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It’s not my favorite bet on this site but it is sexy. I had Bernie at an average of 10c but I sold them all to pick up Bloomberg running shares and had to buy them back afterwards.
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Jan 13, 2020 04:28
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| # ? May 16, 2024 18:01 |
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The debate mention and speaking time markets just came out: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6298/How-many-debaters-will-say-Soleimani https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6297/How-many-debaters-will-say-impeachment https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6296/How-many-debaters-will-say-millionaire-or-billionaire https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6295/Who-will-speak-the-most-at-the-January-Democratic-debate
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Jan 13, 2020 23:00
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Got absolutely wrecked on Bernie speaking time, argh.
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Jan 15, 2020 06:13
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did a 2-3-4 spread on "millionaires/billionaires" and made 12 cents
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Jan 15, 2020 07:02
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Still free money to be had here. Yang's real odds of winning a primary contest at this point are under 1%. https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6112/Will-Andrew-Yang-win-at-least-one-primary
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Jan 18, 2020 03:38
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i hate this site so much
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Jan 20, 2020 06:39
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i say swears online posted:i hate this site so much lol sorry about the alphabet
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Jan 20, 2020 06:43
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i say swears online posted:i hate this site so much Yeah I ate a mild amount of poo poo on the NYT market as well but the entertainment has been almost worth it.
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Jan 20, 2020 11:50
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nyt’s decision is only outdumbed by pi’s. incredible. just horrid all around. hilarious, though.
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Jan 20, 2020 17:51
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Bernie is blowing up in Iowa. 60c+. Probably not justifiable from an analytical perspective, but on the other hand, Bernie Will Win.
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Jan 27, 2020 20:51
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Vox Nihili posted:Bernie is blowing up in Iowa. 60c+. Probably not justifiable from an analytical perspective, but on the other hand, Bernie Will Win.
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Jan 27, 2020 21:45
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I’m in line for big gains from the Bern man but my numbers are puny because I got my clock cleaned by hubris in 2016 and vowed never to throw additional funds into this degenerate website. My big mistake was last minute moving my hedge (no on Trump >370 EVs) to Trump.NO. Would have preserved about half my bankroll if I’d left that alone, instead I was left with like 15% of it.
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Jan 27, 2020 22:11
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The Joe Man posted:I'm debating whether I should cash out after he wins NH or not. Only thing I'm worried about for holding long-term is some freak accident since we live in hellworld: I would probably sell part of it, then sell another part after the spike when Bernie wins NH. There's no accounting for DNC fuckery and 27c is a very good price.
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Jan 28, 2020 02:39
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I’ve definitely been way more cautious after getting burned during 2016 as well. I had 1000 shares of Bernie for the primary at 8 cents each and I’ve been selling some here and there as it’s gone up. I’ve already made back my initial investment and I’ll probably cash out most of my shares after NH.
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Jan 28, 2020 03:03
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when you bought a bunch of bernie a year ago and didn't check PI until this morning
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Jan 28, 2020 19:20
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My big sell order on Bernie in New Hampshire went through yesterday at 80c so I've bought the other side for huge negative risk. Happy primary season everyone.
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Feb 1, 2020 00:46
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REMINDER RE: FREE MONEY: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6112/Will-Andrew-Yang-win-at-least-one-primary
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Feb 3, 2020 02:07
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Vox Nihili posted:REMINDER RE: FREE MONEY: i think i've maxed like four times on this site and this is one of them
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Feb 3, 2020 02:40
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Vox Nihili posted:REMINDER RE: FREE MONEY: hell yeah thanks
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Feb 3, 2020 02:43
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watch him win hawaii
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Feb 3, 2020 03:21
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speaking of free money, lmao that SC market
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Feb 4, 2020 02:37
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lol at today
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Feb 4, 2020 10:42
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My bets are small change but I still made a pretty penny off of Buttigieg's early declaration of victory, the complete flip the other way after and then the second bounce, that was fun. Also I'd laugh really loving hard of some major news was announced while Predictit maintenance was happening, although I guess that's unlikely.
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Feb 4, 2020 10:49
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biden no in iowa still looking good lmao @ the rest
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Feb 4, 2020 10:51
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i pulled everything out iowa, theres no way predictit doesn't resolve that into something stupid
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Feb 4, 2020 17:22
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Raskolnikov38 posted:i pulled everything out iowa, theres no way predictit doesn't resolve that into something stupid Bernie is sitting at $0.69 (nice) and I'm sorely tempted to do the same
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Feb 4, 2020 17:31
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I definitely underestimated the ratfucking. Still, Bernie is at $0.25 in Iowa so if you believe his campaign that a good buy
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Feb 4, 2020 23:16
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back up to 40c or so now, poo poo is all over the place
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Feb 4, 2020 23:35
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gently caress it, hodling for Bernie. I have to actually do work and stop following this poo poo for a bit.
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Feb 4, 2020 23:41
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someone said in one of the other threads they sold Bernie at 70c and bought back in at 25c. i have a long way to go to learn to predictit right
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Feb 4, 2020 23:47
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HOLD ON BERNO!!!! I had the site open when the “results” first came out on live tv and I just stared at it instead of doing the sell and rebuy lower pro move. I was also double my money last night but held out for more. I always need to leave myself the option for catastrophic failure!
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Feb 5, 2020 01:28
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I think Bernie will close the gap a bit but it's going to be insanely close. Those 100% Berno satellite results would have to be the key.
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Feb 5, 2020 01:35
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a compounding factor is the Predictit market is based on delegates, not votes, and a tie goes to ratface because of alphabet
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Feb 5, 2020 01:58
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bawfuls posted:a compounding factor is the Predictit market is based on delegates, not votes, and a tie goes to ratface because of alphabet lmao
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Feb 5, 2020 02:02
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caught a bit of the pete swing, now all i need is this market to close so my bidens will cash out too
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Feb 5, 2020 03:20
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all my bernie gains are gone, guess i'll just hold out and see if it resolves that the guy with the most votes won
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Feb 5, 2020 07:12
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ScrubLeague posted:all my bernie gains are gone, guess i'll just hold out and see if it resolves that the guy with the most votes won you know vote total was never the parameter for this market right
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Feb 5, 2020 07:23
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yeah of course
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Feb 5, 2020 07:48
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bawfuls posted:a compounding factor is the Predictit market is based on delegates, not votes, and a tie goes to ratface because of alphabet The predictit rules say It is based on state delegate equivalent count which goes down to the tenths or hundredths decimal. The market will not be determined by alphabetical order.
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Feb 5, 2020 16:01
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| # ? May 16, 2024 18:01 |
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I still believe Bernie will win the SDEs
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Feb 5, 2020 16:05
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