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Post your tips or interesting looking bets here. Usual rules, don't poo poo on anyone who posts a losing bet that you followed, we're all adults. I've used Paddy Power as that's the bookie I use the most. If anyone sees better odds on anything here, please post away. Outrights Brazil - 9/2 Germany - 9/2 Spain - 11/2 France - 6/1 Belgium - 10/1 Argentina - 10/1 England - 16/1 Portugal - 22/1 Uruguay - 25/1 Croatia - 33/1 Colombia - 33/1 Russia - 40/1 Poland - 50/1 Denmark - 80/1 Switzerland - 100/1 Mexico - 100/1 Serbia - 125/1 Sweden - 150/1 Egypt - 150/1 Nigeria - 200/1 Senegal - 200/1 Peru - 200/1 Iceland - 200/1 Japan - 250/1 Australia - 275/1 Morocco - 325/1 South Korea - 500/1 Tunisia - 500/1 Iran - 500/1 Costa Rica - 500/1 Panama - 500/1 Saudi Arabia - 500/1 Like the look of Spain at 11/2. Also, I've backed France for each tournament for the past 18 years, so have to keep it up in case they pull it together. Top Scorer Lionel Messi - 10/1 Antoine Griezmann - 10/1 Neymar - 11/1 Harry Kane - 14/1 Timo Werner - 14/1 Romelu Lukaku - 14/1 Cristiano Ronaldo - 16/1 Gabriel Jesus - 16/1 Luis Suarez - 22/1 Robert Lewandowski - 25/1 Gonzalo Higuain - 25/1 Edinson Cavani - 25/1 Diego Costa - 25/1 Hate this market. You're one early exit, red card or injury from losing early on. Here are a couple of dumb but fun bets I like the look of, which will give me an interest in a lot of games None of Japan, Australia, South Korea, Iran or Saudi Arabia to Qualify from their Groups - 11/10 Every team to score at least one goal - 6/4 Mickolution fucked around with this message at 13:25 on Jun 5, 2018 |
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Jun 5, 2018 13:02
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Pete Donaldson convinced me to back Mitrovic as top scorer at 150/1. I've also got England to lose a penalty shoot-out in the quarter final at 20/1, which is only to make me feel better if the unthinkable happens and it doesn't come home.
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Jun 5, 2018 13:27
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Also Sky Bet have some markets for top goalscorers from particular clubs that I think look like quite good value - 5/4 on Neymar to be the top scorer from PSG, 10/11 on Kane to be top scorer from Spurs.
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Jun 5, 2018 13:40
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peanut- posted:Also Sky Bet have some markets for top goalscorers from particular clubs that I think look like quite good value - 5/4 on Neymar to be the top scorer from PSG, 10/11 on Kane to be top scorer from Spurs. That's not a bad market. As I said in the OP, I don't like top goalscorer bets, but that one's much better.
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Jun 5, 2018 13:44
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Since you didn't post them I'm assuming you can get pretty good odds on Thomas "10 World Cup goals and I'm only 28" Muller for top scorer
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Jun 5, 2018 14:12
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vyelkin posted:Since you didn't post them I'm assuming you can get pretty good odds on Thomas "10 World Cup goals and I'm only 28" Muller for top scorer 20/1 on betvictor does anywhere have odds for getting the winner of every group or would that be a standard accumulator?
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Jun 5, 2018 14:19
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Jose posted:20/1 on betvictor Looks like you can get 30/1 on Paddy Power, that's not a bad shout imo
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Jun 5, 2018 14:21
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I've answered my own question and its just a standard accumulator. hmm £85 winnings on a £5 bet if i don't include group G winners vs £185 if i add england Is dual forecast any 2 teams to finish top 2 of their group as opposed to straight forecast which is who actually gets first/second? Jose fucked around with this message at 14:28 on Jun 5, 2018 |
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Jun 5, 2018 14:23
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hmmm assuming dual forecast is any position top 2 
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Jun 5, 2018 14:35
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Death To Fractional Odds
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Jun 5, 2018 15:46
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Suarez or Cavani for top scorer isn't a bad shout considering the group they're in. Knockouts is a bit of a toss up.
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Jun 5, 2018 15:56
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Iniesta to be best player is 40-1. Seems good odds for what'll be his retirement from international football
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Jun 10, 2018 16:44
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Jose posted:Iniesta to be best player is 40-1. Seems good odds for what'll be his retirement from international football Is he likely to start? He's only played one game in 2018 for Spain. A quick google of "Spain starting 11" has him there in around half of the results. No ideal how reputable those articles are, though. Just put my first couple of bets on. As I said in the OP, I've backed France every tournament since 2000, so have a small e/w on them, but Spain are my main pick. 11/2 is a hell of a price for them. Also went for the group stage one I mentioned in the OP: None of Japan, Australia, South Korea, Iran or Saudi Arabia to Qualify from their Groups - 11/10 None of them made it out in the excel sheet I filled out with the results for the whole tournament, so they can just give me my money now...
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Jun 11, 2018 10:11
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Seems like I have a €10 free bet for the Belgium-Costa Rica friendly tonight. I have no idea what to put it on. Toby Alderweireld to get carded is 9/1? Maybe something like that? Any suggestions?
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Jun 11, 2018 19:03
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BTTS? Are Belgium as leaky as other Martinez teams have been? 6/4 on pp. Not a huge return for a free bet, though.
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Jun 11, 2018 19:15
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Mickolution posted:BTTS? Are Belgium as leaky as other Martinez teams have been? 6/4 on pp. Not a huge return for a free bet, though. Yeah, that's a good shout. But I went with Boyata to get carded, also at 9/1. It's a free bet after all  He's the most inexperienced defender in the team, so eh, we'll see.
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Jun 11, 2018 19:19
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Who are the idiots betting enough on brazil to win the world cup that it makes them joint favourites?
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Jun 12, 2018 15:23
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Loving Africa Chaps posted:Who are the idiots betting enough on brazil to win the world cup that it makes them joint favourites? I think it's because a lot of people don't see a stand out favourite and when that happens a lot of people default to Brazil. For big tournaments, people tend to go for historical powers and to be fair, they only lost 1 game in qualifying and are pretty good. I did a predictor thing the other day and had them getting to the final playing Mexico, Senegal & France. Complete guesswork of course, but if it did turn out like that, they should at least make the semis. They could also get Germany in the second round I think, which would be a great tie.
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Jun 12, 2018 15:51
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Mickolution posted:Is he likely to start? He's only played one game in 2018 for Spain. A quick google of "Spain starting 11" has him there in around half of the results. No ideal how reputable those articles are, though. Iniesta missed qualifiers due to injuries and to rest, but he will be on the starting 11
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Jun 12, 2018 19:39
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I got Group F in the family sweepstake 
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Jun 12, 2018 20:27
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lol how do you lads feel about the pesos wagered on Spain today?
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Jun 13, 2018 14:11
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Not great.
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Jun 13, 2018 14:14
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Paddy only took them from 11/2 to 6/1 so maybe they don't think it will be THAT impactful, or maybe the markets are just slow to move?
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Jun 13, 2018 14:34
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EAT FASTER!!!!!! posted:Paddy only took them from 11/2 to 6/1 so maybe they don't think it will be THAT impactful, or maybe the markets are just slow to move? They went to 13/2 as soon as it was announced I think, so looks like they've come in again, though nothing huge either way. Looks like they aren't taking any chances. edit: still 13/2 for me
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Jun 13, 2018 14:48
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I think Poland are a decent shout for a dark horse so I put money on Lewandowski top scorer. It's unlikely they'll win outright but I think they'll go deep and he'll get all the goals.
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Jun 13, 2018 16:49
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Lukaku topscorer is 17/1 at unibet. Games against Tunesia and Panama, it's not impossible. He's scoring for fun at the moment too...
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Jun 13, 2018 18:08
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Just saw that you can bet whether Julen Lopetegui will attend Portugal-Spain. 10/1. Why would he attend the game? What?
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Jun 15, 2018 11:39
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Mickolution posted:I think it's because a lot of people don't see a stand out favourite and when that happens a lot of people default to Brazil. For big tournaments, people tend to go for historical powers and to be fair, they only lost 1 game in qualifying and are pretty good. I did a bracket for my wife's work and I had Brazil losing to France in the semis and Germany winning it again, so yeah
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Jun 15, 2018 15:09
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Same, except Brazil over France only to lose to Germany again. 
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Jun 15, 2018 15:49
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Draw in the Denmark France game is 7/4. Shorter than a draw should be, but would see both teams through.
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Jun 26, 2018 09:45
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glad i never got around to putting any bets on
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Jun 26, 2018 11:12
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Mickolution posted:Draw in the Denmark France game is 7/4. Shorter than a draw should be, but would see both teams through. Would have been a good one, not sure what I was thinking when I put money on Australia to beat Peru
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Jun 26, 2018 16:47
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poty posted:Would have been a good one, not sure what I was thinking when I put money on Australia to beat Peru I would have fancied them to win that one too tbh, with Peru being out. Went for a crazy Argentine 2+ goals & 6+ corners later at 8/5.
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Jun 26, 2018 17:01
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Mickolution posted:I would have fancied them to win that one too tbh, with Peru being out. Did you fail to figure in the fact that Australia is a team of garbagemen?
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Jun 26, 2018 17:41
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I have a Nigeria win next, I guess I just like underdogs too much
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Jun 26, 2018 18:13
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Argentina is the underdogs they have to win with mossad hot on their heels. E:poo poo wrong thread.  maybe mossad rerouted the post.
DogonCrook fucked around with this message at 18:32 on Jun 26, 2018 |
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Jun 26, 2018 18:25
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That Arg line up does kind of look like the mutiny line up, so no idea what they would do if they started slow or fell behind.
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Jun 26, 2018 18:34
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Jose posted:Iniesta to be best player is 40-1. Seems good odds for what'll be his retirement from international football What are the odds now
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Jun 27, 2018 07:40
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MrBling posted:Did you fail to figure in the fact that Australia is a team of garbagemen? Bet only lost by one corner.
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Jun 27, 2018 13:58
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poty posted:Would have been a good one, not sure what I was thinking when I put money on Australia to beat Peru poty posted:I have a Nigeria win next, I guess I just like underdogs too much Guess who had put money on a Germany win (because underdogs don't pay off right). I think that's the end of my cursed world cup betting career
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Jun 27, 2018 17:01
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