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Yeah I don't think the Cubs are going to make 97 wins again, let alone crack 100 like these projections are stating. On the other hand, I feel like the NL Central is going to be less dominant in general this season, so devil magic aside I think the Cubs still have a solid shot at taking the division, even if they end up down overall in wins.Monicro posted:e: also going back to how people thought they were going to do last year I think "shoot for above-.500, maaayybe sneak into a wildcard" was the pretty universal sentiment
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Feb 17, 2016 08:33
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The Cubs are more likely than not to win 90 games and that's probably enough in the 2016 NLC. I'm largely indifferent to predictions of 95+. A lot has to go right, and it's not fantastical or anything, but that's a REALLY hard thing to do and it likely doesn't matter given that they'd win the division either way.
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Feb 17, 2016 12:40
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bewbies posted:So I don't really understand UZR, but it would seem like you could just break down the field into little squares or hexes (say 1 sqft) and then just determine relative range by how many squares a player regularly covers? I'm sure someone has thought of this but I'm not sure why it wouldn't work. If MLB keeps freely sharing statcast information, I assume eventually we will get better public information about defense and they'll be able to better assess player skill based on range covered and route efficiency rather than a did they or didn't they catch a ball on this spot metric.
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Feb 17, 2016 15:45
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Statcast who is the greatest defensive player of all time? INSUFFICIENT DATA FOR A MEANINGFUL ANSWER.
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Feb 17, 2016 16:28
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TheIncredulousHulk posted:It's entirely possible I'm just imagining the projection systems overrating them but it always seems like they do Hell, this made me look up as much as I could for the Mariners: 2015: PECOTA: 87 wins Actual: 76 wins 2014: PECOTA: 82 wins Actual: 87 wins 2013: PECOTA: 79 wins Actual: 71 wins 2012: PECOTA: 72 wins Actual: 75 wins 2011: PECOTA: 70 wins Actual: 67 wins and lastly: 2010: PECOTA: 86 wins Actual: 61 wins Overall, yeah PECOTA tends to rank the Mariners a lot higher than they should be. 2010 is hilariously bad, though.
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Feb 17, 2016 16:36
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Prediction systems: as meaningless as Spring Training God, baseball can't start soon enough.
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Feb 17, 2016 16:42
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im very excited to see Yu Darvish return and be disgustingly filthy and reclaim the crown of "mindblowingly sick but will only place 3rd in cy young voting forever" from chris sale also psyched to see a starting rotation of Harv/DeGrom/Thor/Matz/Big Bart. jesus christ and they still have Wheeler. I read an article that said the only team with a better rotation was the Cardinals and I can't process that at all.
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Feb 17, 2016 17:03
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MinibarMatchman posted:im very excited to see Yu Darvish return and be disgustingly filthy and reclaim the crown of "mindblowingly sick but will only place 3rd in cy young voting forever" from chris sale That's because the Cardinals don't have a better rotation. Waino/Martinez/Wacha is awesome, but Leake is literally the most average starting pitcher you could possibly imagine, and lmao if you think Jaime Garcia is going to throw more than like 50 innings this year. The Cardinals have a very good rotation. The Mets have a better one.
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Feb 17, 2016 17:14
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Popete posted:Statcast who is the greatest defensive player of all time? Ozzie Smith. Next question? FairGame posted:That's because the Cardinals don't have a better rotation. Waino/Martinez/Wacha is awesome, but Leake is literally the most average starting pitcher you could possibly imagine, and lmao if you think Jaime Garcia is going to throw more than like 50 innings this year. The Cardinals have a very good rotation. The Mets have a better one. If we're talking about the Sports on Earth article it was ranking entire pitching staffs, not rotations alone. I'm much higher on Hot-me than most and even I think our rotation alone isn't the best front to back, but considering we have our 3 best relievers all coming back I don't think it's an outrageous ranking. Edit: Holy poo poo, Ozzie actually has the most career defensive WAR of all players, apparently. I was just being a massive homer and making stuff up. Pancakes fucked around with this message at 17:30 on Feb 17, 2016 |
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Feb 17, 2016 17:23
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Lance Lynn being out for the year is a big blow but that just paves the way for people to get pissed off when Leake has a sub 3 ERA  Pancakes posted:
C'mon man Ozzie was the greatest. Thom P. Tiers fucked around with this message at 17:34 on Feb 17, 2016 |
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Feb 17, 2016 17:32
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Pancakes posted:Ozzie Smith. Next question? Who are the Cardinals 3 best relievers? Rosenthal and Siegrist are obviously 1 and 2. Since you said "coming back" I can only imagine you mean Walden (who is awesome when healthy, but he's not healthy) or Maness (who's got an amazing knack for generating ground balls, but isn't really particularly good). Or Broxton, I guess, but Broxton is basically "acceptable bullpen filler" The Final Boss is probably the Cardinals' 3rd best reliever.
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Feb 17, 2016 17:44
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FairGame posted:Who are the Cardinals 3 best relievers? Rosenthal and Siegrist are obviously 1 and 2. Since you said "coming back" I can only imagine you mean Walden (who is awesome when healthy, but he's not healthy) or Maness (who's got an amazing knack for generating ground balls, but isn't really particularly good). Or Broxton, I guess, but Broxton is basically "acceptable bullpen filler" I meant our 3 best relievers last year so I was counting Maness. I think he got ground down from overuse near the end but is reliable out of the 'pen and works as a solid bridge if we leave a starter in too long mid-inning. I'm anxious to see The Final Boss do his thing but even without him I think the Cardinals have one of the best bullpens on paper.
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Feb 17, 2016 18:01
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if we can just get to a point where Walden is pitching by like august I'll be stoked with our bullpen.
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Feb 17, 2016 18:04
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in general, i'm just really excited to see Adams, Piscotty, Grichuk, Peralta, Holliday, Yadi, Wong and Carpenter all on the field at the same time at some point this season, hopefully, so we can actually take advantage of that 'depth' that we have.
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Feb 17, 2016 18:08
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The best defensive player ever was Bill Bergen
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Feb 17, 2016 18:32
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Yankees keep finding new and enjoyable ways to gently caress over their fans. http://deadspin.com/yankees-will-no-longer-accept-print-at-home-tickets-th-1759655868
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Feb 17, 2016 18:34
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davecrazy posted:Yankees keep finding new and enjoyable ways to gently caress over their fans. At least they're going to be doing mobile ticketing now!  And I will say that I never really swung some massive deal on Stubhub for games, it was just nice to be able to make a decision the night before/day of a game and pick up tickets. Inspector_666 fucked around with this message at 18:42 on Feb 17, 2016 |
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Feb 17, 2016 18:35
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I'm going to miss being able to decide like 2 hours before 1st pitch to go to a Met game and have a whole row to myself.
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Feb 17, 2016 18:48
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i think the cards will be a fun team to watch and unless everything goes wrong they will at least have a wildcard spot.
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Feb 17, 2016 22:32
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Kyle Schwarber continues to be a Big Fat Man who hits the everloving poo poo out of baseballs: http://m.mlb.com/cutfour/2016/02/17...dbpr=5768707450 Windshields beware!
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Feb 18, 2016 00:40
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Retail Slave posted:Kyle Schwarber continues to be a Big Fat Man who hits the everloving poo poo out of baseballs: I like the part where Kyle got Safelite involved to get the glass fixed. I smell sponsorship!
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Feb 18, 2016 01:52
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MLB network is just trolling at this point: https://twitter.com/mlbnetwork/status/700107506891108352
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Feb 18, 2016 01:58
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Is that the bobble head play?
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Feb 18, 2016 02:08
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Orioles are expecting to sign both Fowler and Gallardo shortly. Gallardo is supposedly around 3 years, $40-45 mil, and Fowler is 2-3 years, $26-30 mil http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/02/orioles-yovani-gallardo-dexter-fowler-jay-bruce-latest-rumors.html
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Feb 18, 2016 03:19
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Bumming Your Scene posted:Is that the bobble head play? I think you're thinking of Kent Hrbek tagging out Ron Gant as he fell off of 1st base completely under his own momentum.
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Feb 18, 2016 03:33
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bought Mariners season tickets today. I go to enough games during the summer that, hey, why not. Also the Twins are here pretty early on in the season. Usually they come into town in the middle of summer or near the end.
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Feb 18, 2016 03:36
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Dubious posted:bought Mariners season tickets today. I go to enough games during the summer that, hey, why not. Also the Twins are here pretty early on in the season. Usually they come into town in the middle of summer or near the end. What up STH buddy?  You do a 20 game plan? We're on package A. If you're on A as well we should grab a drink in the pen pregame some say.
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Feb 18, 2016 03:54
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Colby is still the best folks: https://twitter.com/Matt_Gwin/status/699996028452392960/photo/1
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Feb 18, 2016 04:08
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Figured out where Bonds got all his steroids:
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Feb 18, 2016 05:24
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Spoeank posted:Figured out where Bonds got all his steroids: He's even rubbing it on him. Busted.
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Feb 18, 2016 05:32
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Dubious posted:bought Mariners season tickets today. I go to enough games during the summer that, hey, why not. Also the Twins are here pretty early on in the season. Usually they come into town in the middle of summer or near the end. The Nards Pan posted:What up STH buddy? I wanna drive up from Portland for a game again this year, it's been too long.
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Feb 18, 2016 05:47
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The Nards Pan posted:What up STH buddy? I did package A too. Definitely down for a pregame drink., and then choosing our own seats after the 2nd inning when half of the stadium is empty 
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Feb 18, 2016 06:57
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will_colorado posted:MLB network is just trolling at this point: The game goes into extras and the Braves win anyway?
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Feb 18, 2016 08:33
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Retail Slave posted:Kyle Schwarber continues to be a Big Fat Man who hits the everloving poo poo out of baseballs: Oh nice, with video. And it's an animated background for a screenshot of an instagram picture, exactly what I was hoping for!
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Feb 18, 2016 10:26
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Super Jay Mann posted:The game goes into extras and the Braves win anyway? Game goes extra innings and Cox brings in Liebrandt to hand the series to the Pirates. Just like Game 6 of the '91 World Series. 
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Feb 18, 2016 12:51
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cebrail posted:Oh nice, with video. And it's an animated background for a screenshot of an instagram picture, exactly what I was hoping for! That wasn't there when I first posted the link. And scroll down a bit to see the windshield.
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Feb 18, 2016 13:59
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MassaShowtime posted:Colby is still the best folks:  i would love his hot takes on the current political situation
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Feb 18, 2016 14:03
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DrPossum posted:
To be honest I rather doubt he knows there IS a political situation and you'd be disappointed he doesn't give you a Schilling-tier take. Rasmus is just a really stupid man.
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Feb 18, 2016 14:10
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MassaShowtime posted:Colby is still the best folks: Happier than ever that Kevin Pillar is a Blue Jay. 
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Feb 18, 2016 14:21
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DrPossum posted:
The most offensive thing about this picture is that facial hair, yeeessh.
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Feb 18, 2016 16:13
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