|
if they put up a market for "will mitch mcconnell summon a demon on the senate floor before 12/31/20 i think i'd bid .15
|
#
?
Sep 19, 2020 12:43
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 22, 2024 05:34 |
|
|
i say swears online posted:if they put up a market for "will mitch mcconnell summon a demon on the senate floor before 12/31/20 i think i'd bid .15 Since we already have some side action on Louisiana in the presidential race, I'll let you do a three-team, two-team teaser round robin banger with Louisiana and Mitch McConnell summoning a demon. You'd literally be taking money from me. You can't lose. Whaddya say?
|
|
#
?
Sep 19, 2020 13:53
|
|
|
mcconnell summons the demon but it's a bama fan and the dems still win LA anyway. ez money
|
|
#
?
Sep 19, 2020 13:59
|
|
|
if there's a market i will go all fuckin in on them pushing through janine piro within the month
|
|
#
?
Sep 19, 2020 17:19
|
|
|
Amy Coney Barrett as next nominee is only at .53 right now. Trump has told staff (and it's been publicly reported) that he was saving Barrett specifically to replace RBG. If you believe he still remembers he was gonna do that, this seems like an okay buy.
|
|
#
?
Sep 19, 2020 20:18
|
|
|
skaboomizzy posted:Amy Coney Barrett as next nominee is only at .53 right now. Trump has told staff (and it's been publicly reported) that he was saving Barrett specifically to replace RBG. If you believe he still remembers he was gonna do that, this seems like an okay buy.
|
|
#
?
Sep 19, 2020 20:21
|
|
|
user JUDAKEL has taken me up on 10:1 for trump to win the presidency and 5:1 for trump to win wisconsin, he is putting up respectively $1000 and $500 to my $100 in both markets in that he thinks the sitting president will win both contests posting it here so i won't forget since i keep asking him to DM me and he will not
|
|
#
?
Sep 20, 2020 16:08
|
|
|
i say swears online posted:shorting the absolute gently caress out of barrett, .53 is absurd I bought in at .48 and should have sold when it was .60-something
|
|
#
?
Sep 20, 2020 16:18
|
|
|
skaboomizzy posted:Amy Coney Barrett as next nominee is only at .53 right now. Trump has told staff (and it's been publicly reported) that he was saving Barrett specifically to replace RBG. If you believe he still remembers he was gonna do that, this seems like an okay buy. Thank you! Snagged some and eye-balled .65 on a whim, came back and it all sold. I'm only beer-money level trading but still feels good
|
|
#
?
Sep 20, 2020 18:27
|
|
|
i say swears online posted:user JUDAKEL has taken me up on 10:1 for trump to win the presidency and 5:1 for trump to win wisconsin, he is putting up respectively $1000 and $500 to my $100 in both markets in that he thinks the sitting president will win both contests
|
|
#
?
Sep 20, 2020 19:10
|
|
|
succ zone is for people so traumatized by 2016 that they can't do math
|
|
#
?
Sep 20, 2020 23:46
|
|
|
i say swears online posted:user JUDAKEL has taken me up on 10:1 for trump to win the presidency and 5:1 for trump to win wisconsin, he is putting up respectively $1000 and $500 to my $100 in both markets in that he thinks the sitting president will win both contests unless judakel is maxed and really degen then lol
|
|
#
?
Sep 21, 2020 08:49
|
|
|
*suddenly becoming extremely greedy* judakel if you want to give me similar odds i could use a very favorable hedge for my anti-biden bets
|
|
#
?
Sep 21, 2020 08:51
|
|
|
lmao yeah if he had any intention of seriously taking that bet he'd have half the gamblers on the planet knocking at his door with those odds i really wish there was more stupid trump money on PI. there's a lot but it's not enough. it feels like robbing people, in a good way
|
|
#
?
Sep 21, 2020 13:15
|
|
|
I bought 100 shares of Barbara Lagoa at 35c. Tell me how degenerate I am. Quick edit: Overseas odds have her as the favorite according to a newsweek article. What could go wrong.
|
|
#
?
Sep 21, 2020 20:10
|
|
|
grieving for Gandalf posted:I bought in at .48 and should have sold when it was .60-something just kidding it's at .83 and she's been to the White House twice this week, I win bitches
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 01:50
|
|
|
same but the opposite mistakenly figured trump would find lagoa hotter than barrett
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 01:53
|
|
|
I'm bag holding Lagoa holding out for magic with my $35.
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 01:54
|
|
|
tangy yet delightful posted:I'm bag holding Lagoa holding out for magic with my $35.
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 01:57
|
|
|
ShadowHawk posted:If they think Trump is a 90% favorite why on earth would they bet like this rather than on a place like Predictit where that exact bet gets literally 15x the return? I didn't. He owes me 10,000 if I win.
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 02:17
|
|
|
tangy yet delightful posted:I'm bag holding Lagoa holding out for magic with my $35. you should be buying Barret NOs right now everyone should
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 04:36
|
|
|
Grandpa Palpatine posted:you should be buying Barret NOs right now  currently running money on Rs winning FL and GA, Dems taking the ME senate race, and NO Dems 10.5% or more in the popular vote margin
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 04:46
|
|
|
Judakel posted:I didn't. He owes me 10,000 if I win.
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 17:36
|
|
|
ShadowHawk posted:That's not what his post here implies. If you two are disagreeing on whether you bet 1:10 or 10:1 you need to figure that poo poo out right now. Clearly, Trump is the underdog. Guess the second emergency stimulus check is coming in November.
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 18:53
|
|
|
food for thought
|
|
#
?
Sep 23, 2020 19:13
|
|
|
Judakel posted:Clearly, Trump is the underdog. Guess the second emergency stimulus check is coming in November. Did you bet 1,000 vs his 10,000 or 1,000 vs his 100 like he claims?
|
|
#
?
Sep 24, 2020 01:48
|
|
|
ShadowHawk posted:This post doesn't actually clarify anything. 1,000 vs 10,000.
|
|
#
?
Sep 24, 2020 03:07
|
|
|
theres no clear agreement so ban anyone who demands to collect on this bet after the election concludes
|
|
#
?
Sep 24, 2020 04:29
|
|
|
Make bets is grounds to close an entire sub forum so good job qcs spies you did it!
|
|
#
?
Sep 24, 2020 22:13
|
|
|
Judakel posted:1,000 vs 10,000. oh gently caress I didn't realize, I guess you'll owe me $100 million if I win
|
|
#
?
Sep 25, 2020 04:18
|
|
|
Well there's a supposed leak that Barrett is the pick, and given the sieve like nature of Trump's inner circle it's probably true. Saw the news fairly late and at this point I'd be salvaging shares at 5c so I'm just going to hope for a miracle to make money on this one now.
|
|
#
?
Sep 26, 2020 01:12
|
|
|
I... hear a voice calling to me. It says, "throw your money away"
|
|
#
?
Sep 26, 2020 23:25
|
|
|
okay newbie question: when will the Barnett market close and give me returns on my stocks?
|
|
#
?
Sep 26, 2020 23:31
|
|
|
Wrex Ruckus posted:I... hear a voice calling to me. It says, "throw your money away" that seems like a pretty arbable market
|
|
#
?
Sep 26, 2020 23:44
|
|
|
grieving for Gandalf posted:okay newbie question: when will the Barnett market close and give me returns on my stocks? 6 months after it should have.
|
|
#
?
Sep 26, 2020 23:44
|
|
|
i don't think it'll take long at all to resolve for barrett
|
|
#
?
Sep 26, 2020 23:48
|
|
|
I should've put money on judge confirmation before November 3rd last week. 
|
|
#
?
Sep 27, 2020 00:26
|
|
|
I feel like this is extremely mispriced: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/4365/Which-party-will-control-the-House-after-2020-election
|
|
#
?
Sep 28, 2020 14:32
|
|
|
bollig posted:I feel like this is extremely mispriced: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/4365/Which-party-will-control-the-House-after-2020-election Indeed. This one won't officially resolve until the new Congress is sworn in in January, though, which may account for the present discount. This would be a good one to shift funds over to after Biden doesn't drop out of the race before 11/1. I'm deep against Trump in Minnesota. Was picking it up when it was running in the 60's. I'm still holding some of my available cash back in hopes of an MI-03 market. If anyone wants to support that cause by sending a quick market suggestion email to markets at predictit dot org, it would be appreciated. At least RCP shows MI-03 as tossup. It makes more sense than some of these one-sided contests they're currently offering markets for.
|
|
#
?
Sep 28, 2020 15:20
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 22, 2024 05:34 |
|
|
Merlot Brougham posted:Indeed. This one won't officially resolve until the new Congress is sworn in in January, though, which may account for the present discount. This would be a good one to shift funds over to after Biden doesn't drop out of the race before 11/1. THat makes sense. For the long resolve ones, like 'will Michelle Obama run in 2020' and stuff like that, I just set the sell to 99 which does the trick. I also just think this is nuts: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5602/Which-party-will-win-Virginia-in-the-2020-presidential-election
|
|
#
?
Sep 28, 2020 19:10
|
|