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What's everyone's picks for Condit vs Kampmann 2? I'm prob gonna go a multi on Court-Tavares-Cerrone at 4.25, might put Kelvin on there as well. What's everyone thinking for Condit Vs Kampmann? I want to back Kampmann but not sure if I can sell myself on it.
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Aug 28, 2013 10:13
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turntabler posted:I want to back Kampmann this is the least likely outcome of the night. condit is going to make it look really, really easy. i've got hiyoki / cerrone / condit parlay and feeling pretty good about it.
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Aug 28, 2013 11:31
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Marching Powder posted:this is the least likely outcome of the night. condit is going to make it look really, really easy. Hioki's getting wrestled.
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Aug 28, 2013 13:54
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Condit/Kampmann not going the distance parlayed w/ Kelvin winning - 25.00 for 63.00 Condit within 5 rds 5.00 for 11.00 handsome only face fucked around with this message at 04:01 on Aug 29, 2013 |
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Aug 28, 2013 15:41
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MrSmokes posted:$10.00 to win $6.90: Okami/Souza goes 3 round distance -145* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance $10.00 to win $35.01: parlay of Condit, Gastelum, Tavares, Andrews, Thatch $7.50 to win $5.56: Hatsu Hioki -135* vs Darren Elkins $12.50 to win $4.81: Brandon Thatch -260* vs Justin Edwards $10.00 to win $14.50: Condit wins inside distance +145* vs Not Condit inside distance Feeling good about these. Good luck everyone!
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Aug 28, 2013 16:17
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Anthony Pettis @ 2.00 £17.50 Single Darren Elkins @ 2.10 £17.50 Single Jason High @ 1.80 £17.50 Single Zak Cummings @ 1.80 £17.50 Single Parlays are way too irritating.
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Aug 28, 2013 19:37
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Here are my stupid bets - *(9303) Benson "Smooth" Henderson -130 Aug 31/13@09:30p Competitor: (9302) Anthony "Showtime" Pettis Web US$ 5.00 US$ 3.85 Going to be a good fight but I see Benson doing some layin' in the near future. *(9501) Ben Rothwell +110 Aug 31/13@08:00p Competitor: (9500) Brandon Vera Web US$ 5.00 US$ 5.50 Never, never, never stop underestimating how bad Vera is capable of being. *(9301) Frank Mir +155 Aug 31/13@09:00p Competitor: (9300) Josh "The Warmaster" Barnett Web US$ 5.00 US$ 7.75 Frank Mir is a lot better than he gets credit for AND faced actual competition with some success in the past five years. *(9305) Clay "The Carpenter" Guida +325 Aug 31/13@08:30p Competitor: (9304) Chad "Money" Mendes My stupidity bet of the evening. Guida should lose but has a great ability to herk jerk Jardine himself into some close decisions, so that's a thing. I parlayed them all for a buck as well because gently caress it.
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Aug 28, 2013 19:59
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Betting on Frank Mir makes me feel weird but anytime I see a hyped person from outside the UFC enter it against a veteran as an overdog dollar signs start showing up in my eyes.
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Aug 28, 2013 20:39
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MacDeuce posted:Hioki's getting wrestled. clay guida barely loving eeked out a wrestly decision. elkins is not as good as clay guida imo and hioki's been training specifically for wrestlers for two fights now. he got this.
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Aug 28, 2013 20:44
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Hioki has all the talent in the world but good God that is a man you should not ever trust with your money. He's a brilliant grappler but he has a critical inability to adjust mid fight and sometimes will just fight the stupidest possible fight for no reason whatsoever. Watch his fight with Kim Jong Man to see just how badly he can poo poo the bed against the ultimate gimme opponents.
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Aug 28, 2013 21:00
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Triticum Guzzler posted:Hioki has all the talent in the world but good God that is a man you should not ever trust with your money. He has all the talent in the world but he has a critical inability to adjust mid fight and sometimes will just fight the stupidest possible fight for no reason whatsoever. Watch his fight with Kim Jong Man to see just how badly he can poo poo the bed against the ultimate gimme opponents. You raise a good point but I don't think elkins will have a game plan that will necessitate hioki adjusting mid fight. I believe some glory is overdue to the land of the rising sun
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Aug 28, 2013 21:04
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Triticum Guzzler posted:Hioki has all the talent in the world but good God that is a man you should not ever trust with your money. He's a brilliant grappler but he has a critical inability to adjust mid fight and sometimes will just fight the stupidest possible fight for no reason whatsoever. Watch his fight with Kim Jong Man to see just how badly he can poo poo the bed against the ultimate gimme opponents. I always thought he'd do some good work in the first round or maybe round and a half then start coasting
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Aug 28, 2013 21:16
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Yeah hioki should win this fight on paper, and he has the talent to win it with ease but hes not a great bet from a sports betting perspective. He has the opposite of all the things you look for value in in MMA betting (japanese, not a wrestler, style that judges dont like, on a losing streak, hasnt fought in a long time, etc) on top of which hes a favorite so you are getting no value on your money. I still really hope he wins though, he only lost against Lamas who turned out to be really underrated and lost a bullshit decision to guida which arent 2 bad losses at 145 Last event i had $50 at +300 against my gambler friend on michael johnson against Lauzon, now the same guy is giving me even odds on my $150 that Condit/Kampmann wont go to decision. Im hoping kampmanns chin doesnt hold up, condit just keeps getting better and i think theres no way he doesnt find a hole to TKO kampmann some time during 5 rounds. Lets go... double or nothing... Betting on MMA is good to me manyak fucked around with this message at 22:27 on Aug 28, 2013 |
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Aug 28, 2013 21:54
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I ended up going $100 on Kelvin-Cerrone-Condit at $3.06 and $100 on Hioki-Tavares-Mcgee at $3.94. Good luck everyone.
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Aug 28, 2013 22:26
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turntabler posted:I ended up going $100 on Kelvin-Cerrone-Condit at $3.06 and $100 on Hioki-Tavares-Mcgee at $3.94. While I'm not being critical if you dropped two hundo on some parlays, what the hell do you mean here? +306/+394?
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Aug 28, 2013 23:04
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Captain Log posted:While I'm not being critical if you dropped two hundo on some parlays, what the hell do you mean here? +306/+394? Yeah, Aussie betting sites would do a +200 as $2.00. I just leave it as if because it becomes harder to translate favourites into the +/- style of presenting odds if the site doesn't have the feature.
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Aug 28, 2013 23:15
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turntabler posted:Yeah, Aussie betting sites would do a +200 as $2.00. I just leave it as if because it becomes harder to translate favourites into the +/- style of presenting odds if the site doesn't have the feature. 
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Aug 28, 2013 23:17
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Triticum Guzzler posted:Hioki has all the talent in the world but good God that is a man you should not ever trust with your money. He's a brilliant grappler but he has a critical inability to adjust mid fight and sometimes will just fight the stupidest possible fight for no reason whatsoever. Watch his fight with Kim Jong Man to see just how badly he can poo poo the bed against the ultimate gimme opponents. I just put some money on Hioki based on this threads comments
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Aug 28, 2013 23:22
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willie_dee posted:I just put some money on Hioki based on this threads comments You showed us!
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Aug 28, 2013 23:49
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3 for 3 tonight, so I've stuck £20 to win £32.50 on Condit/Kampit not going the distance.
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Aug 29, 2013 00:13
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All I have on tonight is a twelve fight one dollar lottery. Aside from the no contest, I've hit the other six so far (i think the no contest doesnt count as a loss) . Crossing my finger on the next five. Mizugaki Whittaker Kelvin Cowboy Condit
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Aug 29, 2013 01:42
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attackmole posted:All I have on tonight is a twelve fight one dollar lottery. Aside from the no contest, I've hit the other six so far (i think the no contest doesnt count as a loss) . Crossing my finger on the next five. At my bookies an nc voids the parlay 
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Aug 29, 2013 02:01
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I hope not. I've gotten money back for draws before, so I thiiiiiiink I'm good but this might just lead to disappointment. Of course, because 12 fight parlays are stupid I'm probably gonna lose out on one of the next fights but a man can dream.
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Aug 29, 2013 02:13
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From what I've seen when there is a NC in a parlay it usually gets treated as if the fight never happened and your parlay just gets rolled forward... except if it's NCed after the event due to pissing hot etc and by then I've withdrawn the money and changed betting sites.
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Aug 29, 2013 02:18
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attackmole posted:
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Aug 29, 2013 02:42
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Great event, I won all my bets (hit that sweet 5 fight parlay!) except for Hioki. I also lost $12 on Perez, made that bet before the fight. Can't complain though, still did good.outy posted:Anthony Pettis @ 2.00 outy posted:3 for 3 tonight, so I've stuck £20 to win £32.50 on Condit/Kampit not going the distance. Congrats on all those wins! I'm picking Bendo to win this Saturday though. I just think he's improved more than Pettis has since their first matchup, and his better wrestling will be the key. manyak posted:Last event i had $50 at +300 against my gambler friend on michael johnson against Lauzon, now the same guy is giving me even odds on my $150 that Condit/Kampmann wont go to decision. Im hoping kampmanns chin doesnt hold up, condit just keeps getting better and i think theres no way he doesnt find a hole to TKO kampmann some time during 5 rounds. Lets go... double or nothing... Betting on MMA is good to me You have a cool friend, congrats. UFC 164 bets below! There's a lot of lines that I see good value in. $19.51 to win $16.26: Benson Henderson -120* vs Anthony Pettis $10.00 to win $7.69: Brandon Vera -130* vs Ben Rothwell $5.00 to win $8.50: Soa Palelei +170* vs Nikita Krylov $10.00 to win $11.50: Gleison Tibau +115* vs Jamie Varner $8.00 to win $7.27: Magnus Cedenblad -110* vs Jared Hamman $5.00 to win $5.75: Mendes wins by 3 round decision +115 Silly hail mary parlay $2.00 to win $200.64: Henderson, Barnett, Mendes, Vera, Tibau, Kang, Palelei, Cedenblad $5.00 to win $10.00: Palelei wins inside distance +200 $5.00 to win $21.75: Poirier wins by submission +435 $10.00 to win $23.00: Palelei wins inside distance +230 $5.27 to win $6.32: Soa Palelei +120* vs Nikita Krylov Queering Wheel fucked around with this message at 00:25 on Sep 1, 2013 |
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Aug 29, 2013 13:02
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Long-shots or bust. $5.00 to win $1,071.63 Pending 3 Team Parlay Pending 8/31/13 10:30pm Props Fighting 1311 Vera wins by 3 round decision +450* vs Not Vera by 3 round decision Pending 8/31/13 8:00pm Props Fighting 1829 Ho Kang wins by TKO/KO +1250* vs Any other result Pending 8/31/13 7:30pm Props Fighting 1921 Palelei wins by TKO/KO +190* vs Any other result $5.00 to win $40.00 Pending 8/31/13 6:30pm Props Fighting 11039 Soa Palelei wins KO of the Night +800* vs Not KO of the Night Winner/no winner $5.00 to win $22.50 Pending 8/31/13 10:30pm Props Fighting 1311 Vera wins by 3 round decision +450* vs Not Vera by 3 round decision $5.00 to win $74.75 Pending 8/31/13 9:00pm Props Fighting 1627 Gaudinot wins by submission +1495* vs Any other result $5.00 to win $62.50 Pending 8/31/13 8:00pm Props Fighting 1829 Ho Kang wins by TKO/KO +1250* vs Any other result
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Aug 31, 2013 23:21
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i got poirier, chad money and bendo in a three fight parlay and not feeling good about it along with a 12 fight hail mary featuring me placing money on a jamie varner victory. today is a particularly lovely day for gambling.
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Aug 31, 2013 23:49
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The Palelei/Krylov line is one of the most ridiculous lines I've ever seen. Krylov is absolutely terrible and only a few of his opponents have even had wins. No, not decent win/loss records, wins period. He just picks on fighters making their debut and was once tapped by an arm triangle from inside the guard. Palelei isn't that good but at least he's beaten a lot of guys with actual experience and should not be the underdog. It's bizarre.
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Sep 1, 2013 00:21
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I got money on Poirer, Soa, and Mir. Too many bets on heavyweights for me to be comfortable but whatever, the lines made it seem like a good idea at the time.
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Sep 1, 2013 00:33
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does anyone have any idea why the line with poirier's so good?
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Sep 1, 2013 00:43
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vainman posted:$5.00 to win $40.00 Pending 8/31/13 6:30pm Props Fighting 11039 Soa Palelei wins KO of the Night +800* vs Not KO of the Night Winner/no winner No way this loses now
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Sep 1, 2013 00:53
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HAHAHA that Soa fight. I am really relieved that Soa pulled through, and also dying laughing at how terrible that was.
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Sep 1, 2013 00:54
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Soa won me about 7 bucks, but the real winner was my heart.
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Sep 1, 2013 01:12
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attackmole posted:Soa won me about 7 bucks, but the real winner was my heart. maybe you could donate it to him. the heart, i mean.
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Sep 1, 2013 01:21
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Triticum Guzzler posted:maybe you could donate it to him. the heart, i mean. hahaha Added one more bet on Tibau, $13.09 to win $11.90
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Sep 1, 2013 01:42
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MrSmokes posted:hahaha you may as well have done 'ko / submission in round 1' for more money
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Sep 1, 2013 01:49
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golden oldies pete posted:next card I'm going to oppose your bets again and see if it causes you to win again, and you can count on that !! jase1 you did not deliver how am i supposed to do this you messed it all up if i see you hsutling at the pool table don't be surprised if you get cracked over the head with a pool cue bud !! 2.50 on Dustin Porier for 6.56 7.50 on Pettis finishing & Chad Mendes for 35.16 handsome only face fucked around with this message at 05:21 on Sep 1, 2013 |
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Sep 1, 2013 03:27
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attackmole posted:I got money on Poirer, Soa, and Mir. Too many bets on heavyweights for me to be comfortable but whatever, the lines made it seem like a good idea at the time. Same, plus Rothwell and Smooth because I like high blood pressure.
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Sep 1, 2013 03:28
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golden oldies pete posted:jase1 you did not deliver how am i supposed to do this you messed it all up if i see you hsutling at the pool table don't be surprised if you get cracked over the head with a pool cue bud !! Sorry man first weekend of college football there is no time to watch MMA.
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Sep 1, 2013 03:43
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