lead to French destabilization and we're preparing an invasion? You never know with Amerikkka. "Hmmm they're denying they send aid to al qaeda, that's just what someone who was providing aid to al qaeda would do" is a pillar of conspiracy theories. Nothing more. Especially since there isn't anything to suggest the US has an interest in helping al qaeda (to overthrow Assad? loving really? The Obama adminstration could've started bombing him in 2013 and there would have been no arguments from Congress, if the US was so desperate for him to fall) or to suggest that the US has engaged in that type of action.

quote:

So what's your view of that report and General Flynn's remarks about it then?

Taking it to the extent you all are is a misreading. "The opposition is dominated by salafists, AQI, and the Muslim Brotherhood of Muslim Muslims, the US has given weapons to the opposition, therefore." That's a very typical handwavey approach that you get from anti-imperialism types like Mehdi Hassan. It's way more complicated than that. There's THOUSANDS of militias in Syria. If you want to try and prove the US has supported ISIS and JaN, why don't you look at the groups who have been seen with US equipment, and examine where they got it? You'll find that the major groups like the Southern Front and the Hazzm movement have consistently fought both ISIS and JaN.

pkay posted:

It's almost as if he hasn't seen this same script before.

I too struggle to find any functional differences between the Obama administration and Reagans.

Volkerball fucked around with this message at 21:50 on Nov 26, 2015

Encolpio
Apr 12, 2013

fspades posted:

Oh good thing they did that when everything exploded and there was a Salafist principality in the middle of Syria and Iraq. Something they actually anticipated to happen...


Are you seriously that naive to believe if the US was to send aid to Al Qaeda they would do it publicly with fanfare and full documentation? Really? Did they do that for Nicaraguan death squads?

Indeed, there are parallels here:



fspades posted:

For Gladio? For Afghan Mujahideen?

Bring to mind these recent comments by Mccain:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dx6s4jO9xNY

quote:

Fox Interviewer: They're attacking the very guys who we want to see topple Assad. You would let American plains to just continue and pass them and let them do that?

John Mccain: No but I might do what we did in Afghanistan many years ago and give those guys the ability to shoot down those planes; that equipment is available [starts smiling smugly towards the end of this]

Fox interviewer: Who would be shooting them down?

John Mccain: The Free Syrian Army. Just like the Afghans shot down the Russians planes after Russia invaded Afghanistan. A Russian general shows up at our embassy in Baghdad an hour before it starts, and whats the first target: the people we are supporting and arming and training and equipment. What better way to stick their thumb in our eye.

Actually starts grinning while boasting about giving Afghan mujahideen SAMs in the 80s and saying the US could do the same thing again. To a group one of whose senior commanders in the past volunteered an estimate of being 10% Al-Nusra (in an interview where he's trying to paint them in the best possible light, so obviously an underestimate):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piN_MNSis1E

goose willis
Jun 14, 2015

Get ready for teh wacky laughz0r!

pkay
Jan 4, 2005
"You and your ilk just made me vote downticket R in the midterms."
- a black man (- a magachud)
It's almost as if you believe that American foreign policy is largely effected by different administrations.

Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

Volkerball posted:

Yeah, such horrible things that he's now the regimes journalist of choice to get imbedded with the SAA. :jerkbag:

Well, yeah:

quote:

Let’s start with a reality check. The Russian military are killers who go for the jugular. They slaughtered the innocent of Chechnya to crush the Islamist uprising there, and they will cut down the innocent of Syria as they try to crush a new army of Islamists and save the ruthless regime of Bashar al-Assad.

The Syrian army, some of whose members are war criminals, have struggled ferociously to preserve the state – and used barrel bombs to do it. They have also fought to the death.

The article is about how there's no "moderate" rebels, but it throws this in as well. His articles have gone way downhill in quality and I haven't read them for a few years, but he's still not a shill.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Encolpio posted:

Indeed, there are parallels here:



Literal advertisement that ran in Soldier Of Fortune magazine.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

pkay posted:

It's almost as if you believe that American foreign policy is largely effected by different administrations.

Yeah, Syria looks pretty much like how it would if Bush was president.

pkay
Jan 4, 2005
"You and your ilk just made me vote downticket R in the midterms."
- a black man (- a magachud)

Volkerball posted:

Yeah, Syria looks pretty much like how it would if Bush was president.



You mean like Iraq right before Saddam was toppled?

fspades
Jun 3, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Volkerball posted:

No my point is that they couldn't be bothered to send that much aid to people who supported democratic aims, why would they want to do more for jihadists behind the scenes who would very likely support attacks against American citizens? Maybe they knew it would lead to French destabilization and we're preparing an invasion? You never know with Amerikkka. "Hmmm they're denying they send aid to al qaeda, that's just what someone who was providing aid to al qaeda would do" is a pillar of conspiracy theories. Nothing more. Especially since there isn't anything to suggest the US has an interest in helping al qaeda (to overthrow Assad? loving really? The Obama adminstration could've started bombing him in 2013 and there would have been no arguments from Congress, if the US was so desperate for him to fall) or to suggest that the US has engaged in that type of action.


Taking it to the extent you all are is a misreading. "The opposition is dominated by salafists, AQI, and the Muslim Brotherhood of Muslim Muslims, the US has given weapons to the opposition, therefore." That's a very typical handwavey approach that you get from anti-imperialism types like Mehdi Hassan. It's way more complicated than that. There's THOUSANDS of militias in Syria. If you want to try and prove the US has supported ISIS and JaN, why don't you look at the groups who have been seen with US equipment, and examine where they got it? You'll find that the major groups like the Southern Front and the Hazzm movement have consistently fought both ISIS and JaN.


You still haven't addressed what makes that report so explosive. Because here we have a document from DIA, that 1) Admits the insurgency is not driven by forces with "democratic aims", but by sectarians, salafis and Al Qaeda. 2) An assumption this is going to take form of a proxy war where the Western countries (presumably includes the US) already supports the insurgency and will continue to support it in the future. 3) That there is a chance this support might end up in the establishment of a salafi principality in eastern Syria with possible spillover effect to Iraq. and 4) This is what powers that support the insurgency want anyway.

And then you have goddamn General Michael T. Flynn (who cares about Mehdi Hassan lol) saying that this report was not ignored but taken seriously and discussed, but there was "willful decision" from the part of the administration to go ahead with what they were doing anyway.

This is not some conspiracy theory, it's recorded history. Even if we accept the claim the US only armed "moderate rebels," here is a document that says, well, actually they knew these actions would contribute to destabilization of Syria, they knew it was likely to end up with a sectarian terror state, but that was ok, because it would isolate Assad.

Encolpio
Apr 12, 2013

fspades posted:

Even if we accept the claim the US only armed "moderate rebels,"

And doing that would be absurd anyway, given that the report talks about support for a militant opposition repeatedly characterised as sectarian, salafist and Al-Qaeda filled. "Moderate rebels" are mentioned nowhere in it.

Cippalippus
Mar 31, 2007

Out for a ride, chillin out w/ a couple of friends. Going to be back for dinner

fspades posted:

You still haven't addressed what makes that report so explosive. Because here we have a document from DIA, that 1) Admits the insurgency is not driven by forces with "democratic aims", but by sectarians, salafis and Al Qaeda. 2) An assumption this is going to take form of a proxy war where the Western countries (presumably includes the US) already supports the insurgency and will continue to support it in the future. 3) That there is a chance this support might end up in the establishment of a salafi principality in eastern Syria with possible spillover effect to Iraq. and 4) This is what powers that support the insurgency want anyway.

And then you have goddamn General Michael T. Flynn (who cares about Mehdi Hassan lol) saying that this report was not ignored but taken seriously and discussed, but there was "willful decision" from the part of the administration to go ahead with what they were doing anyway.

This is not some conspiracy theory, it's recorded history. Even if we accept the claim the US only armed "moderate rebels," here is a document that says, well, actually they knew these actions would contribute to destabilization of Syria, they knew it was likely to end up with a sectarian terror state, but that was ok, because it would isolate Assad.

He (and to be frank, many others in this thread) has always said that the ISIS and the rest of merry islamist brigade are mainly, if not solely, caused by Assad. Pointing out that the true nature of syrian rebels will get some angry replies.

Randarkman
Jul 18, 2011

Young Freud posted:

Literal advertisement that ran in Soldier Of Fortune magazine.



You do know that was not the Taliban, right?

Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

Young Freud posted:

Literal advertisement that ran in Soldier Of Fortune magazine.



hahaha, wow.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

fspades posted:

You still haven't addressed what makes that report so explosive. Because here we have a document from DIA, that 1) Admits the insurgency is not driven by forces with "democratic aims", but by sectarians, salafis and Al Qaeda.

It's not an "admission" that the insurgency was driven by sectarian forces, any more than the US admitted that Saddam had the capability to build weapons of mass destruction prior to the invasion. This is an analysis of intelligence. There's a lot of analysis that comes in that gets weighed in the leadup to the creation of policy. And it's pretty clear that the idea that we couldn't afford to risk removing Assad because of the sectarian dynamics at play was idea the Obama administration saw most eye to eye with, so I'm not sure why you think this is a bombshell.

quote:

2) An assumption this is going to take form of a proxy war where the Western countries (presumably includes the US) already supports the insurgency and will continue to support it in the future.

They are not predicting what US policy will be. They are explaining the environment that, in their opinion, the US will have to navigate in the future, so that policy makers will be better prepared to move forward.

quote:

3) That there is a chance this support might end up in the establishment of a salafi principality in eastern Syria with possible spillover effect to Iraq.

Again, this was in 2012, before ISIS even existed in Syria. Their citation for this is that JaN was an outstretch of AQI, but as we discovered in 2014, JaN's loyalty was to AQ, not AQI, and JaN and ISIS would soon be at war, rather than crafting a caliphate together as one and the same. So they were wrong on that. Analysis gets it wrong at times. It's opinion, and should be regarded as such. This isn't the golden document that was shoved under the carpet so that we could continue to give tanks to ISIS.

quote:

4) This is what powers that support the insurgency want anyway.

Certainly Turkey made the judgement that supporting JaN and other salafist groups was worth it to oust Assad. As did KSA. This is not news. Do you have anything to add to that?

quote:

And then you have goddamn General Michael T. Flynn (who cares about Mehdi Hassan lol) saying that this report was not ignored but taken seriously and discussed, but there was "willful decision" from the part of the administration to go ahead with what they were doing anyway.

This is not some conspiracy theory, it's recorded history. Even if we accept the claim the US only armed "moderate rebels," here is a document that says, well, actually they knew these actions would contribute to destabilization of Syria, they knew it was likely to end up with a sectarian terror state, but that was ok, because it would isolate Assad.

A FOX news contributor trying to blame the rise of ISIS on Obama? Surely, you jest. Understand that Flynn is coming from the position where Obama is a sissy who is afraid to blame Islam for ISIS. He's extremely partisan, and he's been using his newfound pulpit to throw Obama under the bus wherever he can. This is all nothing.

Volkerball fucked around with this message at 23:08 on Nov 26, 2015

fspades
Jun 3, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Volkerball posted:

It's not an "admission" that the insurgency was driven by sectarian forces, any more than the US admitted that Saddam had the capability to build weapons of mass destruction prior to the invasion. This is an analysis of intelligence. There's a lot of analysis that comes in that gets weighed in the leadup to the creation of policy. And it's pretty clear that the idea that we couldn't afford to risk removing Assad because of the sectarian dynamics at play was idea the Obama administration saw most eye to eye with, so I'm not sure why you think this is a bombshell.

What are you talking about? It's a bombshell to say this in the current political climate, never mind back then. Otherwise you wouldn't have NATO throwing a hissy fit every time Russia bombs a sectarian, Salafist dickhead into pieces. The entire legitimacy of NATO involvement in Syria hinges on the narrative there are moderate, non-sectarian rebels with democratic aims currently fighting Assad regime. This is what Obama and the State Department says. And here is this DoD report that says, no, there aren't any worth talking about; there never was even back in 2012.

quote:

They are not predicting what US policy will be. They are explaining the environment that, in their opinion, the US will have to navigate in the future, so that policy makers will be better prepared to move forward.
Yes, the environment where all of the US' allies will support the insurgency in a proxy war with Russia, Iran and China. I'm going to make a wild guess and assume the US will support the insurgency too. I base this on: Recorded history 3 years later.

quote:

Again, this was in 2012, before ISIS even existed in Syria. Their citation for this is that JaN was an outstretch of AQI, but as we discovered in 2014, JaN's loyalty was to AQ, not AQI, and JaN and ISIS would soon be at war, rather than crafting a caliphate together as one and the same. So they were wrong on that. Analysis gets it wrong at times. It's opinion, and should be regarded as such. This isn't the golden document that was shoved under the carpet so that we could continue to give tanks to ISIS.

Go read Wikipedia if you want to refresh your memory about JaN/AQI split. These groups nominally belonged to same parent organization, had the same objectives and the same ideology; the membership between them was porous. After Mosul was captured and ISIS declared its caliphate many JaN members left it for ISIS. And before ISIS forced them out of it, JaN was active in eastern Syria. The end result is: a Salafist principality in Syria, and Iraq. They weren't wrong about that.

quote:

Certainly Turkey made the judgement that supporting JaN and other salafist groups was worth it to oust Assad. As did KSA. This is not news. Do you have anything to add to that?

Oh no, you don't get away with that "now you see me, now you don't" bullshit. Again, there is no basis to be found in that report to claim the author was specifically talking about Turkey and KSA. That interpretation is entirely brought by you. But the author talks about a concerted and willful effort, which includes Western countries, to isolate Iran and Russia. Now, who would lead such a coalition of the willing? :iiam:

quote:

A FOX news contributor trying to blame the rise of ISIS on Obama? Surely, you jest. Understand that Flynn is coming from the position where Obama is a sissy who is afraid to blame Islam for ISIS. He's extremely partisan, and he's been using his newfound pulpit to throw Obama under the bus wherever he can. This is all nothing.

This report doesn't fit to Republican agenda either, which is why you won't hear it in Fox News. They are too busy listening to McCain jerking off at the thought of arming FSA, a sectarian, Salafist organization with links to Al Qaeda according to DoD.

fspades fucked around with this message at 00:02 on Nov 27, 2015

Ikasuhito
Sep 29, 2013

Haram as Fuck.

I hate to interrupt the usual pissing match, but has anyone else been hearing these rumors that the Afrin Kurds have attacked the rebels north of Aleppo?

MechanicalTomPetty
Oct 30, 2011

Runnin' down a dream
That never would come to me

Ikasuhito posted:

I hate to interrupt the usual pissing match, but has anyone else been hearing these rumors that the Afrin Kurds have attacked the rebels north of Aleppo?

Afrin's the canton way in the northwest right? What exactly have they been up to, they seem to be pretty isolated and I've heard basically nothing about them for the whole war.

Cat Mattress
Jul 14, 2012

by Cyrano4747

MechanicalTomPetty posted:

Afrin's the canton way in the northwest right? What exactly have they been up to, they seem to be pretty isolated and I've heard basically nothing about them for the whole war.

Yes. They're surrounded by rebels. Here, let me grab the latest map from fade5:

fade5 posted:


The current map.

As you can see, they don't have direct contact with either the regime (except for a tiny pocket in Nubl) or Daesh, which is I guess a good reason why there haven't been much to report about them. Some components of the FSA (affiliated with Nusra) have attacked the Kurds in the past, so maybe they're finally fed up? In any case it'd be good if the Kurds could link up Afrin with the other two cantons, cutting off Daesh from Turkey entirely.

Ikasuhito
Sep 29, 2013

Haram as Fuck.

Hmm ok a little confusion to add to the mix. Now I'm hearing conflicting news that it May be a inter-rebel squabble that got blamed on the Kurds

Guess we will know soon enough.

Bait and Swatch
Sep 5, 2012

Join me, Comrades
In the Star Citizen D&D thread

fspades posted:

What are you talking about? It's a bombshell to say this in the current political climate, never mind back then. Otherwise you wouldn't have NATO throwing a hissy fit every time Russia bombs a sectarian, Salafist dickhead into pieces. The entire legitimacy of NATO involvement in Syria hinges on the narrative there are moderate, non-sectarian rebels with democratic aims currently fighting Assad regime. This is what Obama and the State Department says. And here is this DoD report that says, no, there aren't any worth talking about; there never was even back in 2012.

Yes, the environment where all of the US' allies will support the insurgency in a proxy war with Russia, Iran and China. I'm going to make a wild guess and assume the US will support the insurgency too. I base this on: Recorded history 3 years later.


Go read Wikipedia if you want to refresh your memory about JaN/AQI split. These groups nominally belonged to same parent organization, had the same objectives and the same ideology; the membership between them was porous. After Mosul was captured and ISIS declared its caliphate many JaN members left it for ISIS. And before ISIS forced them out of it, JaN was active in eastern Syria. The end result is: a Salafist principality in Syria, and Iraq. They weren't wrong about that.


Oh no, you don't get away with that "now you see me, now you don't" bullshit. Again, there is no basis to be found in that report to claim the author was specifically talking about Turkey and KSA. That interpretation is entirely brought by you. But the author talks about a concerted and willful effort, which includes Western countries, to isolate Iran and Russia. Now, who would lead such a coalition of the willing? :iiam:


This report doesn't fit to Republican agenda either, which is why you won't hear it in Fox News. They are too busy listening to McCain jerking off at the thought of arming FSA, a sectarian, Salafist organization with links to Al Qaeda according to DoD.

I unfortunately don't have the time to get fully invested in this debate tonight , but as someone who has written and read a multitude of these reports, there is nothing special about that document. There are several of these types of reports, from a variety of agencies, written every week, and the vast majority of them are contradictory. This one report, which is from the DIA who are notorious for reports written from a position that is often ignorant of the on-ground realities, should not be taken as established policy, and it should not be assumed that its content is/was indicative of the overall stance of the wider intelligence community. One of the first lines in that report is that it is NOT a finished intelligence product, and you must be mindful of that before treating it as truth.

Also, the Kurds were not composed of Salafis last time I checked, and it's not looking like Syria will become a principality for anyone in the near future, let alone the Salafis.

Cat Mattress
Jul 14, 2012

by Cyrano4747
The plot thickens...

Google Translate posted:

North Korea officially enter the war and threaten to bomb nuclear strikes Turkey

A massive development on the Syrian arena, it came fairly North Korea officially announced their participation in the war on (Daash) next to the Russians, North Korea has sent a strong message of threat to Turkey provides for the removal of Turkey to exist in the event of a nuclear bombing intervened to help America.

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

I like to think that "removal of Turkey to exist" is a translation of the same phrase as "remove kebab".

Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.

is that a joke?

Vladimir Putin
Mar 17, 2007

by R. Guyovich

Count Roland posted:

hahaha, wow.

The US was pretty selective about who they supported in Afghanistan in the 80's. They mostly went through the Pakistani ISI and tried to avoid the religious crazies. The Saudis on the other hand matched the US dollar for dollar and supported Arab fighters like bin Laden and other religious crazies. Post soviet withdrawal the US more or less pulled out overnight and didn't have that much influence over who came to power afterwards.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

fspades posted:

What are you talking about? It's a bombshell to say this in the current political climate, never mind back then. Otherwise you wouldn't have NATO throwing a hissy fit every time Russia bombs a sectarian, Salafist dickhead into pieces. The entire legitimacy of NATO involvement in Syria hinges on the narrative there are moderate, non-sectarian rebels with democratic aims currently fighting Assad regime. This is what Obama and the State Department says. And here is this DoD report that says, no, there aren't any worth talking about; there never was even back in 2012.

"THE SALAFIST, THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD, AND AQI, ARE THE MAJOR FORCES DRIVING THE INSURGENCY IN SYRIA" does not mean there is no such thing as not-jihadists in Syria, and many other reports said as much. The US ambassador to Syria, Robert Ford, argued that there were people worth supporting in Syria. Why did this report inherently deserve more consideration than what Ford was saying? And it should be noted that Ford resigned in protest over how little support his positions were getting from the White House, so it's pretty clear this type of report drove policy more than the ones advocating supporting FSA jihadists or whatever dumb bullshit you're on about. And lol at the idea that NATO involvement in Syria hinges around Assad. They don't give a poo poo about him anymore. They even scrapped the CIA program aiding the Southern Front, so there's 0 aid going towards the fight against Assad. They only work with groups like the Kurds, who fight ISIS and only ISIS. And what group is THE SALAFIST anyways?

quote:

Yes, the environment where all of the US' allies will support the insurgency in a proxy war with Russia, Iran and China. I'm going to make a wild guess and assume the US will support the insurgency too. I base this on: Recorded history 3 years later.

Did they support ISIS, JaN, Jaysh al-Islam, Ahrar or-Sham, or any other salafist group? Do you have anything to support this other than a personal interpretation of a clumsily worded sentence in a clumsily worded report that came out several months before ISIS even had a presence in Syria?

quote:

Go read Wikipedia if you want to refresh your memory about JaN/AQI split. These groups nominally belonged to same parent organization, had the same objectives and the same ideology; the membership between them was porous. After Mosul was captured and ISIS declared its caliphate many JaN members left it for ISIS. And before ISIS forced them out of it, JaN was active in eastern Syria. The end result is: a Salafist principality in Syria, and Iraq. They weren't wrong about that.

None of that changes the fact that ISIS and JaN are at war, whereas the report claimed JaN was a willing subordinate of ISIS. That was wrong. They were wrong. When they said that. It was wrong. Do you understand? This was not the one true report that was shoveled under the table to maintain a facade. It was one of thousands jockeying to get attention from important people, and there was nothing special about it.

quote:

Oh no, you don't get away with that "now you see me, now you don't" bullshit. Again, there is no basis to be found in that report to claim the author was specifically talking about Turkey and KSA. That interpretation is entirely brought by you. But the author talks about a concerted and willful effort, which includes Western countries, to isolate Iran and Russia. Now, who would lead such a coalition of the willing? :iiam:

Weren't you just talking about how the US would try and cover up any sort of arming and funding of jihadist groups? Now suddenly you are relying whole-heartedly on a publicly released document to show that the US supports jihadists? If they meant that the US and its allies wanted to support jihadists and establish a caliphate because gently caress Assad, you yourself argued that they wouldn't declassify that sort of document. You're grasping for straws here.

quote:

This report doesn't fit to Republican agenda either, which is why you won't hear it in Fox News. They are too busy listening to McCain jerking off at the thought of arming FSA, a sectarian, Salafist organization with links to Al Qaeda according to DoD.

We weren't talking about the report, we were talking about Flynn's responses, which you absolutely will hear on FOX News. The intelligence was good, but Obama ignored it and now we have ISIS. He was just on there 3 days ago talking about it.

http://nation.foxnews.com/2015/11/23/fmr-dia-director-who-briefed-president-rise-isis-has-harsh-words-obama

You might be surprised how much common ground you'll find with FOX News what with condemning everyone who's ever called Assad a dick a jihadist. McCain is old news. Islamophobia is the way of the future.

Volkerball fucked around with this message at 01:31 on Nov 27, 2015

goose willis
Jun 14, 2015

Get ready for teh wacky laughz0r!
Were photos of bin Laden's death ever taken, and why weren't any released?

I'm just curious, I'm not trying to insinuate any sort of conspiracy theory.

Vladimir Putin
Mar 17, 2007

by R. Guyovich

goose fleet posted:

Were photos of bin Laden's death ever taken, and why weren't any released?

I'm just curious, I'm not trying to insinuate any sort of conspiracy theory.

Photos were taken. There should at least be one photo of a SEAL lying next to bin laden as a measure of height. This picture would have been seen by McRaven and Obama.

I have no idea why they have not been released. One reason might be that bin laden got shot in the head and the pictures might be a bit grizly.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

Vladimir Putin posted:

Photos were taken. There should at least be one photo of a SEAL lying next to bin laden as a measure of height. This picture would have been seen by McRaven and Obama.

I have no idea why they have not been released. One reason might be that bin laden got shot in the head and the pictures might be a bit grizly.

Likely for the same reason that the burial was kept secret and done at an undisclosed location far from everywhere. No glamour, no hype, nothing to rally around. He was just gone. They were really going for "Yesterday he was alive, today he is dead, end." A photo would've been seen all over the world and been a big deal. It probably would've been fawned over on jihadists forums as well.

Sergg
Sep 19, 2005

I was rejected by the:

Yeah Bait & Switch nailed it when he proffered that there's a giant mess of contradictory intel reports on stuff like this, and clearly that report had several factual errors.

Also, as far as Bin Laden, there were photos taken but unlike GWB and his war trophies of Uday & Qusay Hussein, Obama decided it would be distasteful to publicly display photos of his body. The photos are classified but were shown to crackpot Republicans in Congress who thought his death was faked. They were satisfied with the evidence.

Rip Testes
Jan 29, 2004

I never forget a face, but in your case I'll be glad to make an exception.
How well is the SAA doing against the rebels at the moment?

El Hefe
Oct 31, 2006

You coulda had a V8/
Instead of a tre-eight slug to yo' cranium/
I got six and I'm aimin' 'em/
Will I bust or keep you guessin'
Turkish journalists charged with spying over weapons report

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34939916

things are heating up

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farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.
I take a week off and you guys let this happen. What the gently caress guys I left you Syria on your strict promise it couldn't get any worse and this is how you repay me?

Poor form, this will be reflected in my yelp review.


Lots of different advances from all parties and an international incident likely to spiral further given the world leaders involved. I have to say things are really looking up for this Syrian peace process I've been reliably informed is going to be kicking off soon.

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