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  • Locked thread
OctaMurk
Jun 21, 2013

LeoMarr posted:

Lol if you actually think the "iraqi army" are the ones doing the heavy lifting in the liberation. Its shiite militias propped by iranian weapons and us air support. The shiites are conducting a proto sectarian war against the sunnis. The government canmot control 75% of the units that are conducting policing and conventional reconquest. This is bad as hell. Once isis is gone then you will see sunnis beimg deported to syria so Assad can gas them and hang them. 10 yers from nowne will be looking at shiits 50% 50% demographs sunni shiite populations in tikrit and akashat

Are you high, the heavy fighting in mosul is being done by thr ISF

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FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

Al-Saqr posted:

ok pack it in you guys Maliki and everything him and his death squads who are the exact same people in Hashd never happened nothing between 2008 and 2014 happened that may have contributed to ISIS coming out.

Like they flip that drat coin flag over and it's a rainbow lol

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

LeoMarr posted:

Lol if you actually think the "iraqi army" are the ones doing the heavy lifting in the liberation. Its shiite militias propped by iranian weapons and us air support. The shiites are conducting a proto sectarian war against the sunnis. The government canmot control 75% of the units that are conducting policing and conventional reconquest.


The PMU is not 75% of the ISF (they consist of about a third of the total ISF ground forces, afaik) and they absolutely are not the ones doing the heavy lifting today- hell, that isn't even the regular "Iraqi Army", the (successful) active combat operations in Mosul is almost entirely carried out by a few thousand special forces like the Iraqi CTs or RDF while the other 90k participating in the mosul op secure the gains they fight for or clear villages and escape routes like the Hashd

In an ideal world the PMU and other private militias wouldn't exist, they're obviously a liability once the fighting stops, but if the PMU hadn't coalesced in 2014, regardless of whether it was as a result of Sistani's fatwa or not, there would be fighting in the streets of Baghdad today, not Mosul.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


WhiskeyWhiskers posted:

Just lmao if you apologise for Chetniks and Ustase.

what does that ukrainian nazi woman who's canada's defense minister and NATO attache have to say about it?

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose

icantfindaname posted:

what does that ukrainian nazi woman who's canada's defense minister and NATO attache have to say about it?

What the gently caress are you prattling about?

ecureuilmatrix
Mar 30, 2011
Canada's defense minister is a man and a Sikh. Harjit Sajjan

I deduce you're talking about Foreign Affairs minister Chrystia Freeland who has an Ukrainian grandfather who was editor-in-chief of a paper in Nazi-occupied Krakow.

She's a Federal Liberal, so any position will be designed to be as vague and non-committal as possible.

OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC
Today is Armenian Genocide Remembrance Day.

Darkman Fanpage
Jul 4, 2012

OhFunny posted:

Today is Armenian Genocide Remembrance Day.

Not in Turkey!

OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC

Darkman Fanpage posted:

Not in Turkey!

The last American president to anger Turkey by calling their mass killings genocide was Ronald Reagan. :(

Darkman Fanpage
Jul 4, 2012

OhFunny posted:

The last American president to anger Turkey by calling their mass killings genocide was Ronald Reagan. :(

And that was only because he had dementia and forgot Turkey was a member of NATO.

Torpor
Oct 20, 2008

.. and now for my next trick, I'll pretend to be a political commentator...

HONK HONK

icantfindaname posted:

what does that ukrainian nazi woman who's canada's defense minister and NATO attache have to say about it?



ecureuilmatrix posted:

Canada's defense minister is a man and a Sikh. Harjit Sajjan


Those are pretty close!

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Torpor posted:

Those are pretty close!

well, being a NATO-allied defense minister i'm sure means he has his own rabbit hole of terrible opinions

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007

khwarezm posted:

The Shia Militias of Iraq


Well...


Like Al Sistani literally called his call-up the 'Righteous Jihad Fatwa'.

I've read enough stuff over the years to get the sense of their lawlessness in places like Baghdad, they seem to already be straining the idea of being corralled by conventional police and military already.

e:

LeoMarr posted:

Lol if you actually think the "iraqi army" are the ones doing the heavy lifting in the liberation. Its shiite militias propped by iranian weapons and us air support. The shiites are conducting a proto sectarian war against the sunnis. The government canmot control 75% of the units that are conducting policing and conventional reconquest. This is bad as hell. Once isis is gone then you will see sunnis beimg deported to syria so Assad can gas them and hang them. 10 yers from nowne will be looking at shiits 50% 50% demographs sunni shiite populations in tikrit and akashat

Golden Division and other parts of the Iraqi military have lost like half their numbers in places like Mosul, you can't not take into account how much they're sacrifiicing in the last year or so.

Shageletic fucked around with this message at 22:42 on Apr 24, 2017

Saladin Rising
Nov 12, 2016

When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

An interesting development in France today:
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/24/business/lafarge-ceo-syria-cement.html
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-lafargeholcim-syria-olsen-idUSKBN17Q0E4

quote:

LafargeHolcim (LHN.S) Chief Executive Eric Olsen will leave the company in July after the world's largest cement maker admitted on Monday it had paid armed groups to keep a factory operating in war-ravaged Syria. An independent internal inquiry found protection payments made to intermediaries to keep open the Jalabiya plant in northern Syria were not in line with its policies.

"Significant errors of judgment were made that contravened the applicable code of conduct," the company said, while adding that Olsen was not responsible for any wrongdoing identified in the review. Olsen, who has headed the company since it was created by a merger two years ago, said he was resigning with effect from July 15.

"While I was absolutely not involved in, nor even aware of, any wrongdoing I believe my departure will contribute to bringing back serenity to a company that has been exposed for months on this case," Olsen, who has dual French and American nationality, said in a statement.

French prosecutors are also investigating the group's activities in Syria. Two human rights group have filed a legal complaint in Paris against Lafarge, saying some of its work in Syria may have made it complicit in financing Islamic State and in war crimes.

Olsen's resignation highlights the dilemmas companies face when working in conflict zones.

The report noted the chaos in Syria between 2013 and the evacuation of the plant in September 2014. It added that local managers believed they were acting in the best interests of the company and its staff by trying to keep the plant open. "Very simply, chaos reigned and it was the task of local management to ensure that the intermediaries did whatever was necessary to secure its supply chain and the free movement of its employees," the report said.

The plant cost $680 million to build and had started production only in May 2010.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-04-24/lafargeholcim-ceo-olsen-to-leave-in-july-hess-to-be-interim-ceo


This is of course the same cement plant that the YPG/FSA/Euphrates Volcano took over in April 2015:
https://twitter.com/bosnjoboy/status/588656320103976960?lang=en

quote:

#Syrian Burkan Firat (#FSA/#YPG) members in Lafarge cement plant, partially destroyed, #Kobane #TwitterKurds

And the same plant that is now an airbase for US helicopters and SOF:
https://twitter.com/KabirTaneja/status/840113386184617984

quote:

Now, from few hours ago, alleged pic of US Special Operations Forces (SOF) choppers at Lafarge's cement factory in #Syria. 2/2
Which by proxy means that Lafarge is the company that built one of the US's airbases in Rojava.:pseudo:

Maybe Lafarge's CEO should stick around, I'm sure the US wouldn't mind them building even more airbases for the coalition to use.:v:

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Seems SDF cleared that pocket north of Raqqa and linked up the front

https://twitter.com/arabthomness/status/856564257219117056

https://twitter.com/_paulo34/status/856550134393577472

Darkman Fanpage
Jul 4, 2012
https://twitter.com/FabriceBalanche/status/856632868960960512

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat
Tonight Turkey carried out air strikes against Kurdish targets in Syria and Iraq, including YPG military HQs and infrastructure (an FM radio station destroyed by rockets, among other targets). Dead and wounded confirmed by Kurd sources.

http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Mi...tern-syria.ashx
http://www.nrttv.com/en/Details.aspx?Jimare=14076

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin
https://twitter.com/mmagreen/status/856696358287413249

Saladin Rising
Nov 12, 2016

When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

steinrokkan posted:

Tonight Turkey carried out air strikes against Kurdish targets in Syria and Iraq, including YPG military HQs and infrastructure (an FM radio station destroyed by rockets, among other targets). Dead and wounded confirmed by Kurd sources.

http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Mi...tern-syria.ashx
http://www.nrttv.com/en/Details.aspx?Jimare=14076
Oh hey not even one day and Erdogan's already doing asinine stuff.:suicide:

US is definitely not happy about this:
https://www.reddit.com/r/syriancivilwar/comments/67frr1/coalition_representatives_visiting_karachox_where/
Coalition representatives visiting Karachox, where turkish airstrikes hit:
https://twitter.com/MHJournalist/status/856821910478479360

quote:

القيادي شاهين جيلو وقائد قوات التحالف الدولي في سوريا
بحبل قوه جوخ

https://twitter.com/mutludc/status/856812158742671360

quote:

YPG commanders and Coalition representatives visited Karachox where Turkish airstrikes hit last night

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
https://twitter.com/BarzanSadiq/status/856848707119087616

More US forces setting up in Iraq, this time in the west, fairly close to IS held territory

https://twitter.com/A7_Mirza/status/856795767348088832

Iraqi joint operations has announced the beginning of the catchily named Muhammad Rasul al-Allah (the Shahada thing?) Operation, carried out by PMU forces to the south of Mosul with the aim to liberate the Al-Khathir region (pictured in the tweet) and with further plans to move towards Baaj and the Iraqi-Syrian border line once that is completed.

Bohemian Nights fucked around with this message at 15:18 on Apr 25, 2017

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin
https://twitter.com/Brasco_Aad/status/856840185509806082

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin
http://english.almanar.com.lb/247641

quote:

Russia has restored its 2015 memorandum of understanding on Syrian air operations with the United States at the request of US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, Russia’s Izvestia newspaper reported Tuesday.

Tillerson visited Moscow earlier in April to meet Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and President Vladimir Putin. The sides dealt with a number of issues on the bilateral agenda, including Syria, shortly after a surprise US strike on Syrian army facilities that resulted in Russia suspending its air safety memorandum with Washington.

Russia restored the memorandum on April 13, just a day after Tillerson’s visit, the Izvestia newspaper reported citing a Russian Foreign Ministry source.

“Rex Tillerson asked Russia to reinstate the agreement while in Moscow,” the source told the publication.

The memorandum was singed in October, 2015, shortly after Russia started its counter-terrorist campaign over Syria at the request of Damascus.

Darkman Fanpage
Jul 4, 2012

Glad to see Turkey helping with the ISIS fight.

TildeATH
Oct 21, 2010

by Lowtax

Bohemian Nights posted:

the catchily named Muhammad Rasul al-Allah (the Shahada thing?) Operation

Just means "Prophet Muhammad". Pretty dumb name for a military operation but given how everyone wants to name everything Muhammad I guess it's to be expected.

Yadoppsi
May 10, 2009
I know this isn't about the Middle East but the SE Asian thread is pretty dead, does anyone know more about this or have a source about it that isn't The Intercept?

Trump’s Indonesian Allies In Bed With ISIS-Backed Militia Seeking to Oust Elected President

quote:

Associates of Donald Trump in Indonesia have joined army officers and a vigilante street movement linked to ISIS in a campaign that ultimately aims to oust the country’s president. According to Indonesian military and intelligence officials and senior figures involved in what they call “the coup,” the move against President Joko Widodo (known more commonly as Jokowi), a popular elected civilian, is being impelled from behind the scenes by active and retired generals.

Prominent supporters of the coup movement include Fadli Zon, vice speaker of the Indonesian House of Representatives and Donald Trump’s main political booster in the country; and Hary Tanoe, Trump’s primary Indonesian business partner, who is building two Trump resorts, one in Bali and one outside Jakarta.

This account of the movement to overthrow President Jokowi is based on dozens of interviews and is supplemented by internal army, police, and intelligence documents I obtained or viewed in Indonesia, as well as by NSA intercepts obtained by NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden. Many sources on both sides of the coup spoke on condition of anonymity. Two of them expressed apparently well-founded concerns about their safety.

...

Serving as the main face and public voice of the generals’ political thrust has been a group of what Indonesians call preman — officially sponsored street thugs — in this case, the Islamic Defenders Front, or FPI (Front Pembela Islam). Originally established by the security forces — the aparat — in 1998 as an Islamist front group to assault dissidents, the FPI has been implicated in violent extortion, especially of bars and sex clubs, as well as murders and attacks on mosques and churches. During the mass protests against the governor, FPI leader Habib Rizieq Shihab has openly called for Ahok to be “hanged” and “butchered.”

...

Munarman, who has been videotaped at a ceremony in which a roomful of young men swear allegiance to ISIS and its leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, is also a corporate lawyer working for the Indonesian branch of the mining colossus Freeport McMoRan, now controlled by Carl Icahn, President Trump’s friend and deregulation adviser.

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007

The connection to Trump is hella weak, and Minarman is apparently investigated by the police, the rest seems like familiar bruising SE politics to me. The Intercept to me has been continuosly disappointing.

DrPop
Aug 22, 2004


Apparently the YPG Media Center took a big hit.

https://twitter.com/Tekosin87/status/856878687265976320

WhiskeyWhiskers
Oct 14, 2013

Yadoppsi posted:

I know this isn't about the Middle East but the SE Asian thread is pretty dead, does anyone know more about this or have a source about it that isn't The Intercept?

Trump’s Indonesian Allies In Bed With ISIS-Backed Militia Seeking to Oust Elected President

If there's one thing I've learned in the last week it's that high-ranking military personnel really like WhatsApp.

Brother Friendship
Jul 12, 2013

DrPop posted:

Apparently the YPG Media Center took a big hit.

https://twitter.com/Tekosin87/status/856878687265976320

Erdogan is such a complete bitch.

Objurium
Aug 8, 2009

Saladin Rising posted:

Oh hey not even one day and Erdogan's already doing asinine stuff.:suicide:

US is definitely not happy about this:
https://www.reddit.com/r/syriancivilwar/comments/67frr1/coalition_representatives_visiting_karachox_where/
Coalition representatives visiting Karachox, where turkish airstrikes hit:
https://twitter.com/MHJournalist/status/856821910478479360


https://twitter.com/mutludc/status/856812158742671360

Not necessarily super important, but I have a stupid eye for modern military hardware and a decent background knowledge of the units currently using them, so - Check out homeboy's gun.



It's a Flat Dark Earth HK416 with a Geissele Automatics rail on the front end. There's only one unit that uses them in that configuration, as seen again in this picture from Africa from a while back:



That's a CAG guy - or SFOD-D, or Delta Force.

If CAG was working nearby or even out of that compound, they've got to be loving pissed right now.

E: More photos surfacing. I have to imagine if CAG guys are walking around inspecting damage, they were in / around the areas that got hit. This is absolutely not in their normal line of work.

Turkey likely just bombed America's Tier 1 Faceshooters.



Objurium fucked around with this message at 20:07 on Apr 25, 2017

Saladin Rising
Nov 12, 2016

When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Looks like Erdogan/Turkey did this completely on their own dime:
https://twitter.com/NBCNightlyNews/status/856940363638071298

quote:

Turkish jets bombed Kurdish military forces in northern Iraq and northern Syria early Tuesday, US Defense officials say - @ckubeNBC

US military works with Kurdish forces, but no US forces were injured or killed in the Turkish strikes, US Defense officials say - @ckubeNBC

JUST IN: Pentagon says "deeply concerned" by Turkish strikes on Kurdish forces: "We have expressed our concern to the government of Turkey."

Pentagon: "These airstrikes were not approved by the Counter ISIS Coalition and led to the unfortunate loss of life of our partner forces."
The line "our partner forces" shows that the Pentagon's not going to the play the semantic "we only targeted PKK fighters" game with Turkey.

I can't even imagine how pissed the Mattis/McMaster/the Pentagon are behind closed doors right now.

E: Oh the irony, Turkey did the same thing the US did to Shayrat Airbase:
https://twitter.com/LucasFoxNews/status/856923599952805889

quote:

Turkey gave US & Russia 1 hour notice before 24 fighter jets bombed over 30 US-backed Kurds in Syria & Iraq. US & Russia objected to strike
"Hey you got one hour and we're bombing this area, just letting you know."

Saladin Rising fucked around with this message at 20:44 on Apr 25, 2017

3peat
May 6, 2010

badass YPJ propaganda

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wZ9QTmHR0YQ

Heliogabalos
Apr 16, 2017
you can still key in codes for the cheapest of item (for example, celery instead of organic whatever) and no one pays any attention and it saves me a fuckton of money on organic produce

Saladin Rising posted:

Looks like Erdogan/Turkey did this completely on their own dime:


can anyone comment on the end game? The beginning game? This is the utterly stupidest/isolationist thing Turkey could do, are they seriously that threatened/paranoid/vengeful?

Is the easiest explanation utter stupidity, I guess is what I'm asking.

Objurium
Aug 8, 2009

Heliogabalos posted:

threatened/paranoid/vengeful?

yes.

Brother Friendship
Jul 12, 2013

Heliogabalos posted:

can anyone comment on the end game? The beginning game? This is the utterly stupidest/isolationist thing Turkey could do, are they seriously that threatened/paranoid/vengeful?

Is the easiest explanation utter stupidity, I guess is what I'm asking.

erdogan is the turkish trump

Warbadger
Jun 17, 2006

Brother Friendship posted:

erdogan is the turkish trump

Trump is an idiot but he isn't trying to install himself as king, yet. Erdy also enjoys a lot more popular support (allowing him to do the first thing).

Warbadger fucked around with this message at 21:38 on Apr 25, 2017

Saladin Rising
Nov 12, 2016

When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Brother Friendship posted:

erdogan is the turkish trump
Trump can at least let the US military run its own poo poo at a level of basic competence.

Erdogan can't do that cuz, you know, the recent mass purging of "The Gulenists" (aka anybody in the Turkish military who was remotely competent).

ecureuilmatrix
Mar 30, 2011
Well, I'd say Erdogan's actions make sense if you put on the mindset where the various elements of the KCK constellation are the #NUMBERONE!!!!!!!111!!!1one!!!11!! existential enemy of the Turkish state, that absolutely cannot be negotiated with.*

Seeing it like that, letting a PKK-related statelet exist on the southern border is unacceptable and must be stopped/weakened/hosed with, regardless of Daesh (negligible), Assad (secondary), the US or Russia (too distant).

Therefore, nothing the SDF does or says to the effect of not wanting confrontation with Turkey will be trusted or believed, and will be seen as building a second Qandil refuge for the PKK (which is not entirely untrue, mind, but simplistic). Just look at Turkey demanding the YPG leave the west of the Euphrates, when Manbij is led by a local council and defended by SDF-member the MMC, who have no interest in letting the TFSA in.

The goal is to break the YPG/PYD/TEV-DEM and replace them with (PDK-like/Arabic/Turkmen) Turkey-aligned forces. Blowing up a YPG media center is sensible then.

Sure, it makes the US angry, but Erdogan calculates not angry enough to do something substantial. Eh, who knows. Imagine Trump's reaction if a US soldier is collaterally blown up?



*And this is, in my opinion, the failure point. There was a peace process, Ocalan is right there and amenable to talks, an ethno-social movement like the PKK can be reached with reason and policies (unlike Daeshoid nihilists, see Northern Ireland/Colombia) and extremist factions like TAK can be marginalized if the mainstream bloc gets results out of moderation. Being the state sometimes means having to de-escalate and deal with rebellious groups, and conciliation can take the air out of a conflict.

Basically, I think the Turkish state has regrettably locked itself in a needless hostility loop instead of trying to defuse peacefully its Kurdish question.


(Three-letter acronyms, we got them!)

EwokEntourage
Jun 10, 2008

BREYER: Actually, Antonin, you got it backwards. See, a power bottom is actually generating all the dissents by doing most of the work.

SCALIA: Stephen, I've heard that speed has something to do with it.

BREYER: Speed has everything to do with it.

Objurium posted:

Not necessarily super important, but I have a stupid eye for modern military hardware and a decent background knowledge of the units currently using them, so - Check out homeboy's gun.



It's a Flat Dark Earth HK416 with a Geissele Automatics rail on the front end. There's only one unit that uses them in that configuration, as seen again in this picture from Africa from a while back:



That's a CAG guy - or SFOD-D, or Delta Force.

If CAG was working nearby or even out of that compound, they've got to be loving pissed right now.

E: More photos surfacing. I have to imagine if CAG guys are walking around inspecting damage, they were in / around the areas that got hit. This is absolutely not in their normal line of work.

Turkey likely just bombed America's Tier 1 Faceshooters.





Not questioning your analysis, but if they are delta or whatever they're called now, why would they let themselves show up in photos by a major news agency? Don't they keep their identities secret?

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Charliegrs
Aug 10, 2009

EwokEntourage posted:

Not questioning your analysis, but if they are delta or whatever they're called now, why would they let themselves show up in photos by a major news agency? Don't they keep their identities secret?

Pictures get taken of special forces guys all the time. Im sure theyd rather it not happen, but it's impossible to have complete control over who's taking your pic.

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