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forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Halman posted:

So is there any chance your electorate doesn't balls this up like every decision they've been allowed to make in the last couple years?

Assuming "not ballsing it up" means ending up without a Tory government, no, there's zero chance of that I'm afraid.

Or almost zero. Maybe some unforseen revelations will come through in the next 2 months. Doubt it though.

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namesake
Jun 19, 2006

"When I was a girl, around 12 or 13, I had a fantasy that I'd grow up to marry Captain Scarlet, but he'd be busy fighting the Mysterons so I'd cuckold him with the sexiest people I could think of - Nigel Mansell, Pat Sharp and Mr. Blobby."

On the plus side of all this, anyone who is in politics for their own advancement will drop Labour so freaking hard after another defeat that'll it'll at least be able to have a discussion about political principles in the modern society without some poo poo complaining about how winning is the most important thing.

Private Eye
Jul 12, 2010

Don't be so bloody gay, Cambo

Oberleutnant posted:

A bunch of horible poo poo he posted in europol back when the refugee crisis was headline news iirc


TheRat posted:

Mostly because of his opinions and political leanings.


forkboy84 posted:

It's because he's a nazi.

Fair enough.

I've finally bitten the bullet and joined Labour. I might not agree with Corbyn as leader, but there's no doubt that Labour are better for this country than the Tories, and it's about time I stopped shouting from the sidelines and put my money where my mouth is.

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.
the big problem with trying to finagle between the nationalities of giltholders is that the gilts themselves were fungible, at least within issues, and many of them will not be directly held but held by a custodian someplace, and who knows who owns the custodian

saying "well eventually it'll be sorted out" is poor comfort, since the chaos of identifying who owns what suddenly is itself very damaging to its use as a reliable store of value. which is the only reason people buy gilts anyway.

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

Halman posted:

So is there any chance your electorate doesn't balls this up like every decision they've been allowed to make in the last couple years?

Unless there's a sudden wave of terminal affluenza or an unexpected groundswell in class consciousness, no. The best we're looking at is Labour not losing as many seats as expected.

Nothingtoseehere
Nov 11, 2010


Carecat posted:

I feel like Labour must oppose the new GE because what the gently caress kind of system do we have where if you can call a snap election halfway through because your polling numbers look better now?

Yes I know the media will poo poo on them but why step into the ring for a fight that is only going to give fresh poll numbers for the media to wave around and an increased Tory majority, even if the Lib Dems take a bigger %? Impossible to say if Labour would be in a better place in three years but it's a pretty safe bet the Tories will be in a worse one with the same slim majority and Brexit hanging over the election. The thread is right Labour will take a media and soundbite thrashing for making a tactical choice because we're all populist idiots these days where the thinking is on the level of calling someone a chicken in the playground but doing something like a Vote of No Confidence to force one would look surely look pretty bad.

... The system the UK has had for it's entire history up till 2010?

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

namesake posted:

On the plus side of all this, anyone who is in politics for their own advancement will drop Labour so freaking hard after another defeat that'll it'll at least be able to have a discussion about political principles in the modern society without some poo poo complaining about how winning is the most important thing.

You're optimistic.

nothing to seehere posted:

... The system the UK has had for it's entire history up till 2010?

Yeah this is actually 100% normal, people call khaki (or in this case red white and blue) elections. Welcome to the UK.

Carecat
Apr 27, 2004

Buglord

nothing to seehere posted:

... The system the UK has had for it's entire history up till 2010?

Which was (slightly) changed, ironically by the same party, because it was outdated and very one sided?

Not that it would be any politicians actual reason but it was plainly undemocratic.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Private Eye posted:

Fair enough.

I've finally bitten the bullet and joined Labour. I might not agree with Corbyn as leader, but there's no doubt that Labour are better for this country than the Tories, and it's about time I stopped shouting from the sidelines and put my money where my mouth is.

Good on you.

Carecat posted:

Which was (slightly) changed, ironically by the same party, because it was outdated and very one sided?

They will have changed it because they thought it would benefit them, they will drop it when they think it does not. No parliament can bind a future one.

WeAreTheRomans
Feb 23, 2010

by R. Guyovich

Pissflaps posted:

I think the UK will pay the EU bill but it'll get a lot more than talk in return. There will be compromise on both sides. Cooler heads than yours will prevail.

No, the UK will be paying just to get to the negotiation table. The compromise will come in the amount, which will not be $60bn, and probably not even 50% of that. Just lol if you don't think Brexit negotiators making GBS threads the bed before they even get to the table wouldn't annihilate market confidence in UK bonds

communism bitch
Apr 24, 2009

namesake posted:

On the plus side of all this, anyone who is in politics for their own advancement will drop Labour so freaking hard after another defeat that'll it'll at least be able to have a discussion about political principles in the modern society without some poo poo complaining about how winning is the most important thing.

I think the thing that's going to gently caress it up for the tories, if anything does, is May herself.
She's had an easy time with the press since coming in, and as PMs go has lead a fairly sequestered existence I think. Note how PMQs, which had been almost headline news when it was Cameron and Corbyn, dropped off the news radar when May started getting a kicking - she's had a really easy time since the beginning. But she has to put herself under some actual public scrutiny in the next few weeks, and there's a chance that people will be put off by a woman who comes across as deeply aloof and unpleasant as she is.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

WeAreTheRomans posted:

No, the UK will be paying just to get to the negotiation table. The compromise will come in the amount, which will not be $60bn, and probably not even 50% of that. Just lol if you don't think Brexit negotiators making GBS threads the bed before they even get to the table wouldn't annihilate market confidence in UK bonds

What are you saying 'no' to in my post?

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.

Carecat posted:

Which was (slightly) changed, ironically by the same party, because it was outdated and very one sided?

there is no better defence of the system of discretionary dissolution than the current situation, which is that the political context has changed so much that there is no meaningful mandate from the last election for the current government to govern

Lord Twisted
Apr 3, 2010

In the Emperor's name, let none survive.

namesake posted:

On the plus side of all this, anyone who is in politics for their own advancement will drop Labour so freaking hard after another defeat that'll it'll at least be able to have a discussion about political principles in the modern society without some poo poo complaining about how winning is the most important thing.

If you don't think winning should be the most important think for a political party then I don't know what to say mate.

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

Oberleutnant posted:

I think the thing that's going to gently caress it up for the tories, if anything does, is May herself.
She's had an easy time with the press since coming in, and as PMs go has lead a fairly sequestered existence I think. Note how PMQs, which had been almost headline news when it was Cameron and Corbyn, dropped off the news radar when May started getting a kicking - she's had a really easy time since the beginning. But she has to put herself under some actual public scrutiny in the next few weeks, and there's a chance that people will be put off by a woman who comes across as deeply aloof and unpleasant as she is.

Nothing else for it, better shell the falklands to boost popularity.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

ronya posted:

there is no better defence of the system of discretionary dissolution than the current situation, which is that the political context has changed so much that there is no meaningful mandate from the last election for the current government to govern

It's a pretty piss poor defence in that it still allows the incumbent government to pick the most favorable time for them.

Lord Twisted posted:

If you don't think winning should be the most important think for a political party then I don't know what to say mate.

Ah so you vote tory then.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

jBrereton posted:


We're in the stupid emotional part of Brexit. Few months and hopefully it'll calm down.
No it won't. People hate admitting they were wrong and they'll double down on this stuff as the price of leaving becomes more apparent

communism bitch
Apr 24, 2009

Lord Twisted posted:

If you don't think winning should be the most important think for a political party then I don't know what to say mate.
If it is then presumably you support the tories, since they won, and winning is the most important thing in a party?

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/854352122640576512

Carecat
Apr 27, 2004

Buglord

ronya posted:

there is no better defence of the system of discretionary dissolution than the current situation, which is that the political context has changed so much that there is no meaningful mandate from the last election for the current government to govern

That would be clearly after the referendum, not now.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

As pessimistic as I am about the election I do like Corbyn when he has an excuse to get a bit of a rajie on about something.

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

jBrereton posted:

Seems like it would make it slightly less awful for the people who work for it but no different for the end users of its products ie everyone all at once. Plus what happens if they sign the Socialist Services Pledge... but in bad faith?

Then they lose the contract. These are the requirements for having a government contract under Labour.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Lord Twisted posted:

If you don't think winning should be the most important think for a political party then I don't know what to say mate.

Policy is quite important.

suck my woke dick
Oct 10, 2012

:siren:I CANNOT EJACULATE WITHOUT SEEING NATIVE AMERICANS BRUTALISED!:siren:

Put this cum-loving slave on ignore immediately!

Oberleutnant posted:

If it is then presumably you support the tories, since they won, and winning is the most important thing in a party?

The incentives for what a party should do and what's best for the electorate are two entirely different things.

Nothingtoseehere
Nov 11, 2010


Alan Johnson also decides to not stand again

Lord Twisted
Apr 3, 2010

In the Emperor's name, let none survive.
Never voted Tory, but it's all good and well having nice shiny policies if you can't win to put them into effect.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Lord Twisted posted:

Never voted Tory, but it's all good and well having nice shiny policies if you can't win to put them into effect.

It's all well and good winning if your platform is a pile of shite that helps nobody.

WeAreTheRomans
Feb 23, 2010

by R. Guyovich

Pissflaps posted:

What are you saying 'no' to in my post?

The first line of my post responds to the first line of your post, which I quoted in my post. :psyduck:

you really are starting to worry me now Flaps, you've moved beyond obtuse shitposting into something that looks more like a medical issue. Not sure if you need new glasses, or to be put into a home

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Whats happening??

https://twitter.com/IanDunt/status/854361020147666944

spectralent
Oct 1, 2014

Me and the boys poppin' down to the shops

Halman posted:

So is there any chance your electorate doesn't balls this up like every decision they've been allowed to make in the last couple years?

Very slim.

If:

- The press forces the leaders to have debates,
- Corbyn manages to not cock up what'll probably be good debates by saying something super dumb in interview,
- There's some decent unrest in public services or economy problems that're developing (the NHS crisis being current news would've been good, as would the inflation-up-wages-static stories from a month or so ago),

or perhaps even more unlikely:

- Everyone suddenly realises they keep voting for the people who cause all the problems, and that social problems are also economic ones, and wises the gently caress up,

it might not be as bad.

Alternatively by some miracle all the polls are wrong again, and Corbyn's massively popular with people who don't usually get involved in politics.

This is almost certainly going to be bad for the country and bad for labour, though, and probably damaging to the long term health of the country.

Private Eye posted:

Fair enough.

I've finally bitten the bullet and joined Labour. I might not agree with Corbyn as leader, but there's no doubt that Labour are better for this country than the Tories, and it's about time I stopped shouting from the sidelines and put my money where my mouth is.

Yeah, my personal distaste for him and my local party aside, I'm probably going to be showing up for leafletting.

Oberleutnant posted:

I think the thing that's going to gently caress it up for the tories, if anything does, is May herself.
She's had an easy time with the press since coming in, and as PMs go has lead a fairly sequestered existence I think. Note how PMQs, which had been almost headline news when it was Cameron and Corbyn, dropped off the news radar when May started getting a kicking - she's had a really easy time since the beginning. But she has to put herself under some actual public scrutiny in the next few weeks, and there's a chance that people will be put off by a woman who comes across as deeply aloof and unpleasant as she is.

This not going awfully relies on there being public debates, yeah.

spectralent fucked around with this message at 16:57 on Apr 18, 2017

Nothingtoseehere
Nov 11, 2010


edit: nm

Jrbg
May 20, 2014

Kin ell

I was at a funeral when the news of this broke out, my phone bleeped midway through the prayers. Long story short I'm disowned and I'm definitely not voting Tory

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Lord Twisted posted:

Never voted Tory, but it's all good and well having nice shiny policies if you can't win to put them into effect.

Hmmm, you're right, the Labour Representation Committee was a terrible idea because these Labour candidates, they are only standing 15 candidates, why risk breaking from the Liberal Party?

Ms Adequate
Oct 30, 2011

Baby even when I'm dead and gone
You will always be my only one, my only one
When the night is calling
No matter who I become
You will always be my only one, my only one, my only one
When the night is calling



J_RBG posted:

Kin ell

I was at a funeral when the news of this broke out, my phone bleeped midway through the prayers. Long story short I'm disowned and I'm definitely not voting Tory

:rip:

jBrereton
May 30, 2013
Grimey Drawer

Darth Walrus posted:

Then they lose the contract. These are the requirements for having a government contract under Labour.
What if they're the only providers large enough?

I mean G4S survived the whole olympics gently caress up largely because they are the only big players in the field, after all.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

WeAreTheRomans posted:

The first line of my post responds to the first line of your post, which I quoted in my post. :psyduck:

You've said the UK will get an immediate 50% reduction in the amount of cash owed and agreed that there will be compromise. You've not disagreed with anything I said.


quote:

you really are starting to worry me now Flaps, you've moved beyond obtuse shitposting into something that looks more like a medical issue. Not sure if you need new glasses, or to be put into a home

Give the boring whitenoise personal attacks a rest for a while mate - there's an election on.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

jBrereton posted:

What if they're the only providers large enough?

I mean G4S survived the whole olympics gently caress up largely because they are the only big players in the field, after all.

How would we manage without professional dole hasslers in every jobcenter.

peanut-
Feb 17, 2004
Fun Shoe

Pissflaps posted:

I think the UK will pay the EU bill but it'll get a lot more than talk in return. There will be compromise on both sides. Cooler heads than yours will prevail.

In fact the UK breaking off financial commitments to the EU would have a far more immediate affect the EU's credit ratings than Britain's.

Those ratings are completely built off the idea that member states will honour their commitments, if the second biggest net contributor washed their hands of them EU credit ratings would collapse.

It's probably the biggest weapon the UK has in negotiations right now.

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

Pissflaps posted:

Give the boring whitenoise personal attacks a rest for a while mate - there's an election on.

:ironicat:

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Nothingtoseehere
Nov 11, 2010


jBrereton posted:

What if they're the only providers large enough?

I mean G4S survived the whole olympics gently caress up largely because they are the only big players in the field, after all.

Oh no, are we going to have bring a bunch of services back into the public sector instead of outsourcing them? What a shame.

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