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The Dipshit
Dec 21, 2005

by FactsAreUseless

Shugojin posted:

Just throwing this out there, but a really super important function of medical personnel is to get the patient to actually tell the full story, including anything they don't realize is relevant because they are not a doctor

Computer is very far behind on that front

THIS. It is hell and high water to get a patient history out of a patient, especially if they are doing drugs. Good loving luck getting them to actually write it down in a case where they don't have confidentiality.

It'll be super helpful to the nurse and the MD and all that, and their throughput will increase massively, but you'll still probably want people to deal with people.

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H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

Teal posted:

Yeah for many of the surgical procedures even today the very best (both long term cheapest and most efficient/least risky) option is using robot manipulators stabbed into a guy as a tube that has the manipulators at the end, controlled via a video stream and joysticks, with the doctor being in another room of the same hospital just cause it can be more practical that way (no need to sterilise what's basically a gaming console).

The clinic won't disappear, it'll be mostly just nurses and omnisurgeons on standby who'll just sit there and watch in case something goes wrong while the actual specialist works from two cities over. The total number of doctors and mainly the specialists needed will be much lower as they'll be able to do surgery in a different place daily.

lol robotic laparoscopic surgery is done in the same room using a team of doctors because it turns out that:

1) having direct access to the patient is actually important for surgery

2) you still need other regular-rear end surgeons to assist for different steps or if something fucks up

also laparoscopic surgery isn’t appropriate for all surgery, and handwaving away “well we’ll eventually robotisize stuff like open heart procedures” entirely misses the point on why this isn’t already a thing



also most doctorin isn’t surgery of course. it’s walkin into the room and using your human judgement and knowledge and experience to ascertain both a problem with a person and the best methods of treating that problem

in order to do that task for even something simple like sussing out a chronic pain sufferer from a drug seeker requires at the v least a physical examination by the doctor. the only remote work that even shows a hint of promise is radiology and other imaging analysis, since de rigeur there is to keep the radiologist in the dark (heh) about any preliminary diagnosis so their judgement is not affected


also your “remote doctor” solution implies that physicians would somehow gain significant efficiency in patient numbers over walking between a hallway of adjacent examination rooms or that they might accomplish this work in addition to a 60-80 hour workweek

or that strong ai will save us which is always good for a laugh

H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

Wheeee posted:

you fuckin morans get outta here with this computer bullshit what you think a company is ever gomna pay thousands of dollars to put some giant computer on everyone's dedk how are people even gonna use this thing paper tracking works way better and faster!!!

my favourite thing about imbeciles who insist machine learning is all bullshit are so convinced that theyre the smart ones, its not even a matter of honest questions, just arrogant dismissals of something they arent intelligent enough to conceptualize

just lol if you hear the words, immediately assume the person is talking about strong AI out of some scifi show, and begin authoritatively scoffing and acting like youre the very stable genius in the room

lol source your quotes

H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

Triangle Shirt Factotum posted:

THIS. It is hell and high water to get a patient history out of a patient, especially if they are doing drugs. Good loving luck getting them to actually write it down in a case where they don't have confidentiality.

It'll be super helpful to the nurse and the MD and all that, and their throughput will increase massively, but you'll still probably want people to deal with people.

no you see we’re going to have omninurses that have the training of primary care physicians or internists to take over that work but we’ll call them omninurses instead and still require a real physician to sign off and take responsibility for everything in the clinic located in australia

ikanreed
Sep 25, 2009

I honestly I have no idea who cannibal[SIC] is and I do not know why I should know.

syq dude, just syq!
"It doesn't work, like the 80s computer terminal applications" i continue to insist as I shrink and Alexa orders me corncobs

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

lol robotic laparoscopic surgery is done in the same room using a team of doctors because it turns out that:

1) having direct access to the patient is actually important for surgery

2) you still need other regular-rear end surgeons to assist for different steps or if something fucks up

also laparoscopic surgery isn’t appropriate for all surgery, and handwaving away “well we’ll eventually robotisize stuff like open heart procedures” entirely misses the point on why this isn’t already a thing



also most doctorin isn’t surgery of course. it’s walkin into the room and using your human judgement and knowledge and experience to ascertain both a problem with a person and the best methods of treating that problem

in order to do that task for even something simple like sussing out a chronic pain sufferer from a drug seeker requires at the v least a physical examination by the doctor. the only remote work that even shows a hint of promise is radiology and other imaging analysis, since de rigeur there is to keep the radiologist in the dark (heh) about any preliminary diagnosis so their judgement is not affected


also your “remote doctor” solution implies that physicians would somehow gain significant efficiency in patient numbers over walking between a hallway of adjacent examination rooms or that they might accomplish this work in addition to a 60-80 hour workweek

or that strong ai will save us which is always good for a laugh

lol if you think that "remote doctoring is far lower-quality than in-person doctoring" somehow invalidates "the four bottom quintiles of American earners are all going to be served exclusively by remote doctors in twenty years". just look at our broken-rear end system. no one gives a gently caress if a chronic pain sufferer gets treated right unless they're a millionaire - just give them a bottle of opiates if they're white and a "get the gently caress out of here, druggie scum" if they're black, and bill insurance for fifty bucks per minute spent with the patient

human decision-making isnt going to be completely eliminated in our lifetimes. the focus of automation is going to be using it "efficiently" - by which I mean, efficiently for the companies siphoning off the profits, which means as few human decision-makers as possible working as few billable hours as possible. leaning as heavily as possible on remote work for any procedure that's even slightly routine allows companies to go to a call center model, or even worse, an Uber model (where all the doctors are on-call independent contractors who are only paid when they're actually working with a patient)

H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

Main Paineframe posted:

no one gives a gently caress if a chronic pain sufferer gets treated right unless they're a millionaire - just give them a bottle of opiates if they're white and a "get the gently caress out of here, druggie scum" if they're black, and bill insurance for fifty bucks per minute spent with the patient

uh

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

no you see we’re going to have omninurses that have the training of primary care physicians or internists to take over that work but we’ll call them omninurses instead and still require a real physician to sign off and take responsibility for everything in the clinic located in australia

it's me, I'm the omninurse. I have a vaguely remembered six week TAFE course on medicine and I'm drunk.



that's 100% accurate

Teal
Feb 25, 2013

by Nyc_Tattoo

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

also most doctorin isn’t surgery of course. it’s walkin into the room and using your human judgement and knowledge and experience to ascertain both a problem with a person and the best methods of treating that problem

in the end it turns out the only thing that's actually doing the healing is human love

You either don't realize or don't want to accept how much of doctorwork by volume is obvious decisions made without second thought decided at first glance, not to mention all the checkups that go *person turns up, answers all questions with "yep, I'm doing ok, that bit doesn't hurt either" and leaves*

Teal has issued a correction as of 16:10 on May 2, 2018

hackbunny
Jul 22, 2007

I haven't been on SA for years but the person who gave me my previous av as a joke felt guilty for doing so and decided to get me a non-shitty av

Wheeee posted:

you fuckin morans get outta here with this computer bullshit what you think a company is ever gomna pay thousands of dollars to put some giant computer on everyone's dedk how are people even gonna use this thing paper tracking works way better and faster!!!

my favourite thing about imbeciles who insist machine learning is all bullshit are so convinced that theyre the smart ones, its not even a matter of honest questions, just arrogant dismissals of something they arent intelligent enough to conceptualize

just lol if you hear the words, immediately assume the person is talking about strong AI out of some scifi show, and begin authoritatively scoffing and acting like youre the very stable genius in the room

I don't know if you noticed, but computers aren't especially good at what they do. Just fast and cheap

Teal
Feb 25, 2013

by Nyc_Tattoo

hackbunny posted:

I don't know if you noticed, but computers aren't especially good at what they do. Just fast and cheap

I know I'm not who you asked I really haven't noticed no

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010
i mean, hp hover isn't wrong that Skype doctoring is usually going to be massively inferior to being in the same room as the doctor, and remote procedures have some pretty clear limitations

but this is America, where "does this make the CEO the most money" is far higher on the list of priorities than "is this the most effective way of meeting people's needs"

don't think of fully-automated luxury space communist doctoring, think of "well, your insurance covers Skyping with a doctor for free but requires you to pay a 50% copay for an in-person visit". people make sub-optimal healthcare choices all the loving time just because the best way is more expensive and our entire system is unaffordable

H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde
they do this now btw

my insurance offers a free service where i can text questions to a physician service to try and route me past a pcp or to an urgent care clinic instead of the emergency room

Shugojin
Sep 6, 2007

THE TAIL THAT BURNS TWICE AS BRIGHT...


H.P. Hovercraft posted:

they do this now btw

my insurance offers a free service where i can text questions to a physician service to try and route me past a pcp or to an urgent care clinic instead of the emergency room

Mine too, I thought it was the dumbest thing I ever heard when they were trying to sell me on using it

hackbunny
Jul 22, 2007

I haven't been on SA for years but the person who gave me my previous av as a joke felt guilty for doing so and decided to get me a non-shitty av

Teal posted:

I know I'm not who you asked I really haven't noticed no

Computer are tools. With no one to wield them, they can at best stand still

Cocoa Crispies
Jul 20, 2001

Vehicular Manslaughter!

Pillbug

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

they do this now btw

my insurance offers a free service where i can text questions to a physician service to try and route me past a pcp or to an urgent care clinic instead of the emergency room

and if you get x-rayed at an urgent care clinic, it's using digital imaging and sending the pix to a doctor elsewhere

Teal
Feb 25, 2013

by Nyc_Tattoo

hackbunny posted:

Computer are tools. With no one to wield them, they can at best stand still

you're a tool and I mean that as both a retort as well as a diss

hackbunny
Jul 22, 2007

I haven't been on SA for years but the person who gave me my previous av as a joke felt guilty for doing so and decided to get me a non-shitty av

Teal posted:

you're a tool and I mean that as both a retort as well as a diss

Wield me :wink:

Cybernetic Vermin
Apr 18, 2005

hackbunny posted:

Yes and no, skewing heavily towards "no". The common sense mission statement sounds simple enough, but reality is far, far, far more complex, and a system like that would throw so many red herrings that doctors will just learn to tune them out. On the other hand, if the system falsely reports that everything is OK, they'll automatically trust it. Perverse? No, just human, and there's a very well documented case of a kid getting almost killed by this combination of false positives and false negatives, where stupid little non-mistakes would warrant incessant intrusive warnings but a ludicrously massive overdose of antibiotics didn't elicit a peep, making doctors and nurses alike just shrug and think "if there was something wrong, the computer would have said something about it"

In other fields, a pretty striking example was how an (allegedly) joint American/Israeli attack sabotaged an uranium enrichment plant in Iran by hacking the plant's computers so that they'd give the wrong commands to the equipment but show the correct results. It went on for months, undetected

This is actually a hugely interesting subject matter, but as this is not the thread for it i will just admit i was hasty and oversimplified. Point well made!

GalacticAcid
Apr 8, 2013

NEW YORK VALUES

https://twitter.com/amychozick/status/436650360590307328

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017


article is guillotine.txt, tweet is good:

https://twitter.com/nataliesurely/status/991752409134186496

ate shit on live tv
Feb 15, 2004

by Azathoth

Wheeee posted:

the best part is that automation is going to annihilate white collar jobs before it begins touching stuff like trades and manual labour

I don't think you have a solid grasp on the labor market, friend.

Teal
Feb 25, 2013

by Nyc_Tattoo
Opinion: I Want to Behead the Rich and I'm Not Sorry

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

the best part is that the author was already rich by the time she decided she wanted to be rich

her bio says she graduated from The Shipley School, an exclusive and expensive private school that costs roughly $40k a year

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

Main Paineframe posted:

the best part is that the author was already rich by the time she decided she wanted to be rich

her bio says she graduated from The Shipley School, an exclusive and expensive private school that costs roughly $40k a year

Haha, holy poo poo, at first I assumed you were referring to the college she went to, but yeah, no one who isn't rich can spend that much on private school (no one who isn't fairly well-off to begin with goes to any private school, but one that expensive is particularly exceptional).

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Ytlaya posted:

Haha, holy poo poo, at first I assumed you were referring to the college she went to, but yeah, no one who isn't rich can spend that much on private school (no one who isn't fairly well-off to begin with goes to any private school, but one that expensive is particularly exceptional).

Tuition 2018-2019

Pre-K - $22,800
Kindergarten - $26,200
Grades 1 & 2 - $29,500
Grades 3, 4, & 5 - $31,700
Grades 6, 7, & 8 - $35,100
Grades 9, 10, 11, & 12 - $38,500

:thermidor:

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010
double posting because i don't wanna sit on this awful article all goddamn night

https://twitter.com/SoFi/status/991746645271265280

Pooky
Aug 29, 2004

I post fox news so u don't have to 💋

bob dobbs is dead posted:

I've seen like 25 neural net explanation papers, each with all the authors basically immediately snapped up by a tech major

It's just that there's no stupid neural net explanation tools and you need to actually know actual calculus to use even the stupidest ones so business people can't do poo poo with them and you can't reasonably expect average Joe to understand anything

Machine learning progresses like the devil's staircase. There was a big neural net hullaballoo in the 80s, then nobody did jack poo poo in neural nets and the peeps who specialized in it were pariahs for like 2 decades, then now there's a big hullaballoo now

I predict no significant theoretical progress for like a half dozen years and then another revolution

There are still dudes living today who remember the conference in Dartmouth where they named the loving field. Give it 30 years

http://course.fast.ai/lessons/lesson1.html

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

Main Paineframe posted:

double posting because i don't wanna sit on this awful article all goddamn night

https://twitter.com/SoFi/status/991746645271265280

candles: $300,000

Horseshoe theory
Mar 7, 2005

Main Paineframe posted:

double posting because i don't wanna sit on this awful article all goddamn night

https://twitter.com/SoFi/status/991746645271265280

Is this basically the HENRY.jpg article from WSJ?

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017


Main Paineframe posted:

double posting because i don't wanna sit on this awful article all goddamn night

I've argued this point before many times in CSPAM but it's really not wrong at all

Middle-class always has been the rich mercantile class who could afford to take years off from their work and not be impacted too much. On top of that, living standards have gone up so much in the West that even the peasants can live pretty decently. That speaks more to how ridiculous wealth inequality is more than anything tbh

Being able to be financially secure, not at risk of everything going into total upheaval if you lose your job temporarily, and being able to live in a good area, take vacations, etc all the stuff you see on TV? That's middle class, and yes it now requires six digits to actually participate in because COL has gone up so much

Like 5% of the country actually qualifies as middle class, the rest of us are peasants. Even if we own refrigerators

Horseshoe theory posted:

Is this basically the HENRY.jpg article from WSJ?

yes it is

bob dobbs is dead
Oct 8, 2017

I love peeps
Nap Ghost

No tech major hires serious neural net product peeps based on that sort of poo poo. They have their own internal training programs that they, in fact, also don't really trust. It's Phd or Phd dropout with good publications or bust, with like two dozen exceptions among all the tech majors. (Or masters from a top program) Same deal with startups who know what they're doing.

There is client usage of neural net stuff as stuff to crack open a can of whupass, basically, that this sort of thing is intended for.

StateOwned
Dec 30, 2005

this lane closed
lol $700 a month car payment.

JUICY HAMBUGAR
Nov 10, 2010

Eating, America's pastime.
2,100 a month on food, 600 a month on entertainment, a mortgage (and property tax) so high it'd be insanely cheaper to rent. The car payment almost implies a lease.

loving rich people don't know what middle class means.

JUICY HAMBUGAR has issued a correction as of 04:05 on May 3, 2018

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Horseshoe theory posted:

Is this basically the HENRY.jpg article from WSJ?

it's a p comprehensive version, with a sample budget ($2100/mo on food, $600/mo on entertainment, $650/mo toward vacations, $700/mo college savings for the infant, etc), an in-depth explanation of why it's not really worth making any more than $300k because your taxes will get too high, and a number of examples of other hypothetical families making six digits to show how easy it really is to make $300k if you really try

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
I missed the discussion about how we'll never develop AI smart enough to judge someone for making GBS threads cum

Wheeee
Mar 11, 2001

When a tree grows, it is soft and pliable. But when it's dry and hard, it dies.

Hardness and strength are death's companions. Flexibility and softness are the embodiment of life.

That which has become hard shall not triumph.

JUICY HAMBUGAR posted:

loving rich people don't know what middle class means.

yes they do, middle class has simply moved so far away from most people they don't even know what it is

middle class was never an income level, not directly, it was a lifestyle and place within the socioeconomic hierarchy that now requires an income well into the six figures anywhere outside of the middle american wastelands

your doctor is middle class, you're (probably) a working class prole

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Yeah the problem isn't that rich people don't understand what middle class is (although there's some of that at play too), it's genuinely that the middle class is disappearing like any economist and Bernie Sanders will tell you

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010
actually, being middle class is easy


quote:

Before we look at the income statement, I'd like to go through a list of various workers who will eventually make ~$300,000 on their own or in household income if they find someone who also works.

A Bay Area Rapid Transit janitor made $234,000 + $36,000 in benefits in 2016

A Bay Area Rapid Transit elevator technician made $235,814 + $48,429 in benefits in 2016

Starting salaries for 22 year old employees at Facebook, Google, and Apple range from ($80,000 – $120,000) + ($10,000 – $50,000) in annual equity grants.

30 year old first year Associate in banking earns $150,000 in base salary + ($0 – $120,000) in bonus

A 26 year old Airbnb employee shared he got a $250,000 total compensation package back in 2015

A 26 year old first year law associate at a firm like Cravath make $180,000 base + $20,000 sign on bonus. By the end of their 6th year they are making over $300,000

A 29 year old Director of Marketing at a startup makes between $120,000 – $180,000

A personal finance blogger with 500,000 pageviews earns between $150,000 – $600,000

A 42 year old college professor at Berkeley makes $235,000 on average and $279,000 at Columbia and NYU

The average specialist doctor finishing his or her fellowship at 32 makes $300,000. The average salary for a primary care physician is $200,000

A 26 year old middle school teacher making $55,000 a year plus her $250,000 a year VP of Marketing wife

A 56 year old high school athletic director making $100,000 a year plus his $200,000 a year management consultant husband

The permutations of people making $300,000 goes on and on. For many professionals, if they aren't there now, they will get to such a level of income eventually if they team up.

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megalodong
Mar 11, 2008

Main Paineframe posted:

actually, being middle class is easy

quote:

VP of Marketing wife

What?

Also that janitor made $126k (2485 hours) or so in overtime (https://www.mercurynews.com/2016/11/02/bart-janitors-whopping-ot-averaged-6-8-hours-every-day/)

The average is a little less:

quote:

Of 474 janitors who worked at the Oakland, San Jose and Antioch school districts in 2015, only two exceeded $100,000 in salary and benefits combined, the news organization found. The most overtime paid to a custodian was $22,000.

megalodong has issued a correction as of 07:28 on May 3, 2018

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