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get that OUT of my face
Feb 10, 2007

the NY Working Families Party went from having a higher-up in it saying we need "explicitly socialist candidates" (his words) to run for office to sending out an email today not about the Georgia special election, but the aftermath of the "who gives a poo poo" tax march that happened across the country saturday. in fact, they've sent out only one email regarding this election, and none about KS-04. i shouldn't have to check a thread on a small part of a pay-to-access internet forum to find out about national races

sometimes i think everyone wants to fail

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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Concerned Citizen posted:

that's hardly "rip"

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/853052529378250752

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/853053326107316224

we'll see how election day turnout ends up (it will likely be bad for dems) but dem is performing very, very well in ev. gop typically has strong edge in this district

i said RIP because hes not going to hit the 50% threshold with those numbers

Relevant Tangent
Nov 18, 2016

Tangentially Relevant

A runoff isn't a disaster actually. The possibility that these people are justifiably sick of Trump does exist.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Relevant Tangent posted:

A runoff isn't a disaster actually. The possibility that these people are justifiably sick of Trump does exist.

The analysis I read seemed to express the opinion that winning in the first round is Ossoff's best shot at winning overall. He could still absolutely win in the run-off, though.

Relevant Tangent
Nov 18, 2016

Tangentially Relevant

Vox Nihili posted:

The analysis I read seemed to express the opinion that winning in the first round is Ossoff's best shot at winning overall. He could still absolutely win in the run-off, though.

I think the analysis is correct, but I imagine the same people would have told us Hillary was going to win, so.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
live feed from the finest source in news: https://www.pscp.tv/BuzzFeedNews/1BdGYPZeDmYKX

Gringostar
Nov 12, 2016
Morbid Hound

Vox Nihili posted:

live feed from the finest source in news: https://www.pscp.tv/BuzzFeedNews/1BdGYPZeDmYKX

get ready to have your hopes and dreams crushed yet again

Agean90
Jun 28, 2008


i looked at nate silver, ie the only person on election night who said trump had a chanceand he said ossof still has a chance in the runoff v:v:v

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
precincts starting to report, ossoff at 71%! heavy-D area only

Venuz Patrol
Mar 27, 2011
if this goes to runoff, the 0.6% going to democrat Ron Slotin will consolidate to ossoff and help him win

Vishass
Feb 1, 2004

Gringostar posted:

get ready to have your hopes and dreams crushed yet again

Get increasingly uncomfortable at this site
http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
i'm still pretty sure nothing matters

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
ossoff looking pretty good, winning the early vote in the red county

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/854491239084949507

Shinjobi
Jul 10, 2008


Gravy Boat 2k

logikv9 posted:

i'm still pretty sure nothing matters

I'm getting that tattooed on my buttcheeks.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
you just gotta believe

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
its going to be insanely close lmao

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Vox Nihili posted:

its going to be insanely close lmao

believe in magic

Venuz Patrol
Mar 27, 2011
good news is, with 34k votes ossoff has already reached the total needed to hit runoff, by projected turnout estimates. that's one bullet dodged

Shinjobi
Jul 10, 2008


Gravy Boat 2k
What percentage does he have to hit again?

Rocks
Dec 30, 2011

trump should have campaigned harder in cobb county

Elephanthead
Sep 11, 2008


Toilet Rascal
Trump so low energy sad.

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler

Shinjobi posted:

What percentage does he have to hit again?

more than 50%

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
like 50.0000000000001% is fine

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Shinjobi posted:

What percentage does he have to hit again?

he needs 50%+ to win outright and avoid the run-off

if he doesn't win outright it will be him against Handel in a fresh, 1-on-1 ballot

LinYutang
Oct 12, 2016

NEOLIBERAL SHITPOSTER

:siren:
VOTE BLUE NO MATTER WHO!!!
:siren:
hmmmm

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
i think he's going to take it tonight, holy poo poo

Agean90
Jun 28, 2008


Vox Nihili posted:

i think he's going to take it tonight, holy poo poo

Im predicting based of dead reckoning he will poll between 48-53 and 53 is a generous upper limit

If he goes above 55% then :stare:

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler

Vox Nihili posted:

i think he's going to take it tonight, holy poo poo

fuckin jinxed it

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
or not lol

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
You believed too much.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
Outright is still possible though. If e-day turnout isn't great in these GOP areas. Just a bit too much enthusiasm earlier

new phone who dis
May 24, 2007

by VideoGames
Morbid Hound

Shinjobi posted:

I'm getting that tattooed on my buttcheeks.

Are you going to put one word on each cheek or strategically place the O in Nothing on your rear end in a top hat?

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Concerned Citizen posted:

Outright is still possible though. If e-day turnout isn't great in these GOP areas. Just a bit too much enthusiasm earlier

eh

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
election day vote looking nasty, even in DeKalb

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
Yeah probably done now

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
han solo cosplay was the death blow, i called it months ago but did you listen, nooo

GlyphGryph
Jun 23, 2013

Down came the glitches and burned us in ditches and we slept after eating our dead.
What are you guys watching

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/georgia-6th-congressional-district-ga06-special-election-primary/

Looks like early voters were much more Ossoff-favorable than the party registration would have indicated, but day-of vote was bigger and more Republican than predicted, causing big swings.

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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Down to 50.8%. Hope train is about to leave the station.

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