NFL Playoffs Race - Thread now available in Cleveland

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Desired AFC and NFC Championship Game participants? (Pick two per conference)
	Arizona (NFC)
	Baltimore (AFC)
	Buffalo (AFC)
	Carolina (NFC)
	Cincinnati (AFC)
	Cleveland (AFC)
	Dallas (NFC)
	Denver (AFC)
	Detroit (NFC)
	Green Bay (NFC)
	Houston (AFC)
	Indianapolis (AFC)
	Kansas City (AFC)
	Miami (AFC)
	Minnesota (NFC)
	New England (AFC)
	New Orleans (NFC)
	Philadelphia (NFC)
	Pittsburgh (AFC)
	San Diego (AFC)
	San Francisco (NFC)
	Seattle (NFC)

[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

View Results

kalensc: Sep 10, 2003; Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby

Last Updated: Sunday, December 21st, 23h30

pre:

## Tm. Rec. Div AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Conference Results
-- --- ---- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
01 N.E 12-3 4-1 9-2 .bye Wind Wdet Lg.b Ws.d Wmia Wnyj vBuf W-Den,Ind
02 Den 11-3 5-0 9-1 Woak Lstl Wmia Wk.c Wbuf Ws.d @Cin vOak W-Ind L-N.E
03 Ind 10-5 5-0 8-3 .bye Ln.e Wjax Wwas Wcle Whou Ldal @Ten L-Den,Pit,N.E
04 Cin 09*4 3-2 6-4 Lcle Wn.o Whou Wt.b Lpit Wcle vDen @Pit

05 Pit 10-5 3-2 8-3 Lnyj Wten .bye Ln.o Wcin Watl Wk.c vCin W-Ind WL-Bal
06 S.D 09-6 2-3 6-5 .bye Woak Wstl Wbal Ln.e Lden Ws.f @K.C L-K.C

   Bal 09-6 2-3 5-6 Wten .bye Wn.o Ls.d Wmia Wjax Lhou vCle WL-Pit  

   Hou 08-7 3-2 7-4 .bye Wcle Lcin Wten Wjax Lind Wbal vJax 
   K.C 08-7 2-3 6-5 Wbuf Wsea Loak Lden Lari Woak Lpit vS.D W-S.D
   
Eliminated: Oakland & Jacksonville (Wk11), Tennessee & New York (Wk12), Cleveland, Miami, Buffalo (Wk16)

Den@Cin Buf@N.E Oak@Den 1st 2nd
------- ------- ------- --- ---
  Cin      *       *    N.E Den
  Den     N.E      *    N.E Den
  Den     Buf     Oak   N.E Den
  Den     Buf     Den   Den N.E

Den@Cin Cin@Pit Ind@Ten 3rd 4th
------- ------- ------- --- ---
   *      Pit      *    Pit Ind
  Cin     Cin      *    Cin Ind
  Den     Cin    Ten    Cin Ind
  Den     Cin    Ind    Ind Cin

Den@Cin Cin@Pit S.D@K.C Cle@Bal Jax@Hou 5th 6th  Miss Playoffs
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- --- ---  -------------
   *      Cin     S.D      *       *    Pit S.D  Bal, Hou, K.C
   *      Cin     K.C     Bal      *    Pit Bal  Hou, K.C, S.D
   *      Cin     K.C     Cle     Hou   Pit Hou  K.C, S.D, Bal
   *      Cin     K.C     Cle     Jax   Pit K.C  S.D, Bal, Hou

  Cin     Pit     S.D      *       *    Cin S.D  Bal, Hou, K.C
  Cin     Pit     K.C     Bal      *    Cin Bal  Hou, K.C, S.D
  Cin     Pit     K.C     Cle     Hou   Cin Hou  K.C, S.D, Bal
  Cin     Pit     K.C     Cle     Jax   Cin K.C  S.D, Bal, Hou

  Den     Pit     S.D     Bal      *    S.D Bal  Cin, Hou, K.C   
  Den     Pit     S.D     Cle      *    S.D Cin  Hou, Bal, K.C
  Den     Pit     K.C     Bal      *    Bal Cin  Hou, K.C, S.D
  Den     Pit     K.C     Cle     Hou   Cin Hou  K.C, S.D, Bal
  Den     Pit     K.C     Cle     Jax   Cin K.C  S.D, Bal, Hou

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
N.E 12-3 4-1 6-2 9-2 .bye Wind Wdet Lg.b wS.D Wmia Wnyj	vBuf Clinched AFCE & Bye

Eliminated: New York (Wk12), Miami, Buffalo (Wk15)

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Cin 09*4 3-2 6*1 6-4 Lcle Wn.o Whou Wt.b LPit Wcle vDen @Pit Bal-WW Cle-LW Pit-??
Pit 10-5 3-2 6-2 7-3 Lnyj Wten .bye Ln.o Wcin Watl Wk.c vCin Bal-WL Cin-?? Cle-WL
Bal 09-6 2-3 6-2 5-6 Wten .bye Wn.o Ls.d Wmia Wjax Lhou vCle Cin-LL Cle-W? Pit-WL

Common Opponents: AFC South, NFC South

Eliminated: Cleveland (Wk15), Baltimore (Wk16)

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers - Winner clinches the AFCN.

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Ind 10-5 5-0 5-3 8-3 .bye Ln.e Wjax Wwas Wcle Whou Ldal @Ten Hou-WW Jax-WW Ten-W?

Eliminated: Tennessee, Jacksonville (Wk12), Houston (Wk15)

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Den 11-3 5-0 5-3 9-1 Woak Lstl Wmia Wk.c Wbuf Ws.d @Cin vOak K.C-WW Oak-W? S.D-W?

Eliminated: Oakland (Wk11), Kansas City (Wk14), San Diego (Wk15)

kalensc fucked around with this message at 20:13 on Dec 22, 2014

# ? Nov 9, 2014 05:10

Adbot: ADBOT LOVES YOU

# ? Apr 26, 2024 21:04

kalensc: Sep 10, 2003; Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby

Last Updated: Sunday, December 21st, 23h30

pre:

## Tm. Rec. Div NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Conference Results
-- --- ---- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
01 Sea 11-4 4-1 9-2 Wnyg Lk.c Wari Ws.f Wphi Ws.f Wari vStL W-G.B,Ari L-Dal
02 Det 11-4 5-0 9-2 Wmia Lari Ln.e Wchi Wt.b Wmin Wchi @G.B W-G.B L-Ari
03 Dal 11-4 3-2 7-4 Wjax .bye Wnyg Lphi Wchi Wphi Wind @Was W-Sea L-Ari
04 Car 06*8 3-2 5-6 Lphi Latl .bye Lmin Wn.o Wt.b Wcle @Atl

05 Ari 11-4 3-2 8-3 Wstl Wdet Lsea Latl Wk.c Wstl Lsea @S.F W-Dal,Det L-Sea
06 G.B 11-4 4-1 8-3 Wchi Wphi Wmin Wn.e Watl Lbuf Wt.b vDet L-Det,Sea

~Teams below this line are eliminated from Wild Cards but can win a division~

   Atl 06-9 5-0 6-5 Wt.b Wcar Lcle Wari Lg.b Lpit Wn.o vCar W-N.O   

StL@Sea Det@G.B Ari@S.F Dal@Was 1st 2nd 3rd 5th 6th
------- ------- ------- ------- --- --- --- --- ---
  Sea     G.B      *       *    Sea G.B Dal Ari Det
  Sea     Det      *       *    Sea Det Dal Ari G.B
  StL     G.B     Ari      *    G.B Ari Dal Sea Det
  StL     G.B     S.F      *    G.B Dal Sea Ari Det
  StL     Det     Ari      *    Ari Det Dal Sea G.B
  StL     Det     S.F      *    Det Dal Sea Ari G.B

Eliminated: New York, Washington (Wk13), Tampa Bay, Chicago (Wk14), Minnesota, St.Louis, San Francisco (Wk15), New Orleans, Philadelphia (Wk16)

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Dal 11-4 3-2 6-2 7-4 Wjax .bye Wnyg Lphi Wchi Wphi Wind @Was NYG-WW Phi-LW Was-L?

Common Opponents: NFC West, AFC South

Eliminated: New York, Washington (Wk12), Philadelphia (Wk16)

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Det 11-4 5-0 5-3 9-2 Wmia Lari Ln.e Wchi Wt.b Wmin Wchi @G.B Chi-WW G.B-W? Min-WW
G.B 11-4 4-1 6-2 8-3 Wchi Wphi Wmin Wn.e Watl Lbuf Wt.b vDet Chi-WW Det-L? Min-WW

Common Opponents: NFC South, AFC East

Detroit @ Green Bay - Winner takes the division, loser is a Wild Card.

Eliminated: Chicago, Minnesota (Wk13)

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Atl 06-9 5-0 0-8 6-5 Wt.b Wcar Lcle Wari Lg.b Lpit Wn.o vCar Car-W? N.O-WW T.B-WW
Car 06*8 3-2 3*4 5-6 Lphi Latl .bye Lmin Wn.o Wt.b Wcle @Atl Atl-L? N.O-L? T.B W?

Common Opponents: NFC North, AFC North

Eliminated: Tampa Bay (Wk13), New Orleans (Wk16)

Carolina @ Atlanta - Carolina clinches with a win or tie, Atlanta clinches with a win. Loser drafts 12th~.

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Sea 11-4 4-1 5-3 9-2 Wnyg Lk.c Wari Ws.f Wphi Ws.f Wari vStL Ari-WW S.F-W? StL-L?
Ari 11-4 3-2 7-1 8-3 Wstl Wdet Lsea Latl Wk.c Wstl Lsea @S.F S.F-W? Sea-LL StL-WW

Common Opponents: NFC East, AFC West

Sea@Ari StL@Sea Ari@S.F  NFCW Champ
------- ------- ------- -------------
  Sea     Sea      *    Seattle (2/8)
  Sea     StL     S.F   Seattle (1/8)
  Sea     StL     Ari   Arizona (1/8)

  Ari      *       *    Arizona (4/8)

Summary:

- Seattle clinches the NFCW UNLESS Wk17 ends with the Rams beating the Seahawks AND the Cards beating the Niners.

Eliminated: St. Louis (Wk14), San Francisco (Wk15)

kalensc fucked around with this message at 19:38 on Dec 22, 2014

# ? Nov 9, 2014 05:21

kalensc: Sep 10, 2003; Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby

2015 Draft Order

pre:

## Tm.	Ovr W	Ovr L	Ovr %	SoS W	SoS L	SoS %  Max  Min
-- ---  -----   -----   -----   -----   -----   -----  ---  --- 
01 T.B	2	14	0.125	124.5	131.5	0.486  1st  2nd
02 TEN	2	14	0.125	129.5	126.5	0.506  1st  2nd
03 JAX	3	13	0.188	131.5	124.5	0.514  3rd  6th
04 OAK	3	13	0.188	146	110	0.570  3rd  6th
05 WAS	4	12	0.250	127	129	0.496  3rd  6th
06 NYJ	4	12	0.250	139	117	0.543  3rd  6th
07 CHI	5	11	0.313	135.5	120.5	0.529  7th  11th
08 ATL	6	10	0.375	123.5	132.5	0.482  7th  21st+ 
09 NYG	6	10	0.375	131	125	0.512  8th  14th
10 STL	6	10	0.375	136	120	0.531  8th  14th
11 MIN	7	9	0.438	121.5	134.5	0.475  7th  13th
12 CLE  7       9       0.438   122.5   133.5   0.479  9th  15th
13 N.O	7	9	0.438	124.5	131.5	0.486  7th  13th
14 MIA  8       8       0.500   131     125     0.512 
15 S.F  8       8       0.500   135     121     0.527  9th  19th
16 HOU  9       7       0.563   114.5   141.5   0.447
17*K.C  9       7       0.563   131     125     0.512
17*S.D  9       7       0.563   131     125     0.512
19 BUF  9       7       0.563   132     124     0.516
20 PHI  10      6       0.625   125.5   130.5   0.490

Here's a look at the SoS rankings through Week 15.

pre:

Team	Ovr W	Ovr L	Ovr %	SoS W	SoS L	SoS %
OAK	2	12	0.143	131	93	0.585
NYJ	3	11	0.214	123	101	0.549
S.F	7	7	0.500	121	103	0.540
STL	6	8	0.429	120	104	0.536
SEA	10	4	0.714	119.5	104.5	0.533
DEN	11	3	0.786	118.5	105.5	0.529
ARI	11	3	0.786	117	107	0.522
CHI	5	9	0.357	116.5	107.5	0.520
BUF	8	6	0.571	116	108	0.518
K.C	8	6	0.571	116	108	0.518
S.D	8	6	0.571	116	108	0.518
N.E	11	3	0.786	115.5	108.5	0.516
MIA	7	7	0.500	115	109	0.513
JAX	2	12	0.143	114.5	109.5	0.511
NYG	5	9	0.357	114	110	0.509
CIN	9.5	4.5	0.679	111.5	112.5	0.498
Was	3	11	0.214	111	113	0.496
TEN	2	12	0.143	110.5	113.5	0.493
CAR	5.5	8.5	0.393	110.5	113.5	0.493
ATL	5	9	0.357	108.5	115.5	0.484
G.B	10	4	0.714	108.5	115.5	0.484
T.B	2	12	0.143	107.5	116.5	0.480
N.O	6	8	0.429	107.5	116.5	0.480
MIN	6	8	0.429	106.5	117.5	0.475
PHI	9	5	0.643	106.5	117.5	0.475
BAL	9	5	0.643	105.5	118.5	0.471
DET	10	4	0.714	105.5	118.5	0.471
IND	10	4	0.714	105.5	118.5	0.471
CLE	7	7	0.500	104.5	119.5	0.467
PIT	9	5	0.643	101.5	122.5	0.453
DAL	10	4	0.714	100	124	0.446
HOU	7	7	0.500	99.5	124.5	0.444

And here's the rankings by Strength of Victory (SoV) through Week 15, sorted by number of wins for easier comparisons.

pre:

Team	Ovr W	Ovr L	Ovr %	SoV W	SoV L	SoV %
DEN	11	3	0.786	80	74	0.519
N.E	11	3	0.786	79.5	74.5	0.516
ARI	11	3	0.786	74	80	0.481
SEA	10	4	0.714	70.5	69.5	0.504
G.B	10	4	0.714	62.5	77.5	0.446
DAL	10	4	0.714	57	83	0.407
DET	10	4	0.714	55	85	0.393
IND	10	4	0.714	53.5	86.5	0.382
CIN	9.5	4.5	0.679	49	77	0.389
PIT	9	5	0.643	57	69	0.452
PHI	9	5	0.643	50.5	75.5	0.401
BAL	9	5	0.643	45.5	80.5	0.361
K.C	8	6	0.571	55	57	0.491
BUF	8	6	0.571	51	61	0.455
S.D	8	6	0.571	42	70	0.375
S.F	7	7	0.500	47	51	0.480
MIA	7	7	0.500	39	59	0.398
CLE	7	7	0.500	35.5	62.5	0.362
HOU	7	7	0.500	26	72	0.265
N.O	6	8	0.429	37.5	46.5	0.446
STL	6	8	0.429	35	49	0.417
MIN	6	8	0.429	24.5	59.5	0.292
CAR	5.5	8.5	0.393	25	45	0.357
ATL	5	9	0.357	26.5	43.5	0.379
CHI	5	9	0.357	23	47	0.329
NYG	5	9	0.357	20	50	0.286
Was	3	11	0.214	14	28	0.333
NYJ	3	11	0.214	13	29	0.310
OAK	2	12	0.143	15	13	0.536
JAX	2	12	0.143	12	16	0.429
T.B	2	12	0.143	12	16	0.429
TEN	2	12	0.143	10	18	0.357

kalensc fucked around with this message at 06:39 on Dec 29, 2014

# ? Nov 9, 2014 05:22

kalensc: Sep 10, 2003; Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby

Other References:

(More info coming soon)

# ? Nov 9, 2014 05:23

kalensc: Sep 10, 2003; Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby

Kicking this thread off early this year because Cleveland has inspired me. The Browns will be the first in-depth write-up, and then I'll follow with whoever is doing well in the polls one by one.

And it's a checkbox poll! Pick four!

Also drat the avatar someone got me is seizure-inducing and I need to replace it.

kalensc fucked around with this message at 05:27 on Nov 9, 2014

# ? Nov 9, 2014 05:24

tarbrush: Feb 7, 2011; ALL ABOARD THE SCOTLAND HYPE TRAIN!

CHOO CHOO

Dolphins options:

a) Achieve a very respectable 10-6, get bounced by the 10-6 Chiefs on hth and 10-6 Browns on tiebreakers

b) Slump to 8-8, fulfilling their sacred destiny.

# ? Nov 9, 2014 13:56

Ehud: Sep 19, 2003; football.

We play at Detroit today then host the Bills on Thursday.

We could be 7-3 or 5-5 by Thursday night.

we will be 5-5

# ? Nov 9, 2014 14:17

Eifert Posting: Apr 1, 2007; Most of the time he catches it every time.; Grimey Drawer

kalensc posted:

And just to be clear, there is no sane or logical reason for any Ravens fan to prefer Cincy tying Carolina over the Bengals losing, QED.

That is still the weirdest set of mental gymnastics I've ever seen on SA, and I'm an old LF veteran.

# ? Nov 9, 2014 14:39

kalensc: Sep 10, 2003; Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby

Last Updated: Sunday, November 9th, 19h30

pre:

## Tm. Rec. Div AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Conference Results
-- --- ---- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
01 N.E 07-2 2-1 5-2 .bye @Ind vDet @G.B @S.D vMia @NYJ vBuf W-Den,Buf L-Mia
02 Den 07-2 3-0 5-1 Woak @Stl vMia @K.C vBuf @S.D @Cin vOak W-Ind,K.C,S.D L-N.E
03 Ind 06-3 3-0 5-2 .bye vN.E vJax vWas @Cle vHou @Dal @Ten W-Bal,Hou L-Den,Pit
04 Cle 06-3 2-2 4-3 Wcin vHou @Atl @Buf vInd vCin @Car @Bal L-Bal WL-Pit

05 K.C 06-3 1-1 5-2 Wbuf vSea @Oak vDen @Ari vOak @Pit vS.D W-N.E,Mia,S.D,Buf L-Den
06 Cin 05*3 2-1 4-3 Lcle @N.O @Hou @T.B vPit @Cle vDen @Pit

   Pit 06-4 2-2 5-3 Lnyj @Ten .bye vN.O @Cin @Atl vK.C vCin W-Ind,Hou WL-Bal,Cle
   Bal 06-4 2-3 3-4 Wten .bye @N.O vS.D @Mia vJax @Hou vCle W-Cle L-Ind,Cinx2 WL-Pit
   S.D 05-4 1-2 4-3 .bye vOak vStL @Bal vN.E vDen @S.F @K.C W-Buf L-Den,Mia,K.C
   Buf 05-4 2-1 2-4 Lk.c @Mia @NYJ vCle @Den vG.B @Oak @N.E W-Mia L-N.E,S.D,Hou,K.C
   Mia 05-4 1-1 4-2 Ldet vBuf @Den @NYJ vBal @N.E vMin vNYJ W-N.E,S.D L-Buf,K.C
   Hou 04-5 1-1 3-2 .bye @Cle vCin vTen @Jax @Ind vBal vJax W-Buf,Ten L-Ind,Pit
   Ten 02-7 1-2 2-5 Lbal vPit @Phi @Hou vNYG vNYJ @Jax vInd W-Jax L-Hou 
   NYJ 02-8 0-2 2-5 Wpit .bye @Buf vMia @Min @Ten vN.E @Mia W-Oak
   Jax 01-9 0-2 1-6 Ldal .bye @Ind vNYG vHou @Bal vTen @Hou L-Ten
   Oak 00-9 0-2 0-7 Lden @S.D vK.C @StL vS.F @K.C vBuf @Den L-NYJ

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
N.E 07-2 2-1 4-1 5-2 .bye @Ind vDet @G.B @S.D vMia @NYJ	vBuf Buf-W? Mia-L? NYJ-W?
Buf 05-4 2-1 3-2 2-4 Lk.c @Mia @NYJ vCle @Den vG.B @Oak	@N.E 
Mia 05-4 1-1 3-3 4-2 Ldet vBuf @Den @NYJ vBal @N.E vMin	vNYJ Buf-L? N.E-W? NYJ-??
NYJ 02-8 0-2 1-6 2-5 Wpit .bye @Buf vMia @Min @Ten vN.E @Mia

Common Opponents: AFC West, NFC North

New England Patriots: They beat Peyton, but they have to face Luck, a top-3 defense, and Rodgers after their bye. If they manage to survive that stretch without Denver passing them then they'll be in great position for the #1 Seed. They also need to keep an eye on their division rivals, the Dolphins in particular due to Miami having that H2H win.

Buffalo Bills: They're hanging on despite QB inconsistency and RB injuries. They have a fairly tough schedule chock-full of games they'll be slight underdogs in. With that defense though, anything is possible. For a playoff spot though, they'll need to go 2-1 or better over the next three weeks, due to them playing the Broncos, Packers, and Patriots in December.

Miami Dolphins: They face a must-win vs Buffalo next week if they have AFCE title aspirations. Then they still have road matches at Denver and New England, so a Wild Card push will also be a stiff challenge.

New York Jets: The upset win over the Steelers causes some AFCN and Wild Card chaos but doesn't do much for the Jets besides harm their draft position.

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------

Cle 06-3 2-2 3-1 4-3 Wcin vHou @Atl @Buf vInd vCin @Car @Bal Bal-L? Cin-W? Pit-WL
Cin 05*3 2-1 3*1 4-3 Lcle @N.O @Hou @T.B vPit @Cle vDen @Pit Bal-WW Cle-L? Pit-??
Pit 06-4 2-2 4-2 5-3 Lnyj @Ten .bye vN.O @Cin @Atl vK.C vCin Bal-WL Cin-?? Cle-WL
Bal 06-4 2-3 4-1 3-4 Wten .bye @N.O vS.D @Mia vJax @Hou vCle Cin-LL Cle-W? Pit-WL

Common Opponents: AFC South, NFC South

Cleveland Browns: Cleveland has won 6 games, lost on last-second field goals to Pittsburgh and Baltimore, and been the sole victims of a Bortling. Looking down the line every game on the schedule is winnable and Josh Gordon is back in a few weeks, and the Jets win puts them alone in first place.

Cincinnati Bengals: An excellent start to the season has been quickly forgotten with a 2-3-1 swoon. Their tie makes tie-breakers moot, they just need to match teams in wins and let their tie do the rest. The AFCN could combine for 40 wins though, so they need to use their mini-bye to figure things out before they head to Louisiana.

Pittsburgh Steelers: The Steelers have given the Buccaneers their only win and the Jets their only win versus a non-winless team. At 6-4 they are very much in the hunt for the AFCN title with a Wild Card as backup plan, but losing to the Jets really hurt their odds of earning a high seed.

Baltimore: The last-place Ravens would lead the NFCS outright and be a half-game behind the Colts in the AFCS. They already have 3 divisional losses which greatly hinders their hopes for a division title. That being said, they can still sweep Cleveland and Cincy can't tie them, so they'll be rooting hard for Cincy vs Pittsburgh. And just to be clear, there is no sane or logical reason for any Ravens fan to prefer Cincy tying Carolina over the Bengals losing. QED.

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Ind 06-3 3-0 3-2 5-2 .bye vN.E vJax vWas @Cle vHou @Dal @Ten Hou-W? Jax-W? Ten-W?
Hou 04-5 1-1 1-4 3-2 .bye @Cle vCin vTen @Jax @Ind vBal vJax Ind-L? Jax-?? Ten-W?
Ten 02-7 1-2 0-5 2-5 Lbal vPit @Phi @Hou vNYG vNYJ @Jax vInd Hou-L? Ind-L? Jax-W?
Jax 01-9 0-2 1-5 1-6 Ldal .bye @Ind vNYG vHou @Bal vTen @Hou Hou-?? Ind-L? Ten-L?

Common Opponents: AFC North, NFC East

Indianapolis Colts: Perfect in the division and 2 games up on the only real challenger, the Colts are arguably the team with the most comfortable divisional lead at the moment. If they win vHou in Wk15 then any combo of 3 other {Colts wins, Texans losses} would clinch.

Houston Texans: Every remaining game is versus AFC opponents and four of them are versus playoff contenders. They need Mallett to shine and Foster to get healthy to have a shot at squeaking into the postseason.

Tennessee Titans: Q: Remember the Titans? A: Not really. All jokes aside, the Titans are caught in that purgatory of not being very good nor being top-pick bad. With a weak late-season slate of opponents a 3-5 win season is looking quite likely so they might not even get a top-5 pick.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Hopefully Bortles makes some strides to finish the season. Top-3 pick is quite possible although their high SoS means they lose draft tie-breakers.

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O AFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Den 07-2 3-0 3-2 5-1 Woak @Stl vMia @K.C vBuf @S.D @Cin vOak K.C-W? Oak-W? S.D-W?
K.C 06-3 1-1 5-1 5-2 Wbuf vSea @Oak vDen @Ari vOak @Pit vS.D Den-L? Oak-?? S.D-W?
S.D 05-4 1-2 3-2 4-3 .bye vOak vStL @Bal vN.E vDen @S.F @K.C Den-L? K.C-L? Oak-W?
Oak 00-9 0-2 0-5 0-7 Lden @S.D vK.C @StL vS.F @K.C vBuf @Den Den-L? K.C-?? S.D-L?

Common Opponents: AFC East, NFC West

Denver Broncos: The loss to the Patriots hurts their top seed hopes, but they remain in control the AFCW. They have a five-game stretch of playoff-caliber opponents though, with the @K.C and @S.D match-ups potentially having huge impacts on the division.

Kansas City Chiefs: Every remaining non-Oakland opponent is above .500 right now. They could be a better team than the middle-tier AFCN teams and still finish behind them due to SoS challenges. The path to the playoffs is not as smooth as it was in 2013.

San Diego Chargers: After the bye they have two games they'll be strongly favored in and then a winnable road game vs the Ravens. It's arguable they will need to sweep all three since their December line-up includes the Patriots, Broncos, and a season-ending road trip to Levi's and Arrowhead.

Oakland Raiders: To clinch the AFCW must: win out AND have Den lose out AND have K.C lose all but vDen AND have S.D lose all but vDen and @K.C. 4-way tie at 7-9 but with the a 4-2 divisional record the title goes to Oakland, whooooo!

# ? Nov 10, 2014 01:04

axeil: Feb 14, 2006

The best thread is back :allears:

I'm really excited for the Cards/Lions game this week and I'm really annoyed it's on at the same time as Philly/GB

axeil fucked around with this message at 14:24 on Nov 10, 2014

# ? Nov 10, 2014 14:13

DJExile: Jun 28, 2007

kalensc posted:

Oakland Raiders: To clinch the AFCW must: win out AND have Den lose out AND have K.C lose all but vDen AND have S.D lose all but vDen and @K.C. 4-way tie at 7-9 but with the a 4-2 divisional record the title goes to Oakland, whooooo!

I love that this is still mathematically possible

# ? Nov 10, 2014 14:34

Voodoo: Jun 3, 2003; m2sbr what

I don't know how anyone can not root for the Browns. Of course then Brady is going to crush them in the playoffs because that's the kind of the team the Patriots are.

Niners vs Seahawks twice in three weeks is going to be absolutely brutal for both teams.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 15:31

Blitz of 404 Error: Sep 19, 2007; Joe Biden is a top 15 president

How in the hell is Oakland not mathematically eliminated

# ? Nov 10, 2014 16:08

Flikken: Oct 23, 2009; 10,363 snaps and not a playoff win to show for it

Blitz7x posted:

How in the hell is Oakland not mathematically eliminated

To troll Oakland fans.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 16:10

elime anning: Nov 19, 2002; Morbid Hound

Thanks as always for making this thread! Indispensable.

It's amazing to me that only five teams in the AFC are under .500, compared to 10 in the NFC, including an entire division. It seems like the last few years the conference power has become more balanced. Now suddenly we're back to AFC dominance, circa the entire '00s.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 16:32

wilderthanmild: Jun 21, 2010; Posting shit; Grimey Drawer

Oh boy, Browns fans get to talk about playoffs?!?!?!?!??!

Browns Games in Decreasing Order of Importance:
@Ravens - Division Opponent, Already Beat us Once, Probably going to have a better record than Cincy IMO. This could be a marquee match up if things keep going the way they have been the last few weeks.
Bengals -Division opponent.
@Bills - AFC opponent in the wildcard race. Always been a close game. Almost feels like a division game because we manage to play them every year.
Texans - AFC opponent in the wildcard race.
Colts - AFC opponent that will probably win their division, but could be in the WC race if they stink it up and/or Texans get hot.
@Panthers NFC Game. Not actually more important than Falcons game. If we're gonna have to lose games, either of these games hurts the least.
@Falcons NFC Game. Only notable thing about this game is it should be Josh Gordon's first game back.

I'd maybe swap Bills and Texans, but it's hard to tell. Bills are the ones with the better record at the moment though.

My Prediction

Wins:
Texans - We're hot right now and we've played pretty well at home this year. Biggest problem will obviously be preventing Watt from killing Hoyer.
@Falcons - I just want to believe we can beat a 3 win team. :unsmith:

Bengals - We've beat them in Cleveland the last few years, I hope we'll keep that going.
@Panthers - I just want to believe we can beat a 3 win team. :unsmith:

Losses:
@Bills - We seem to trade off year to year. Both teams are about even quality wise right now. They have the edge at home.
Colts - I just don't see us beating the Colts even if it's in Cleveland.
@Ravens - I don't think we'll win an important week 17 matchup on the road. Baltimore is more experienced in high pressure games and will probably win.

10-6 would get us in this time right? :ohdear:

Hopefully that's not too optimistic, but I want to believe.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:17

Mel Mudkiper: Jan 19, 2012; At this point, Mudman abruptly ends the conversation. He usually insists on the last word.

Cleveland vs. Buffalo AFC Championship
Philly vs. Arizona NFC Championship

Hail Satan
Praise Football

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:19

Borsche69: May 8, 2014

wilderthanmild posted:

10-6 would get us in this time right?

Lol, let me think about what happened the last time Cleveland went 10-6.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:23

rare Magic card l00k: Jan 3, 2011

Mel Mudkiper posted:

Cleveland vs. Buffalo AFC Championship
Philly vs. Arizona NFC Championship

Hail Satan
Praise Football

Hoyer vs. Orton
Sanchez vs. Stanton

The best of worlds.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:23

wilderthanmild: Jun 21, 2010; Posting shit; Grimey Drawer

Borsche69 posted:

Lol, let me think about what happened the last time Cleveland went 10-6.

I know. What sucks is that I can see the same things happening again.

Mel Mudkiper posted:

Cleveland vs. Buffalo AFC Championship
Philly vs. Arizona NFC Championship

Hail Satan
Praise Football

A conference championship with entirely cast offs and backups at QB. :getin:

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:27

Mel Mudkiper: Jan 19, 2012; At this point, Mudman abruptly ends the conversation. He usually insists on the last word.

wilderthanmild posted:

I know. What sucks is that I can see the same things happening again.

A conference championship with entirely cast offs and backups at QB.

I didn't even realize that at first, I was thinking four good teams with no rings

A conference championship of ringless teams with backup journeyman qbs

So hype

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:30

Acebuckeye13: Nov 2, 2010; If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling
1-800-GAMBLER; Ultra Carp

Mel Mudkiper posted:

Cleveland vs. Buffalo AFC Championship
Philly vs. Arizona NFC Championship

Hail Satan
Praise Football

If you don't realize the only acceptable end to this season is a Browns-Lions Superbowl I don't know what to tell you. :colbert:

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:30

Blotto Skorzany: Nov 7, 2008; He's a PSoC, loose and runnin'
came the whisper from each lip
And he's here to do some business with
the bad ADC on his chip
bad ADC on his chiiiiip

kalensc posted:

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Det 07-2 2-0 4-2 5-1 Wmia @Ari @N.E vChi vT.B vMin @Chi @G.B Chi-?? G.B-W? Min-W?
G.B 06-3 3-1 3-1 4-3 Lchi vPhi @Min vN.E vAtl @Buf @T.B vDet Chi-W? Det-L? Min-WW
Min 04-5 0-2 2-3 4-3 .bye @Chi vG.B vCar vNYJ @Det @Mia vChi Chi-?? Det-L? G.B-L?
Chi 03-6 0-2 2-4 2-3 Lg.b vMin vT.B @Det vDal vN.O vDet @Min Det-?? G.B-LL Min

Common Opponents: NFC South, AFC East

Small errors in the NFCN chart bolded. Thanks for doing all this work!

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:30

Kalli: Jun 2, 2001

Man, the Patriots road is pretty brutal, though they'll be in great shape for a bye if they can beat the Colts next week. They probably have to go 6-1 to keep the #1 seed which is gonna be pretty rough unless they can keep up the level of play they've had the last two gams.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:31

Fenrir: Apr 26, 2005; I found my kendo stick, bitch!; Lipstick Apathy

Blotto Skorzany posted:

Small errors in the NFCN chart bolded. Thanks for doing all this work!

Also the Packers have swept the Bears, not the Vikings.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 17:33

a neat cape: Feb 22, 2007; Aw hunny, these came out GREAT!

Kalli posted:

Man, the Patriots road is pretty brutal, though they'll be in great shape for a bye if they can beat the Colts next week. They probably have to go 6-1 to keep the #1 seed which is gonna be pretty rough unless they can keep up the level of play they've had the last two gams.

They will lose to San Diego because football is weird

# ? Nov 10, 2014 18:39

C-Euro: Mar 20, 2010; Soiled Meat

I do not want DET@GB to be for the division title, that is my football nightmare right now.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 19:27

Alfred P. Pseudonym: May 29, 2006; And when you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss goes 8-8

C-Euro posted:

I do not want DET@GB to be for the division title, that is my football nightmare right now.

Let me tell you about games to decide the division in Week 17. They are not fun.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 19:33

axeil: Feb 14, 2006

Alfred P. Pseudonym posted:

Let me tell you about games to decide the division in Week 17. They are not fun.

Worked out in Dallas's favor back in 2009 :shobon:

# ? Nov 10, 2014 19:39

Brannock: Feb 9, 2006; by exmarx; Fallen Rib

C-Euro posted:

I do not want DET@GB to be for the division title, that is my football nightmare right now.

Detroit, 7-2: @Arizona, @NE, Chicago, Tampa Bay, Minnesota, @Chicago, @GB
Green Bay, 6-3: Philly, @Minnesota, NE, Atlanta, @Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Detroit

If Detroit can pull out one win between the Cardinals and Patriots, then they should pick up four easy wins along to the final match at Green Bay, putting them at 12-3.

Green Bay has a slightly easier schedule, getting the Eagles and Patriots at home instead of on the road. Winning out obviously puts them at 11-3, but they likely lose 2 games along that schedule, putting them at 10-5 going into the final game.

I think the Lions definitely have the edge here. If the division series gets split and the teams have tied records, then it goes to division record. In all likelihood both teams will have a 5-1 division record, so it'll go to common games: AFC East and NFC South. So far Detroit is 4-2 in those games, and Green Bay is 3-1. The next tiebreaker is record within NFC games.

Barring a Lions collapse or Green Bay improbably winning out I think the Lions are safe.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 20:00

Blotto Skorzany: Nov 7, 2008; He's a PSoC, loose and runnin'
came the whisper from each lip
And he's here to do some business with
the bad ADC on his chip
bad ADC on his chiiiiip

Brannock posted:

Detroit, 7-2: @Arizona, @NE, Chicago, Tampa Bay, Minnesota, @Chicago, @GB
Green Bay, 6-3: Philly, @Minnesota, NE, Atlanta, @Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Detroit

If Detroit can pull out one win between the Cardinals and Patriots, then they should pick up four easy wins along to the final match at Green Bay, putting them at 12-3.

Green Bay has a slightly easier schedule, getting the Eagles and Patriots at home instead of on the road. Winning out obviously puts them at 11-3, but they likely lose 2 games along that schedule, putting them at 10-5 going into the final game.

IMO the most likely outcome is that Detroit and GB both drop one (either @NE or @ARI for Detroit and either PHI or NE for the Packers) and come into the week 17 showdown at 12-3 and 11-4 respectively. I don't see two GB losses in weeks 11-16, especially with Sanchez quarterbacking the Eagles (no matter how he looked last week).

# ? Nov 10, 2014 21:23

kalensc: Sep 10, 2003; Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby

wilderthanmild posted:

Oh boy, Browns fans get to talk about playoffs?!?!?!?!??!

Browns Games in Decreasing Order of Importance:
@Ravens - Division Opponent, Already Beat us Once, Probably going to have a better record than Cincy IMO. This could be a marquee match up if things keep going the way they have been the last few weeks.
Bengals -Division opponent.
@Bills - AFC opponent in the wildcard race. Always been a close game. Almost feels like a division game because we manage to play them every year.
Texans - AFC opponent in the wildcard race.
Colts - AFC opponent that will probably win their division, but could be in the WC race if they stink it up and/or Texans get hot.
@Panthers NFC Game. Not actually more important than Falcons game. If we're gonna have to lose games, either of these games hurts the least.
@Falcons NFC Game. Only notable thing about this game is it should be Josh Gordon's first game back.

I'd maybe swap Bills and Texans, but it's hard to tell. Bills are the ones with the better record at the moment though.

My Prediction

Wins:
Texans - We're hot right now and we've played pretty well at home this year. Biggest problem will obviously be preventing Watt from killing Hoyer.
@Falcons - I just want to believe we can beat a 3 win team.
Bengals - We've beat them in Cleveland the last few years, I hope we'll keep that going.
@Panthers - I just want to believe we can beat a 3 win team.

Losses:
@Bills - We seem to trade off year to year. Both teams are about even quality wise right now. They have the edge at home.
Colts - I just don't see us beating the Colts even if it's in Cleveland.
@Ravens - I don't think we'll win an important week 17 matchup on the road. Baltimore is more experienced in high pressure games and will probably win.

10-6 would get us in this time right?

Hopefully that's not too optimistic, but I want to believe.

Just wanted to mention that the Common Opponents record trumps Conference record when it comes to divisional tie-breakers.

Losing to the Bills would hurt less (purely whem comparing records with other AFCN teams) than to the Panthers for example.

If you're not tied with an AFCN team then yea you'd rather beat Buffalo than Carolina.

Also drat you Bengals for that tie. If all four AFCN teams were in position to finish tied with some/all of each other then the Week 17 scenarios would have been beyond ridiculous.

Last year no team was in control of their destiny for the sixth seed due to tiw-breaker magic. That would have seemed tame compared to Mia/Pit/Bal/Cle/Cin/K.C/S.D all within a wine of each other heading into the finale. Maybe Cincy can tie New Orleans. :unsmith:

# ? Nov 10, 2014 21:35

sweet thursday: Sep 16, 2012

I can't believe this year :tear:

# ? Nov 10, 2014 21:37

Leon Einstein: Feb 6, 2012; I must win every thread in GBS. I don't care how much banal semantic quibbling and shitty posts it takes.

Brannock posted:

Barring a Lions collapse or Green Bay improbably winning out I think the Lions are safe.

A one game lead with 7 games to go shouldn't make anyone feel safe. Lions are going to have a much tougher time winning at Lambeau in the cold.

Packers and Lions will probably both lose a game that they should win. I think both teams will make the playoffs either way.

# ? Nov 10, 2014 22:08

Hockles: Dec 25, 2007; Resident of ~~Camp Blood~~
Crystal Lake

my brain... :psypop:

# ? Nov 10, 2014 23:05

Hot Diggity!: Apr 3, 2010; SKELITON_BRINGING_U_ON.GIF

Leon Einstein posted:

A one game lead with 7 games to go shouldn't make anyone feel safe. Lions are going to have a much tougher time winning at Lambeau in the cold.

Packers and Lions will probably both lose a game that they should win. I think both teams will make the playoffs either way.

The last time Detroit won at Lambeau Bush was president. The older one.

# ? Nov 11, 2014 00:14

Qwijib0: Apr 10, 2007; Who needs on-field skills when you can dance like this?; Fun Shoe

I am hoping Stanton is our Dilfer-- a game manager on a team with a great defense. FiveThirtyEight has Stanton's ANY/A+ in his starts this year at 99, Palmer was at 101. Arians has said he trusts Stanton enough to not change the offense so I'm cautiously optimistic we've got a system you could throw any average QB into and still have success.

# ? Nov 11, 2014 00:28

Brannock: Feb 9, 2006; by exmarx; Fallen Rib

TubeStank posted:

The last time Detroit won at Lambeau Bush was president. The older one.

Those Lions are not these Lions.

# ? Nov 11, 2014 01:16

Leon Einstein: Feb 6, 2012; I must win every thread in GBS. I don't care how much banal semantic quibbling and shitty posts it takes.

Brannock posted:

Those Lions are not these Lions.

Did you forget that the Lions had the division all but handed to them last year and they still hosed it up?

# ? Nov 11, 2014 05:08

Adbot: ADBOT LOVES YOU

# ? Apr 26, 2024 21:04

kalensc: Sep 10, 2003; Only Trust Your Respirator, kupo!
Art/Quote by: Rubby

Last Updated: Monday, November 10th, 23h30

pre:

## Tm. Rec. Div NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Conference Results
-- --- ---- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
01 Ari 08-1 2-0 6-0 Wstl vDet @Sea @Atl vK.C @StL vSea @S.F W-Phi,Dal,S.F
02 Det 07-2 2-0 5-1 Wmia @Ari @N.E vChi vT.B vMin @Chi @G.B W-G.B,N.O
03 Phi 07-2 2-0 4-2 Wcar @G.B vTen @Dal vSea vDal @Was @NYG L-Ari,S.F
04 N.O 04-5 2-1 4-4 Ls.f vCin vBal @Pit vCar @Chi vAtl @T.B W-G.B L-Dal,Det,S.F

05 Dal 07-3 1-1 4-3 Wjax .bye @NYG vPhi @Chi @Phi vInd @Was W-Sea,N.O L-Ari,S.F
06 Sea 06-3 0-1 4-2 Wnyg @K.C vAri @S.F @Phi vS.F @Ari vStL W-G.B L-Dal,StL

   G.B 06-3 3-1 4-3 Wchi vPhi @Min vN.E vAtl @Buf @T.B vDet W-Min,Chi L-Det,Sea,N.O
   S.F 05-4 1-2 4-3 Wn.o @NYG vWas vSea @Oak @Sea vS.D vAri W-Dal,Phi L-Ari,Chi,StL
   Min 04-5 0-2 4-3 .bye @Chi vG.B vCar vNYJ @Det @Mia vChi W-StL,Was,Atl L-Det,G.B,N.O
   Car 03*6 1-1 3-4 Lphi vAtl .bye @Min @N.O vT.B vCle @Atl 
   Atl 03-6 3-0 3-4 Wt.b @Car vCle vAri @G.B vPit @N.O vCar W-N.O L-Min,NYG,Chi,Det
   Chi 03-6 0-2 2-3 Lg.b vMin vT.B @Det vDal vN.O vDet @Min W-S.F,Atl L-G.B
   StL 03-6 2-2 3-5 Lari vDen @S.D vOak @Was vAri vNYG @Sea W-Sea,S.F,T.B
   NYG 03-6 1-2 2-5 Lsea vS.F vDal @Jax @Ten vWas @StL vPhi W-Was,Atl
   Was 03-6 1-2 1-5 .bye vT.B @S.F @Ind vStL @NYG vPhi vDal L-NYG,Min
   T.B 01-8 0-4 0-6 Latl @Was @Chi vCin @Det @Car vG.B vN.O L-StL,Atl

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Phi 07-2 2-0 4-2 4-2 Wcar @G.B vTen @Dal vSea vDal @Was @NYG Dal-?? NYG-W? Was-W?
Dal 06-3 1-1 4-2 4-3 Wjax .bye @NYG vPhi @Chi @Phi vInd @Was NYG-W? Phi-?? Was-L?
NYG 03-6 1-2 1-3 2-5 Lsea vS.F vDal @Jax @Ten vWas @StL vPhi Dal-L? Phi-L? Was-W?
Was 03-6 1-2 2-3 1-5 .bye vT.B @S.F @Ind vStL @NYG vPhi vDal Dal-W? NYG-L? Phi-L?

Common Opponents: NFC West, AFC South

Philadelphia Eagles: The loss to Arizona could have a large impact on seeding if both the teams finish high in the standings. With one less loss overall and in-division they're well-positioned versus Dallas, but they still have tough matches vs G.B and Sea. Note that the @G.B match is not a C.O game, so in terms of winning the NFCE losing it would hurt less than a loss to the Seahawks.

Dallas Cowboys: Time to rest. They will need to at least split with Philly and clean up versus the Giants and Skins to have a strong chance at the NFCE title.

New York Giants: They have a tough stretch of opponents coming up and they're heavily injured at WR and in the secondary. And Seattle ran for 350 yards on 45 carries. Crikey.

Washington Footballers: Colt McCoy guided them to a win over Dallas at JerryWorld. It's all downhill from there.

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Det 07-2 2-0 4-2 5-1 Wmia @Ari @N.E vChi vT.B vMin @Chi @G.B Chi-?? G.B-W? Min-W?
G.B 06-3 3-1 3-1 4-3 Wchi vPhi @Min vN.E vAtl @Buf @T.B vDet Chi-W? Det-L? Min-WW
Min 04-5 0-2 2-3 4-3 .bye @Chi vG.B vCar vNYJ @Det @Mia vChi Chi-?? Det-L? G.B-L?
Chi 03-6 0-2 2-4 2-3 Lg.b vMin vT.B @Det vDal vN.O vDet @Min Det-?? G.B-LL Min

Common Opponents: NFC South, AFC East

Detroit: Another last-drive comeback to put themselves in position to take over the #1 Seed if they win @Ari. Scaling back to just the NFCN for a moment, the @Ari match-up has less of an impact on the NFCN race than @N.E or vT.B since it's not a C.O game, so it's the "losable" game as they try and maneuver towards a division title.

Green Bay: They keep pace with the Lions and have an easier schedule the next two weeks so tying them in wins is quite possible before long. They will almost certainly need to win in Wk17 if they want to win the NFCN title. Besides that they will want to maintain a better C.O record, which makes the vPhi game "losable" and the following 4 games all very key.

Minnesota: The Vikings are beating expectations so far and they have quite a favorable schedule the next five weeks. A division title push is unlikely but .500 is well within reach.

Chicago: The Bears are fading fast and the Wild Card teams keep pulling away. Two home games against sub-.500 teams are next, if they can't sweep those matches then it's time to analyze the draft.

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
N.O 04-5 2-1 2-2 4-4 Ls.f vCin vBal @Pit vCar @Chi vAtl @T.B Atl-L? Car-W? T.B-W?
Car 03*6 1-1 2*3 3-4 Lphi vAtl .bye @Min @N.O vT.B vCle @Atl Atl-?? N.O-L? T.B W?
Atl 03-6 3-0 0-5 3-4 Wt.b @Car vCle vAri @G.B vPit @N.O vCar Car-?? N.O-W? T.B-W?
T.B 01-8 0-4 1-3 0-6 Latl @Was @Chi vCin @Det @Car vG.B vN.O Atl-L? Car-L? N.O-L?

Common Opponents: NFC North, AFC North

New Orleans: Their closest rival in the standings is Carolina but their biggest threat could conceivably be Atlanta due to the Falcons holding a H2H win over them. Now they face a gauntlet of AFCN teams who are all winning over 60% of their matches thus far.

Carolina: One win in the last eight games, a malfunctioning offense, and an employed Shula. Somehow they remain a half game back of the division lead, and 7-9 or better is looking like it could win the NFCS.

Atlanta: They could conceivably finish 6-0 in the division and 0-10 outside of it. Root for history! Seriously though, if they beat N.O again they'd have the tie-breaker, so seven wins might be enough. Hell, six wins miiiiiiight be enough.

Tampa Bay: Even in the terrible NFCS they are falling far behind. With the Jets upsetting Pittsburgh, the Bucs are a Raiders win away from assuming the #1 draft position.

pre:

Tm. Rec. Div C.O NFC Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17  Divisional Results
--- ---- --- --- --- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------------------
Ari 08-1 2-0 6-1 6-0 Wstl vDet @Sea @Atl vK.C @StL vSea @S.F S.F-W? Sea-?? StL-??
Sea 06-3 0-1 4-2 4-2 Wnyg @K.C vAri @S.F @Phi vS.F @Ari vStL Ari-?? S.F-?? StL-L?
S.F 05-4 1-2 3-1 4-3 Wn.o @NYG vWas vSea @Oak @Sea vS.D vAri Ari-L? Sea-?? StL-WL
StL 03-6 2-2 0-3 3-5 Lari vDen @S.D vOak @Was vAri vNYG @Sea Ari-?? S.F-WL Sea-W?

Common Opponents: NFC East, AFC West

Arizona Cardinals: The Cardinals have played phenomenally played despite QB injuries (note that this was written before Palmer went down again). They still have 4 divisional games to go though, so they have a lot of work left to do to win the division. If they can at least split vs Seattle then things will be rosy in the NFCW. If Stanton and the defense can lead them to a win vs Detroit then they'll be in fantastic position for a top 2 seed.

Seattle Seahawks: They control their destiny though (yeah we're breaking out that phrase already) since they have yet to play Arizona. Three tough road games loom though, with their first Cards match-up sandwiched in there. Quite the gauntlet to overcome, but wins vAri, @S.F, and one of @K.C/@Phi would put them in solid standing.

San Francisco 49ers: Two divisional losses already, but no teams over .500 on the schedule for a month. The win at New Orleans was key but they gained no ground on Arizona or Seattle. It's looking likely that their playoff hopes lie in the Wild Card.

St.Louis Rams: Their fourth-quarter collapse to the Cards means they could be eliminated from the NFCW race before Thanksgiving. The only real questions left are: "Can they play spoiler in the NFCW yet again?" & "Could they lose to Oakland?"

# ? Nov 11, 2014 05:19

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