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Lote posted:I can't believe that the Eagles are home underdogs next week.
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Sep 20, 2016 17:49
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Elephanthead posted:Picking the Patriots in reverse eliminator, feels good man!  NattyBo posted:God help me I'm taking the dolphins in eliminator this week Same, the Browns are just that bad and this is literally the only game I'd feel comfortable taking the Dolphins in
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Sep 20, 2016 18:02
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Intruder posted:
Brian Hoyer is going to rain down fire. edit Wait, who is even the Browns backup now? duble edit: Am I missing something, or is Cardinals at Bills not the best "sure thing" here? There's no way the Bills don't poo poo themselves, right? Chichevache fucked around with this message at 19:12 on Sep 20, 2016 |
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Sep 20, 2016 19:02
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^ agreed. Palmer and Johnson are going to shred the Billsaxeil posted:Dude, have you seen the Steelers? I'm all aboard the hype train too but they're a legit Super Bowl contender. Yeah, the steelers are probably one of the safer eliminator picks this week. The Eagles have looked great so far but Pittsburgh is a big step up from the Browns and Bears.
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Sep 20, 2016 19:13
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The Lions never win the easy games, guys. Never bet on them unless they are heavily favored to lose.
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Sep 20, 2016 19:18
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Intruder posted:
I almost want to avoid this pick due to cosmic bloodbath potential. Chilichimp fucked around with this message at 19:23 on Sep 20, 2016 |
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Sep 20, 2016 19:19
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Intruder posted:Yeah I learned the "Never bet for or against the Rams" rule long ago I think there were three years in a row that the Rams screwed me week 1 in various Eliminators. gently caress the Rams.
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Sep 20, 2016 19:19
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Chichevache posted:Am I missing something, or is Cardinals at Bills not the best "sure thing" here? There's no way the Bills don't poo poo themselves, right? All over the Cards this week. I don't trust the Dolphins to do anything but poo poo themselves
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Sep 20, 2016 19:20
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Cardinals are travelling cross country to play a 1pm EST game. Yeah, Buffalo is a mess, but that's not a pleasant road trip, and they did score a bunch of quick strike bombs against the Jets defense.
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Sep 20, 2016 19:28
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Kalli posted:Cardinals are travelling cross country to play a 1pm EST game. Are there any statistics that back up this theory that traveling cross country fucks up a team? Regardless, I think the spread on that game is criminal and if you're playing Spread Eliminator, lock that poo poo in now.
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Sep 20, 2016 19:30
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Kalli posted:they did score a bunch of quick strike bombs against the Jets defense. According to the Bills FO those don't count.
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Sep 20, 2016 19:38
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WampaLord posted:Are there any statistics that back up this theory that traveling cross country fucks up a team? There have been some studies, but I can't find any of the good ones, so have this one by some random gambling site: https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/nfl-west-coast-teams-traveling-east/ At least as of a few years ago, they underperform against the spread.
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Sep 20, 2016 19:40
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Never save a sure thing for later Never pick divisional games Never pick for/against the Rams Now if only I could follow my own advice
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Sep 20, 2016 19:42
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The Browns are starting Cody Kessler, I'm not particularly worried
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Sep 20, 2016 20:02
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Who will have the worst day? Kessler or Brissett?
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Sep 20, 2016 20:05
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Kessler. Brissett will inexplicably style all over the Texans before fading into mediocrity for the rest of his career and becoming the Browns starter in 2018
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Sep 20, 2016 20:07
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The Chargers will win this week because of Griff Whalen's intricate knowledge of the Colts' playbook
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Sep 21, 2016 00:11
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WampaLord posted:Surely the Cardinals are the safe pick this week. Don't let the spreads fool you.
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Sep 21, 2016 14:51
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Ditch posted:Not sure how they're safer than, say, the Packers or Seahawks. Bills were 5-3 at home last year and are mostly the same team, despite two miserable offensive performances to start the year. Seahawks just lost to the Rams, Packers just lost to the Vikings. This might just be might my dumb reasoning, but I'm also tied for 5th in Pickem with a record of 22-9, so my dumb reasoning has been working pretty well.
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Sep 21, 2016 14:53
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Ditch posted:Not sure how they're safer than, say, the Packers or Seahawks. Bills were 5-3 at home last year and are mostly the same team, despite two miserable offensive performances to start the year. It's very difficult to imagine a scenario where a mediocre team poses a threat to a (probable) Super Bowl contender, when that mediocre team is also one game removed from firing their offensive coordinator. Maybe the Bills will grit it out against the Cardinals by executing a modified playbook and forcing the ball to an injured Sammy "not the best receiver in the draft, even though we gave up another first to go get him" Watkins. I doubt it, though. Bruce Arians is a very good coach and that team doesn't seem like the type to just drop a game against an outclassed opponent, unlike the Seattle Seahawks  . Maybe if Shady breaks one or two big ones. Your defense will still have to keep Carson Palmer from going ham. And considering Ryan Fitzpatrick looked like 2015 Carson Palmer against you, that doesn't seem likely either.WampaLord posted:Seahawks just lost to the Rams, Packers just lost to the Vikings. The Seahawks are a miserable matchup for the Rams, and we have been for several seasons. I don't know what the gently caress went wrong for the Packers, but they look like poo. The Cardinals are not the Packers, and are not poo. And the Bills definitely don't present any kind of matchup issues for the Cards that I can identify. Maybe firing Roman was a secret plan to get the Cardinals looking past this game? Chichevache fucked around with this message at 16:48 on Sep 21, 2016 |
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Sep 21, 2016 16:46
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Madcosby posted:Never save a sure thing for later 4) Don't bet against New England
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Sep 23, 2016 05:04
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This might be one of the tougher survivor weeks ever, I'm still torn between picking Green Bay, Miami or Dallas. I'm not 100% sold on any of those picks
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Sep 24, 2016 17:31
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ColdBlooded posted:This might be one of the tougher survivor weeks ever, I'm still torn between picking Green Bay, Miami or Dallas. I'm not 100% sold on any of those picks Arizona is the answer
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Sep 24, 2016 17:32
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ColdBlooded posted:This might be one of the tougher survivor weeks ever, I'm still torn between picking Green Bay, Miami or Dallas. I'm not 100% sold on any of those picks Miami. A bad Browns team starting Cody Kessler on the road.
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Sep 24, 2016 17:34
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Dango Bango posted:Miami. A bad Browns team starting Cody Kessler on the road. I could never feel comfortable betting on Miami to win. Ross Angeles posted:Arizona is the answer That spread is criminal. The Bills are poo poo, and Arizona is real good, everyone just forgot about it cause of Belichick's pact with Satan.
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Sep 24, 2016 17:37
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Adaz mentioned this in N/V, but how in the world are the Dolphins favored by 10 against an NFL team? I don't care if it's the Browns. I am also not confident enough to bet against that but still.
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Sep 25, 2016 15:56
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Grittybeard posted:Adaz mentioned this in N/V, but how in the world are the Dolphins favored by 10 against an NFL team? I don't care if it's the Browns. To inspire confidence
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Sep 25, 2016 16:12
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Grittybeard posted:Adaz mentioned this in N/V, but how in the world are the Dolphins favored by 10 against an NFL team? I don't care if it's the Browns. Because the Browns are starting a 3rd string QB.
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Sep 25, 2016 16:18
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Chichevache posted:Because the Browns are starting a 3rd string QB. The 1st and 2nd string were RGIII and a McCown, so I'm not sure how much worse this kid could actually be.
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Sep 25, 2016 17:02
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Chilichimp posted:The 1st and 2nd string were RGIII and a McCown, so I'm not sure how much worse this kid could actually be. Apparently enough that Hue Jackson started RG3 and McCown!
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Sep 25, 2016 17:07
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Chichevache posted:Apparently enough that Hue Jackson started RG3 and McCown! I realize that is the obvious comeback, but understand something. Tim Tebow is available, and he's not the 3rd string. This guy is a marked upgrade to Timothy JC Tebow, but not better than RGIII or McCown. He really can't be that much worse than the Browns have been already. Expect Miami to commit to stop Isaiah Crowell and watch this kid make some improbable throws. edit: The Browns will still lose, none of this is relevant.
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Sep 25, 2016 17:11
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Chilichimp posted:I realize that is the obvious comeback, but understand something. Tim Tebow is available, and he's not the 3rd string. This guy is a marked upgrade to Timothy JC Tebow, but not better than RGIII or McCown. Dude, I really think you're underestimating the quality difference between a veteran 1st rounder, even a broken one, and a rookie who was never even considered a serious prospect. The Dolphins have to be insanely bad for this game not to be terrible for Kessler.
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Sep 25, 2016 17:37
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Chichevache posted:Dude, I really think you're underestimating the quality difference between a veteran 1st rounder, even a broken one, and a rookie who was never even considered a serious prospect. The Dolphins have to be insanely bad for this game not to be terrible for Kessler.
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Sep 25, 2016 17:39
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OMG Dolphins edit: wrong thread or perhaps, the right thread
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Sep 25, 2016 18:05
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Hmmm.... The Cardinals are trash?
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Sep 25, 2016 18:44
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Chichevache posted:Hmmm.... The Cardinals are trash? loving West to East effect
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Sep 25, 2016 18:54
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If the Dolphins and Cardinals lose, will this be the biggest bloodbath?
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Sep 25, 2016 18:58
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Never bet on trash vs. trash games in the NFL.
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Sep 25, 2016 19:03
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CaptainYesterday posted:Never bet on trash vs. trash games in the NFL. Cards are supposed to be good! WampaLord posted:If the Dolphins and Cardinals lose, will this be the biggest bloodbath? Close enough 
Chichevache fucked around with this message at 19:15 on Sep 25, 2016 |
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Sep 25, 2016 19:13
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Ellipson posted:The only rules for eliminator: 3) Never follow any of my advice, in football picks or in life
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Sep 25, 2016 19:20
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