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Dairy Days
Dec 26, 2007

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

Communist revolution, duh.

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A Gnarlacious Bro
Apr 25, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Dairy Days posted:

"im not a anprim death cult but all solutions are unworkable"

Seems like a personal problem

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

Dairy Days posted:

if thats the case it seems like theres no real disagreement except in how many people die before it happens

Yes that's mainly my disagreement. It's something like:

Best outcome: Population rapidly contracts, economic system falls apart and gets rebuilt from scratch but we manage to support a population in the hundreds of millions or so and get to deal with the real dragons of climate change that show up after the 21st century.

Worst outcome: We do nothing and somewhere around mid-century a bunch of sad scientists come out with reports that we're speed running the end-Permian extinction and it's too late to stop it.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Oh, and if you think seasteading is insufferable wait until SpaceX starts marketing spacesteading.

Digiwizzard
Dec 23, 2003


Pork Pro

Dairy Days posted:

money can actually quite directly be used buy you all three with desalinization, soil regeneration, and farming of fish so idk what you're on about unless this is some type of anprim death cult

all three of these activities require non renewable resources that we're rapidly running out of actually

H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

Yes that's mainly my disagreement. It's something like:

Best outcome: Population rapidly contracts, economic system falls apart and gets rebuilt from scratch but we manage to support a population in the hundreds of millions or so and get to deal with the real dragons of climate change that show up after the 21st century.

Worst outcome: We do nothing and somewhere around mid-century a bunch of sad scientists come out with reports that we're speed running the end-Permian extinction and it's too late to stop it.

best outcome: communist revolution and state-owned carbon sequestration machines and oceanic geoengineering projects

Dairy Days
Dec 26, 2007

Digiwizzard posted:

all three of these activities require non renewable resources that we're rapidly running out of actually

they don't although the current popular method for producing fertilizer does use methane as a hydrogen source but it's not the only possible hydrogen source
rev up those reactors cause we all die if they don't start getting built soon

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy
Yeah this is why I don't trust Greens. You guys basically want genocide.

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

best outcome: communist revolution and state-owned carbon sequestration machines and oceanic geoengineering projects

See this is the exact reason I don't like this whole "no it'll be fine we'll adapt" stuff. Carbon sequestration and geoengineering don't work like that. You want a phytoplankton bloom to draw down more carbon? Okay, you better be able to generate enough phytoplankton predators so that they get eaten and don't just die and decompose as they drop to the sea floor. When that happens you get anoxic dead zones that turn into euxinic microbe pits if enough sulfur is sitting around.

There is no geoengineering, just biome engineering, and you have to engineer the whole dang biome or you're just setting off a trophic cascade that's going to have some very big unintended consequences.

Pick
Jul 19, 2009
Nap Ghost

LegoPirateNinja posted:

who knew a mild stock market recovery would trigger a Malthusian feverdream in C-SPAM

i knew

snoo
Jul 5, 2007




you can have kids if you want but remember that they'll most likely grow up in a world with even more suffering and anger than we are currently experiencing and it seems cruel to subject more people to that when you could make a difference in the life of a child who is already here and needs a family more than you need to pass on your genes :angel:

Dairy Days
Dec 26, 2007

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

See this is the exact reason I don't like this whole "no it'll be fine we'll adapt" stuff. Carbon sequestration and geoengineering don't work like that. You want a phytoplankton bloom to draw down more carbon? Okay, you better be able to generate enough phytoplankton predators so that they get eaten and don't just die and decompose as they drop to the sea floor. When that happens you get anoxic dead zones that turn into euxinic microbe pits if enough sulfur is sitting around.

There is no geoengineering, just biome engineering, and you have to engineer the whole dang biome or you're just setting off a trophic cascade that's going to have some very big unintended consequences.

there are ways to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere that don't require massively loving with an ecosystem

A Gnarlacious Bro
Apr 25, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

The Snoo posted:

you can have kids if you want but remember that they'll most likely grow up in a world with even more suffering and anger than we are currently experiencing and it seems cruel to subject more people to that when you could make a difference in the life of a child who is already here and needs a family more than you need to pass on your genes :angel:

That's chill as gently caress dude

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

Dairy Days posted:

there are ways to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere that don't require massively loving with an ecosystem

Best way to draw down CO2 is to increase biomass. Let me know what we should do with all of the CH4 though. Also what should we do with all the sulfates that we've found out are affecting precipitation patterns a whole lot more than we originally thought?

A lot of climate policy now is turning to "No actually you can't just treat CCS as a magic bullet to fix all of your problems" for exactly this reason because for some reason policymakers think it is.

H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

Dairy Days posted:

there are ways to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere that don't require massively loving with an ecosystem

suck it outta the air via massive tracts of reforestation after eliminating all for-profit logging imho

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

suck it outta the air via massive tracts of reforestation after eliminating all for-profit logging imho

now we're fuckin talking

Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

A lot of climate policy now is turning to "No actually you can't just treat CCS as a magic bullet to fix all of your problems" for exactly this reason because for some reason policymakers think it is.

Maybe DARPA is sitting on some Cold War doomsday weapon that sucks all the carbon out of the atmosphere.

Car Hater
May 7, 2007

wolf. bike.
Wolf. Bike.
Wolf! Bike!
WolfBike!
WolfBike!
ARROOOOOO!

Crowsbeak posted:

Yeah this is why I don't trust Greens. You guys basically want genocide.

It isn't genocide if everyone in the world takes part.

The Doomsday economics thread is tanking because we're in a human bubble propped up by zero interest loans from the dawn of time.

Shear Modulus
Jun 9, 2010



the magic bullet for politicians of both parties since bush has been "clean coal"

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

Shear Modulus posted:

the magic bullet for politicians of both parties since bush has been "clean coal"

umm excuse me the natural bullet for Obama was nuclear natural gas.

Digiwizzard
Dec 23, 2003


Pork Pro

Dairy Days posted:

they don't although the current popular method for producing fertilizer does use methane as a hydrogen source but it's not the only possible hydrogen source
rev up those reactors cause we all die if they don't start getting built soon


Dairy Days posted:

im under no illusions that tech will fix everything and make anime real but ill keep praying that tech will fix everything and make anime real because the reality of our predicament is too terrifying to consider

A Gnarlacious Bro
Apr 25, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Praying seems to be the historical solution to apocalypse

Zhulik
Nov 14, 2012

The Montreal Star
I'm glad it only took a year of trump! to shift the overton window from "but will breaking up the banks solve racism?" to "but will killing all bankers solve global warming?"

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

suck it outta the air via massive tracts of reforestation after eliminating all for-profit logging imho

Comrade Sankara's reforestation program can show us the way.

Dairy Days
Dec 26, 2007


these aren't mutually exclusive views hth

Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES


According to that chart, we'd require 4.8 Earths for everyone to live like Americans.

7.6*(1/4.8), right? Only 1.5 billion people can be supported at our standard of living before we're in the red?

And that 1.5 billion would require the remaining 6.1 billion to stop using any resources (probably fatal).

Maybe our, "standard," of living has got to go?

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

The Groper posted:

It isn't genocide if everyone in the world takes part.

The Doomsday economics thread is tanking because we're in a human bubble propped up by zero interest loans from the dawn of time.

Yeah, I suspect they are justextreme pessimists, and trying to make humans not have children is not going to work. Unless you use genocide.

Frankly any revolution will require that Malthusians of all types be sent to Prison Camps, for the very sake of not causing societal panics among the chattering types.

Crowsbeak fucked around with this message at 03:30 on Feb 7, 2018

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
anime will solve overpopulation

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

Crowsbeak posted:

Yeah, I suspect they are justextreme pessimists, and trying to make humans not have children is not going to work. Unless you use genocide.

It's really adorable that you discard what all of our climate and hydrological models keep saying as extreme pessimism because you would rather not think about hard problems.

Sing Along
Feb 28, 2017

by Athanatos
while praying does currently have a perfect track record of averting the apocalypse, in the 21st century we've largely pivoted to equivocation and denial which have made a great showing lately

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

It's really adorable that you discard what all of our climate and hydrological models keep saying as extreme pessimism because you would rather not think about hard problems.

Prove that the earth can only carry a few hundred million people.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Accretionist posted:

Maybe our, "standard," of living has got to go?

It will be much more possible to conceive of a drastic reduction to "standards of living" when meaningful social relations are restored through socialism. Part of why it's so easy to get lost in our own private worlds and not to think about the larger implications of our own behaviors, is as a result of radical alienation.

H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde
i’m just glad that god-emperor elon musk is performing the holy work that will allow the unlimited resources of space to fuel eternal capitalism

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

Crowsbeak posted:

Prove that the earth can only carry a few hundred million people.

Earth can carry 8 billion people. It can't carry 8 billion people with our current resource utilization and our remaining reserves should we continue a business as usual pathway. So what are you wanting me to show again, exactly?

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators
The current carrying capacity of our business as usual pathway is somewhere around 0, hope that helps.

http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/9/e1700906

quote:

Here, I hypothesize that perturbations of Earth’s carbon cycle lead to mass extinction if they exceed either a critical rate at long time scales or a critical size at short time scales. By analyzing 31 carbon isotopic events during the past 542 million years, I identify the critical rate with a limit imposed by mass conservation. Identification of the crossover time scale separating fast from slow events then yields the critical size. The modern critical size for the marine carbon cycle is roughly similar to the mass of carbon that human activities will likely have added to the oceans by the year 2100.

Well, 0 unless we manage to adapt to Canfield oceans, no ozone layer, and hydrogen sulfide concentrations that are fatal to mammals.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

i’m just glad that god-emperor elon musk is performing the holy work that will allow the unlimited resources of space to fuel eternal capitalism

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=niZpcdp2v34

Dairy Days
Dec 26, 2007

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

Earth can carry 8 billion people. It can't carry 8 billion people with our current resource utilization and our remaining reserves should we continue a business as usual pathway. So what are you wanting me to show again, exactly?

good thing literally no one in this thread thinks the path forward involves business as usual

Rated PG-34
Jul 1, 2004




when does the market open

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

It will be much more possible to conceive of a drastic reduction to "standards of living" when meaningful social relations are restored through socialism. Part of why it's so easy to get lost in our own private worlds and not to think about the larger implications of our own behaviors, is as a result of radical alienation.

Hell its not even our "standard of living. The majority of Americans can't do the damage that the top twenty do with their sububrban life styles. Wnat to change Americans lifestyles? Get rid of the Suburbs.

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Car Hater
May 7, 2007

wolf. bike.
Wolf. Bike.
Wolf! Bike!
WolfBike!
WolfBike!
ARROOOOOO!

Crowsbeak posted:

Yeah, I suspect they are justextreme pessimists, and trying to make humans not have children is not going to work. Unless you use genocide.

Frankly any revolution will require that Malthusians of all types be sent to Prison Camps, for the very sake of not causing societal panics among the chattering types.

My point is that it explicitly is not genocide if everyone is forced to say play a round of 50/50 Russian roulette or some poo poo by an arbitrary evil global government. As to the camps, just save yourself the time and either shoot me or shoot the chatterers, the trains/housing are a waste of energy.

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