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Hodgepodge
Jan 29, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 202 days!

Car Hater posted:

It's physics, not econ. Open systems must grow in order to maintain themselves.

yes, earth needs sunlight, humans needs air, water, and food

earth is not dying because it isn't expanding, open systems need energy input and we know next to nothing about such systems because non-equilibrium thermodynamics is a young field

there are no closed systems in nature. our assumption that the universe is a closed system is well motivated but could easily be hilariously wrong.

Hodgepodge has issued a correction as of 19:42 on Dec 25, 2020

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Orvin
Sep 9, 2006




Xaris posted:

because it’s a distribution problem and we need to keep Phoenix alive. people should never leave their area, we can keep them there. plenty of water in the Great Lakes. pump away

But that requires infrastructure to be built. How will anyone in power be willing to sign off on that much of an infrastructure buildout?

Rectal Death Adept
Jun 20, 2018

by Fluffdaddy

Rutibex posted:

why would you pump the water down to some desert. it makes more sense to have all the people come live next to the great lakes in some kind of mega-city

sounds like someone hates freedom and doesn't want lush green golf courses in a 125 degree hellzone that melts people and cars to the streets

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

maximizing energy consumption isn’t a requirement of physics it’s just called being fat

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Orvin posted:

But that requires infrastructure to be built. How will anyone in power be willing to sign off on that much of an infrastructure buildout?

privatize the infrastructure but have the public pay for it duh

Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES

Car Hater posted:

It's physics, not econ. Open systems must grow in order to maintain themselves.

You're trying to get out of doing the dishes with the concept of entropy.

Hodgepodge
Jan 29, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 202 days!

Trabisnikof posted:

maximizing energy consumption isn’t a requirement of physics it’s just called being fat

attempting to maximize my growth and now I have every type of cancer

Car Hater
May 7, 2007

wolf. bike.
Wolf. Bike.
Wolf! Bike!
WolfBike!
WolfBike!
ARROOOOOO!
Guys no, civilization is the open system, it must to increase energy throughput in order to maintain itself, I'm trying to get out of dishes existing, trust me I know I'm crazy.

Chamale
Jul 11, 2010

I'm helping!



Weather chat: Normally in Calgary in December, it's too cold for precipitation. This year we've had 70 centimetres of snow over the past five days.

uncop posted:

I think most of the horror about collapse is due to this boomer-influenced mindset that one's life should be planned long term and follow some kind of happy upward trend and end with a nice, stable family. And that the purpose of a parent is to secure that type of future for their offspring as well. That's the loss that young people seem to be grieving or deluding themselves about. The cure is to not get so attached to imaginary futures, stop obsessing about instability, and appreciate the moment. Living prepared to die, for your children to die etc. isn't alien at all to human existence. Due to capitalism, we have an instinct to associate ruin with the much worse fate of being cast out of society and left to fend for ourselves however we can, but when everyone's getting ruined at the same time, what's going to happen is the opposite: people stick close together for security.

The practical reason not to have kids used to be ecological sustainability, but if you assume there will be no basis for sustainability anyway, actually the pro strat would be to have kids and not give a drat about the consequences. The vision for childless people used to be that they'd be taken care of by a functional, sustainable society, but if you assume that that kind of society will be gone, children and grandchildren are very good to have. Of course, there used to be a moral gap between generations as the parents would be ensured to die of old age before collapse, but that gap is disappearing quickly if it hasn't already. People moralizing randos for having kids start looking like losers trying to philosophize their way out of reality, while the people living enjoyably in the present are likely to live longer and happier lives.

What I'm saying is that you can both be aware that things are going to hell and live what passes for a normal life, because you can just build a world outlook that accommodates both. Moral philosophy is just poo poo we make up to justify what we were going to do anyway. I'm actually amazed how easy it has been to crack and ping about the prospect of coming back from this, but feel good despite doing pretty much nothing. Here I am, an idiot just coming up with new justifications for old behavior.

This is an extremely good post and I appreciate it.

Chamale has issued a correction as of 20:01 on Dec 25, 2020

Xaris
Jul 25, 2006

Lucky there's a family guy
Lucky there's a man who positively can do
All the things that make us
Laugh and cry

Rectal Death Adept posted:

sounds like someone hates freedom and doesn't want lush green golf courses in a 125 degree hellzone that melts people and cars to the streets
this.

not very woke of u to imply people shouldn't be living in the desert and being kicked out of their houses just because it's no longer habitable and also no food grows within 750 miles and required 24/7 ac to not die. we can send plenty of food and water down there to keep golf courses alive powered by lots of nuclear plants. its just unequal distribution

Perry Mason Jar
Feb 24, 2006

"Della? Take a lid"
It's true that natural tendencies are unavoidable. It's untrue that it has anything to do with a human mode production, either capitalism or communism. Capitalism is a praxis which is just as much doing a natural thing as it is doing an unnatural thing (because it is natural for humans to move against their tendencies when it is advantageous). That is, the humans that maintain the capitalist structure understand, or can understand, that they are perpetuating a contradiction.

The tendency of capital to accumulate is well understood by Marxists and its occurrence in nature, as such (to a degree which I personally don't know), simply informs what one system does (allow the tendency to survive and take its natural course - societal inertia is just as natural as anything else; class society having developed, its perpetuation is only limited by its natural limitations) vs what another system does (acknowledge and remediate the tendency, as is natural to humans, and allow the consequences of doing so to develop naturally).

Minera
Sep 26, 2007

All your friends and foes,
they thought they knew ya,
but look who's in your heart now.
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/underwater-meadows-seagrass-could-be-ideal-carbon-sinks-180970686/

yet another insane bio-engineering project to save us from ourselves

one of the opening lines in the article is blowing off trees as carbon sinks because they get turned into firewood

emTme3
Nov 7, 2012

by Hand Knit

Dongicus posted:

Hey man, It's Christmas.

gently caress Christmas.

MightyBigMinus posted:

one of the most irritatingly dumb big-brianed-leftist things on this forum is the belief that economic growth being modeled off of natural growth is somehow "capitalist propaganda"

what does this even mean? there's nothing even remotely 'natural' about capitalism - previous social orders were had cultural and technical limitations to accumulative expansion, and also were not 'natural'.

The narratives that capitalism is 'natural' isn't propaganda - it's ideology. Even this concept of 'nature' or 'naturalness' is a systematically generated illusion.

Complications
Jun 19, 2014

Minrad posted:

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/underwater-meadows-seagrass-could-be-ideal-carbon-sinks-180970686/

yet another insane bio-engineering project to save us from ourselves

one of the opening lines in the article is blowing off trees as carbon sinks because they get turned into firewood

haven't you been keeping track of what we're doing to forests?

trees as carbon sinks was never an option

that said with oceans warming as they are seagrass isn't gonna work too well either

Minera
Sep 26, 2007

All your friends and foes,
they thought they knew ya,
but look who's in your heart now.

Complications posted:

haven't you been keeping track of what we're doing to forests?

trees as carbon sinks was never an option

yeah, i'm just lmao and mildly crack pinging at the idea of trees naturally becoming firewood, as if forests didn't exist on this planet until we came along

Minera
Sep 26, 2007

All your friends and foes,
they thought they knew ya,
but look who's in your heart now.
alien uncovering fossilized home full of christmas decorations

"it appears they were building these fake plastic trees as some kind of a religious ceremony as they destroyed their world, perhaps thinking that the fake trees would bring back real ones"

Hodgepodge
Jan 29, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 202 days!
even darwinism, obviously a solid scientific development that's beyond having merely proven its value, was formulated and is still interpreted in very ideological terms, ie with a focus on competition. i once blew a :biotruths: redditors mind by pointing out that communication is maybe the most important advantage an organism can possess. they thought biologists didn't consider communication important, a position i had previously thought to be so far gone that i thought it only existed as a strawman in my own mind. (they didn't double down at all so I suspect youth was a factor).

and this has been explicitly ideological in other ways besides lysenkoism. the full title of kropotkins now beloved of goons book was Mutual Aid: A Factor of Evolution (1902), and it is considered an important work in directing attention towards cooperative strategies in nature and still consistent with our present understanding of evolution

mutualism and even altruism are now well understood as indispensable to our understanding of natural behaviour

Hodgepodge has issued a correction as of 01:39 on Dec 26, 2020

Shifty Nipples
Apr 8, 2007

splifyphus posted:

gently caress Christmas.

chairface
Oct 28, 2007

No matter what you believe, I don't believe in you.

Minrad posted:

alien uncovering fossilized home full of christmas decorations

"it appears they were building these fake plastic trees as some kind of a religious ceremony as they destroyed their world, perhaps thinking that the fake trees would bring back real ones"

Her green plastic watering can
For her fake Chinese rubber plant
In the fake plastic earth

NoNotTheMindProbe
Aug 9, 2010
pony porn was here
Even a steady state economy must continually grow to counter the effects of non-renewable resource depletion.

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?

uncop posted:

I think most of the horror about collapse is due to this boomer-influenced mindset that one's life should be planned long term and follow some kind of happy upward trend and end with a nice, stable family. And that the purpose of a parent is to secure that type of future for their offspring as well. That's the loss that young people seem to be grieving or deluding themselves about. The cure is to not get so attached to imaginary futures, stop obsessing about instability, and appreciate the moment. Living prepared to die, for your children to die etc. isn't alien at all to human existence. Due to capitalism, we have an instinct to associate ruin with the much worse fate of being cast out of society and left to fend for ourselves however we can, but when everyone's getting ruined at the same time, what's going to happen is the opposite: people stick close together for security.

The practical reason not to have kids used to be ecological sustainability, but if you assume there will be no basis for sustainability anyway, actually the pro strat would be to have kids and not give a drat about the consequences. The vision for childless people used to be that they'd be taken care of by a functional, sustainable society, but if you assume that that kind of society will be gone, children and grandchildren are very good to have. Of course, there used to be a moral gap between generations as the parents would be ensured to die of old age before collapse, but that gap is disappearing quickly if it hasn't already. People moralizing randos for having kids start looking like losers trying to philosophize their way out of reality, while the people living enjoyably in the present are likely to live longer and happier lives.

What I'm saying is that you can both be aware that things are going to hell and live what passes for a normal life, because you can just build a world outlook that accommodates both. Moral philosophy is just poo poo we make up to justify what we were going to do anyway. I'm actually amazed how easy it has been to crack and ping about the prospect of coming back from this, but feel good despite doing pretty much nothing. Here I am, an idiot just coming up with new justifications for old behavior.

What you're saying here is okay, but I do take pretty serious issue with one thing:

quote:

Due to capitalism, we have an instinct to associate ruin with the much worse fate of being cast out of society and left to fend for ourselves however we can, but when everyone's getting ruined at the same time, what's going to happen is the opposite: people stick close together for security.

The problem is that it's extremely unlikely that anyone here will live to see any kind of wide-scale collapse. And by "collapse," I mean experiencing something where you're somewhat permanently cut off from any strong form of non-local authority. The reason we're hosed in the first place is that people with wealth and power are unwilling to give up even an ounce of it for the greater good, and that means we're going to ride the current order of things until everything collapses violently or we reach some kind of steady-state of misery.

The future for most people in this thread is probably going to look just like today, but you're going to be poorer and more miserable. The same constraints are going to exist. Everyone won't get ruined at the same time and you'll face that same level of alienation because that's how we've built our society, and it all falls apart once that changes. The current situation is a loving great example. We're in the midst of a mass unemployment, poverty, eviction, and homelessness crisis. It doesn't matter. People are barely noticing when these things affect their neighbors, let alone people they don't know.

It's already becoming drastically harder for people to support large families. I don't see how that's likely to change in the future.

Cup Runneth Over
Aug 8, 2009

She said life's
Too short to worry
Life's too long to wait
It's too short
Not to love everybody
Life's too long to hate


Rutibex posted:

why would you pump the water down to some desert. it makes more sense to have all the people come live next to the great lakes in some kind of mega-city

what kind of mega-city?

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"
Just look at how unhinged people are now amidst minor inconveniences. People have been beaten and killed for telling people to wear masks. I think the wide-scale collapse you think none of us will see are coming sooner than any of us would prefer.

Sing Along
Feb 28, 2017

by Athanatos
i'm currently renting in tucson and strongly considering moving to the upper peninsula of michigan (i'm fortunate to finally have found a remote position). is this a terrible idea?

Sing Along
Feb 28, 2017

by Athanatos

Cup Runneth Over posted:

what kind of mega-city?

soviet microdistricts covering several hundred square miles with a sprinkling of industrial areas

Shima Honnou
Dec 1, 2010

The Once And Future King Of Dicetroit

College Slice

Sing Along posted:

i'm currently renting in tucson and strongly considering moving to the upper peninsula of michigan (i'm fortunate to finally have found a remote position). is this a terrible idea?

Depends. Are you afraid of moose or snow?

Smug Mug
Jul 21, 2011

Sing Along posted:

i'm currently renting in tucson and strongly considering moving to the upper peninsula of michigan (i'm fortunate to finally have found a remote position). is this a terrible idea?

the up rules. do it.

i suspect the broadband is not the best in a lot of areas but if you are closeby to houghton/hancock or marquette you should be able to get a good enough connection for remote work.

Xaris
Jul 25, 2006

Lucky there's a family guy
Lucky there's a man who positively can do
All the things that make us
Laugh and cry

Sing Along posted:

i'm currently renting in tucson and strongly considering moving to the upper peninsula of michigan (i'm fortunate to finally have found a remote position). is this a terrible idea?

sounds like a good idea OP

if only because arizona is super hosed sometime here in the not too distant future. tho tucson is literally the only 'good' part of arizona.

Hodgepodge
Jan 29, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 202 days!

Sing Along posted:

i'm currently renting in tucson and strongly considering moving to the upper peninsula of michigan (i'm fortunate to finally have found a remote position). is this a terrible idea?

michigan is many things, but a place where you are at risk of dying due to a lethal wet-bulb temperature it is not

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Hodgepodge posted:

michigan is many things, but a place where you are at risk of dying due to a lethal wet-bulb temperature it is not

lol not for long. Detroit, for example, will see at least 2 days with off the charts heat index a year by the end of the century. And spend 20+ with heat index above 105

https://ucsusa.org/resources/killer-heat-interactive-tool?location=detroit--mi&heat=off-charts

https://ucsusa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=e4e9082a1ec343c794d27f3e12dd006d


(UP does fair better)

Rectal Death Adept
Jun 20, 2018

by Fluffdaddy

Sing Along posted:

i'm currently renting in tucson and strongly considering moving to the upper peninsula of michigan (i'm fortunate to finally have found a remote position). is this a terrible idea?

My issue with that is the unpredictability of climate change.

It makes sense to move further north, away from the expanding tropical zones, and closer to the poles. Also to higher elevations to get away from rising waters.

However, As we continue to savagely own ourselves and see more ownage-over-time we are learning how much more complicated than just warming climate change is. Weird poo poo where the artic is really hot and yet Japan is cold enough to shatter steel. Polar vortexes and triple hurricanes. The jet stream breaks and gives the eastern seaboard a 100 degree spring.

So on paper it sounds like a good spot. Near fresh water with fertile land. As the southwest becomes uninhabitable and every growzone flips hotter (Ohio is GA -> GA is Florida -> Florida is Central America) Michigan would go from being super low to mid-range. The problem is for all we know we are going to get new poo poo like Ultra Winter where all vegetation is shocked to death in a single season that could be 12 months long. That or Ultra Summer where it's 30 degrees hotter than it has ever been for six straight months and either one of those or the combination of the two start to drastically gently caress up the local ecosystems.

Definitely a way better choice than Arizona, which is a monument to mankind's hubris right now.

Rectal Death Adept has issued a correction as of 09:19 on Dec 26, 2020

Sing Along
Feb 28, 2017

by Athanatos
I'm thinking of Marquette specifically, and they seem to have sufficient ISPs. I worked at remote mining sites in alaska for a bit so I'm not too concerned about moose/snow/bears and after all of this talk of the great lakes region it seems like a nice place to just go and worry less. it was loving 90+ degrees here in tucson well into December this year and it just sets me tremendously on edge

Sing Along
Feb 28, 2017

by Athanatos

Xaris posted:

sounds like a good idea OP

if only because arizona is super hosed sometime here in the not too distant future. tho tucson is literally the only 'good' part of arizona.

i've lived here for basically 25 years and the california influx is becoming a massive problem. the cost of living is getting way too high for how lovely tucson is, even if tucson being lovely is something you appreciate

Cup Runneth Over
Aug 8, 2009

She said life's
Too short to worry
Life's too long to wait
It's too short
Not to love everybody
Life's too long to hate


Sing Along posted:

soviet microdistricts covering several hundred square miles with a sprinkling of industrial areas

do you have any illustrations to accompany this concept?

Cup Runneth Over
Aug 8, 2009

She said life's
Too short to worry
Life's too long to wait
It's too short
Not to love everybody
Life's too long to hate


maybe some YouTube videos??

redleader
Aug 18, 2005

Engage according to operational parameters

Cup Runneth Over posted:

what kind of mega-city?

domes

Sing Along
Feb 28, 2017

by Athanatos

Cup Runneth Over posted:

maybe some YouTube videos??

are you requesting The Video?

Cup Runneth Over
Aug 8, 2009

She said life's
Too short to worry
Life's too long to wait
It's too short
Not to love everybody
Life's too long to hate


Accretionist I am teeing it up for you just loving post it already

Hodgepodge
Jan 29, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 202 days!

Trabisnikof posted:

lol not for long. Detroit, for example, will see at least 2 days with off the charts heat index a year by the end of the century. And spend 20+ with heat index above 105

https://ucsusa.org/resources/killer-heat-interactive-tool?location=detroit--mi&heat=off-charts

https://ucsusa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=e4e9082a1ec343c794d27f3e12dd006d


(UP does fair better)

this is excellent news... for the great ant empire :toot:

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Sing Along
Feb 28, 2017

by Athanatos

Cup Runneth Over posted:

Accretionist I am teeing it up for you just loving post it already

Accretionist posted:

Also, microdistricts:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGVBv7svKLo&t=420s

Fun Fact: Vienna's consistently ranked #1 in the world for quality of life.

Fun Fact: ~60% of Viennese live in some form of public housing.

We could do that here. We could do that everywhere.

Green space. Transit-oriented. Walkable.

What's the model? What's that name again?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xP3M-BlpucA









In these stressful times, I wish you sweet dreamings of stalinkas and khrushchyovkas

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