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Gerblederp
Dec 4, 2009

Anyone who thinks windchill isn’t real has clearly never worked outside where it actually gets cold

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more falafel please
Feb 26, 2005

forums poster

Intruder posted:

I'm talking about fixing games though. Even paying off the ump seems like a somewhat high risk prospect since you have to pay them enough to risk a high paying job with extremely high job security when it's so easy for random poo poo to ruin your entire wager

With prop bets it becomes so much harder to look for variance though. If you can influence a pitcher (or catcher, or pitching coach, or manager) to throw a particular pitch on the first pitch of an AB, you can influence a prop bet, and no one would think it was weird that the first pitch of an AB was a normal pitch the pitcher throws.

Popete
Oct 6, 2009

This will make sure you don't suggest to the KDz
That he should grow greens instead of crushing on MCs

Grimey Drawer
We had MLB giving Judge and Pujols juiced balls 2 years ago to chase home run records and hardly anyone talks about it.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

Sydin posted:

Sure but doesn't baseball also have a lot more little microbets? Like I'm pretty sure you can put bets on a particular AB's outcome, and that's definitely something an umpire could have a massively outsized influence on.

Yeah it's these kinds of bets that are the big problem, and that article is about how the NCAA wants to ban prop bets specifically. It's how they caught Jontay Porter, he was an end-of-bench guy who was getting more action than superstars.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

That judge thing was a travesty

Oh well I’m happy the Yankees fans had something to feel good about for once

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves

Popete posted:

We had MLB giving Judge and Pujols juiced balls 2 years ago to chase home run records and hardly anyone talks about it.

Cause cheating for cool poo poo to happen is fine, cheating for gambling is not

Cheating saved baseball after the strike! We should all praise those who go above and beyond the rules to make good things happen

Sydin
Oct 29, 2011

Another spring commute

Popete posted:

We had MLB giving Judge and Pujols juiced balls 2 years ago to chase home run records and hardly anyone talks about it.

Yeah the league itself is already blatantly putting its thumb on the scale to chase ratings and nobody cares, sports betting is here to stay and will survive even a major Black Sox level scandal barring some kind of huge grassroots moral outrage campaign because it is an insane money machine for the 1%.

AlbertFlasher
Feb 14, 2006

Hulk Hogan and the Wrestling Boot Band
Ya no doubt there is going to be a major betting scandal that blows up in any of the major sports league. It's an inevitable. The temptation is just way to strong and the money swirling around is insane. Someones going to try.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

They want to put iPads at everyone’s seat in the stadium so they can make live exclusive in game bets. Imagine how that will go over

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves

Sydin posted:

Yeah the league itself is already blatantly putting its thumb on the scale to chase ratings and nobody cares, sports betting is here to stay and will survive even a major Black Sox level scandal barring some kind of huge grassroots moral outrage campaign because it is an insane money machine for the 1%.

It might survive a moral outrage but I'm willing to bet if for no other reason than appearances congress would put their foot down after any public scandal

explosivo
May 23, 2004

Fueled by Satan

Not sure if this is a hot take but I hate the whole home run celebration props thing. I thought the home run chain the O's had a few seasons ago was kinda cool, the 'home run hose' was like okay at least they're getting some water i bet they're thirsty, now they have the "home run handlebars" where they have a set of motorcycle handlebars and vroom vroom around the dugout and it's just so lame. I think the more elaborate the prop is and the more forced it seems the worse it is.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

I wonder why sports gambling was banned before . Huh. Oh well better not think about that

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves

explosivo posted:

Not sure if this is a hot take but I hate the whole home run celebration props thing. I thought the home run chain the O's had a few seasons ago was kinda cool, the 'home run hose' was like okay at least they're getting some water i bet they're thirsty, now they have the "home run handlebars" where they have a set of motorcycle handlebars and vroom vroom around the dugout and it's just so lame. I think the more elaborate the prop is and the more forced it seems the worse it is.

strongly disagree

Popete
Oct 6, 2009

This will make sure you don't suggest to the KDz
That he should grow greens instead of crushing on MCs

Grimey Drawer

Intruder posted:

It might survive a moral outrage but I'm willing to bet if for no other reason than appearances congress would put their foot down after any public scandal

DraftKings has you covered

mdemone
Mar 14, 2001

I saw all these new posts and I thought "well drat, Euphronious musta said something dumb"

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

Like here are some props from today's Jays/ Astros game





You don't think an ump could affect the O/U on strikeouts? Or some clubhouse guy taking the U on all those Yanier props because he has inside info that Diaz is going to be off that day? Too easy to do and the stakes are insanely high.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

Aren’t gambling companies refusing to pay out some props now

AlbertFlasher
Feb 14, 2006

Hulk Hogan and the Wrestling Boot Band

explosivo posted:

Not sure if this is a hot take but I hate the whole home run celebration props thing. I thought the home run chain the O's had a few seasons ago was kinda cool, the 'home run hose' was like okay at least they're getting some water i bet they're thirsty, now they have the "home run handlebars" where they have a set of motorcycle handlebars and vroom vroom around the dugout and it's just so lame. I think the more elaborate the prop is and the more forced it seems the worse it is.

I don't mind them. It's fun. I rather have that then the completely depressed bench that the Jays currently have. They get a homerun and they do a couple of high fives in the dug out and then everyone is back to depression and despair.

I miss the Jays homerun jacket. Not a surprise that once they got rid of it the team got worse.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

The one nice thing about baseball is it’s on almost every night and the bad feelings from last night don’t linger .

Furnaceface
Oct 21, 2004




Intruder posted:

Cause cheating for cool poo poo to happen is fine, cheating for gambling is not

Astros winning the WS was not cool though.

e:

euphronius posted:

The one nice thing about baseball is it’s on almost every night and the bad feelings from last night don’t linger .

They linger if youre, say, an As or Jays fan.

:smith:

Sydin
Oct 29, 2011

Another spring commute

zoux posted:

Like here are some props from today's Jays/ Astros game





You don't think an ump could affect the O/U on strikeouts? Or some clubhouse guy taking the U on all those Yanier props because he has inside info that Diaz is going to be off that day? Too easy to do and the stakes are insanely high.

Yeah stuff like this is insane but also kinda necessary to prop up the fantasy betting app paradigm that's trying to constantly tempt you at all times to make one more bet or add one more prop to your parlay. If all you could do was bet on game outcomes a huge addictive, instant feedback aspect of the scheme would fall apart.

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves

Furnaceface posted:

Astros winning the WS was not cool though.

:wrong:

Sydin posted:

Yeah stuff like this is insane but also kinda necessary to prop up the fantasy betting app paradigm that's trying to constantly tempt you at all times to make one more bet or add one more prop to your parlay. If all you could do was bet on game outcomes a huge addictive, instant feedback aspect of the scheme would fall apart.

another reason to have high salaries for players/umps, make it much harder to bribe them

who's going to risk their job for a few grand when they make 150K (umps) or millions (players)?

Obviously there'll be cases with complete degenerates who do it for the love of the hustle like Ohtani though

Intruder fucked around with this message at 21:45 on Apr 2, 2024

Sydin
Oct 29, 2011

Another spring commute
I know gambling addiction is way more complex than this but, personally, I have no idea how people do sports betting outside of extremely specific stuff like horse racing where the whole point is to go somewhere and bet. I'm already a nervous goddamn wreck watching the Cubs when I don't have money on the line, if I also stood to lose money because Yencey Almonte got put in during garbage time and might ruin my O/U for K's I'd burst a blood vessel before week 3.

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves
I get stressed by the fake money TFF funbux bets

Shinjobi
Jul 10, 2008


Gravy Boat 2k
The Texas approach to sports betting clearly works because I've never been able to figure out where to even start

I assume I go to an Oklahoma casino or something, I dunno. Too lazy and too stupid to ruin myself in a new way

Hand Row
May 28, 2001

Sydin posted:

I know gambling addiction is way more complex than this but, personally, I have no idea how people do sports betting outside of extremely specific stuff like horse racing where the whole point is to go somewhere and bet. I'm already a nervous goddamn wreck watching the Cubs when I don't have money on the line, if I also stood to lose money because Yencey Almonte got put in during garbage time and might ruin my O/U for K's I'd burst a blood vessel before week 3.

You bet on non Cub games so you get similar anxieties but while watching some garbage game you would never give a poo poo about.

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves
The guy who bet $20K to win $800 in a 3 way parlay because it was free money and lost because Virginia became the first #1 team to ever lose to a #16 was plenty to make sure I'd never do any serious sports gambling. Ok I'll bet my buddy 5 bucks on the outcome of a game or something, fine

Shiroc
May 16, 2009

Sorry I'm late

Popete posted:

We had MLB giving Judge and Pujols juiced balls 2 years ago to chase home run records and hardly anyone talks about it.

Banishing Roger Maris' son was important enough that we all chose to not acknowledge it.

Sydin
Oct 29, 2011

Another spring commute

Hand Row posted:

You bet on non Cub games so you get similar anxieties but while watching some garbage game you would never give a poo poo about.

Becoming a millionaire by just betting the under on the A's over and over and over.

Luigi Thirty
Apr 30, 2006

Emergency confection port.

Gerblederp posted:

Anyone who thinks windchill isn’t real has clearly never worked outside where it actually gets cold

I am from Florida and I went to a night game at Wrigley in September a year or two ago and ended up buying both gloves and those chemical hand warmers because by the 3rd I couldn’t feel my hands

Luigi Thirty
Apr 30, 2006

Emergency confection port.

Sydin posted:

Yeah stuff like this is insane but also kinda necessary to prop up the fantasy betting app paradigm that's trying to constantly tempt you at all times to make one more bet or add one more prop to your parlay. If all you could do was bet on game outcomes a huge addictive, instant feedback aspect of the scheme would fall apart.

I was curious so I installed the DraftKings app - the entire screen you see is nothing but long-shot parlays of prop bets. Like the very first thing it shows you is an 8-leg bet on a bunch of guys to get a base hit, and there’s another ten of them to scroll through with ad copy, and big banner ads at the top about prop parlays, and it’s just the most obvious way to suck money out of your pockets. (I usually use BetRivers if I am putting $5 on something and throwing MLB.TV up all evening.)

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

Yeah the normal money line and point spread bets are gateway loss leaders* into extreme exploitation

* I don’t know if they actually lose money.

KICK BAMA KICK
Mar 2, 2009

rickiep00h posted:

Look at this dumbass that's never worn a stillsuit.
Sadly they gave the last stillsuit bid to Fantatics and the Fremen are all dead now.

STAC Goat
Mar 12, 2008

Watching you sleep.

Butt first, let's
check the feeds.

Gerblederp posted:

Anyone who thinks windchill isn’t real has clearly never worked outside where it actually gets cold
My favorite “wind chill isn’t real” thing is those fisherman cough drops that like burn all your insides. I lived on those in the dead of winter at 5 AM outdoor work.

I was not expecting this thread to blow up because someone declared wind as a lie of big weather.

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves
Not a lie of big weather, simply a non factor if you aren't nude

mdemone
Mar 14, 2001

euphronius posted:

Yeah the normal money line and point spread bets are gateway loss leaders* into extreme exploitation

* I don’t know if they actually lose money.

They make at least the vigorish, because a pick-em line is -115 on both sides

Eric the Mauve
May 8, 2012

Making you happy for a buck since 199X
NBA refs have been on the take for decades and it's one of the reasons I've never been able to get into the NBA.

Like probably refs in all major sports leagues are, they get paid too little in relation to the money in gambling, but something about the structure of rule enforcement in basketball makes it excruciatingly front-and-center in the NBA

e: for one thing the entire concept of a foul-out is ridiculous and puts waaaaay too much game-controlling power in the hands of the refs

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Now I am become Borb,
the Destroyer of Seeb
Betting should be legal and has been around forever.

Leagues getting in bed with betting is gross and ruining lives.

Poque
Sep 11, 2003

=^-^=
Make it illegal to tell me about your stupid parlay

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Popete
Oct 6, 2009

This will make sure you don't suggest to the KDz
That he should grow greens instead of crushing on MCs

Grimey Drawer

Poque posted:

Make it illegal to tell me about your stupid parlay

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