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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

comedyblissoption posted:

i actually got a mailer for this election so apparently i live here and could actually vote!

can someone cut to the chase and tell me if the democrats running are neoliberal fuckheads or if they are amenable to supporting a platform like single payer or universal college education

Please just vote for the lovely Dem, as I personally think it would be cool if my parents' health insurance premiums didn't double and the House is very close on the issue. Thanks, in advance.

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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
tho honestly Ossoff doesn't really look that bad

anti-citizens united, anti-intervention, pro-choice, etc. is pretty decent for Georgia

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
https://www.predictit.org/Market/2932/Who-will-win-the-2017-House-of-Representatives-special-election-in-Georgia%27s-6th-District

PI puts Ossoff's odds at around 40% right now.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

sexpig by night posted:

The dude in Montana is getting support isn't he?

Hes not, lol.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Nate Cohn‏Verified account
@Nate_Cohn

The GA-6 in-person early vote is done.
Today: D 35, R 43
Over all: D 41.1, R 40.8 with 54817 votes counted


RIP.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Concerned Citizen posted:

that's hardly "rip"

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/853052529378250752

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/853053326107316224

we'll see how election day turnout ends up (it will likely be bad for dems) but dem is performing very, very well in ev. gop typically has strong edge in this district

i said RIP because hes not going to hit the 50% threshold with those numbers

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Relevant Tangent posted:

A runoff isn't a disaster actually. The possibility that these people are justifiably sick of Trump does exist.

The analysis I read seemed to express the opinion that winning in the first round is Ossoff's best shot at winning overall. He could still absolutely win in the run-off, though.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
live feed from the finest source in news: https://www.pscp.tv/BuzzFeedNews/1BdGYPZeDmYKX

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
precincts starting to report, ossoff at 71%! heavy-D area only

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
ossoff looking pretty good, winning the early vote in the red county

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/854491239084949507

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
its going to be insanely close lmao

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Shinjobi posted:

What percentage does he have to hit again?

he needs 50%+ to win outright and avoid the run-off

if he doesn't win outright it will be him against Handel in a fresh, 1-on-1 ballot

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
i think he's going to take it tonight, holy poo poo

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
or not lol

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Concerned Citizen posted:

Outright is still possible though. If e-day turnout isn't great in these GOP areas. Just a bit too much enthusiasm earlier

eh

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
election day vote looking nasty, even in DeKalb

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/georgia-6th-congressional-district-ga06-special-election-primary/

Looks like early voters were much more Ossoff-favorable than the party registration would have indicated, but day-of vote was bigger and more Republican than predicted, causing big swings.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Down to 50.8%. Hope train is about to leave the station.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
DDHQ guy just said it's now at 50.1%. will probably finish at around 47%.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Fresh new talking point:

Jeff B/DDHQ‏ @EsotericCD

Ossoff still looking like he has a very good chance of beating Hillary Clinton's number (46.8%) in GA-6. Sets up a huge runoff battle.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Up to 50.7% w/ friendly DeKalb County now 100% tapped out, only downhill from here. Join me, in prayer.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
We pray for the votes to get this skinny, effeminate, centrist wonk into office. We ask you sincerely and unironically for miraculous succor, and we dare to believe because we are miraculous suckers. Amen *click*

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
50.4% with the dark & evil (corn)Cobb County 96% in.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
I'm not owned I'm not owned I continue to insist as the margin slowly shrinks due to Cobb County

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
38mAlexis Levinson‏ @alexis_levinson

but Ossoff's election night party is legit a bar mitzvah with a cash bar. Ppl are dancing, smiling, hugging. #GA06

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Dude is even younger than he looks lol

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

sexpig by night posted:

sounds right.

I think people are being too negative about the runoff though. The number two is at fuckin 18 something. If Trump tries to tie himself to her it could be a genuine issue with a county that is very much the traditional republican crowd. They won't flip, but they may just fuckin stay home. If we can keep our base energized this isn't some death sentence.

Well you can basically add up all the GOP numbers and Dem numbers and get a near-wash. Final number tonight will mean a lot, it's going to be a game of inches in the run-off.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
"Cobb is done. Ossoff at 50.3% with 55k in Fulton County left. Our guess he gets 45%; needs 49. Seems small, but very hard."

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Ossoff sitting at 40c on PI, which equates to a 40% chance of winning the run-off.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Sanders endorsed Ossoff today.

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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

zegermans posted:

Sanders making a meaningless endorsement weeks late on something after he's already poisoned the well?! :monocle:

pity reply

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