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Ty1990
Apr 22, 2011

I bet on Thatch wish I would've posted it though.

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-Atom-
Sep 13, 2003

Contrarian Dick

Bad At Everything
the best part about this thread isn't the one sentence copy/paste of a betting slip (shout outs to jase one) but the long diatribes of "rational thought"

manyak
Jan 26, 2006
My favorite part is when all the shittiest posters come into this thread and go "dont bet on a mma" :iamafag: when someone is wrong about a prediction

I dont mind being wrong on that fight, i think it was bendos best performance ever and it was cool to watch him not to go a tepid split decision for once. I didnt lose money on it because my book had thatch at like -180 which i think was lovely value, but my friend lost 200 bucks because he got thatch at like -120 (still a fine bet imo even having seen the fight)

Bubba Smith
Sep 27, 2004

Is tonight the greatest moment in Dominick Cruz's life?

No.

The greatest moment in my life was realizing that I didn't need a belt to be happy.
I don't believe you gave it a manyak lock of the night, which you are 100% on so far (boetsch over okami, weidman over silva 2, maybe others) so it's good.

-Atom-
Sep 13, 2003

Contrarian Dick

Bad At Everything

manyak posted:

My favorite part is when all the shittiest posters come into this thread and go "dont bet on a mma" :iamafag: when someone is wrong about a prediction

Aww don't be sad

The Duck of Death
Nov 19, 2009

If I bet on Brown/Hendricks to end in under 3.5 rounds, will 5dimes cancel my bet when they realize it's a three-round fight?

Ty1990
Apr 22, 2011

The Duck of Death posted:

If I bet on Brown/Hendricks to end in under 3.5 rounds, will 5dimes cancel my bet when they realize it's a three-round fight?

Yes

jase1
Aug 11, 2004

Flankensttein: A name given to a FPS gamer who constantly flanks to get kills.

"So I was playing COD yesterday, and some flankenstein came up from behind and shot me."
Didn't even know there was a fight. I think I missed my night to become the prophet again.

http://www.mmamania.com/2015/2/23/8092553/ufc-bovada-sportsbook-loses-1-million-after-underdogs-dominate-at-ufc-fight-61-mma

Viper_3000
Apr 26, 2005

I could give a shit about all that.
$20 Over 1.5 Rounds in the Rousey Fight +140
$5 Zingano +525

I'm throwing money away. Laugh at me.

jabro
Mar 25, 2003

July Mock Draft 2014

1st PLACE
RUNNER-UP
got the knowshon


Viper_3000 posted:

$20 Over 1.5 Rounds in the Rousey Fight +140
$5 Zingano +525

I'm throwing money away. Laugh at me.

I'll join you.

$50 Rousey by KO/TKO/DQ. +325

Sweaty IT Nerd
Jul 13, 2007

Viper_3000 posted:

$20 Over 1.5 Rounds in the Rousey Fight +140
$5 Zingano +525

I'm throwing money away. Laugh at me.

Done

Viper_3000
Apr 26, 2005

I could give a shit about all that.

Pretty sure that's the fastest I've ever lost $25 on a fight.

Bundt Cake
Aug 17, 2003
;(
Thanks for trying

Sweaty IT Nerd
Jul 13, 2007

Yeah, definitely a friendly laugh. That's gambling for you.

Viper_3000
Apr 26, 2005

I could give a shit about all that.

Bundt Cake posted:

Thanks for trying

The Sphinxster posted:

Yeah, definitely a friendly laugh. That's gambling for you.

Glad we could all have some entertainment. For a real bet:


$1000 on My Main Man Money Mayweather. -220

I'm going to hit him again for a decision when I feel the time is right.

Ditch
Jul 29, 2003

Backdrop Hunger

The Duck of Death posted:

Might want to keep an eye on this one:


Looks like the odds on Overeem are more reasonable now (-221) but Nelson is pretty much unchanged.

Considering reem's non-existant chin and Nelson's power this seems like a bit more of a gap than I'd expect.

Fat Twitter Man
Jan 24, 2007

by R. Guyovich
Overeem is good at all aspects of MMA except for not getting hit and dying, Nelson is only good at landing that right hand and submission defense (allegedly a decent top game but it's never been seen in the UFC). If Overeem isn't really stupid, this is an extremely winnable fight for him, but -260 is pretty long odds on Alistair Overeem not being really stupid.

Intel&Sebastian
Oct 20, 2002

colonel...
i'm trying to sneak around
but i'm dummy thicc
and the clap of my ass cheeks
keeps alerting the guards!
I'd feel a lot better about Overeem if Nelson wasn't coming off of a KO loss. I fear the prospect of Overeem watching that and thinking "Hey I could do that".

manyak
Jan 26, 2006
I dont see a lot of value in betting on that fight unless you could get Nelson at like +250 or better and be aware that youre going to lose more often than not

MassRafTer
May 26, 2001

BAEST MODE!!!
If Nelson had decent cardio I'd take those odds in a second but all he has is a gas tank.

Ditch
Jul 29, 2003

Backdrop Hunger
Overeem looked strong on top vs Mir and Struve. I rather doubt Nelson has a better ground game than Mir, but he might have better takedown defense. If Overeem is smart he'll get it to the floor ASAP.

"If Overeem is smart" is the reason why I'm skeptical of him being a 2-to-1 favorite. Plus I don't know how much you can hold Got Knocked Out By Mark Hunt against someone's chin.

handsome only face
Apr 22, 2010

Cockroach went out of the room in anger. And roach's go to empty room...

Cockroache's Anarchist


185 looks like the most pickable card in a while so it probably will not be

canoshiz
Nov 6, 2005

THANK GOD FOR THE SMOKE MACHINE!

handsome only face
Apr 22, 2010

Cockroach went out of the room in anger. And roach's go to empty room...

Cockroache's Anarchist


what is a man?

Intel&Sebastian
Oct 20, 2002

colonel...
i'm trying to sneak around
but i'm dummy thicc
and the clap of my ass cheeks
keeps alerting the guards!
A miserable pile of secrets, but enough talk. Have at you!

The Duck of Death
Nov 19, 2009

manyak posted:

I dont see a lot of value in betting on that fight unless you could get Nelson at like +250 or better and be aware that youre going to lose more often than not

Nelson by KO/TKO is at +250 and opened at +310. I still don't think I'm going to touch this one.

Skjorte
Jul 5, 2010
I have an ongoing parlay consisting of Martins/Alvey/Michael Johnson/Mir/Nelson at +42686, and for some reason I never even entertained the possibility that something other than Overeem screwing up and getting KO'ed could happen. :(

Also, the odds for Velasquez/Werdum ending via TKO/KO/DQ are +800 at the betting site I use. I don't know much about betting, but that can't be right, can it? Seems like a pretty worthwhile gamble to me.

heeebrew
Sep 6, 2007

Weed smokin', joint tokin', fake Jew of the Weed thread

Got a job finally. Signed up on Bovada finally.



I'm prepared to be a fool. My first time betting on MMA.

MassRafTer
May 26, 2001

BAEST MODE!!!

heeebrew posted:

Got a job finally. Signed up on Bovada finally.



I'm prepared to be a fool. My first time betting on MMA.

Only cowards parlay all favorites, you will be struck down for this. Or Rosholt will be.

heeebrew
Sep 6, 2007

Weed smokin', joint tokin', fake Jew of the Weed thread

I have crumpled up and thrown away my money. I have sinned.

handsome only face
Apr 22, 2010

Cockroach went out of the room in anger. And roach's go to empty room...

Cockroache's Anarchist


roy nelson rd 1 ko - 5.00 for 50.00

Marching Powder
Mar 8, 2008



stop the fucking fight, cornerman, your dude is fucking done and is about to be killed.

acai moonsault posted:

roy nelson rd 1 ko - 5.00 for 50.00

that's insanely good odds.

Intel&Sebastian
Oct 20, 2002

colonel...
i'm trying to sneak around
but i'm dummy thicc
and the clap of my ass cheeks
keeps alerting the guards!

heeebrew posted:

Got a job finally. Signed up on Bovada finally.

You done smoked yourself retarded :mad:

Viper_3000
Apr 26, 2005

I could give a shit about all that.
$500 on the Reem -155

$200 on Jędrzejczyk +135

$50 on dos Anjos +455 (I know that I'm throwing money away here, but I hope to get more than 14 seconds out if it like when I did this betting against Ronda.)

I can't pull the trigger on Brown, and they're no value there judging by how much better shape Hendricks is in.

henkman
Oct 8, 2008
You're worried about throwing 50 dollars on Dos Anjos, but bet 500 on Overeem. I love Alistair but uhhh

Viper_3000
Apr 26, 2005

I could give a shit about all that.

henkman posted:

You're worried about throwing 50 dollars on Dos Anjos, but bet 500 on Overeem. I love Alistair but uhhh

I have faith in Alistair's superior diet of horse meat compared to Nelson's diet of Big Macs.

Also I saw value on Reem when he opened -190, -155 was a must play.

Lloyd Boner
Oct 11, 2009

Yes officer, my name is Victoria Sonnen...berg
Confirmed here, horse meat better than big macs.

Viper_3000
Apr 26, 2005

I could give a shit about all that.

Lloyd Boner posted:

Confirmed here, horse meat better than big macs.

Also, names I can't pronounce > names I can.


It's all gravy at this point. Well, as long as this goes at least 15 seconds.

jabro
Mar 25, 2003

July Mock Draft 2014

1st PLACE
RUNNER-UP
got the knowshon


Viper_3000 posted:

$500 on the Reem -155

$200 on Jędrzejczyk +135

$50 on dos Anjos +455 (I know that I'm throwing money away here, but I hope to get more than 14 seconds out if it like when I did this betting against Ronda.)

I can't pull the trigger on Brown, and they're no value there judging by how much better shape Hendricks is in.

Nice.

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Grandmaster.flv
Jun 24, 2011

Viper_3000 posted:

$500 on the Reem -155

$200 on Jędrzejczyk +135

$50 on dos Anjos +455 (I know that I'm throwing money away here, but I hope to get more than 14 seconds out if it like when I did this betting against Ronda.)

I can't pull the trigger on Brown, and they're no value there judging by how much better shape Hendricks is in.

good things can happen

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