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Monicro
Oct 21, 2010

And you could feel his features in the air
A wide smile and perfect hair
He had complete control of the rising tides
And a medicine bag hanging at his side

In the flowing blue world of the death-dealing physician

i forgot about this and what the gently caress

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BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen

Guru Yaekob posted:

You are going to feel really stupid come October.

I tell you what... there is nobody reading this right now who will be happier than me to see the Cubs finally win a World Series. I will break down and weep on the floor to the point where it becomes uncomfortable to all around me. So if I have to pay up on my toxx, it will be well worth it.

New Concept Hole
Oct 10, 2012

東方動的
Bookmarked for future hilarity.

Guru Yaekob
Feb 6, 2011

IRONKNUCKLE PERMABANNED! OFFERS 10-TOPIC POLITICAL DEBATE TO ANY LIBERAL - SA MEMBER STARTS TO ACCEPT, THEN BACKS OUT AND WETS PANTS AFTER LEARNING IRONKNUCKLE HAS DEBATED ON TELEVISION BEFORE! READ HERE

Retail Slave posted:

I tell you what... there is nobody reading this right now who will be happier than me to see the Cubs finally win a World Series. I will break down and weep on the floor to the point where it becomes uncomfortable to all around me. So if I have to pay up on my toxx, it will be well worth it.

Say the Cubs don't win it all..which they will but say they don't because a meteor strikes the team bus or something...I'll send you whatever remaining cash I have on hand before I leave on my hike around the U.S.

Inspector_666
Oct 7, 2003

benny with the good hair

Retail Slave posted:

I tell you what... there is nobody reading this right now who will be happier than me to see the Cubs finally win a World Series. I will break down and weep on the floor to the point where it becomes uncomfortable to all around me. So if I have to pay up on my toxx, it will be well worth it.

I want video of this weeping, too.

Guru Yaekob
Feb 6, 2011

IRONKNUCKLE PERMABANNED! OFFERS 10-TOPIC POLITICAL DEBATE TO ANY LIBERAL - SA MEMBER STARTS TO ACCEPT, THEN BACKS OUT AND WETS PANTS AFTER LEARNING IRONKNUCKLE HAS DEBATED ON TELEVISION BEFORE! READ HERE

Retail Slave posted:

I tell you what... there is nobody reading this right now who will be happier than me to see the Cubs finally win a World Series. I will break down and weep on the floor to the point where it becomes uncomfortable to all around me. So if I have to pay up on my toxx, it will be well worth it.

Just buy me an avatar and text. That will do, something to the effect of how I'm a loving wizard and maybe a picture of the Cubs bear taking a poo poo on SAA.

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen

Guru Yaekob posted:

Just buy me an avatar and text. That will do, something to the effect of how I'm a loving wizard and maybe a picture of the Cubs bear taking a poo poo on SAA.

Deal.

But you still should send me the rest of your remaining money.

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates
e: Ignore me, got confused by Awful App :argh:

Mornacale fucked around with this message at 05:44 on Jan 6, 2015

vegeta dentata
Jun 16, 2011
I mean he could have a point. Vegasinsider has the Cubs at 14/1 for the 2015 WS, which puts them even with the Mariners and Cards and ahead of the Jays, Giants, and O's.

abelwingnut
Dec 23, 2002


Betting on anyone to win the WS is dumb. The playoffs are barely more predictable than a crapshoot. I think there's merit to predicting who will make the playoffs, and merit to o/u for win totals, and I'm sure you can find some good lines and reasons there, but holy gently caress dude. You're betting on every piece of Cubs talent blossoming and then some. Then you're banking on them lucking their way through the playoffs. For $13000. You should really cancel that order and donate it to Ferguson or cancer research or something of real merit. The odds of the Cubs winning are just too improbable at this moment. At least try to do some good in the world before you go Grizzly Adams, gently caress.

Guru Yaekob
Feb 6, 2011

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Cancer has been winning longer than the Cubs have been losing.

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates

vegeta dentata posted:

I mean he could have a point. Vegasinsider has the Cubs at 14/1 for the 2015 WS, which puts them even with the Mariners and Cards and ahead of the Jays, Giants, and O's.

These are hilariously bad odds, as it requires you to believe the Cubs have a more than twice average chance of winning the Series. They're pretty obviously deflated by 1) delusional Cubs fans and 2) recency bias/prospect hype.

e: Put another way, if I'm going to drop 5 figures on the 2015 Cubs, I better be winning life-altering levels of cash.

Mornacale fucked around with this message at 05:52 on Jan 6, 2015

FairGame
Jul 24, 2001

Der Kommander

I suppose the Cubs could make the playoffs if everything broke right, including Kris Bryant just mashing the hell out of the ball like Ryan Braun did immediately after his call up. The dodgers will win the west, the nats the east, and barring catastrophic injury to two of Yadi/wacha/waino, the cards will win the central.

But that does still leave two playoff spots, and I'd give the Cubs a better shot right now than another long-shot like the Mets or Marlins. Though if the Mets got Tulo I'd change that tune really quick.

Still dumb as hell though, and you should probably see someone about your gambling problem and also see if you can sell that bet at a loss right now.

Guru Yaekob
Feb 6, 2011

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FairGame posted:

I suppose the Cubs could make the playoffs if everything broke right, including Kris Bryant just mashing the hell out of the ball like Ryan Braun did immediately after his call up. The dodgers will win the west, the nats the east, and barring catastrophic injury to two of Yadi/wacha/waino, the cards will win the central.

But that does still leave two playoff spots, and I'd give the Cubs a better shot right now than another long-shot like the Mets or Marlins. Though if the Mets got Tulo I'd change that tune really quick.

Still dumb as hell though, and you should probably see someone about your gambling problem and also see if you can sell that bet at a loss right now.

1 in 30 odds? I don't think so.

Sandpuppy
Jun 16, 2012

Social Abscess
of the
Universe
Someone needs to tell the LV Superbook's manager that the resort they're in is called Westgate Las Vegas now.

Guru Yaekob
Feb 6, 2011

IRONKNUCKLE PERMABANNED! OFFERS 10-TOPIC POLITICAL DEBATE TO ANY LIBERAL - SA MEMBER STARTS TO ACCEPT, THEN BACKS OUT AND WETS PANTS AFTER LEARNING IRONKNUCKLE HAS DEBATED ON TELEVISION BEFORE! READ HERE

Sandpuppy posted:

Someone needs to tell the LV Superbook's manager that the resort they're in is called Westgate Las Vegas now.

http://www.donbestadvantage.com/lvh-sportsbook-future-odds/

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates
I think the Cubs are solidly in the mess of teams that are worse than the Pirates but better than the Phillies/Dbacks/Rockies/whoever in that group gets disappointing performances. So I'd take them if I could get odds better than 64:1 or so.

e: I'm still not used to going into a season thinking about the big group of teams worse than the Pirates.

Mornacale fucked around with this message at 06:07 on Jan 6, 2015

Guru Yaekob
Feb 6, 2011

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Mornacale posted:

I think the Cubs are solidly in the mess of teams that are worse than the Pirates but better than the Phillies/Dbacks/Rockies/whoever in that group gets disappointing performances. So I'd take them if I could get odds better than 64:1 or so.

e: I'm still not used to going into a season thinking about the big group of teams worse than the Pirates.

I hate to tell you this but the Pirates aren't that great.

Dr. Kyle Farnsworth
Apr 23, 2004

I don't care if this is a fakepost, we're talking about goons. It's true in spirit if not in fact.

Also if Rowdy Kyle doesn't get picked up I'll need a new name.

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates

Guru Yaekob posted:

I hate to tell you this but the Pirates aren't that great.

If they were great, they wouldn't be the 4th-best team in the league.

Guru Yaekob
Feb 6, 2011

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Mornacale posted:

If they were great, they wouldn't be the 4th-best team in the league.

By what metric?

Tedd_Not_Ed
Feb 16, 2014

I've seen games go perfect for 12 innings all for naught. I've seen no-hitters pitched on illicit drugs. Homer streaks lasting eight games and 20 run losses. I've seen pennants won and seasons collapse. All these memories will be lost in time. Like tears in the rain.

Time to die.
It doesn't surprise me that a Cub fan doesn't know that teams are ranked by this mythical statistic called a "Win."

tatankatonk
Nov 4, 2011

Pitching is the art of instilling fear.
The goon power that made Doobie Dogs a reality will go on to see the Cubs win a World Series next season

Carlton Banks
Jan 5, 2004

"The Tigers' biggest obstacle to a championship will be keeping a straight face. The Tigers in three."
The Cubs have a 50% chance of winning the World Series; either they will or they won't.

straight up brolic
Jan 31, 2007

After all, I was nice in ball,
Came to practice weed scented
Report card like the speed limit

:homebrew::homebrew::homebrew:

las vegas hilton, 4:14 AM

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates

Guru Yaekob posted:

By what metric?

If you're desperate for a ~metric~ you could use Fangraphs' projections, which I don't particularly care about but do agree with as far as the top 4 go.

Guru Yaekob
Feb 6, 2011

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Mornacale posted:

If you're desperate for a ~metric~ you could use Fangraphs' projections, which I don't particularly care about but do agree with as far as the top 4 go.

The Pirates will not finish with a record above 500 this season. Toxx me however you wish.

Ambassador of Funk
Aug 2, 2009

Whenever I'm put to the test, I'm gonna ace it.

Abel Wingnut posted:

Betting on anyone to win the WS is dumb. The playoffs are barely more predictable than a crapshoot. I think there's merit to predicting who will make the playoffs, and merit to o/u for win totals, and I'm sure you can find some good lines and reasons there, but holy gently caress dude. You're betting on every piece of Cubs talent blossoming and then some. Then you're banking on them lucking their way through the playoffs. For $13000. You should really cancel that order and donate it to Ferguson or cancer research or something of real merit. The odds of the Cubs winning are just too improbable at this moment. At least try to do some good in the world before you go Grizzly Adams, gently caress.

Don't listen to this man Guru, my brother won $500 betting on the Giants in the beginning of 2012. I say live your dreams!

Also give me some of your money

uggy
Aug 6, 2006

Posting is SERIOUS BUSINESS
and I am completely joyless

Don't make me judge you

Mornacale posted:

If you're desperate for a ~metric~ you could use Fangraphs' projections, which I don't particularly care about but do agree with as far as the top 4 go.

Maybe i'm looking at the wrong projections but you're using the projections that have the mariners as the 2nd best team and the rockies as the 3rd best team?

http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings

edit: man i don't know what changed but now it looks different and i'm very confused

edit2: ya i don't know what I saw. sorry

uggy fucked around with this message at 06:57 on Jan 6, 2015

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates

uggy posted:

Maybe i'm looking at the wrong projections but you're using the projections that have the mariners as the 2nd best team and the rockies as the 3rd best team?

http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings

They do have the Mariners 2nd (which is one good reason why you should not put your faith in Fangraphs projections) but they don't even have the Rockies 3rd in their division, much less MLB.

e: v:shobon:v

uggy
Aug 6, 2006

Posting is SERIOUS BUSINESS
and I am completely joyless

Don't make me judge you

Mornacale posted:

They do have the Mariners 2nd (which is one good reason why you should not put your faith in Fangraphs projections) but they don't even have the Rockies 3rd in their division, much less MLB.

Haha ya that was why I was super confused when I looked at it but it had the pirates at 4 so I was like okay this is it but then after I refreshed or linked it it looked different and my bad.

Senf
Nov 12, 2006

The Mets are going to win the 2015 Major League Baseball World Series.

DeepDickPizza
Oct 11, 2012

THREE TIME! THREE TIME!

Saw 80+ new posts in the thread since this afternoon. Didn't think there was some big trade/signing I missed. Bless, you, Guru.

Why does the receipt say 4:14 AM 06/01/2015? Does it not post until that time? Because it is not that time yet. You still have a few hours to turn back.

Also, you should still lick that poo poo that you were going to lick over some Bears game or something.

Tedd_Not_Ed
Feb 16, 2014

I've seen games go perfect for 12 innings all for naught. I've seen no-hitters pitched on illicit drugs. Homer streaks lasting eight games and 20 run losses. I've seen pennants won and seasons collapse. All these memories will be lost in time. Like tears in the rain.

Time to die.

DeepDickPizza posted:

Saw 80+ new posts in the thread since this afternoon. Didn't think there was some big trade/signing I missed. Bless, you, Guru.

Why does the receipt say 4:14 AM 06/01/2015? Does it not post until that time? Because it is not that time yet. You still have a few hours to turn back.

Also, you should still lick that poo poo that you were going to lick over some Bears game or something.

The hotel at the top of the receipt, the Las Vegas Hilton, doesn't even exist anymore.
The day either hasn't happened or a Vegas hotel is using the European date format.
The time hasn't happened yet.

Do the math yourself

DeepDickPizza
Oct 11, 2012

THREE TIME! THREE TIME!
I want to believe.

tadashi
Feb 20, 2006

Deathlove
Feb 20, 2003

Pillbug

vegeta dentata posted:

I mean he could have a point. Vegasinsider has the Cubs at 14/1 for the 2015 WS, which puts them even with the Mariners and Cards and ahead of the Jays, Giants, and O's.

The Cubs are always better odds than they actually are "good" because Cubs fans are stupid idiots who bet on their team way too often. Gotta balance them books.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

Tedd_Not_Ed posted:

The hotel at the top of the receipt, the Las Vegas Hilton, doesn't even exist anymore.
The day either hasn't happened or a Vegas hotel is using the European date format.
The time hasn't happened yet.

Do the math yourself

He's posting from an alternate future reality?

Harlock
Jan 15, 2006

Tap "A" to drink!!!

Make like a tree and get out of here

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davecrazy
Nov 25, 2004

I'm an insufferable shitposter who does not deserve to root for such a good team. Also, this is what Matt Harvey thinks of me and my garbage posting.

straight up brolic posted:

las vegas hilton, 4:14 AM

Literally the best time to make a bet in a sports book.

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