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I hope books start offering Over/Under for time spent on the ground.
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Sep 22, 2013 04:11
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Added Jones winning by submission, $8.15 to win $15.49. If that and my Jones/Gus starting round 3 bet hits, I'll be even/maybe a tiny bit ahead.
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Sep 22, 2013 05:05
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Glad you all lost
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Sep 22, 2013 07:37
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Lost on Healey and Meathead, but ended up turning a profit due to Wilson Reis being a slight dog, and shamefully made money on Jones to win by decision (+333).
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Sep 22, 2013 10:56
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MrSmokes posted:Diaz, Bendo, Healy. Miller's good but he has always faded when put up against top 10 fighters. All of those guys beat the poo poo out of him after he started to slow down. This is pretty stupid. He didn't slow down at all in the Diaz and Bendo fights; he fought at exactly the same pace until Diaz clipped him, then he fought at exactly the same pace till he shot into a guillotine. Bendo beat the poo poo out of him from the opening bell, and he actually sped up in the third round despite having mono. The only fight he even remotely slowed down in is the Healy fight, and Healy's entire career is him grinding on dudes at a pace that wears them down in the third. There's literally a dozen fights where Miller goes into the third without slowing and even speeds up, including the Wiman fight that he took on a week's notice.
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Sep 23, 2013 14:37
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fatherdog posted:This is pretty stupid. He didn't slow down at all in the Diaz and Bendo fights; he fought at exactly the same pace until Diaz clipped him, then he fought at exactly the same pace till he shot into a guillotine. Bendo beat the poo poo out of him from the opening bell, and he actually sped up in the third round despite having mono. The only fight he even remotely slowed down in is the Healy fight, and Healy's entire career is him grinding on dudes at a pace that wears them down in the third. I guess I remembered those fights totally wrong  my bad, I feel silly now. The three opponents I listed, I remembered Miller doing okay against them early on in the fights, then slowing down and getting beaten up badly in the later rounds. I also need to watch more fights of his in general. I've seen all his fights since the Oliveira one except for his fight against Kamal Shalorus.In betting news, Dong Hyun Kim is a +235 underdog against Erick Silva on 5dimes  that line seems totally off. Is there any reason to think he couldn't wrestle Silva around like Fitch did? Silva's only had one quick fight since the Fitch fight that didn't show much.
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Sep 24, 2013 21:39
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Dong Hyun Kim isn't as good as Fitch
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Sep 24, 2013 22:29
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henkman posted:Dong Hyun Kim isn't as good as Fitch How do you know?
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Sep 24, 2013 22:29
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Fitch got dropped a couple times and had his back taken for most of the second. Everyone remembers Silva gassing and getting Fitched hard, but that was only three minutes of a 15-minute fight. I can't think of a Kim fight where he really got into trouble or went into deep waters like that.
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Sep 24, 2013 22:58
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manyak posted:How do you know? You're right, I don't. Its a feeling I have
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Sep 25, 2013 02:23
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Fat Twitter Man posted:Fitch got dropped a couple times and had his back taken for most of the second. Everyone remembers Silva gassing and getting Fitched hard, but that was only three minutes of a 15-minute fight. I can't think of a Kim fight where he really got into trouble or went into deep waters like that.  Silva isn't Condit, mind you, but still.....
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Sep 25, 2013 03:30
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attackmole posted:
Yeah, I thought of that, but as you said, Silva isn't Condit. You're right that that makes me think that Kim isn't as tough as Fitch (getting KO'ed by a Hendricks left isn't a black mark on anyone's chin).
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Sep 25, 2013 03:33
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Fat Twitter Man posted:Yeah, I thought of that, but as you said, Silva isn't Condit. You're right that that makes me think that Kim isn't as tough as Fitch (getting KO'ed by a Hendricks left isn't a black mark on anyone's chin). but getting KOd by ducking your chin directly into a Condit flying knee is a black mark on your toughness?
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Sep 25, 2013 03:57
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There's value in Dong's size.
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Sep 25, 2013 04:20
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Silva got merked by Fitch because Fitch set a pace that wore him down till he was praying for death. Dong's takedowns and ground control might be on Fitch's level, but even if they are his cardio is a much bigger question mark,.
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Sep 25, 2013 04:30
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Oct 9, 2013 02:43
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Underdogs are more fun!
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Oct 9, 2013 02:45
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outy posted:Underdogs are more fun! I understand Kim but Paul Harris and hammil? Goonspeed good sir
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Oct 9, 2013 02:47
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I used to do this betting strategy of a lot of money on one safe bet and then several underdogs to come out even, and then Matt Serra happened to GSP and I lost a lot of money and I haven't bet on MMA since. I'm trying to give some advice here that maybe this is not a good idea to do, but really betting on MMA at all is a terrible idea so there is your advice.
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Oct 9, 2013 02:51
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wow kim is a 3:1 dog against erick silva? theres value there
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Oct 9, 2013 04:05
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Kim can grind out a win if he doesn't get flurried in the first minute, Maldonado should be able to outbox Beltran. Hamill won't win, but those odds plus Silva missing weight, being unable to make a subsequent cut and tending to gas on the walk-in makes it a fair wager. Toquinho is good value here. Welter is good for him, he's going to be strong as gently caress. I also think his obvious insanity and ability to end a career with one twist will play heavily on any opponent's mind. I don't bet on underdogs because I think they'll win, rather that they've got a chance of winning slightly greater than the odds on offer.
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Oct 9, 2013 09:20
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I put what's left in my 5dimes account on the Dong, $25.06 to win $56.62.
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Oct 9, 2013 13:38
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$10.00 to win $75.00 Pending 10/9/13 11:00pm Props Fighting 1043 Shields wins by 5 rounds unanimous dec +750* vs Any other result
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Oct 9, 2013 23:37
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I haven't been doing well lately. You know what that means? Time to bet on heavyweights. 25 bucks on Maldonado by decision at +180.
CRISPYBABY fucked around with this message at 00:16 on Oct 10, 2013 |
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Oct 9, 2013 23:45
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vainman posted:$10.00 to win $75.00 Pending 10/9/13 11:00pm Props Fighting 1043 Shields wins by 5 rounds unanimous dec +750* vs Any other result Hmmm....... not bad..... maybe.
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Oct 10, 2013 00:12
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attackmole posted:I haven't been doing well lately. You know what that means? Time to bet on heavyweights. 25 bucks on Maldonado by decision at +180. gently caress yes bet on mma
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Oct 10, 2013 01:31
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Grats outy, good night for you
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Oct 10, 2013 02:26
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MrSmokes posted:I put what's left in my 5dimes account on the Dong, $25.06 to win $56.62. Yeah Stun Gun!!!
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Oct 10, 2013 02:31
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Kim probably loses that fight 5 or 6 times out of 10 but still him being a 3:1 underdog seemed crazy to me and is worth a bet, good job to those who bet on him
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Oct 10, 2013 02:32
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He was about 30 seconds from being TKO'd himself.
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Oct 10, 2013 02:40
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Fat Twitter Man posted:He was about 30 seconds from being TKO'd himself. Oh word????????????????????
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Oct 10, 2013 02:42
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Put a little on Shields just to have some action and 'cause I like the odds. $6.68 to win $19.71
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Oct 10, 2013 02:43
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MrSmokes posted:Put a little on Shields just to have some action and 'cause I like the odds. $6.68 to win $19.71 Congratulations!
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Oct 10, 2013 03:05
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Awesome night, turned $25 into $101!
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Oct 10, 2013 03:25
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Marching Powder posted:Grats outy, good night for you Dodged a few bullets, good result all in all. Having said that, if Hamill wasn't dumber than Silva (a feat that I thought was impossible), I would have banked an extra £220. outy fucked around with this message at 13:54 on Oct 10, 2013 |
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Oct 10, 2013 12:42
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outy posted:Dodged a few bullets, good result all in all. Having said that, if Hamill wasn't dumber than Silva (a feat that I thought was impossible), I would have banked an extra £220. You loving nailed it, and you were v. close to getting a bonkers payday Mike Pierce fought like he put a lot of money on Rousimar
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Oct 10, 2013 16:17
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Got $11.39 to win $13.10 on Tim Bradley tomorrow, and $15.00 to win $8.57 on Cormier beating Nelson by decision. Will post more bets as more odds are released.
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Oct 11, 2013 12:14
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MrSmokes posted:Got $11.39 to win $13.10 on Tim Bradley tomorrow, and $15.00 to win $8.57 on Cormier beating Nelson by decision. Will post more bets as more odds are released. if that isn't a typo those are terrible odds for bradley. got 30 on him to win by points at 2.87
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Oct 11, 2013 12:19
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Marching Powder posted:if that isn't a typo those are terrible odds for bradley. got 30 on him to win by points at 2.87 I bet on Bradley to simply win at +115, not by points. I don't know if the odds were way better earlier, hadn't been following the line. I might drop some more money on him to win on points now that you mention it. e: added Bradley winning by decision, $15.00 to win $27.75. Queering Wheel fucked around with this message at 12:45 on Oct 11, 2013 |
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Oct 11, 2013 12:41
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| # ? Apr 26, 2024 22:56 |
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MrSmokes posted:I bet on Bradley to simply win at +115, not by points. I don't know if the odds were way better earlier, hadn't been following the line. I might drop some more money on him to win on points now that you mention it. Wow I wonder if the Australian bookies know something they got Bradley as the definitive underdog
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Oct 11, 2013 12:52
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